Enhances lives everyday with The Green Chemical Concept
Opportunity Day Quarter 3, 2017
November 21, 2017 | The Stock Exchange of Thailand
Quarter 3, 2017 November 21, 2017 | The Stock Exchange of Thailand - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Enhances lives everyday with The Green Chemical Concept Opportunity Day Quarter 3, 2017 November 21, 2017 | The Stock Exchange of Thailand Disclaimer This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and
November 21, 2017 | The Stock Exchange of Thailand
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described
statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. GGC has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than
statements. Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were
does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance GGC Going Forward Highlights
Page 5
Key Highlights in the quarter
+ Construction projects : on schedule + Both ME & FA plants ran at high U-rates + Optimized inventory level: ME stock loss lower 93%qoq FA stock loss lower 57%qoq. FA Business Unit: + Tight supply in China and India induced demand for natural FA + Natural FA prices were in competitive range to Synthetic FA + Achieved high sales volume of 31,574 tons
product price
+ Improving 9M17 Core Performance:
ME Business Unit: + Domestic Crude Palm Oil inventory remained high during raining season + B7 applied for the full quarter
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance GGC Going Forward Highlights
CPO (DIT) : THB/Kg ME (EPPO) : THB/Lt
METHYL ESTER (B100) BUSINESS UNIT
Biodiesel Mandate ME Market P2F : THB/Kg GGC’s ME Operational Performance
Plant Utilization Rate Adjusted EBITDA (MB) Page 6 34.18 25.84 22.43 32.55 26.35 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 37.58 29.74 26.34 35.59 30.09 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 4.29 4.95 4.79 4.31 4.97 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 72% 106% 112% 90% 101% 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
B7,B5 B3 B7 B5,B7 B5,B7
60,433 85,879 97,373 228,650 252,457 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
B7,B5 B3
Sales Volume (Tons)
251 184 111 789 459 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
476 244 96 901 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance GGC Going Forward Highlights
FATTY ALCOHOLS BUSINESS UNIT
CPKO (MPOB) : USD/Ton FA (ICIS) : USD/Ton Natural Fatty Alcohols regained Competitiveness vs. Synthetic ones FA Market P2F : USD/Ton GGC’s FA Operational Performance
Plant Utilization Rate Sales Volume (Tons) Adjusted EBITDA (MB) Synthetic FA (C1215) Price : USD/Ton Natural Mid Cut FA (C1214) Price : USD/Ton Page 7 1,398 999 1,156 1,230 1,224 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 1,828 1,783 1,820 1,685 1,949 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
45 48 48 43 53 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
Crude Oil Price (WTI) : USD/BBL 21,046 27,643 31,574 72,092 79,107 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 109% 113% 123% 95% 108% 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 149 584 433 209 481 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
727 703 704 661 712 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
Ethylene Price (USGC) : USD/Ton
1,852 2,657 2,205 1,576 2,440 1,828 1,783 1,820 1,685 1,949
3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
Refined Glycerine Plant 2 20 KTA Project Kernel Nut Extraction (TETSO) Methyl Ester Plant 2 Refined Glycerine Plant 2 Oleo Specialties Biocomplex Phase 1
Capacity Feedstock Intake 90 KTA Methyl Ester 200 KTA Refined Glycerine 20 KTA 14 KTA Sugarcane : 2.4 mm TPA Ethanol : 186 mm LPA CAPEX 380 MB (GGC holds 30%) 1,650 MB TBA TBA 7,615 MB (GGC will hold 50%) Project Progress Update Under Construction Under Construction Feasibility Study Feasibility Study FID : 3Q/18 Scheduled COD 4Q/17 4Q/18 Targeted : 2Q/19 Targeted : 4Q/19 4Q/20
2017 2018 2019
Kernel Nut Extraction 90 KTA Feed Intake Methyl Ester Plant 2 200 KTA Biocomplex Phase 1
Sugarcane : 2.4 mm TPA Ethanol : 186 mm LPA
2020
Page 8
Jan’ Q’ – Apr’
2021
BOD 3Q’18 – Oleo Specialties
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
Page 9
Kernel Nut Extraction Plant Methyl Ester Plant 2
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance GGC Going Forward Highlights
Page 11
ME Chain ME Price & Spread FA Price & Spread ME:
However, demand in Oct’17 was still low due to rain and flood situation in many areas Demand is expected to ramp up again in travelling season during Nov’17-Dec’17 CPO:
Aug’17 : 426,591 T Sep’17 : 466,080 T FA Chain
257 219 149 177 424 584 433 443 464 1,490 1,737 1,828 1,983 2,243 1,783 1,820 2,041 1,806 1,027 1,265 1,398 1,505 1,516 999 1,156 1,332 1,119 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Oct'17 2017 (F) USD/T Spread FA CPKO 3.88 3.88 4.29 4.67 5.27 4.95 4.79 4.95 5.08 37.60 42.39 43.45 38.84 39.54 34.38 30.45 29.84 33.55 29.58 33.90 34.18 30.14 30.78 25.84 22.43 21.59 25.16 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Oct'17 2017 (F) THB/KG Spread ME CPO
FA:
stock and produce products for coming Christmas & New Year festival
demand CPKO:
the year.
