Re-building and Recovery Q3 2010 Fixed Income Presentation 10 Nov - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Re-building and Recovery Q3 2010 Fixed Income Presentation 10 Nov - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Re-building and Recovery Q3 2010 Fixed Income Presentation 10 Nov 2010 Important Information Certain sections in this presentation contain forward-looking statements as that term is defined in the United States Private Securities


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Re-building and Recovery

Q3 2010 Fixed Income Presentation

10 Nov 2010

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Important Information

Certain sections in this presentation contain ‘forward-looking statements’ as that term is defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements that include the words ‘expect’, ‘estimate’, ‘project’, ‘anticipate’, ‘believes’, ‘should’, ‘intend’, ‘plan’, ‘probability’, ‘risk’, ‘Value-at-Risk (VaR)’, ‘target’, ‘goal’, ‘objective’, ‘will’, ‘endeavour’, ‘outlook’, ‘optimistic’, ‘prospects’ and similar expressions or variations on such expressions. In particular, this document includes forward-looking statements relating, but not limited, to: the Group’s restructuring plans, capitalisation, portfolios, capital ratios, liquidity, risk weighted assets, return on equity, cost-to-income ratios, leverage and loan-to-deposit ratios, funding and risk profile; the Group’s future financial performance; the level and extent of future impairments and write-downs; the protection provided by the APS; and the Group’s potential exposures to various types of market risks, such as interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity and equity price risk. Such statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections and are subject to inherent risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For example, certain of the market risk disclosures are dependent on choices about key model characteristics and assumptions and are subject to various

  • limitations. By their nature, certain of the market risk disclosures are only estimates and, as a result, actual future gains and losses could differ materially from those that have been estimated.

Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those estimated by the forward-looking statements contained in this document include, but are not limited to: general geopolitical and economic conditions in the UK and in other countries in which the Group has significant business activities or investments, including the United States; the global economy and instability in the global financial markets, and their impact on the financial industry in general and on the Group in particular; the full nationalisation of the Group or other resolution procedures under the Banking Act 2009; the monetary and interest rate policies of the Bank of England, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and other G7 central banks; inflation; deflation; unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, yield curves, foreign currency exchange rates, credit spreads, bond prices, commodity prices and equity prices; changes to the valuation of financial instruments recorded at fair value; changes in UK and foreign laws, regulations, accounting standards and taxes, including changes in regulatory capital and liquidity regulations; a change of UK Government or changes to UK Government policy; changes in the Group’s credit ratings; the Group’s participation in the APS and the effect of such scheme on the Group’s financial and capital position; the conversion of the B Shares in accordance with their terms; the ability to access the contingent capital arrangements with Her Majesty’s Treasury (“HM Treasury”); the ability of the Group to attract or retain senior management or other key employees; impairments of goodwill; pension fund shortfalls; litigation and regulatory investigations; general operational risks; insurance claims; reputational risk; limitations on, or additional requirements imposed on, the Group’s activities as a result of HM Treasury’s investment in the Group; changes in competition and pricing environments including competition and consolidation in the banking sector; the financial stability of other financial institutions, and the Group’s counterparties and borrowers; the value and effectiveness of any credit protection purchased by the Group; the extent of future write-downs and impairment charges caused by depressed asset valuations; the ability to achieve revenue benefits and cost savings from the integration of certain of the businesses and assets of RBS Holdings, N.V. (formerly ABN AMRO); natural and other disasters; the inability to hedge certain risks economically; the ability to access sufficient funding to meet liquidity needs; the ability to complete restructurings on a timely basis, or at all, including the disposal of certain non-core assets and assets and businesses required as part of the EC State aid restructuring plan; organisational restructuring; the adequacy of loss reserves; acquisitions or restructurings; technological changes; changes in consumer spending and saving habits; and the success of the Group in managing the risks involved in the foregoing. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation, and the Group does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. The information, statements and opinions contained in this presentation do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments.

