Presentation to Investors Q3 2018 October 30, 2018 AvivaSA at a - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Presentation to Investors

Q3 2018

October 30, 2018

2

AvivaSA at a Glance: Unique Positioning and Attractive Business Model

3

Leading Life and Pension Player in Turkey

Unique demographic profile: second largest country in Europe (~81million) with almost 50% under 30 years old

• 19,5% market share in terms of AuM
• ~860 k participants; 17,0 billion TL AUM
• 32% CAGR in terms of AUM (2013-2017)
• Strong position at corporate pension

#1 Pension

• 22% market share in terms of AUM
• 21% market share in terms of participants
• ~586 k participants; 366 million TL AUM

#2 Auto Enrolment (exc. state comp.)

• 6,7% market share
• 358 mTL GWP and ~1.5m customers
• 15% CAGR in terms of GWP (2013-2017)

#8 Life

• 14,3% market share
• 57 mTL GWP and ~0.5m customers
• 21% CAGR in terms of GWP (2013-2017)

#2 Personal Accident

Turkey’s attractive growth and demographics

Source: TSB and EGM as of 30.09.2018

4

Blue-chip “Sponsoring” Shareholders: A Unique Blend of Expertise and Reputation

Global diversified insurer with presence in 17 countries and

• ver 100 bancassurance

partners. Best practice policies based

• n UK international standards
• n governance / audit.

Established in 2007 as a joint venture of Ak Emeklilik and Aviva Hayat

One of the largest Turkish “multi-business company” with wide franchise of consumer brands and networks Unparalleled local trust and reputation

1-0/BE WELL AHEAD

CUSTOMER FIRST

5

Cultural Change Initiatives Are Based on 5 Top Priorities

6

DIGITAL FIRST: 5 ambitions to Being a «Digital Insurance Company»

Creating a Unique Digital User Experience Being a Data Driven Company Leading the Innovation New Working Culture

• Digital Garage
• Insurtech eco-system
• Innovation Culture
• Agile Development
• Collaborative working
• Cross-functional Project Teams
• Holistic Data Strategy
• Analytical Excellence
• Big Data
• Data Driven Culture
• B2I: Understanding customers
• User-Centric Design
• Unique Digital UX

Being a Cost-Efficient Company

• Lowering operating costs
• Straight through processing
• Automation (Robotics etc.)

7

Solid Sales Culture through a Multidistribution Platform to Expand Scale and Penetration in Pension and Life

Direct sales force (DSF)

# FAs: ~ 410 (covering 17 cities) Total PVNBP: 524m (13%) Q3 2018

Direct (web+call center)

(Developing) Total PVNBP: 6m (0.1%) Q3 2018

Agencies

# Agencies: ~ 380 Total PVNBP: 428m (11%) Q3 2018

Corporate

# Corporate Sales Team: ~ 60 # Total PVNBP: 195m (5%) Q3 2018 # PVNBP (AE): 1137m (29%) Q3 2018

Bancassurance

# Branches Akbank: ~ 800 Akbank sales coaches: ~ 340 Total PVNBP: 1643m (42%) Q3 2018

Key Distribution Channels Largest direct sales force in the sector Exclusive 15-year distribution agreement Strong position in employer-sponsored group pension contracts by market share Fastest growing distribution channel

8

Solid Financial Foundations and Historical Track Record of Value Creation

Note: Segmental reporting data (1) General expenses, as % of insurance GWP and pension net contributions, excluding auto enroment expenses.

Total GWP (Life+PA) 137 mTL 23% Pension AUM (inc AE) 22% Q3 2018 YoY/Δ Expense Ratio(1) 21.8%

• 3.7 pts

ROE +6.1 pts Total Technical Profit 130 mTL 23% Profit for the Period 61 mTL 41% MCEV (06-2018) 8%(ytd) 422 mTL 17.3bTL Q3 2018 YTD 16.5% 36.1% 343 mTL 150 mTL

• 5%

QoQ/Δ

• 10.0 pts

16% 16%

• AvivaSA has maintained #1 position in terms of Pension AuM
• AvivaSA moved to #5 position in Protection
• Steady increase thanks to pension scale and profitable protection segments
• Mainly due to decline in GWP resulting from slow-down in economy
• In Addition to 23% increase in technical profit, financial and other income is higher

than prior year due to higher interest and f/x income

• One of the leaders in the sector

1,798 mTL

9

Pension and Auto Enrolment

10

Pension – Sustainable Growth and Scale Ambitions

New Topic

Severance Payment:

under discussion

Pension System

Pillar I Social Security Defined Benefit State Subsidized

Mandatory Covering Basic Needs for Retirement and Health Admin by government

Pillar II Auto Enrolment (2017) Defined Contribution State Supported

Semi-Mandatory (enter mandatory / stay voluntary) Saving and Improving Life Standard for Retirement

• Admin by Pension Companies
• Asset management by Asset

Management Companies

Pillar III Pension (2003) Defined Contribution State Supported

Voluntary Saving and Improving Life Standard for Retirement

• Admin by Pension Companies
• Asset management by Asset

Management Companies

11

Pension – Sustainable Growth and Scale Ambitions

12 14 20 26 38 48 61 80

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2023 E

408

Fast Growing Pension AUM (TLbn)

Source: EGM, TSB vision 2023 report, Turkstat.