5.2% 1.5% 1.1% 6.1% 1.9% 204 71 55 795 270 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
2,593 2,903 3,277 9,000 8,822 1,307 1,923 1,903 4,080 5,431 3,901 4,826 5,180 13,080 14,253 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17 ME Business Unit FA Business Unit
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward Sales Revenue (MB) EBITDA & Adjusted EBITDA* (MB) / Adjusted EBITDA Margin* (%) 6.1% 13.7% 6.8% 6.8% 9.5%
188 251 65 184 102 111 743 789 298 459 160
163 476 109 244 449 96 453 901 349 239 228 660 211 355 1,192 885 751 1,360
3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9M16 9M17
ME EBITDA ME Adjusted EBITDA FA EBITDA FA Adjusted EBITDA Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Net Profit (MB) & Net Profit Margin (%)
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Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
Statements of Financial Position
Cash and Cash Equivalent Account Receivable, Inventory, and other Current Assets PP&E Non-current Assets Other Liabilities Interest Bearing Debt Shareholders’ Equities
December 31, 2016 Baht 11,631 million September 30, 2017 Baht 14,501 million
Key Financial Ratios Repayment Plan Cash Flows
Million Baht Million Baht Million Baht
231 280 338 441 567 765
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
528 935 (2,292) 2,575 1,745
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1.0 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4
0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
30 Sep 1631 Dec 1631 Mar 1730 Jun 1730 Sep 17
Net IBD/EBITDA Net IBD/Equity
13.2 11.0 10.1 5.8 4.4 10.7 8.7 7.3 4.4 3.2
30 Sep 1631 Dec 1631 Mar 1730 Jun 1730 Sep 17
ROE ROA
528 (2,303) 1,212 2,400 1,837
Beginning Cash Operating Cash Flows CAPEX & Investment Financing Ending Cash
*
*cash from IPO was partially invested as current investment of 1,800 MB
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
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Net Profit : Million Baht
Overall operating profit in 3Q17 was lower than 2Q17, from softened unit margin of ME Business Unit due to the factor of product discount and lower feedstock competitiveness as well as for FA Business Unit which was due to the market price that consumer perceived the spike of CPKO price was a short term. Stock Gain (Loss) & NRV in 3Q17 was loss of 144 MB while there was stock loss of 432 MB in 2Q17,mainly due to lower stock loss in both ME & FA Business Units as for ME-CPO price was lower down in a softer trend than 2Q17, whereas the FA-CPKO price rebounded but the stock loss still existed a bit due to its multi-production steps process.
71 (305) 288 5 4 55 2Q17 Operating Profits Stock Gain/(Loss) & NRV FX Others 3Q17
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
Page 16
Net Profit : Million Baht
Overall operating profit in 3Q17 was higher than 3Q16, primarily from both the increase in spread
Fatty Alcohols. Stock Gain (Loss) & NRV in 3Q17 was recorded as loss of 144 MB while in 3Q16 it was stock gain
Gain/(Loss) from FX in 3Q17 was loss 26 MB against gain in 3Q16 of 4 MB due to baht appreciation in 3Q17.
204 121 (253) 26 10 55 3Q16 Operating Profits Stock Gain/(Loss) & NRV FX Others 3Q17
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
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Net Profit : Million Baht
Overall operating profit in 9M17 was higher than 9M16, mainly from increasing in spread of Fatty Alcohols following market situation. However, GGC had an increase in IPO expenses of c.22 MB YoY. Stock Gain (Loss) & NRV in 9M17 was recognized loss of 609 MB while recorded stock gain of 307 MB in 9M16, mainly due to the trend of continuous decline in prices of crude palm oil and crude palm kernel oil from 1Q17 Gain/(Loss) from FX in 9M17 was recorded loss of 73 MB against gain in 9M16 of 10 MB due to baht appreciation in 9M17.