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Agenda

Update on RBS Building Blocks of the RBS Recovery Reducing and managing risk Non-Core Division Update Conclusion

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Update on RBS

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Built around customer-driven franchises Comprehensive business restructuring Substantial efficiency and resource

changes

Adapting to future banking climate

(regulation, liquidity etc)

Businesses that do not meet our Strategic

Tests, including both stressed and non- stressed assets

Radical financial restructuring Route to balance sheet and funding

strength

Reduction of management stretch

Core Bank The primary driver of risk reduction The focus for sustainable value creation Non-Core Cross-cutting Initiatives

Strategic change from “pursuit of growth”, to “sustainability, stability and customer focus” Culture and management change Fundamental risk “revolution” (macro, concentrations, management, governance) Asset Protection Scheme (2012 target for exit)

RBS is driving through the key elements of its Strategic Plan

RBS Strategic Plan

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2009

Formation of the Strategic Plan Creation of Non-Core £2.5bn cost saving programme announced Business restructuring and reinvestment New Management and Board APS entered into and Recapitalisation completed ‘Tools for the job’ in place

2010/2011

Execution and implementation phase of the plan Investment in Core franchises ‘Roll up our sleeves’ Economic recovery takes hold Improvement in underlying Core performance Ongoing revenue and cost initiatives Completion of Non-Core run- down 2013 targets achieved – Returns – Risk – Franchise

Strategic Plan - timeline

Core profits build, Non-Core losses fall 2012 onwards

Target >15% RoE

2010/11 – executing the plan

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Key Business Highlights

Group operating profit of £726m1, up from £250m in Q210 Core Bank operating profit up 10%1 to £1,732m vs Q210

  • Continued momentum in Retail and Commercial

Balance sheet risk reduced across asset profile, liquidity & funding position Non-Core run off progressing well

  • £20bn reduction in funded assets to £154bn; ahead of plan

Good progress against Strategic Plan targets

– Core RoE up 1% to 12%1, Core Retail & Commercial RoE increases to 14%

EU Disposals

  • Significant progress on EU disposals; 3 of 4 signed as of mid-October

1 Excluding fair value of own debt

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Key Q3 2010 financial highlights

Strong progress in R&C, partially offset by GBM Core Business:

Operating profit £1.7bn1 Lower impairments drive 10% improvement vs Q2 Return on Equity 12%1 Continues to progress R&C NIM 3.23%, +32bps y-o-y Driven by ongoing asset re-pricing Adjusted C:I Ratio 58%1 Costs held flat; efficiency programmes funding investments Impairments £0.8bn (-29% q-o-q) Continuing underlying improvement Loan to deposit ratio 101% Close to strategic target of 100%2 Funded assets3 £1,080bn, (-£4bn vs FY09) Reflects Non-Core reduction, off-set by GBM seasonality Non-Core run-off £20bn reduction in TPAs4 Non-Core run-off tracking well to plan Capital strength Core Tier 1 of 10.2% RBS remains a well capitalised bank

1 Excluding Fair Value of Own Debt 2 Group target 3 Funded assets as at 30 June 2010 £1,058bn 4 Third party assets excluding derivatives

Group Balance Sheet Progress:

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Tracking well to plan targets

1 As at 1 January 2008. 2 As at October 2008 3 Amount of unsecured wholesale funding under 1 year. Q310 includes £77bn of bank deposits and £101bn of other wholesale funding. 2013 target is for <£65bn

  • f bank deposits, <£85bn of other wholesale funding. 4 As at December 2008 5 Eligible assets held for contingent liquidity purposes including cash, government issued securities and other securities eligible

with central banks. 6 Funded tangible assets divided by Tier 1 Capital. 7 As at June 2008 8 Group return on tangible equity for 2008 9 Indicative: Core attributable profit taxed at 28% on attributable core spot tangible equity (c70% of Group tangible equity based on RWAs). 10 Excluding fair value of own debt. 11 Adjusted cost:income ratio net of insurance claims 12 2008

Key performance indicator Worst point FY 09 Actual 2013 Target Q3 10 Actual

Core Tier 1 Capital 4%1 11.0% >8% 10.2% Liquidity reserves5 £90bn4 £171bn c£150bn £151bn Leverage ratio6 28.7x7 17.0x <20x 18.0x Return on Equity (RoE) (31%)8 Core 13%9,10 Core >15% Core 12%9,10 Adjusted cost : income ratio11 97%12 Core 53%10 Core <50% Core 58%10

Current position versus 2013 targets

Loan : deposit ratio (net of provisions) 154%2 135% c100% 126% Short-term wholesale funding3 £343bn4 £250bn <£150bn £178bn

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FY09 Q210 Q310 Loan:deposit ratio (Group)2 135% 128% 126% Core 104% 102% 101% Loan:deposit gap (Group)3 £142bn £118bn £107bn Core £16bn £8bn £5bn Liquidity reserves £171bn £137bn £151bn