Pension + AE participants ~ 11 m (6,9+5) Total population ~ 80m Working-age population ~ 60m Workforce ~ 30m Social security participants ~ 21m CAGR: +31% CAGR: +30% 25% State Contribution (2013) Auto Enrolment (2017)

Incentives Auto Enrolment

• 25% state contribution
• 1,000 TRY one-off state

contribution

• 5% state contribution of their

total savings for retired 10 years annuities buyers

• Defered tax in terms of pension

investment income Pension

• 25% state contribution
• Defered tax in terms of pension

investment income

12

One of the Leading Company in Auto Enrolment Market

Source: CMB as of 16.10.2018

Supported by Selective Presence

Resu esults s and and Less Lessons s Lea Learned So So Far ar  More fragmented than regular pensions  Servicing capability is very important  Banks play a key role: AvivaSA achieved it’s targets mainly utilizing Akbank potential  Cannibalization on private pension system was lower than expected  Average opt-out ratio ~60% in the market

13

Pension – Fee Structure

Pension System – Fee Structure

Auto Enrolment Pension Fund Management Fee Max: 0,85% yearly Initial Fund Standard Fund Variable Fund (4 different risk appetite) Max: Money market: 1,09% yearly Fixed Income: 1,91% yearly Equity-Flexible: 2,28% yearly State Contribution: 0,365% yearly Avivasa average: 1,5% including state contribution Bonus mechanism: For the policy older then 5 year old. No bonus for the fund management fee below 1,1%. It will start at 2021. 0-5 years; No bonus 6th year: 2.5% bonus of yearly fund mng. fee collected 7th year: 5.0% bonus of yearly fund mng. fee collected 14th year: 22.5% bonus of yearly fund mng. fee collected +15th year: 25.0% bonus of yearly fund mng. fee collected Management Fee None Max: %8,5 of the monthly minimum wage Collectible for the first 5 years of the policy

14

Pension – Fixed Income Dominance and Strong Real Return

Equity 9% Flexible 18% Money Market 13% TL Public Borrowing 24% FX Public Borrowing 13% International 5% Gold 5% Auto Enrolment 1% State Contribution 12%

Fund Type Allocation (include state contribution fund) (AvivaSA 201)

122 145 163 193 207 254 278 277 325 324 372 380 424 491 109 118 129 140 154 164 175 193 205 220 238 259 281 314 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Average Pension Plan Return (AvivaSA) AvivaSA Average Return CPI Inflation

15

Business Lines

16

Differentiated Management of Trends and Dynamics per Segment

Source: Company information. *Pension figures are including AE

Pension* Life Protection Personal Accident

AUM – Inc. State contribution (TLm) Gross Written Premium (TLm) Gross Written Premium (TLm) Technical Profit (TLm) Technical Profit (TLm) Technical Profit (TLm)

FMC % (inc. State contribution) 1,7 1,6 1,6 1,5 1,5 1,5 1,4 5.019 7.127 9.212 11.792 15.325 14.265 17.339 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: 32% 22% 178,3 196,9 181,0 254,2 392,6 284,1 358,2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 (restated) CAGR: 22% 26% 32,4 45,4 45,7 52,1 68,8 52,8 56,8 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: 21% 8% 91,8 114,2 138,7 155,7 207,1 151,7 171,1 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: 23% 13% As Percentage Of Net Earned Premium 59 60 54 57 57 57 61 86,8 103,4 86,1 111,8 144,1 106,6 146,3 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: 14% 37% (restated) As Percentage Of Net Earned Premium 43 41 49 34 41 39 37 13,9 15,2 22,2 16,7 23,9 16,5 19,6 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: 14% 19%

17

Pension*

Sustainable Growth and Scale Ambitions

884 887 858 330 301 586 617 733 825 876 1214 1188 1444 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018

Number of Participants (x1000)

CAGR: +18%

Pensions AUM including State Contribution (TLm)

5.019 7.127 9.212 11.792 15.325 14.265 17.339 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: +32%

Technical Profit (TLm)

Market Share Of AvivaSA % (in terms of AUM) Inc. AE 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Pension 19,1 18,8 19,2 19,4 19,5 19,4 19,5 AE

• 9,2

9,0 9,5 Total

• 19,2

19,3 19,2

91,8 114,2 138,7 155,7 207,1 151,7 171,1 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: +23%

Average Monthly Contribution Size / Policy (TL) Exc. AE 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 202 217 261 288 259 256 327

22% 13% AE AuM (m tl) 165 108 366 AE # of part.. 330 301 586

Source: Company information. *Pension figures are including AE

22%

18

Life Protection

Sustainable and Resilient Growth Model Fuelled by Bancassurance

Source: Company information, Haymer, TSB Note: (1) Technical Margin calculated as Technical Profit over NEP.