795 480 (916) (83) (6) 270 9M16 Operating Profits Stock Gain/(Loss) & NRV FX Others 9M17
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
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Our Strategies in Completing the Three Pillar Growth Roadmap
Product Portfolio Aspiration Under the Three Pillar Strategy Maintaining leadership position in our current business
1
Continuously pursuing operational excellences to improve profitability
2
Expanding customer base and maintaining relationship with existing valuable customers
3
Emphasizing on R&D for high value products
4
Expansion into specialty oleochemicals
5
Moving toward biochemicals and bioplastics
6 Biofuel
ME
Ethanol FAEO
GL FA
Special- ties
Bioplastics
Our Strategies
Palm Base Biochemicals Sugar Base
Bio chemicals Bio Plastics
Page 21
Expanding GGC’s ME Plant to Future Capture Demand while Maximizing Profitability
Plant Optimization
Serve as base plant as can
low cost Support demand at different mandate level by alternating feed type
ME Plant 1 ME Plant 2
Feed Flexibility when deemed economical Optimal feed use Minimize initial investments and operating cost
Refined Palm Oil (RPO)
Crude Palm Oil (CPO)
Methyl Ester 300 KTA Methyl Ester 200 KTA Refine Glycerine 31 KTA Crude Glycerine
123.9%
Utilization(1)
ME Plant 1
ME Plant 2
Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Others i.e. palm stearin or mixed feed
Map Ta Phut, Rayong Nongyai, Chonburi
Flexibility Efficiency
Jul/16 FID
Project Timeline
Project Progress
CAPEX 1,650 MB
Apr/17 4Q/18
COD
Foundation Stone Placement Ceremony
Page 22
Applications
CGL captive use to produce RGL with higher value Project Timeline CAPEX TBA
2Q/19
Targeted : COD
Under Feasibility Study ME Plant 2 Refined Gylcerine Plant 2 20 KTA Refined Glycerine Crude Glycerine
Page 23
CPKO
JV with experienced partner in Kernel Nut Extraction for Fatty Alcohols feedstock security and cost saving
Started Construction
Project Timeline CAPEX 380 MB
4Q/17
COD
3Q/16 Kernel Nut Extraction (TETSO) 90 KTA (Feedstock Intake Cap) Kernel Nut Fatty Alcohols
Project Progress
Page 24
announce COD within DEC’
Specialty Oleochemicals Development towards higher profitability Project Timeline CAPEX TBA
4Q/19
Targeted COD
Fatty Alcohols Multi Purpose Reactor Specialty Oleochemicals
“Recipe”
Special Feedstocks Raw Materials For Property Enhancement
Ingredients in HPC products
Under Feasibility Study
Page 25
Integrated Complex to Produce Biofuel, Biochemicals, Bioplastics from Sugarcane and Electricity/Steam from Biomass
Phase 2
Biochemical / Bioplastic Plant Cane Juice
Crushing Mill Ethanol Plant 186 mm litre per annum 2.4 mm tons / annum Cane Juice Ethanol
HTM, Molasses
Sugar cane Plantation
Electricity to grid Utility & Waste Co-Generation Sugar cane
Phase 1
Electricity Bagasses Waste Electricity End Applications
Oil Fracking
E&E Construction
Durable Packaging Film / Fiber Auto High Value Added Pharma/Cosmetic Ingredient
Bioplastics Biochemicals 3Q/18 FID
Project Timeline Biocomplex Phase 1 CAPEX 7,615 MB
4Q/20
COD
Start Construction 3Q/18 Phase 1 Location : Nakornsawan GGC will hold 50% in JV with KTIS Under EIA approval process Key Investment Decision Criteria:
Page 26
พรบ อ้อยฯ ให้ใช้น ้ำอ้อยไปผลิตเอทำนอล แก้ไข แล้วจะประกำศ 1 ธ.ค. 60 ประมูลขำยไฟ ยื่นประมูลไปแล้ว โดย ลพบุรีฯ เมื่อ
20 ต.ค. 60 ประกำศผล 14 ธ.ค. 60
ปัจจุบันยังติดที่ประกำศกระทรวงอุตสำหกรรม เรื่อง กำรตั้งโรงงำนที่ใช้อ้อยเป็นวัตถุดิบที่ต้องมีระยะห่ำง กัน อย่ำงน้อย 50 กิโลเมตร
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance GGC Going Forward Highlights
Page 27
CPKO CPO
2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017
Quarter 3Q/2016 Quarter 2Q/2017 Quarter 3Q/2017 % YoY % QoQ