  • /w FSA eligible govt. bonds:

£20bn £25bn £31bn

Net Stable Funding Ratio4 96% 97% 103% Wholesale funding > 1 year5 50% 57% 62%

2010 YTD reduction of £72bn (29%) in short-term wholesale funding, including bank deposits, to

£178bn

Mix of wholesale funding greater than 1 year increases to 62%, from 57% in Q210 and 50% at FY09 Liquidity reserves of £151bn, FSA eligible government bonds £31bn

Key Funding Metrics Key Funding Metrics

1 Funding profile excluding derivatives, repos and other liabilities 2 Net of provisions 3 Net loans & advances to customers less customer deposits (excluding repos) 4 Source RBS. Net Stable Funding Ratio

measures the level of net stable funding divided by long-term assets 5 Term and subordinated debt only, excludes bank deposits.

Funding and liquidity

Key Funding Metrics Evolution of Group funding mix towards more stable long- term funding sources1

FY09 Q210 Q310 £bn % £bn % £bn % Customer deposits 414 51 421 55 421 55 Total wholesale 278 34 245 32 263 34

  • /w Wholesale <1 year

139 50 106 43 101 38

  • /w Wholesale >1year

139 50 139 57 162 62

Deposits by banks 116 14 97 13 80 11

  • /w <1year

110 92 77

Total 808 100 762 100 764 100

More resilient funding base, further termed-out funding

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10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Non-Core run-down Maturity Issuance Non-Core run-down Maturity Issuance Non-Core run-down Maturity Non-Core run-down Maturity Maturing Non-Government-Guaranteed Term Debt Maturing CGS

Funding - Issuance

2010 gross issuance target exceeded

£35bn1 YTD term funding achieved vs.

£25bn 2010 target

Market conditions much improved in H2 Transactions spanned multiple

currencies, tenors and markets

Strong private placement capabilities

linked to structured and equity linked businesses within GBM

€4.75bn Covered Bonds issued to date £4.6bn RMBS completed in Sept 2010 CGS borrowing £41bn, down from

£53bn at peak

c£15bn use of Bank of England special

liquidity facilities; used for liquidity, not funding purposes

£bn

2010 2011 2012

Continued progress on reduction of short-term wholesale funding reliance

Maturities manageable given Non-Core run-down; CGS and SLS planned to be fully repaid by end 2012

Target

2013

1YTD figure includes issuance of £3.9bn in October. 2Maturing term funding includes government guaranteed MTNs, unguaranteed MTNs and subordinated debt, excluding c£28bn of GBM, Citizens

and Ulster Bank own issued structured MTNs. 2

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Build-up of liquidity reserves

42 31 16 15 57 41 39 8 9 30 AAA rated governments Treasury Bills Other government securities Cash and central bank balances Unencumbered collateral

£90bn FY08 Q209 Q309 £140bn £121bn

Continued progress in increasing the strength of liquidity reserves

Liquidity reserves

£137bn Q310

In the quarter RBS met its long-term

target of c.£150bn of liquidity reserves.

FSA eligible Government Bonds

(AAA) of £31bn1 constitute UK, US and G10 European government bond issues only.

Q210 £151bn

1£31bn of FSA eligible Government bonds includes £3.7bn of securities currently used for repurchase agreements

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Term issuance across multiple currencies and tenors

Significant diversification of term funding by currency, maturity and product

Term issuance by currency (YTD 2010)1 Term Debt security issuance by maturity (YTD 2010)1,2

USD 25% EUR 53% GBP 11% Other 11%

Term funding diversified across currencies including AUD, CAD, JPY, SGD and CHF Significant progress achieved in lengthening maturity profile of wholesale funding with 53% of

term funding issuance 5 years or more to maturity1,2

Development of different funding products including a regulated covered bond programme

with €4.75bn issued YTD and also a £4.6bn RMBS deal

1-3 years 26% 3-5 years 22% 5-10 years 31% > 10 years 21%

  • 1. Based on Group issuance of c.£35bn YTD 2010, includes public and private issuance to end-Q310 plus public issuance in October . 2. Residual maturity, excluding short term wholesale funding of < 1 year

