Results presentation for the year ended 30 September 2018 AGENDA - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Results presentation for the year ended 30 September 2018 AGENDA - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Results presentation for the year ended 30 September 2018 AGENDA Operational Business Financial Outlook and Overview: Overview: Overview: management focus: H Lourens H Lourens A Muller H Lourens Adel vd Merwe Results presentation
2 Results presentation 2018
AGENDA
Business Overview:
H Lourens
Financial Overview:
A Muller
Operational Overview:
H Lourens Adel vd Merwe
Outlook and management focus:
H Lourens
3 Results presentation 2018
BUSINESS OVERVIEW: H LOURENS
4 Results presentation 2018
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Revenue Operating profit 2% 178% HEPS Cash generated 234% R448m Total dividend 2018 Total dividend 2017 90 c 34c
› Lower raw material input costs › Stable exchange rate › Tailwinds due to lower egg supply › South African economy remains muted › Good recovery in industry dynamics in rest of Africa
5 Results presentation 2018
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW: A MULLER
6 Results presentation 2018
STATEMENT OF INCOME
For the year ended 30 September 2018 2018 Rm 2017 Rm % change Revenue 4 121.9 4 051.9 2 Operating profit* 473.3 170.1 178 Income from associates 0.7 1.1 Net finance income 23.8 6.4 Profit before tax 497.8 177.6 Tax (135.6) (50.0) Profit for the period 362.2 127.6 * Operating profit includes capital items 0.9 20.6 Adjusted operating profit 472.4 149.5 216 Adjusted operating margin 11.5% 3.7% EPS
- cents
164.3 55.7 195 HEPS - cents 163.9 49.0 234
7 Results presentation 2018
› For 2018
- Dividend at a HEPS cover of 4 times
41 cents
- Special dividend due to 2018 cash generation
49 cents
- Interim dividend paid
(20 cents)
- Final dividend
70 cents › 11 784 941 shares repurchased in 2018 at average R4.45 per share › Total amount of R244.1 million returned to shareholders › Board intends to continue to repurchase shares
DIVIDENDS AND SHARE REPURCHASES
8 Results presentation 2018
Total R4 122 million (2017: R4 052 million)
ANIMAL FEEDS 2017: R1 485m | 37% EGGS 2017: R1 052m | 26% FARMING 2017: R1 311m | 32% AFRICA 2017: R204m | 5%
REVENUE ANALYSIS
9 Results presentation 2018
SEGMENT RESULTS
Adjusted operating profit 2018 Rm 2017 Rm Eggs 286.7 46.5 Farming 98.5 47.3 Animal Feeds 69.4 77.8 Other African countries 31.0 (9.7) Head Office costs (13.2) (12.4) 472.4 149.5
10 Results presentation 2018
STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
At year end 2018 Rm 2017 Rm Non-current assets 1 091.9 1 076.8 Net working capital 574.6 590.4 Non-current liabilities (228.3) (230.8) Cash 422.5 261.5 Total net assets 1 860.6 1 697.9 Borrowings (6.2) (6.3) Equity 1 854.4 1 691.6
11 Results presentation 2018
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
For the year ended 30 September 2018 2018 Rm 2017 Rm Cash operating profit 547.8 200.4 Working capital inflow 12.9 115.2 Change in exchange rate (7.9) 0.7 Cash effect of hedging activities 8.9 3.4 Tax paid (138.0) (61.3) Net finance income 24.4 6.9 Cash generated by operations 448.0 265.3 Shares repurchased (52.4) (28.7) Dividends paid (119.7) (13.8) Treasury shares acquired by subsidiary (2.5)
- Capital expenditure
(116.0) (73.0) Proceeds from sale of assets 3.8 32.2 Net cash increase 161.0 182.0
12 Results presentation 2018
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
2018 R’m Future R’m Maintenance capex – SA 27.9 44.9 – Africa 13.1 15.2 Farms: capacity and efficiency 18.4 1.2 Energy efficiency 5.4 3.1 Hartbeespoort broiler hatchery expansion 6.6 1.2 Zambia feed mill 9.5 0.9 Uganda layer farm expansion 17.3 0.4 Layer hatchery expansion 6.0 6.2 Feed mills expansion 11.4 31.1 Zambia layer farm expansion
- 27.2
Packstation grader 0.5 13.9 116.0 145.3
13 Results presentation 2018
SENSITIVITIES: EGGS
Effect of movement in: Rand value EBIT/annum Selling prices Eggs (R/doz) 1% 17c R13m Raw material costs Maize R/ton R100 R6m Soya bean meal R/ton R100 R2m Assumption: Egg volume of 6.4 million dozen per month
14 Results presentation 2018
OPERATIONAL OVERVIEW: H LOURENS / ADEL VD MERWE
15 Results presentation 2018
EGGS
› Realisation increased by 24%
- AI outbreak
- Improved product mix
Less Liquid Egg Increased sales of Higher Value Eggs
› Volumes declined by 7%
NULAID EGGS
Good utilisation of supply dynamics supported by excellent operational performance
16 Results presentation 2018
NULAID EGGS