178,3 196,9 181,0 254,2 392,6 284,1 358,2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018

GWP (TLm)

CAGR: +22%

Technical Profit (TLm, %) Claims and Commission Ratios (%)

1.755 1.936 2.286 2.904 4.249 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Sector GWP (TLm) (Excluding state companies)

CAGR: 25% 46%

(Excluding Life Savings)

86,8 103,4 86,1 111,8 144,1 106,6 146,3 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: +14%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Claims Ratio* 14,8% 17,7% 22,3% 20,4% 13,3% 13,7% 9,9% Comm. Ratio** 18,8% 17,2% 17,9% 18,4% 26,5% 25,9% 24,8% * Total Claims (exc. Surrender) / NEP ** Commission expenses net of income / NEP

(restated) (restated) 26% 37%

19

Personal Accident

A Complementary Profit Pool for the Group

Source: Company information, TSB Note: (1) Calculated as % of NEP

Technical Profit (TLm) GWP (TLm)

32,4 45,4 45,7 52,1 68,8 52,8 56,8 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: +21% 13,9 15,2 22,2 16,7 23,9 16,5 19,6 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: +14%

Claims & Commission Ratio (%)

147 192 232 271 375 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Sector GWP (TLm) (Excluding state companies)

CAGR: +26% 38%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Claims Ratio 10,0% 12,3% 5,1% 19,4% 11,5% 13,7% 12,6% Comm Ratio* 46,1% 46,1% 46,0% 46,0% 45,6% 45,7% 49,0% * Commission Expenses, net of income / NEP

19% 8%

20

New Action Plan to Expand

Life Protection + Personal Accident

* Including Corporate and Telemarketing (non bancassurance)

DSF + Agency + Corporate * Non-Credit Linked Bancassurance Non-Credit Linked Bancassurance Credit Linked

• 14%

39% 67%

Q3 2018 / Q3 2017 YoY Total Premium Growth Rate

23%

(Total Company)

130,8 mTL (32%) 124,8 mTL (30%) 159,4 mTL (38%) 415,0 mTL (100%)

(Total Company)

21

Financials

22

A Story of Solid Profitable Growth

Source: Company information. Note: Analysis on profitable growth derives from segmental information on this and following pages of the section, unless otherwise stated..

Profit for the Period (TLm) Shareholders’ Equity and Solvency Ratio (TLm)

271,7 333,7 355,5 427,7 549,4 513,2 555,6 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 71,6 87,1 62,9 105,0 144,7 106,1 149,8 29,1 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: +19%

CAGR: +19%

Technical Profit After G&A (TLm) ≈ EBIT

51,3 67,7 65,8 79,9 117,9 87,4 126,8 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CAGR: +23%

• Steady increase in shareholders’ equity reflects active management of

capitalization to fund business growth

• Capital-light business, which benefits from AvivaSA’s measured approach to risk

and new product introduction

• IFRS 15 Impact is calculated beginning from 2013 and has been reflected on

2018 opening equity, amount of (43.9) m TL.

Solvency Ratio 237% 225% 139%* 150% 172% 166% 159% 92,0 ROE 2013 2014 2015 (restated) 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 28% 29% 18%* 27% 30% 29% 35% *Before write-off RoE is 26%,Solvency ratio is 154% (restated) (restated)

(restated)

41% 45% 8%

23

…Solid and Resilient Technical Profitability with Operating Leverage Potential…

Source: Company information. *excluding AE expenses

Technical Profit (TLm)

194,9 235,6 249,9 287,8 378,1 277,8 343,0 143,6 168,0 184,0 207,9 260,2 190,5 216,1 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Technical Profit G&A 23% 13% CAGR: 18% CAGR: 16%

Expense Ratio (%)*

As % of net contributions (for pensions) and gross written premiums (for insurance segments)

Breakdown of Gen. Expenses, IFRS (Q3 2018)

Marketing Expenses 3% Sales Personnel Expenses 34% IT Expenses 11% Sales Expenses 4% HO Personnel Expenses 26% Other 22% 13,4% 12,5% 8,4% 11,9% 12,1% 12,8% 16,5% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 (restated)