9M/2016 9M/2017 % YoY Plant Utilization Rate (%) 109% 113% 123% 14% 9% 95% 108% 13% Sales Volume (Tons) 21,046 27,643 31,574 50% 14% 72,092 79,107 10% Sales Revenue (Millon Baht) 1,307 1,923 1,903 46%
4,080 5,431 33% EBITDA (Million Baht) 160 163 109
449 453 1% EBITDA Margin (%) 12.3% 8.5% 5.7%
11.0% 8.3%
Stock Gain/(Loss) & NRV 172
353
Adjusted EBITDA (Million Baht)(1)
476 244 2237%
96 901 841% Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)
24.7% 12.8% 13.7%
2.3% 16.6% 14.2%
Note : (1) Adjusted EBITDA refers to EBITDA excluding impact of Stock Gain/(Loss) and NRV
Quarter 3Q/2016 Quarter 2Q/2017 Quarter 3Q/2017 % YoY % QoQ
9M/2016 9M/2017 % YoY Plant Utilization Rate (%) (1) 72% 106% 112% 40% 6% 90% 101% 11% Sales Volume (Tons) (2) 60,433 85,879 97,373 61% 13% 228,650 252,457 10% Sales Volume (Million Litres) 70 99 113 61% 13% 264 292 10% Sales Revenue (Millon Baht) 2,593 2,903 3,277 26% 13% 9,000 8,822
EBITDA (Million Baht) 188 65 102
57% 743 298
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.3% 2.2% 3.1%
0.9% 8.3% 3.4%
Stock Gain/(Loss) & NRV
247% Adjusted EBITDA (Million Baht)(3) 251 184 111
789 459
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%) 9.7% 6.3% 3.4%
8.8% 5.2%
Note : (1) Nameplate Capacity 300,000 Tons per year (2) Coversion ratio: 0.865 Tons = c.1,000 Litres (3) Adjusted EBITDA refers to EBITDA excluding impact of Stock Gain/(Loss) and NRV
Palm Oil Market Updates Financial Performance Highlights GGC Going Forward
METHYL ESTER (B100) BUSINESS UNIT
Page 28
FATTY ALCOHOLS BUSINESS UNIT
Page 29
Unit (Million Baht) MB % MB % MB % MB % MB % MB % MB % MB % Sales Revenue 3,901 100 4,826 100 5,180 100 1,280 33 354 7 13,080 100 14,253 100 1,173 9 Feedstock (3,157) (81) (3,540) (73) (4,186) (81) (1,029) 33 (646) 18 (10,595) (81) (11,071) (78) (476) 4 NRV
18 n.a. 37 (191)
n.a. Product to Feed Margin 744 19 1,267 26 1,012 20 268 36 (255) (20) 2,485 19 3,180 22 695 28 Other Variable Costs (323) (8) (416) (9) (458) (9) (135) 42 (43) 10 (1,077) (8) (1,230) (9) (153) 14 Fixed Costs (134) (3) (137) (3) (130) (3) 4 (3) 7 (5) (392) (3) (406) (3) (14) 4 Stock Gain/(Loss) 110 3 (413) (9) (161) (3) (271) (247) 251 (61) 307 2 (608) (4) (915) (298) SG&A (63) (2) (85) (2) (71) (1) (7) 12 15 (17) (172) (1) (226) (2) (54) 31 Other Income 10 11 19 8 81 8 69 36 40 3 9 EBITDA 344 9 228 5 211 4 (133) (39) (17) (7) 1,187 9 751 5 (436) (37) Depreciation and Amortization (140) (4) (141) (3) (143) (3) (3) 2 (2) 2 (406) (3) (421) (3) (15) 4 EBIT 204 5 87 2 68 1 (136) (67) (19) (22) 781 6 330 2 (451) (58) Finance Costs (16) (0) (15) (0) (12) (0) 4 (27) 3 (23) (38) (0) (49) (0) (11) 30 FX Gain/(Loss) (1) 4 0 (26) (1) (22) (0) (26) (649) 5 (17) 10 (73) (1) (83) (797) Shares of profit/(loss) from investment 27 1 16 15 (13) (47) (2) (10) 80 1 60 (20) (25) Income Tax Expenses (15) (0) 9 0 6 0 21 (137) (3) (37) (14) (0) 2 0 17 (115) Net Profit 204 5 71 1 55 1 (149) (73) (16) (23) 819 6 270 2 (549) (67) Profit/(Loss) attributable to
204 5 71 1 55 1 (149) (73) (16) (23) 795 6 270 2 (525) (66) Adjusted EBITDA (2) 234 6 660 14 355 7 121 51 (305) (46) 880 7 1,360 10 480 55
Note : (1) Including Gain/(Loss) from FX and Derivatives (2) Adjusted EBITDA refers to EBITDA excluding impact of Stock Gain/(Loss) and NRV
3Q/17 9M/2016 9M/2017 YoY YoY QoQ 2Q/17 3Q/16
Global Green Chemicals Public Company Limited
555/1 , Energy Complex, Building A, 4th Floor, Vibhavadi Rangsit Road, Chatuchak, Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, Thailand Tel: +66(0) 2 558 7300 Fax: +66(0) 2 558 7301 www.ggcplc.com
For further information or enquiries, please contact our Investor Relations Team : ir@ggcplc.com
Puvadol Vasudhara IR Manager puvadol.v@ggcplc.com +662 558 7307 Vatcharaphorn Paripontpochanapisuti IR Financial Analyst vatcharaphorn.p@ggcplc.com +662 558 7345