reflection of surgery or surgeons bias? Gennady Bratslavsky, M.D. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
reflection of surgery or surgeons bias? Gennady Bratslavsky, M.D. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Benefits of cytoreductive nephrectomy: reflection of surgery or surgeons bias? Gennady Bratslavsky, M.D. Professor and Chairman Department of Urology Upstate Medical University Syracuse, NY Disclosures No financial disclosures
Disclosures
No financial disclosures Alternate title: The surgeon’s confession
Outline
Two concepts
What we know How what we know makes us do something what we know
1988
Culp et al, Cancer. 2010 WE CAN SEECT ALL RIGHT!
Patient selection?
YES YES YES We are trained to select!
Conti et al., Int J Cancer, 2013.
CN + ( n =6 9 1 5 ) CN
- (
n =1 3 , 1 8 9 ) P va l u e Ag e (m e a n ± SD ) 60.8 ± 11.30 67.8 ± 12.77 <0 . 0001 Ag e G ro u p (% ): <6 4 65
- 69
70
- 74
75
- 79
>8 4,319 ( 62.5 %) 981 ( 14.2 %) 792 ( 11.4 %) 513 ( 7.4 %) 310 ( 4.5 %) 5,231 ( 39.7 %) 1,738 ( 13.2 %) 1,783 (1 3 . 5 %) 1,795 ( 13.6 %) 2,642 ( 20.0 %) <0 . 0001 Se x (% ): Male Fem ale 4 , 7 8 6 (6 9 . 2 % ) 2 , 1 2 9 (3 . 8 % ) 8 , 4 6 5 (6 4 . 2 % ) 4 , 7 2 4 (3 5 . 8 % ) <0 . 0001 R a ce / Et h n i ci t y (% ): Whit e Bl a ck O t h e r
- r
U n kn
- w
n R a ce 5 , 9 3 5 (8 5 . 8 % ) 5 5 4 (8 . % ) 4 2 6 (6 . 2 % ) 1 , 8 9 (8 2 . 6 % ) 1 , 4 9 7 (1 1 . 3 % ) 8 2 (6 . 1 % ) <0 . 0001 M a ri t a l St a t u s (% ): Si n g l e M a rri e d D i v
- rce
d / W i d
- w
e d U n kn
- w
n 7 7 8 (1 1 . 3 % ) 4 , 6 6 4 (6 7 . 4 % ) 1 , 2 9 5 (1 8 . 7 % ) 1 8 (2 . 6 % ) 1 , 8 2 6 (1 3 . 8 % ) 7 , 1 2 1 (5 4 . % ) 3 , 7 4 9 (2 8 . 4 % ) 4 9 3 (3 . 7 % ) <0 . 0001 R e g i
- n
(% ): W e st M i d w e st N
- rt
h e a st So u t h 3 , 9 7 9 (5 7 . 5 % ) 8 5 2 (1 2 . 3 % ) 9 1 9 (1 3 . 2 % ) 1 , 1 6 5 (1 6 . 8 % ) 7 , 3 2 7 (5 5 . 6 % ) 1 , 8 7 4 (1 4 . 2 % ) 1 , 8 2 3 (1 3 . 8 % ) 2 , 1 6 5 (1 6 . 4 % ) . 0002 Vi t a l St a t u s (% ) Al i v e Dead 1 , 6 4 (2 3 . 7 % ) 5,275 (7 6 . 3 % ) 9 6 9 (7 . 3 % ) 1 2 , 2 2 (9 2 . 7 % ) <0 . 0001
WHY?
Many reasons suggested
US vs non-US VA vs non-VA Difference in cohorts, etc
Or investigator’s bias?
Therapeutic equipoise
CARMENA TRIAL
2018
HYPOTHETICAL TRIAL
DIALYSIS IS PATIENTS WITH ANURIA
If you do it in terminally ill patients in their last 3 days
you will NOT find any benefit to survival
Does it mean that dialysis does not help in renal
failure?
The population studied and patients randomised
- ften dictate the outcome
Slow enrollment (why?) CARMENA – 43% poor-risk disease NO ROLE OF CN IN POOR RISK (and likely
intermediate risk)
ENACT TRIAL
ENZALUTAMIDE vs AS in GLEASON 6 and 7 I have 5 patients from my site in the past 1 year I have performed about 100 RALPs for Gleason 7
in the past 1 year
I discuss this trial with everyone (with different
intensity)
A FEW THOUGHTS
NO STATISTICAL METHODS CAN
OVERCOME SELECTION BIAS
WE ARE GOOD IN SELECTION! WE ARE ALSO VICTIMS OF OUR
KNOWLEDGE AND SKILLS
OUR THERAPEUTIC EQUIPOISE IS
CLOUDED
MY QUESTION
CAN WE LEAVE THE BIASES? CAN WE OFFER THE TRIAL WITHOUT OUR OWN
INPUT?
IF NOT, CAN WE HONESTLY PUSH WITH THE