17 Results presentation 2018
80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00 130.00 140.00 150.00
Index Month
Realisation Movement
Normal cycle AI Effect Flock replacement
NULAID EGGS
18 Results presentation 2018
› Strengthened management team › Successful cost control
- Nominal Increase of 3.5%
- Additional AI Costs
- Per unit increase higher due to lower volumes
› Operational efficiency improvements
- Returns
- Stock Variances
- Equipment Efficiency
NULAID EGGS
19 Results presentation 2018
› Progress with 3rd party distribution model
- Nominal decrease of 0.5%
- Per unit increase higher
› Successful execution of direct farm sales strategy › Successful execution of retail customer service
- Nulaid awarded best Egg Brand for sixth consecutive year
- Nulaid won the 2018 Shoprite Perishable supplier of the year award
› Successful implementation of 18-egg carton
NULAID EGGS
20 Results presentation 2018
› Expected Higher Feed Costs › Increased National Egg Supply › Increased Nulaid volume due to placements › Continued equipment efficiency improvements › Continued investment in Green projects
NULAID EGGS EXPECTATIONS
21 Results presentation 2018
› Continued external volume growth › Margin declined due to competitive dynamics › Excellent feed performance across all species › Cost push well managed › AI effect
- Loss of internal volumes and contribution
- Additional bio-security costs
› Approved investments for
- Future growth
- Improved efficiencies
NOVA FEEDS
ANIMAL FEED
Stable performance in difficult conditions
22 Results presentation 2018
FARMING
FARMING OPERATIONS
LAYER FARMING › Satisfactory breeder performance › Commercial farm performance continue to improve › AI effect
- Increased day old pullet sales
- Decline in point of lay sales
- Sharp increase in unit cost of production
› Successful mitigation of flock decline due to AI
- Flock decrease
19%
- Production decrease
7% › Capex programme to upgrade layer houses commenced › Layer productivity index developed
Continued improvement in challenging industry conditions
23 Results presentation 2018
FARMING
Positive momentum continues
BROILER FARMING › Day old chick volumes now exceed that of old model › Increased hatchery capacity projects completed › Day old chick volumes increased by 6% › Decline of 1.2% in live bird weight sold › Record performance on commercial broiler level › Broiler breeders less productive › AI effect
- No volume impact
- Additional bio-security costs
Genetic impact
FARMING OPERATIONS
24 Results presentation 2018
AFRICA
OTHER AFRICA SEGMENT
ZAMBIA › Disease challenges on breeder farm › Very good commercial layer farm performance › Prices and volumes increased in all sales categories › New feed mill commissioned UGANDA › Excellent maize crop › Very good commercial layer performance › Strong demand for day old broilers and layers › Disease challenges at breeder farms › Volume and price increase in egg segment › Capacity increase of 65% for egg farm approved MOZAMBIQUE › Egg industry dynamics similar to South Africa › Improved layer farm performances but › Farm efficiencies remain unsatisfactory
Good economic recovery in all three countries Pleasing profit growth from
- ther Africa segment
25 Results presentation 2018
OUTLOOK AND MANAGEMENT FOCUS: H LOURENS
26 Results presentation 2018
PROSPECTS 2019
Expectations Quantum Foods response
- Significant drop in egg prices
- Increase in raw material costs
- Increased competition in feed sector
- Opportunities in day old chick market
- Low level of GDP growth
- Judicious customer and channel
management
- Continued focus on efficiencies through all
- ur segments
- Review of hatchery capacity
- Cost containment initiatives implemented
27 Results presentation 2018
28 Results presentation 2018
APPENDIX
29 Results presentation 2018
SAFEX YELLOW MAIZE RAND PER TON
1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000 4 500 Sep 14 Mar 15 Sep 15 Mar 16 Sep 16 Mar 17 Sep 17 Mar 18 Sep 18 2 352 3 016 2 924 1 953 1 770
30 Results presentation 2018
CBOT USD SOYA BEANS
250 270 290 310 330 350 370 390 410 430 Sep 14 Mar 15 Sep 15 Mar 16 Sep 16 Mar 17 Sep 17 Mar 18 Sep 18 299 309 300 316 309
31 Results presentation 2018
RAND VS US$
10 12 14 16 18 Sep 14 Mar 15 Sep 15 Mar 16 Sep 16 Mar 17 Sep 17 Mar 18 Sep 18 14.14 11.28 13.84 13.71 13.55
32 Results presentation 2018
LAYER PRODUCTIVITY INDEX
95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
33 Results presentation 2018
BROILER PRODUCTIVITY INDEX
85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018