SLIDE 1 Results
FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2018
SLIDE 2 19 75 2 Year ended 31 March 2018
INTRODUCTION & HIGHLIGHTS
Adam Couch, CEO
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Mark Bottomley, Finance Director
COMMERCIAL REVIEW
Jim Brisby, Commercial Director
OPERATING & STRATEGIC REVIEW
Adam Couch, CEO
Q&A
AGENDA
SLIDE 3 19 75 3 Year ended 31 March 2018
HIGHLIGHTS
- Strong revenue growth
- Record capital expenditure to add capacity,
extend capability and drive effjciencies
- Planning approval granted for new world class poultry
primary processing facility with further associated investment to upscale existing agricultural operations
- New Continental Foods facility complete
and being commissioned
- Strong volume performance across each of our
four product categories
- Dividend up 21.8% to 53.7p per share
Compound annual growth rates to 31 March 2018 REVENUE
+10.1%
ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE
+10.8%
ADJUSTED PROFIT BEFORE TAX
+10.8%
DIVIDEND PER SHARE
+10.4%
10 YEAR RECORD
SLIDE 4 19 75 4 Year ended 31 March 2018
34.0 37.5 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.8 6.8 7.5 8.3 10.8 12.0 13.2 14.5 16.5 18.1 19.9 21.7 25.0 27.5 28.5 30.0 2.8 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 32.0 '15 '16 44.1 '17 '18 53.7 £64m 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.1 4.0 5.0 7.1 9.3 11.7 17.5 19.8 21.2 21.6 31.1 32.7 33.0 43.8 0.9 47.3
'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16
£116m £157m £313m £740m 49.1 52.2 57.8 64.4
'17 '18
£1,465m £1,005m 75.5 92.4 34.7 45.6
DIVIDEND PER SHARE (pence) ADJUSTED PROFIT BEFORE TAX 1 (£M)
REVENUE
28 YEARS OF UNBROKEN DIVIDEND GROWTH
1. Excludes IAS41 movements on biological assets and acquisition related amortisation in 2018 and 2017.
TRADING RECORD
1990 – 2018
SLIDE 5 19 75 5 Year ended 31 March 2018
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
TOTAL SALES VOLUME GROWTH RECORD PIG NUMBERS PROCESSED TOTAL EXPORT SALES GROWTH INVESTMENT IN ASSET BASE FOR FUTURE GROWTH
+13% 3.1M +30% £59M
REVENUE (£M)
+17.6%
2018 2017 1,464.5 1,245.1 ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE (P)1
+19.9%
2018 2017 145.0 120.9 FREE CASH FLOW (£M)
+54.3%
2018 2017 111.7 72.4 ADJUSTED PROFIT BEFORE TAX (£M)1
+22.4%
2018 2017 92.4 75.5 DIVIDEND PER SHARE (P)
+21.8%
2018 2017 53.7 44.1 NET FUNDS / (DEBT)
+£31.6M
20.6 2018 (11.0) 2017
1. Excludes IAS41 movements on biological assets and acquisition related amortisation in 2018 and 2017
SLIDE 6 19 75 6 Year ended 31 March 2018
1. Like-for-like revenue excludes the contribution from Crown Chicken and Ballymena prior to the anniversary of their acquisition and also the impact of the 53rd week in the current year
- 2. Excludes IAS 41 movement on biological assets in both years
- 3. Excludes acquisition related amortisation in both years