24

Summary of P&L from IFRS Segmental Reporting

Source: Company information, IFRS and segmental reporting. 2013 2014 2015 (restated) 2016 2017 CAGR Q3 2017 YTD Q3 2018 YTD YoY Q2 2018 Q3 2018 QoQ Pension Technical Profit 91,8 114,2 138,7 155,7 207,1 23% 151,7 171,1 13% 57,5 57,3 0% Life Protection Technical Profit 86,8 103,4 86,1 111,8 144,1 14% 106,6 146,3 37% 46,5 63,9 38% Life Savings Technical Profit 2,4 2,9 2,9 3,6 3,0 6% 3,0 5,9 95% 1,1 2,0 86% Personal Accident Technical Profit 13,9 15,2 22,2 16,7 23,9 14% 16,5 19,6 19% 7,3 7,0

• 4%

Total Technical Profit 194,9 235,6 249,9 287,8 378,1 18% 277,8 343,0 23% 112,4 130,3 16% General and Administrative Expenses

• 143,6
• 168,0
• 184,0
• 207,9
• 260,2

16%

• 190,5
• 216,1

13%

• 72,5
• 73,1

1% Total Technical Profit after G&A Expenses 51,3 67,7 65,8 79,9 117,9 23% 87,4 126,8 45% 39,9 57,1 43% Total Investment Income & Other 39,8 42,2 49,8 52,3 63,3 12% 45,4 67,5 49% 26,8 22,8

• 15%

Profit Before Taxes 91,1 109,9 115,6 132,2 181,2 19% 132,8 194,3 46% 66,8 79,9 20% Profit for the Period (Before Write-Off) 71,6 87,1 92,0 105,0 144,7 19% 106,1 149,8 41% 52,4 61,1 16% One-off Asset Write-Off Effect (net of tax)

• 29,1

Profit for the Period (After Write-Off) 71,6 87,1 62,9 105,0 144,7 19% 106,1 149,8 41% 52,4 61,1 16%

One-off Asset Write-off: An IT project has been started at the end of 2012 in order to standardize all core insurance systems into a single application and integrate this core system with the peripheral systems. Although the project still continues, it has been decided to discontinue the development of the new core insurance application. Instead, current core systems will be modernized with a more agile methodology. Total capitalized costs related with this project was 48.7 Mtl, and TRY 36.3 Mtl of this cost (around 75%) has been written off in accordance with the aforementioned decision.

25

Going Forward

IFRS 9 IFRS 17

26

2018 Outlook

Source: Company information

 Strengthening the customer experience with digital and user friendly solutions  Maintaining leadership in terms of pension AuM with ~20% y-o-y growth with support of higher customer retention and better fund returns  Selective presence approach while acquiring auto enrolment customers  Keeping the high performance in protection business  Controlled increase in expenses for the upcoming periods  Improving technology by stabilizing IT infrastructure  Strong RoE level at ~30%

27

Pension

Summary P&L

Source: Company information, IFRS and segmental reporting. Note: (1) Net of AK asset charges. (2) Charge including premium holiday

Pension Technical Profit (TLm) Key Profit Drivers

• Pension volume (AUM)
• Lapses and Retention
• New Pension Fee Structure

(management fee redefined)

• Commission Expenses /

DAC

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CAGR Q3 2017 YTD Q3 2018 YTD YoY Q2 2018 Q3 2018 QoQ Fund Management Income(1) 69,0 87,0 111,3 137,5 177,1 27% 129,7 153,7 19% 51,9 52,4 1% Management & Entry/Exit Fee(2) 48,2 66,6 78,8 78,1 89,9 17% 68,0 72,5 7% 22,5 23,2 3% Other Income/(Expenses)

• 5,8
• 7,4
• 8,8
• 11,2
• 12,5

21%

• 9,2
• 10,2

11%

• 3,0
• 3,9

29% Net Commission Expenses (of which)

• 19,6
• 32,0
• 42,7
• 48,7
• 47,5

25%

• 36,7
• 44,9

22%

• 13,8
• 14,4

4%

• Commission Ex.
• 56,6
• 70,2
• 89,3
• 92,7
• 78,1

8%

• 59,2
• 54,0
• 9%
• 17,5
• 15,0
• 14%
• DAC

37,0 38,2 46,6 44,0 30,6

• 5%

22,5 9,2

• 59%

3,7 0,7

• 81%

Technical Profit 91,8 114,2 138,7 155,7 207,1 23% 151,7 171,1 13% 57,5 57,3 0%

28

Life Protection

Summary P&L

Source: Company information, IFRS and segmental reporting. *Claims Ratio= Total claims exc. Surrender / Net Earned Premium **Comm Ratio= Commissions -Net of Income / Net Earned Premium