August: AUD 1.8bn September: SGD 500m September: CHF 0.35bn October: JPY 73.1bn August - $3.75bn: $1.5bn 3yr Fix $1.5bn 10yr Fix £0.75bn 3yr FRN Covered Bonds: June: EUR 1.25bn September: EUR 1.5bn RMBS: £4.6bn USD/EUR/GBP

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Building blocks of the RBS Recovery

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Building blocks of the RBS Recovery

Internal metrics We have strong franchises in large customer-driven markets Sustained and improving customer satisfaction levels Remain well capitalised and can deliver our funding plan Non-Core run-off drives the decline in risk concentrations and wholesale funding reliance Strategic plan, investment and income initiatives drive sustainable growth We can deliver good cost efficiency Liability margins to improve – asset margins to hold Management execute the plan well and drive cultural change Impairments trend to “normalised” levels External factors World economic recovery continues Strong but rational competition going forward Interest rates normalise Path of regulatory change will be phased and sensible

What are the necessary external factors and internal metrics to achieve the plan?

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RBS managing through a demanding external environment

Building blocks of the RBS Recovery – External metrics

Economic Impacts Regulatory Impacts

Gradual economic recovery continuing globally Business/investor confidence still volatile Customers remain cautious impacting loan demand and markets revenues Persistent low interest rates could slow margin recovery Economic outcome so far is broadly as expected at the start of the strategic plan. RBS remains cautious as to economic outlook Balance being struck between need for banks to recover and other public policy issues Reduction in economic imbalances vital Basel III announced in September 2010 but certain provisions still need to become clearer UK Banking commission commencing enquiry on industry structure and scope Important debate around resolution regimes and ‘too big to fail’ Industry levies being introduced, eg. UK EU mandated disposals proceeding well Complex US legislation now to be implemented

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Core RBS

Future Group profile, a strong and balanced business

Targeting 2/3 Retail & Commercial, 1/3 GBM2 Geographic split: UK c55%, US c25%, EU 10-15% & RoW 5-10% Leadership positions balancing business cycle, capital and funding intensity

Future business mix Core RBS Q310 Core revenues by Division1

1 Excluding fair value of own debt. 2 Excluding Insurance business

A universal bank anchored in the UK and in Retail & Commercial, diversified by geography, business mix and risk profile

Global Banking & Markets GTS Retail & Commercial UK Retail UK Corporate Wealth Ulster Bank US R&C Global Corporate Clients Financial Institutions Retail Customers Deposits SMEs Governments Domestic Corporate Market Funding

Retail & Commercial 78% GBM 22%

Insurance 16% US R&C 11% Ulster 3% GTS 10% Wealth 4% UK Corporate 14% UK Retail 20%

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Our franchises have sustained market positions, with customer numbers steady or growing

Building blocks of the RBS Recovery – Internal metrics

UK Retail 12.9m current accounts 10.1m savings accounts #2 Current Accounts £91.4bn Customer Numbers Market Positions Deposits Q3 UK Corporate 1.2m Business, Commercial & Corporate customers #1 Business & Commercial #1 Corporate £98.1bn Wealth 260,000 UK Wealth customers #1 Private Banking in the UK £34.8bn GBM 5,800 core clients globally - world’s top Corporates & FIs Top tier in key product areas £40.9bn Ulster >1.9m customers #1 in Northern Ireland #3 in island of Ireland £23.4bn US R&C 3.9m Retail 0.5m SME & Corporate Top 5 in 8 of top 10 markets in which we operate £60.5bn Insurance 10.8m own brand policies 6.3m other policies3 #1 Motor insurance #1 Home Insurance n.a. GTS >1.2m customers #5 ICM1, #6 Trade Finance1 #5 Merchant Acquirer2 £65.4bn

Core franchises remain strong

1 Euromoney 2009 global rankings, 2 Nilson, 3 Partnership, broker and other policies

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Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Group NIM 1.83 1.92 2.03 2.05 R&C NIM 3.04 2.97 3.11 3.23 GBM 0.89 1.11 1.01 1.14 Non-Core 1.17 1.25 1.22 1.05

NIM and future outlook

2 Retail & Commercial comprises UK Retail, UK Corporate, Wealth, Global Transaction Services, Ulster Bank and US Retail and Commercial divisions 1 Q2 2009 (Group NIM low), Q1 2009 (R&C NIM Low)