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
£M 2018 2017 % CHANGE Revenue 1,464.5 1,245.1 17.6% Like-for-like revenue 1 1,403.3 1,245.1 12.7% Adjusted gross margin 2 12.8% 12.8% – Adjusted operating profjt 2, 3 92.8 76.1 21.9% Adjusted operating margin 2, 3 6.3% 6.1% 22bps Adjusted profjt before tax 2, 3 92.4 75.5 22.4% Adjusted earnings per share 2, 3 145.0p 120.9p 19.9% Dividend per share 53.7p 44.1p 21.8%
SLIDE 7 19 75 7 Year ended 31 March 2018
£M 2018 2017
Cash generated from operations
127.7 87.7
Tax paid
(15.6) (14.8)
Net cash from operating activities
112.1 72.9
Net capital expenditure
(58.0) (46.5)
Acquisitions
(5.3) (56.0)
Disposals
– 15.5
Interest paid
(0.4) (0.5)
Share issues
1.6 0.8
Dividend paid
(18.2) (14.6)
Net cash infmow / (outfmow)
31.8 (28.4)
Net funds / (debt)
20.6 (11.0) NET CAPEX (£M) 2018 2017 Fresh pork 15.1 11.1 Convenience 31.9 23.9 Gourmet products 6.4 7.4 Poultry 4.6 3.9 Other – 0.2 Net capex 58.0 46.5 NET FUNDS / (DEBT) BRIDGE (£M)
A d j u s t e d E B I T D A 100 120 140 80 60 40 20
2 1 7 W
k i n g c a p i t a l T a x a t i
A c q u i s i t i
s N e t c a p e x D i v i d e n d s O t h e r 2 1 8 (11.0) 4.0 5.3 15.6 58.0 4.2 20.6 18.2 128.5
CASH FLOW
SLIDE 8 19 75 8 Year ended 31 March 2018
£M 2018 2017
Property, plant & equipment
237.3 215.7
Intangible assets
156.2 158.4
Biological assets
17.8 19.6
Working capital
71.5 68.3
Net funds / (debt)
20.6 (11.0)
Tax, grants, provisions, pensions
(23.5) (29.6)
Net assets
479.9 421.4 KEY METRICS 2018 2017
ROCE 1
20.3% 19.0%
Gearing
– 3%
Interest cover
221x 122x
Dividend cover 2
2.7x 2.7x
1. Adjusted operating profit divided by the sum of average net assets, net debt, pension liabilities & deferred tax
- 2. On adjusted profit for the year
133 bps y-o-y improvement in ROCE
BALANCE SHEET
Inventories (3.0) Receivables 9.5 Payables (3.3) Net movement 3.2
SLIDE 9 19 75 9 Year ended 31 March 2018
POSITIVE 5 YEAR CAGR ACROSS KEY METRICS
CAGR 15.9%
FREE CASH FLOW (£M) ADJUSTED EBITDA (£M)
FY17 FY17
80 60 60 40 40 20 100 80 120 100 140 120
FY14 FY14 FY15 FY15 FY16 FY16
CAGR 3.9% CAGR 4.8%
ADJUSTED OPERATING MARGIN ROCE
FY14 FY16 FY15 FY17
5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 6.5% 7.0%
FY14 FY16 FY15 FY17
16% 17% 18% 19% 20%
5.4 16.8 5.8 17.0 6.4 18.2 6.1 19.0 71.3 59.1 77.0 52.7 85.9 83.4 103.7 72.4
FY18 FY18
128.5 111.7
FY18
6.3
FY18
20.3
CAGR 17.3%
SLIDE 10 19 75 10 Year ended 31 March 2018
FREE CASH FLOW NET CAPEX ACQUISITION / (DISPOSAL) DIVIDEND PAID CASH INFLOW / (OUTFLOW)*
2018 111.7 58.0 5.3 18.2 30.2 2017 72.4 46.5 40.5 14.6 (29.2) 2016 83.4 33.5 – 14.6 35.3 2015 52.7 20.4 17.7 15.3 (0.7) 2014 59.1 27.4 14.4 12.7 4.6 2013 49.0 30.5 5.8 11.4 1.3 2012 43.4 19.9 (14.5) 11.8 26.2 2011 50.0 33.9 – 10.5 5.6 521.7 270.1 69.2 109.1 73.3
* Excludes the proceeds from the issue of share options.
