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Retention patterns and activities in London Sam Turner, AccessHE | November 2017 Introduction Growing evidence to suggest that investment (and resultant improvements) in access for disadvantaged students has failed to translate


  1. Retention patterns and activities in London Sam Turner, AccessHE | November 2017

  2. Introduction • Growing evidence to suggest that investment (and resultant improvements) in access for disadvantaged students has failed to translate into improved outcomes. • Retention has become a critical indicator of widening participation performance. • London is seen to perform particularly poorly.

  3. Expenditure • Institutional expenditure within student success is expected to rise to £185.1 million in 2018-19. • From 12% in 2013-14 to 23% in 2018-19. • London spend in student success is expected to rise to £35.27 million by 2021-22 – 23.8%. • Access spending still remains high. • Institutions with high drop-out rates are investing more in retention and student success.

  4. Proportion of access agreement expenditure in student success vs institutional drop-out rate 20% 18% 16% R² = 0.6048 14% Percentage no longer in HE after one year 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Percentage of expenditure in student success

  5. Exploring patterns • Ethnicity • Low Participation Neighbourhoods • Institution size and tariff band/type • State school intake • NS-SEC • NSS score

  6. Ethnic composition of UK students vs institutional drop-out rates (London institutions) White Black Asian Other (including mixed) 20 18 16 R² = 0.6085 14 Percentage no longer in HE after one year (%) 12 R² = 0.0702 10 R² = 0.0201 8 6 R² = 0.2832 4 2 0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Percentage of ethnic composition of UK student body

  7. Ethnic composition of UK students vs institutional drop-out rates (non-London institutions) White Black Asian Other (including Mixed) 20 18 16 14 Percentage no longer in HE after one year (%) 12 R² = 0.1096 10 8 R² = 0.0033 R² = 0.0256 R² = 0.0159 6 4 2 0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Percentage ethnic composition of UK student body

  8. Proportion of students from Low Participation Neighbourhoods (LPNs) vs institutional drop-out rates 12% 10% Percentage from low participation neighbourhoods (POLAR3) 8% R² = 0.0622 6% 4% 2% 0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% Percentage of students no longer in HE after one year 2014-15

  9. UCAS mean entry tariff points vs institutional drop-out rate 20 18 16 14 Percentage no longer in HE after one year (%) 12 10 8 6 R² = 0.6271 4 2 0 150 200 250 300 350 400 Mean entry tariff points

  10. Institution tariff band and drop-out rate 14% 12% 10% London average Percentage no longer in HE after one year 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% High Creative specialist Specialist other Med Low Tariff band

  11. Total undergraduate population vs institutional drop-out rate 20% 18% 16% 14% Percentage no longer in HE after one year 12% R² = 0.0856 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 Total undergraduate population

  12. Total undergraduate population (by institution tariff band) vs institutional drop-out rate Low Medium High Creative specialist Specialist other 20% 18% 16% 14% Percentage no longer in HE after one year 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 Total undergraduate population

  13. Percentage of intake from state schools vs institutional drop-out rate 20% 18% 16% 14% Percentage no longer in HE after one year 12% 10% 8% R² = 0.5209 6% 4% 2% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Percentage of young student intake from state schools

  14. Percentage of intake from NS-SEC classes 4-7 vs institutional drop-out rate 20% 18% 16% R² = 0.5244 14% Percentage no longer in HE after one year 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Percentage of intake from NS-SEC classes 4-7

  15. NSS Overall Student Satisfaction score vs institutional drop-out rate 20% 18% 16% 14% Percentage no longer in HE after one year 12% 10% 8% R² = 0.0436 6% 4% 2% 0% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% NSS 2015 Overall Student Satisfaction score

  16. Targets • Across the AccessHE membership, all but one institution have at least one retention target. • Most commonly two, but varies depending on the institution. • Often addressing total/young population and then a specific group.

  17. AccessHE member HEI retention targets by target group Low income, 1 Disabled, 1 NS-SEC, 2 All UG, 9 BME/BAME, 2 Care leaver, 3 LPN, 4 Young, 10 Mature, 7

  18. Themes and activities • Debate between value/effectiveness of targeted vs universal activity? • Some key themes from access agreements: • Financial support: hardship, grants and evaluation. • Peer-mentoring or peer-assisted learning and ‘buddying’ schemes: formal and informal, academic and social. • Academic skill development: ensure ‘course - readiness’ and prevent ‘falling behind’, peer learning, workshops or drop-in activity.

  19. Themes and activities • Transition programmes for specific groups of learners: first term interventions, continuation from pre-entry schemes. • Predictive learner analytics: identification of ‘at - risk’ students, entry profile and on -course records, prediction and response. • Curriculum design and changes to assessment and feedback: inclusive teaching and learning, teaching practices, timing and processes.

  20. Themes and activities • Personal tutoring: folding into other activities, integrating with mental health support. • Personalised approaches which recognised intersectionality: compounding effects, recognising individual students.

  21. Summary • Expenditure – London spending on student success in line with sector average, but spending reflecting performance. • Patterns - Correlation with ethnicity, tariff/type, state school intake and NS-SEC. Weaker for LPN, NSS score and size. • Targets – Common across all institutions, but number/targeting reflecting performance. • Themes and activities – Recognition of whole-institution approach to support individual students.

  22. Questions? Sam Turner, AccessHE sam.turner@londonhigher.ac.uk

  23. Data sources • https://www.hesa.ac.uk/data-and-analysis/performance-indicators/non- continuation • https://www.hesa.ac.uk/data-and-analysis/publications/students-2015- 16/introduction • https://www.hesa.ac.uk/data-and-analysis/performance-indicators/widening- participation • http://www.hefce.ac.uk/lt/nss/results/2015/ • https://www.offa.org.uk/access-agreements/ (2018-19) • https://www.offa.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Access-agreement- 2018-19-key-facts-revised-OFFA-201708.pdf With thanks to Paresh Shah, Research Manager at London Higher for supporting with data collection and analysis.

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