R&C Q210 203 5 bps

Group and R&C NIM increased from lows of 1.7%1 and 2.7%1, respectively Retail & Commercial NIM up 12bps due to asset margin widening 75-80% of assets have re-priced – more in Retail, less in Corporate Incremental costs of liquidity build and term funding issuance cost 4bps in Q3 Outlook: Continued modest expansion in NIM over near term – R&C positive – Balance sheet impacts partial offset

Progression & outlook Group NIM – Q310 vs Q210 205 (4) 2 (1) GBM/ Non- Core Q310 Liquidity & Funding actions Other

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Reducing and managing risk

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The New Risk Agenda

Risk agenda – delivering the 5 year plan with strong risk management

Strategy & Policy Alignment – risk & business strategy Group policy framework Capital / risk adjusted performance Risk Architecture Risk systems Risk data architecture Analytics and modelling Risk information & reporting Operating model Governance Organisation, people & culture One risk community Regulatory and operational risk coverage Risk Appetite & Framework Credit approval Market risk limits and controls Risk concentrations Country risk Scenario testing

New Head of Restructuring & Risk appointed in H1 2009 bringing significant changes to senior leadership in risk management function Adoption of new, enhanced risk management framework and architecture including appointment of Board Risk Committee and Executive Risk Forum (ERF) Disciplined RWA usage in the Core bank (value not volume) and total balance sheet size controlled and liquidity surprise avoided Introduction of new and enhanced risk concentration limits – reduced single name, sector and country limits Appointment of Board Risk Committee and Executive Risk Forum (ERF) Ongoing work to fully embed improved risk management framework

The Group has seen significant change in risk culture and process

Ongoing work to fully embed improved risk management framework including new reporting systems to increase transparency

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Group loan portfolio breakdown

Breakdown of Loans & Advances (Q310 Gross, £588bn)1

UK Retail 18% UK Corporate 19% Wealth 3% GBM 24% GTS 2% Ulster 6% US R&C 8% Non-Core 20%

Loan Impairments (£bn)3 A well diversified portfolio with UK Retail and Corporate representing c. 37%, GBM c. 24% and other divisions c. 39% of gross loans Non Core loans c. 20% of assets, but with significantly greater proportion of impairments per quarter Impairments plateauing in Core and demonstrating improvements in Non Core though volatility remains likely

1.1 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.7 3.5 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.2 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Core impairments Non Core impairments

1 Gross loans and advances including provisions. 2 GBM loans and advances include L&A to banks of £55bn 3 Figures represent loan impairments as percentage of gross loans & advances

2

Well diversified loan portfolio across geographies and customer segments

8.2% 5.4% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 3.9% 0.7%

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GBM – De-leveraged and de-risked

GBM balance sheet (£bn)

  • Funded assets increased 5% as a

result of increased client demand for securities and reverse-repo trading

  • Should continue in range of

c£400-450bn on a reported basis

Continuing focus on deleveraging and risk management

Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10

Loan Impairments by quarter (£m)

(31) 272 130 32

  • Low levels of impairments and recoveries resulted in

a £40m credit in the quarter

  • Future quarterly trend likely to be ‘lumpy’ given

nature of counterparties

  • Risk for larger impairments in 2010 remains, outer-

year outlook will develop alongside the developing economic picture

Q209 Q309 Q110

1 Adjusted balances represent US GAAP compliant netted counterparty risk presentation for the Reverse Repos, Settlement Balances and Derivative Cash Collateral totalling £41bn. It should not be taken to

represent a US GAAP compliant presentation of the overall balance sheet. 2 Cash collateral posted in relation to derivative liabilities across GBM.

164 Q210 R – Reported A – Adjusted

1

Reverse Repos Derivative Cash Collateral

2

Securities Other Settlement balances Loans & Advances (ex. Derivative Cash Collateral) Q409 Q310 (40)

FY07 ‘Old GBM’ R FY09 GBM Core R Q210 GBM Core A R 874 412 400 359 Q310 GBM Core A R 421 376

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Core impairments

UK Retail UK Corporate Ulster Bank US R&C GBM Total Core

Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310

Core impairments by division Q409 – Q310, £bn

1.3

1 Impairments as a % of L&A excludes Available for Sale 2 Includes Wealth, GTS, RBS Insurance and Central Items.

Q409 % L&A1 Q210 % L&A1 Q310 % L&A1 Q310 £m Comments: UK Retail 1.8 1.1 0.9 251 Continued improvement in unsecured portfolios UK Corporate 0.7 0.7 0.6 158 Improved collective provisions position Ulster Bank 3.5 3.1 3.0 286 Remain elevated reflecting weak economy & property US R&C 1.3 1.1 1.0 125 Gradual improvement in underlying credit environment GBM 0.6 0.7 (0.2) (40) A number of small recoveries Other2 0.2 n.m. n.m. 2 Total Core 1.2 1.0 0.7 782 Continuing underlying improvement