RECORD CASH GENERATION
BANKING FACILITY
£160m revolving credit facility with four major UK banks Includes committed
Option to access further £40m on same terms To November 2022 with opportunity to extend for a further year Unsecured
17.8
2016
20.6
2018 2017
CASH GENERATION 2011–2018 (£M) NET FUNDS / (DEBT) (11.0)
SLIDE 11 19 75 11 Year ended 31 March 2018
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
RECORD CAPITAL EXPENDITURE TO SUPPORT FUTURE GROWTH PIPELINE
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE DEPRECIATION
47.0 34.3 18.3 21.2 58.7 21.1 27.7 35.7
SLIDE 12 19 75 12 Year ended 31 March 2018
CONSUMER TRENDS Spending habits Retail and foodservice Premium, convenient and healthy CRANSWICK PERFORMANCE Core category growth Poultry performance New markets OUTLOOK Consolidation Innovation Poultry strategy
COMMERCIAL UPDATE
SLIDE 13 19 75 13 Year ended 31 March 2018 FRESH AND READY TO COOK PORK BACON & GAMMON SAUSAGE SLICED COOKED HAM FRESH PRIMARY CHICKEN ADDED VALUE CHICKEN COOKED CHICKEN FRESH BEEF FRESH LAMB
9% 7% 13%
41% 29% 24% 6%
12% 19% 4% 6% 24% 6%
£7.88
0.00 2.00
March 2018 March 2017
4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00
£4.10 £4.15 £4.75 £4.49 £8.58
FRESH CHICKEN FRESH PORK FRESH BEEF FRESH LAMB
£7.75 £8.40
Infmationary pressure on pig price easing UK and EU gap widening Retail price infmation Chicken and pork competitively priced EXPENDITURE SHARE(ii)
MARKET OVERVIEW
UK RETAIL AVERAGE PRICE (£/kg)(ii) PIG PRICE – UK & EU p/kg(i)
2017 2016 2015 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013
120 150 170 130 160 180 110 140 100 90 80 EU SPP DAPP
2018
SOURCE: i) AHDB April 2018 ii) Kantar 52w/e 25 March 2018
SLIDE 14 19 75 14 Year ended 31 March 2018
CRANSWICK PERFORMANCE
*SOURCE: Kantar Worldpanel, 52 w/e 25 March 2018 NOTES: (i) Excludes the impact of 53rd week in the current year (ii) Like-for-like Fresh Pork sales exclude the contribution from Ballymena prior to 16 November. Including Ballymena prior to 16 November, Fresh Pork sales growth was +18.2%. Fresh Pork retail sales +6.8%, volume -3.6% (iii) Convenience comprises Cooked Meats and Continental Foods (iv) Gourmet Products comprises Sausage, Bacon and Pastry (v) Poultry comprises Fresh and Cooked Poultry. Like-for-like Poultry sales exclude the contribution from Crown Chicken prior to 8 April. Including Crown Chicken prior to 8 April, Poultry sales growth was +19.2%
CRANSWICK SALES (i)
ANNUAL SALES 2017-18
MARKET*
ANNUAL SALES 2017-18
CATEGORY CHANGE CHANGE VALUE VOLUME VALUE VOLUME Fresh Pork (ii) +10.0% +5.6% +5.0%
Convenience (iii) +10.1% +4.7% +1.9%
Gourmet Products (iv) +20.2% +15.0% +3.3% +1.3% Poultry (v) +16.8% +12.0% +1.3% +2.2%