Life Protection Technical Profit (TLm) Key Profit Drivers

• Net earned premium volumes
• Death and Benefits claims
• Surrender levels
• Commission Expenses

(Excluding Life Savings) 2013 2014 2015

(restated)

2016 2017 CAGR Q3 2017 YTD Q3 2018 YTD YoY Q2 2018 Q3 2018 QoQ Gross Written Premiums 178,3 196,9 181,0 254,2 392,6 22% 284,1 358,2 26% 120,8 119,8

• 1%

Earned Premiums 148,3 171,2 158,1 196,5 252,6 14% 187,0 240,1 18% 76,1 95,3 25% Total Claims

• 32,7
• 37,5
• 42,8
• 48,3
• 40,8

6%

• 31,3
• 29,0

1%

• 6,6
• 9,2

39%

Claims Ratio* 14,8% 17,7% 22,3% 20,4% 13,3% 13,7% 9,9% 4,2% 4,2%

Commission Expenses

• 27,8
• 29,4
• 28,3
• 36,2
• 67,0

25%

• 48,5
• 59,5

23%

• 19,7
• 20,6

4%

Comm.Ratio** 18,8% 17,2% 17,9% 18,4% 26,5% 25,9% 24,8% 25,9% 21,6%

Other Income/ (Expense), Net

• 1,0
• 0,9
• 0,9
• 0,2
• 0,8
• 5%
• 0,6
• 5,4

630%

• 3,2
• 1,6
• 49%

Technical Profit 86,8 103,4 86,1 111,8 144,1 14% 106,6 146,3 16% 46,5 63,9 38%

Technical Margin 58,5% 60,4% 54,5% 56,9% 57,0% 57,0% 60,9% 61,1% 67,1%

 Overall life protection technical profit is positive due to the high technical profitability of the product coupled with cost efficient operating model, and this is valid throughout all periods under review

29

Personal Accident

Summary P&L

Source: Company information, IFRS and segmental reporting. *Claims ratio = Claims Paid / Earned Premium **Comm Ratio= Commissions - Net of Income / Net Earned Premium

Personal Accident Technical Profit (TLm) Key Profit Drivers

• Net earned premium volumes
• Accident / Benefits claims
• Surrender levels
• Commission Expenses

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CAGR Q3 2017 YTD Q3 2018 YTD YoY Q2 2018 Q3 2018 QoQ Gross Written Premiums 32,4 45,4 45,7 52,1 68,8 21% 52,8 56,8 8% 21,7 14,7

• 32%

Earned Premiums 32,1 36,6 45,6 49,0 58,5 16% 42,1 52,7 25% 17,8 17,8 0% Total Claims

• 3,2
• 4,5
• 2,3
• 9,5
• 6,7

20%

• 5,8
• 6,6

15%

• 1,9
• 2,2

15%

Claims Ratio* 10,0% 12,3% 5,1% 19,4% 11,5% 13,7% 12,6% 10,7% 12,3%

Commission Expenses

• 14,8
• 16,9
• 20,9
• 22,5
• 26,7

16%

• 19,2
• 25,8

34%

• 8,5
• 8,4

0%

Comm.Ratio** 46,1% 46,1% 46,0% 46,0% 45,6% 45,7% 49,0% 47,4% 47,5%

Other Income/(Expense), Net

• 0,2

0,0

• 0,1
• 0,2
• 1,1

64%

• 0,6
• 0,7

2%

• 0,2
• 0,1
• 29%

Technical Profit 13,9 15,2 22,2 16,7 23,9 14% 16,5 19,6 19% 7,3 7,0

• 4%

Technical Margin 43,4% 41,5% 48,8% 34,2% 40,9% 39,1% 37,1% 40,8% 39,4%

30

Reconciliation between IFRS vs. Statutory Profit for the Period

Source: Company information

IFRS vs. Statutory Profit for the Period (TLm) Profit for the Period Reconciliation (TLm)

71,6 87,1 62,9 105,0 144,7 106,1 149,8 30,7 45,9 17,8 63,2 101,7 74,1 142,5

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 IFRS Statutory 2013 2014 2015 (restated) 2016 2017 CAGR Q3 2017 Q3 2018 YoY IFRS Profit for the Year

71,6 87,1 62,9 105,0 144,7 19% 106,1 149,8 41%

Equalisation Reserve write-off

• 2,7
• 0,3
• 2,3
• 3,0
• 4,7

15%

• 3,4
• 4,8

42%

Change in Deferred Asset Costs

• 49,9
• 51,2
• 54,0
• 44,5
• 45,4
• 2%
• 31,9
• 12,3
• 61%

Change in Deferred Income Reserve

• 4,7
• 4,5
• 4,8

6,9

• 244%

Deferred Tax 11,8 10,3 11,3 10,5 11,6 0% 8,0 2,9

• 63%

Statutory Profit for the Year

30,7 45,9 17,8 63,2 101,7 35% 74,1 142,5 92%

Total Difference

40,9 41,2 45,1 41,8 43,0 32,1 7,2

YoY: 41% CAGR: 19%

(restated)