1.0

Core provision coverage of 54%, +100bps q-o-q

1.1 0.8

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Non-Core impairments

CRE Manufacturing Other Corporate Mortgages Other personal Other Total Non-Core

Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Non-Core impairments by asset type Q409 – Q310, £bn

1.7

Q409 £m Q110 £m Q210 £m Q310 £m Comments: CRE 1,120 1,050 1,224 921 Continued elevated high levels, particularly Ulster Bank Manufacturing 125 24 (260) (48) Sector cashflows improving Other Corporate 318 411 281 224 Mortgages 116 137 80 60 Reflecting improvements in US SBO Other personal 50 51 49 17 Reflecting improvements in US auto & consumer Other 53 31 16 (3) Total 1,811 1,704 1,390 1,171 Underlying impairments continue to slow

1.8

1 Provisions as a % of risk elements in lending

Non-Core provision coverage of 41%1, +200bps q-o-q

1.4 1.2

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Group impairments and outlook

£bn # cases

Net change in case flow to recoveries units (LHS)2 Value of recoveries cases transferred in/(out) (RHS) 2

Net no. & value of wholesale cases transferred to Recoveries Units globally

  • No. wholesale cases transferred to Recoveries Units globally

Other2 Transport & Storage Manufacturing Construction Wholesale & Retail Trade Property

# cases

1 Q409 excludes transfer to GRG reflecting revised management of Ulster Non-Core property portfolio 2 Other is spread across a large number of sectors incl TMT, Tourism & Leisure and Business Services

²

Group credit trends, Q409 – Q310 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Group Impairment charge, £m 3,099 2,675 2,487 1,953

  • /w Core, £m

1,288 971 1,097 782

  • /w Non-Core, £m

1,811 1,704 1,390 1,171

% of gross L&A 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% REILs & PPLs £bn 35.9 37.1 37.3 38.8 % of gross L&A 6.2% 6.4% 6.6% 7.1%

  • REILs continue to gradually rise reflecting

deterioration in the Ulster Bank commercial property portfolio, and £0.9bn relating to currency translation

  • Impairment charge as a % of L&A continues to fall
  • Stable/improving trends in cases transferred to

recoveries units

  • Remain cautious due to weak macro environment

100 200 300 400 500 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 (2.5) (1.5) (0.5) 0.5 1.5 2.5

1

+

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Non Core Division Update

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258 201 154 143 118 82

2013

20-40

2012

19

2011

23

2010

24

Q3 2010

26

2009

36

2008

85

  • c. 104

Breakdown of changes in funded assets 2009-2013

Non-Core funded assets (excluding derivatives) asset reduction targets, £bn

Non-Core long term asset reduction progress

NCD has now reduced assets by over £100bn, 40% of total at inception, in under 2 years

13

  • c. 114

104

Rollovers & drawings Impairments Asset sales Run-off FX (60)-(80) (20)-(30) 20-30 (110)-(130) (10)-(20)

Progress to date Target Funded assets Undrawn commitments

  • Over 80% of target funded asset reduction for the year completed by Q310 - on course to meet/beat 2010 target
  • £14 billion of disposals are signed and expected to complete in Q4 (£7bn) and 2011 (£7bn)
  • Disposed of £20bn of funded assets in Q3

– Country/whole business disposals: 23 of 28 country/whole business exits (excluding Sempra) have been agreed or completed – Portfolio disposals: This year Non-Core has signed and/or completed over 250 portfolio asset disposal transactions – all of which were to some degree bespoke – including over 900 trading positions

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Non-Core asset reduction

Disposals (11) Impairments (1) Q2 2010 174 Q3 2010 154 FX Run-Off2 (8)

  • £20bn reduction in funded assets to £154bn; an additional £[9.1]bn signed but pending
  • Good progress on disposals - £4bn reduction from country & whole business exits (inc

partial disposal of Sempra) and £7bn related to asset portfolios

  • Country disposals largely completed
  • Run-off2 accelerated from £6bn in Q2 to £8bn in Q3
  • On track to exceed original FY 2010 TPA target of £143bn