Super premium
+7.3%
SALES PERFORMANCE BY CATEGORY
SLIDE 15 19 75 15 Year ended 31 March 2018
CRANSWICK PERFORMANCE
GROUP SALES BY CHANNEL
72+24+6
RETAIL GROWTH
16%
EXPORT GROWTH
30%
FOOD SERVICE & WHOLESALE GROWTH
20%
71% 22% 7%
Growth ahead of the market Major business wins Customer focused innovation Strategic relationships B2B relationships with retailer suppliers Recipe boxes and digital China approval for Northern Ireland USA volume and value growth New market development RETAIL FOODSERVICE AND WHOLESALE EXPORT
SLIDE 16 19 75 16 Year ended 31 March 2018
+2.5%
INFLATION
CONSUMER TRENDS
TOTAL VOLUME STATIC
4 % — Inflation rate (CPI) — Annual % change in average earnings 2.9% Dec 2017 Feb 2018 2.8% Dec 2017 Feb 2018 3 2 1 Apr Jun 2016 2017 2018 Jul Sept Oct Dec Jan Mar Jan Mar Apr Jun Jul Sept Oct Dec Dec Feb
£ GROWTH
+2.5% +1.0%
POPULATION
BUY LESS BUY ON DEAL SWITCH TO CHEAPER STORES TRADING DOWN
2FOR
£5
WAGES GROWTH BEHIND INFLATION AND CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW INDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS BUYING REDUCED VOLUME
CONSUMER SPENDING SUPPRESSED… …LEADING TO CHANGING BEHAVIOURS
SOURCE: Kantar Usage Panel, April 2018 Note: Inflation is shown as three-month rolling average. Earning figures are three-month averages, excluding bonuses
SLIDE 17 19 75 17 Year ended 31 March 2018
5 10 15 20 25
M&S LIDL CO-OP ICELAND ALDI WAITROSE MORRISONS ASDA SAINSBURY’S TESCO
GROWTH %
GROCERY MARKET SHARE
3.1 0.3 1.9 1.9 0.3 0.2 12.4 11.0 2.8
% SHARE MARCH 2017 % SHARE MARCH 2018
RETAILER TRENDS
Overall growth @ 2.5% Top 4 growth behind market (average 1.8%) Discounter growth slowing
SOURCE: Kantar, Total Grocery, 12 w/e 25 March 2018
SLIDE 18 19 75 18 Year ended 31 March 2018
CONSUMER TRENDS – PREMIUM GROWTH
5 10 15 20 SAUSAGE BACON RASHERS GAMMON COOKED MEATS
PREMIUM CATEGORY GROWTH (% YOY)
Premium Total
CRANSWICK CATEGORIES PERFORMING STRONGLY STRONG GROWTH IN PREMIUM OWN LABEL Provenance key for consumers Premium own label driving growth Allows retailers to difgerentiate
VALUE OWN LABEL +5% 45% STANDARD OWN LABEL +6% 76% BRANDS +2% 100% PREMIUM OWN LABEL +13% 120% £ INDEX
SOURCE: Kantar Usage Panel April 2018 SOURCE: Kantar 52 w/e 25 March 2018
SLIDE 19 19 75 19 Year ended 31 March 2018
CONSUMER TRENDS – CONVENIENCE AND HEALTH
Consumers trading up for convenience Ease, not just speed Combination of scratch and pre-prepared solutions Recipe dish growth
41% 59%
TRADITIONAL MEALS VS MODERN MEALS POSITIVE HEALTH MESSAGES INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT
n
HEALTH BENEFITS
n
1 OF 5
n
NATURAL
n
LOWER FAT, SALT, ETC.