31

Market Consistent Embedded Value Disclosures

32

Proven track record of embedded value growth

Note: Company data, 2017 unaudited results

1662 1798

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 HY Million TL Years

8%

33

Value of in-force is continuing to drive growth

MCEV (TLm) Comments

• MCEV has grown by 13% before capital movements in the first half of

2018

• Value of in-force is the stock of future profits embedded in the MCEV

balance sheet

• Life protection has continued its trend of gaining a higher weight in

the mix of VIF, where a quarter of the total value is expected to emerge from this segment

• AvivaSA is closely monitoring its experience across both life and

pensions in volatile markets

• Net worth is flat after allowing for the dividend payment of 48.3m TL

in 2018

Source: Company data, unaudited results

264,1 266,5 136,1 159,7 980,4 999,1 3,8 4,7 18,2 19,8 259,8 348,4 FY 2017 HY 2018

Net Worth VIF Group Pension VIF Individual Pension VIF Life Savings VIF Personal Accident VIF Life Protection

1,798.3 1,662.4 80% Pension 20% Life 76% Pension 24% Life 8% growth

34

Transparency to value generation in analysis of change

MCEV Reconciliation (TLm)

• MCEV growth is driven by VNB, a typical characteristic of an

emerging market insurance company, followed by the expected return which is the unwinding of the discount rate in the year

• AvivaSA maintains its discipline around monitoring the experience

against best estimate assumptions which is regularly carried out throughout the year. HY18 has exhibited smaller experience variances than last year

• Negative experience variance is primarily related to pensions

persistency partially offset by better than expected premium contribution experience, where lapses are broadly in line with expectation

• Small expense variance is broadly offset by positive mortality

variance

• Economic variance of -7.3 mTL is due to higher swap rates which is

reducing the value of future profits expected to emerge from pensions business in the form of fees offset by f/x gains in US Dollar denominated assets

• Capital movements are composed of dividend payment of 48.3 mTL

and unrealised losses of 30.9m TL due to steep increases in yields of assets backing Return of Premium product liabilities

Source: Company data,unaudited results

1.398,3 1.531,8 247,4 284,2 16,6

• 17,7

109,2 121,8

• 13,4
• 81,6

MCEV as at 31 December 2017 Value of New Business Expected Existing Business Contribution Variances & Assumption Changes Capital Movements MCEV as at 30 June 2018

Value In-force Required Capital Free Surplus

1,662.4 1,798.3

35

Resilient new business margins

New business metrics per segment

Source: Company data, unaudited results Pension Life Protection Personal Accident Total

2017 Q3 2018 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Q3

PVNBP (m TL)

3,897.9 3,270.1 594.1 586.7 64.5 75.2 4,556.6 3,932.0

VNB (m TL)

75.7 48.0 102.6 104.3 10.0 6.2 188.3 158.5

MCEV New Business Margin (Net tax) IRR (%) Payback (in years)

25.1% 3.9 20.5% 5.8 91.7% 0.9 112.5% 0.8 63.5% 0.9 38.9% 1.0 31.2% 3.9 34.3% 3.4

• 37%

2%

• 38%
• 16%
• 1%

16%

• 14%
• 16%

1,9% 1,5% 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 17,3% 17,8% 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 15,5 % 8,2% 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 4,1% 4,0% 2017 Q3 2018 Q3

36

MCEV and VNB Sensitivities

MCEV VNB

Sensitivities (TLm)

Source: Company data, unaudited results

• 69,5

78,6 36,2 5,0

• 4,0

4,0 9,2

• 7,4

0,1

• 69,8

78,8 31,9 6,0

• 3,5

3,5 10,7

• 20,1

13,5

• 100,0
• 60,0
• 20,0

20,0 60,0 100,0 Lapse rates +10% Lapse rates -10% Maintenance expenses - 10% Assurance mortality/morbidity -5% Paid-up rates +10% Paid-up rates -10% Required capital at the Solvency I level Market interest rates +1% Market interest rates -1%

FY 2017 HY 2018

• 7,4

8,2 5,5 1,8

• 2,3

2,4 1,0 3,5

• 4,4
• 6,9

7,8 4,5 1,8

• 1,3

1,4 1,0 4,0

• 4,8
• 40,0
• 20,0

0,0 20,0 40,0

HY 2017 HY 2018

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Appendix

38

Summary of P&L from SFRS Segmental Reporting

Source: Company information, SFRS and segmental reporting. 2013 2014 2015 (restated) 2016 2017 CAGR Q3 2017 YTD Q3 2018 YTD YoY Q2 2018 Q3 2018 QoQ Pension Technical Profit