1 Third party assets excluding mark to market derivatives 2 Net of rollovers and drawings

Non-Core asset reduction1 Q3 10, £bn

TPAs

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  • Structured Credit

Portfolio £12.1bn

  • Equities £0.7bn
  • Credit Collateral

Financing £2.5bn

  • Exotic Credit Trading

£0.1bn

  • Sempra £8.3bn
  • Other Markets £1.2bn
  • Structured Credit

Portfolio £20.1bn

  • Equities £5.0bn
  • Credit Collateral

Financing £8.6bn

  • Exotic Credit Trading

£1.4bn

  • Sempra £6.3bn
  • Other Markets £6.2bn

Markets

2008 Year-End funded assets

Non-Core asset class composition changes

Total Assets = £258bn

  • UK Mortgages &

Personal Lending £3.2bn

  • US Mortgages &

Personal Lending £11.9bn

  • Ireland Mortgages

£6.5bn

Retail

  • Real Estate Finance £38.7bn
  • UK B&C £11.4bn
  • Ireland £9.9bn
  • US £2.8bn

Commercial Real Estate

  • Project & Export

Finance £21.3bn

  • Asset Finance

£24.2bn

  • Leveraged Finance

£15.9bn

  • Corporate Loans &

Securitisations £41.6bn

  • Asset Management

£1.9bn

  • Countries £6.7bn

Corporate

47 21

SME

  • UK SME

£4.2bn

  • US SME

£1.6bn

  • RBS Insurance £2.0bn
  • Bank of China / Linea

Directa £4.5bn

  • Whole businesses £0.8bn
  • Shared Assets and Other

£1.5bn

Other

Total Assets = £154bn

Markets

  • UK Mortgages &

Personal Lending £2.0bn

  • US Mortgages &

Personal Lending £6.6bn

  • Countries £1.7bn

Retail Commercial Real Estate

  • Project & Export

Finance £18.2bn

  • Asset Finance

£20.4bn

  • Leveraged Finance

£9.2bn

  • Corporate Loans &

Securitisations £14.9bn

  • Asset Management

£1.8bn

  • Countries £1.7bn

Corporate

25 10

SME

  • UK SME

£3.2bn

  • US SME

£0.7bn

  • RBS Insurance £1.6bn
  • Whole businesses

£0.1bn

  • Shared Assets and Other

£0.9bn

Other

112 6 63 9

  • Real Estate Finance £25.8bn
  • UK B&C £8.2bn
  • Ireland £11.1bn1
  • US £1.5bn

66 4 46 3

1 Increase due to the replacement of Ireland Mortgages with Ireland Commercial Real Estate announced at H1 2010 results. 2 Excluding derivatives

Q3 2010 funded assets

Funded assets reduced by c.£20bn2 in quarter, continued ahead of target

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SLIDE 31

Conclusion

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SLIDE 32

32

Conclusions & outlook

Q3 was a solid quarter featuring diversification of business mix, as Retail & Commercial businesses performed well, off-setting softness in GBM Outlook

  • R&C: positive momentum, expect to continue, although NIM and impairment trends will

moderate

  • GBM: continued challenging environment expected over Q4
  • Non-Core: expect continued strong progress
  • Healthy asset sale pipeline
  • Expect to comfortably exceed our target for year end TPAs
  • Resultant increase in disposal losses likely in Q4
  • Risk coming down: much better place than a year ago

Continue to focus on reducing risk, improving our balance sheet and strengthening our Core franchises

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SLIDE 33

Questions?

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SLIDE 34

Appendices

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SLIDE 35

35

RWA & Capital progression

RWAs £bn

  • Remaining £8bn of capital relief trades rolled off

in Q3

  • £6bn reduction in APS RWA benefit
  • £8bn RWA improvement due to Non-Core run-off

Q210 Q310 Other Non- Core run-off Roll off of Capital Relief trades Core Tier One Ratio %

  • RWA impact due to lower APS RWA benefit is 0.1%
  • The Group remains well capitalised with the Core

Tier 1 ratio above target

  • Well-positioned to absorb coming Basel changes

Q210 Attributable loss Q310 Other RWAs 474 475 10.5 (0.1) 10.2 (0.1) (0.1) APS Roll-off (8) 6 8 (5)