n
OTHER
32+29+16+13+15
31% 28% 15% 12% 14%
CONSUMERS INCREASINGLY FOCUSED ON HEALTH BUYING CHOICES BASED ON HEALTH
33%
SHOPPERS CLAIMING TO EAT HEALTHIER
88%*
SOURCE: Kantar Usage Panel, April 2018 except * IGD Shopper Vista 2017
SLIDE 20 19 75 20 Year ended 31 March 2018
COMMERCIAL OUTLOOK
INNOVATION Premium Convenience Healthy CONSOLIDATION Defmation Consolidation Effjciency POULTRY STRATEGY New site Internal supply Retail growth
SLIDE 21 19 75 21 Year ended 31 March 2018
GUIDING PRINCIPLES STRATEGIC PILLARS
CONSOLIDATION
DRIVING THE CORE
DIVERSIFICATION
EXPANDING OUR OFFER
INTERNATIONAL
DEVELOPING NEW OPPORTUNITIES
HIGH QUALITY PRODUCTS SALES GROWTH SUSTAINABILITY
PEOPLE INNOVATION
OPERATING EXCELLENCE
STRATEGY & BUSINESS MODEL PURPOSE
FEEDING THE NATION WITH AUTHENTICALLY MADE, SUSTAINABLY PRODUCED FOOD; CREATED WITH PASSION
QUALITY VALUE
SLIDE 22 19 75 22 Year ended 31 March 2018
SALES GROWTH HIGH QUALITY PRODUCTS OPERATING EXCELLENCE SUSTAINABILITY
Market share gains Long-term relationships Building additional capacity Second Nature initiative Packaging pledges Waste reduction and energy effjciency commitments Record capital expenditure to enhance capability New Continental Foods facility Stronger throughput drives
Focus on premium Business wins based on quality Strong innovation pipeline
DRIVING THE CORE BUSINESS
CONSOLIDATION
SLIDE 23 19 75 23 Year ended 31 March 2018
SALES GROWTH HIGH QUALITY PRODUCTS OPERATING EXCELLENCE SUSTAINABILITY
Strong growth category New retail business New class-leading poultry facility Integrated supply chain Low food miles adding to product quality Strong environmental and welfare credentials Drive effjciency through farm to fork model Optimise value of whole birds and portions Stronger throughput drives
Focus on premium tier From fresh to cooked added value Retail and
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH POTENTIAL THROUGH POULTRY STRATEGY
DIVERSIFICATION
SLIDE 24 19 75 24 Year ended 31 March 2018
- Investment in new, state-of-the-art, poultry
processing facility in Eye, Sufgolk
- Associated investment in expansion of agricultural
- perations to secure vertical supply chain
- Double processing capacity with further
room for expansion
- Facility adds retail supply capability
- In-line chilling will improve quality and
consistency of product
- Fresh and added value poultry markets
growing strongly
- Incorporates highest animal welfare standards
INVESTING IN POULTRY
DIVERSIFICATION
SLIDE 25 19 75 25 Year ended 31 March 2018
Weekly tonnage from 4.5k to 7k 100% self suffjcient for poultry feed Continue to develop feed for pigs and game Double capacity at hatchery All chicks to be managed through internal supply chain Proposed development at Kenninghall Increase from 26 farms to 45 farms Allocate dedicated farms and sheds to key retailers Retro-fjt all sheds with natural light to further improve welfare position MILLING HATCHERY FARMS
POULTRY SUPPLY CHAIN
DIVERSIFICATION
SLIDE 26 19 75 26 Year ended 31 March 2018
SALES GROWTH HIGH QUALITY PRODUCTS OPERATING EXCELLENCE SUSTAINABILITY
Strong export sales growth China approval for Ballymena exports Developing direct relationships Higher welfare a key difgerentiator Emerging markets Develop international
Effjcient production
Multiple accreditations Shanghai offjce Reputation of British
Pre packed, higher welfare products for China Prime cuts to Europe, Japan & Australia
EXPANDING OUR FOOTPRINT
INTERNATIONAL
SLIDE 27 19 75 27 Year ended 31 March 2018
RECORD CAPITAL INVESTMENT TO ADD CAPACITY, DRIVE EFFICIENCY AND ENHANCE CAPABILITY
CROWN CHICKEN SUFFOLK FRESH PORK HULL AND BALLYMENA CONTINENTAL FOODS BURY AGRICULTURE NORFOLK NEW PROCESSING FACILITY EXPANSION OF AGRICULTURAL OPERATIONS SITE UPGRADES NEW FACILITY PIG HERD EXPANSION
SLIDE 28 19 75 28 Year ended 31 March 2018
EMBRACING SUSTAINABILITY
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE USE OF RESOURCES FOOD WASTE PACKAGING AND PLASTIC EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT
SLIDE 29 19 75 29 Year ended 31 March 2018
Strong revenue & earnings growth Strong balance sheet & cash generation Strong poultry sales growth Investment in class-leading poultry facility New Continental Foods facility Record capital expenditure Pork & chicken competitively priced Gaining market share Growth strategy
Strong Performance
“We continue to make good progress against each of our strategic
- bjectives and we are well placed to continue our successful development
in the current financial year and over the longer term.”