• 29,8
• 19,5
• 16,0
• 13,9

11,9 n/a 8,6 42,5 396% 11,5 13,7 19% Life Technical Profit 32,1 39,9 22,1 46,6 57,3 16% 43,3 85,5 97% 23,3 50,0 115% Non-Life Technical Profit

• 1,2
• 1,7

6,4

• 3,3
• 0,5

n/a

• 2,0

1,0 n/a 1,3 1,5 21% Total Technical Profit after G&A Expenses 1,0 18,7 12,4 29,4 68,7 187% 49,8 129,0 159% 36,1 65,2 81% Total Investment Income & Other 37,5 39,7 46,9 50,5 57,9 11% 42,8 55,1 29% 25,7 14,2

• 45%

Profit Before Taxes 38,5 58,4 59,3 79,9 126,6 35% 92,7 184,1 99% 61,8 79,4 28% Profit for the Period (Before Write-Off) 30,7 45,9 46,9 63,2 101,7 35% 74,1 142,5 92% 48,8 60,9 25% One-off Asset Write-Off Effect (net of tax)

• 29,1

Profit for the Period (After Write-Off) 30,7 45,9 17,8 63,2 101,7 35% 74,1 142,5 92% 48,8 60,9 25%

One-off Asset Write-off: An IT project has been started at the end of 2012 in order to standardize all core insurance systems into a single application and integrate this core system with the peripheral systems. Although the project still continues, it has been decided to discontinue the development of the new core insurance application. Instead, current core systems will be modernized with a more agile methodology. Total capitalized costs related with this project was 48.7 Mtl, and TRY 36.3 Mtl of this cost (around 75%) has been written off in accordance with the aforementioned decision.

39

Pension Retention and Persistency at the Forefront of our Strategy

Source: Company information, IFRS and segmental reporting. Note: (1) Based on information sourced from the operating system of the company and presented on an indicative only basis. Collection Rate(1) (%) Total Monthly Exit Rate(1) (Lapse (inc. transfer out) + Maturity) (% AUM)

68,9% 68,4% 68,7% 68,0% 66,3% 66,3% 64,7% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 0,91% 1,01% 1,02% 1,25% 1,32% 1,34% 1,42% 0,08% 0,17% 0,22% 0,24% 0,26% 0,27% 0,30% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018

40

Capital-Light Business Model with Strong Solvency Position

Source: Company information

 Comfortable solvency ratios driven by a measured approach to risk and new product introductions, which affords the business scope and flexibility pursuing growth options and / or returning cash to shareholders

Calculation of net assets to cover solvency margin December 31 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 2013 2014 2015 (restated) 2016 2017 Total regulatory capital (Statutory Reporting) 166.3 187.4 166.4 199.8 283.2 256.6 330.8 Intangible assets

• Deferred tax asset
• AvivaSA net assets

166.3 187.4 166.4 199.8 283.2 256.6 330.8 AvivaSA Required Capital 70.3 83.3 119.6 132.8 165.0 154.5 208.4 AvivaSA guarantee fund 23.4 27.8 39.9 44.3 55.0 51.5 69.5 Surplus of net assets in excess of Required Capital 96.0 104.0 46.7 67.0 118.2 102.1 122.5 Surplus of net assets in excess of guarantee fund 142.9 159.6 126.5 155.5 228.2 205.1 261.4

Regulatory Capital Requirement

B A

5,8 8,2 8,2 9,3 12,0 11,5 12,7

50,0 55,5 65,4 64,6 76,3 71,8

109,1

14,4 19,7 46,0 58,9 76,6 71,3 86,6

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Non-Life Life Pension

27% CAGR: +24%

Solvency Ratio 237% 225% 139% 150% 172% 166% 159%

(restated)

41

Flexible Dividend Policy Focused on Growth

Source: Company information. (1) Dividends shown are paid the following year. *NPAT is given as excluding restatement effect accordingly dividend was paid before restatement **2015 Restatement effect was discounted from 2016 profit for the calculation of 2016 distributable profit

• Objective set amongst core shareholders to aim at distributing 50% of AvivaSA’s Turkish GAAP-based distributable profit
• Current focus however is on increasing the scale of operations and therefore near-term priority is to reinvest in the business

and create long term shareholder value Dividend Policy Dividends Paid (TLm) Dividend Payout Ratio (Dividend Paid / Distributable Profit)

38,8 30,7 45,9 35,4 63,2 101,7 33,6 26,1 39,7 30,9 21,7 48,3 2012 2013 2014 2015* 2016** 2017 NPAT Dividends 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 50,0% 50,0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