Ongoing Investment Positive Outlook
SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK
SLIDE 30 19 75 30 Year ended 31 March 2018
Certain statements in this presentation are forward looking
- statements. By their nature, forward looking statements involve a
number of risks, uncertainties or assumptions that could cause actual results or events to difger materially from those expressed or implied by those statements. Forward-looking statements regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Accordingly undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements.
DISCLAIMER
SLIDE 31 19 75 31 Year ended 31 March 2018
1970s
Established Agri-Food business (animal feed)
1980s
Move into Food production
1992
FT Sutton’s Deli Cooked Meats
1995
Simply Sausages – Gourmet Sausages
2001
Continental Fine Foods
2003
Sandwich Factory
2004
Jack Scaife’s – Dry cured air dried bacon
2005
Perkins Chilled Foods – sliced cooked meats
2009
Bowes of Norfolk – Primary processing
2010
Yorkshire Baker – Gourmet Pastry
2013
Pig rearing business – Outdoor Reared Pigs
2014
Benson Park – Premium Cooked Poultry
2016
Crown Chicken – Integrated chicken processor
2016
Sale of Sandwich Factory
2016
Ballymena – primary processing
APPENDIX 1
OUR HISTORY
SLIDE 32 19 75 32 Year ended 31 March 2018
APPENDIX 2
OUR LOCATIONS
33+39+1:+12
33% 36% 19% 12%
CATEGORY PROFILE % OF GROUP REVENUE
Fresh Pork Convenience Gourmet Products Poultry
Year ended 31 March 2018
HULL Fresh Pork, Preston Fresh Pork, Riverside Cooked Meats, Sutton Fields Gourmet Sausages, Lazenby’s Added Value Poultry, Benson Park MALTON Gourmet Pastry, Yorkshire Baker SHERBURN Gourmet Bacon, Sherburn-in-Elmet BARNSLEY Cooked Meats, Valley Park NORTHERN IRELAND Fresh Pork, Ballymena BURY New Continental Foods site, Roach Bank MANCHESTER Continental Foods, Guinness Circle Continental Foods, Hibernia Way DENBIGH Food Service, Colomendy EAST ANGLIA Fresh Pork and Sausages, Watton Crown Chicken, Weybread and Kenninghall MILTON KEYNES Cooked Meats, Delico Agriculture Pig and Poultry Production Heartland
WATTON DENBIGH BURY MANCHESTER WEYBREAD MILTON KEYNES BALLYMENA BARNSLEY HULL SHERBURN MALTON
SLIDE 33 19 75 33 Year ended 31 March 2018
APPENDIX 3
ADJUSTED & REPORTED EARNINGS
£M 2018 2017 Adjusted operating profjt 92.8 76.1 Net IAS 41 movement (2.2) 4.1 Acquisition related amortisation (2.2) (2.1) Operating profjt 88.4 78.1 Profjt before tax 88.0 77.5 Profjt after tax 70.0 62.4
SLIDE 34 19 75 34 Year ended 31 March 2018
TAX % 2018 2017 Headline tax rate 19.0 20.0 Disallowed expenses 1.4 0.9 Deferred tax rate change 0.3 – Prior year adjustments / other (0.2) (1.4) Efgective tax rate (continuing) 20.5 19.5 EARNINGS PER SHARE PENCE 2018 2017 Adjusted (continuing) 145.0 120.9 Acquisition related amortisation (4.3) (4.2) Net IAS 41 movement (4.3) 8.2 Tax impact 1.4 (0.7) On profjt for the year (continuing) 137.8 124.2
APPENDIX 4
TAX & EARNINGS PER SHARE