42

The information in this presentation has been prepared by AvivaSA Emeklilik ve Hayat A.Ş. (the “Company” or “AvivaSA”) solely for use at a presentation concerning the Company, its proposed listing on the Borsa İstanbul and the proposed offering (the “Offering”) of ordinary shares of the Company (the “Shares”) by Aviva Europe SE (“Aviva”) and Hacı Ömer Sabancı Holding A.Ş. (“Sabancı”). This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or the solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. Any purchase of the Shares in the Offering should be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the Turkish language prospectus for the Turkish retail and institutional investors to be published in respect to the Offering within the Republic of Turkey (the “Turkish Prospectus”) or the final offering circular for institutional investors to be prepared in connection with the Offering outside the Republic of Turkey (the “Offering Circular”), as applicable. Copies of the Turkish Prospectus and the Offering Circular will, following publication, be available from the Company’s registered office. This presentation is the sole responsibility of the Company. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified. The information contained herein is for discussion purposes only and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its business, financial position or future performance. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided only as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change without notice. Some of the information is still in draft form and will be finalised or completed only at the time of publication by the Company of the Turkish Prospectus or the final Offering Circular, as applicable, in connection with the Offering. No representation, warranty or undertaking, expressed or implied, is or will be made by the Company, Citigroup Global Markets Limited (“Citigroup”), HSBC Bank plc (“HSBC”), Ak Yatırım Menkul Değerler A.Ş. (“Ak Yatırım”) or their respective affiliates, advisors or representatives or any other person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained in this presentation (or whether any information has been omitted from this presentation). The Company, to the extent permitted by law, and each of Citigroup, HSBC, Ak Yatırım and its or their respective directors,

• fficers, employees, affiliates, advisors or representatives disclaims all liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss however arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.

To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from official or third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, the Company has not independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from the Company’s own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company’s management in the markets in which the Company operates. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this presentation. This presentation and any materials distributed in connection with this presentation are not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. The Shares have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the laws of any state, territory or other jurisdiction (including the District of Columbia) of the United States, and may not be offered or sold within the United States, absent registration or pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable laws of any state, territory or other jurisdiction of the United States. AvivaSA does not intend to register any portion of the

• ffering in the United States or conduct a public offering of securities in the United States.

Neither this presentation nor any part of it may be taken or transmitted in or into Australia, Canada, Japan or Saudi Arabia or distributed, directly or indirectly, in or into Australia, Canada, Japan or Saudi Arabia. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of Australian, Canadian, Japanese or Saudi Arabian securities laws. The Shares have not been and will not be registered under the applicable securities laws of Australia, Canada, Japan or Saudi Arabia and, subject to certain exceptions, may not be offered or sold within Australia, Canada, Japan or Saudi Arabia. The offer and distribution of this presentation and other information in connection with the proposed listing and the Offering in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this presentation or any document or other information referred to herein comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. This presentation is made to and directed only at the limited number of invitees who: (A) if in the United States (as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act), are “qualified institutional buyers” as defined in Rule 144A under the Securities Act, (B) if in the European Economic Area, are persons who are “qualified investors” within the meaning of Article 2(1)(e) of the Prospectus Directive (Directive 2003/71/EC), as amended (“Qualified Investors”); (C) if in the United Kingdom, are persons (i) having professional experience in matters relating to investments so as to qualify them as “investment professionals” under Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the “Order”); and (ii) falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order or persons to whom it may otherwise be lawfully communicated; and/or (D) are other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated (all such persons referred to in (A), (B), (C), and (D) together being “Relevant Persons”). Nothing in this presentation constitutes investment advice and any recommendations that may be contained herein have not been based upon a consideration of the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Persons other than Relevant Persons should not rely on or act upon this presentation or any of its contents and must return it immediately to the Company. Any investment or investment activity to which this communication relates is available only to Relevant Persons and will be engaged in only with Relevant Persons. This presentation includes “forward-looking statements”. These statements contain the words “anticipate”, “will”, “believe”, “intend”, “estimate”, “expect” and words of similar meaning. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding the Company’s financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including statements relating to new routes, number of aircraft, availability of financing, customer offerings, passenger and utilisation statistics and objectives relating to the Company’s products and services) are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors, including, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties to be set forth in the Turkish Prospectus and the Offering Circular, that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation. The Company cautions you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company’s financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in any future period. The Company does not undertake and expressly disclaims any obligation to review or confirm or to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Company’s expectations with regard thereto or any events that occur or conditions or circumstances that arise after the date of this presentation. As of the date of this presentation, the Turkish Prospectus has not been approved under the Turkish Capital Markets Law No 6362. Neither the Turkish Prospectus nor the Offering have been or will be registered with, approved by or notified to any authorities outside the Republic of Turkey (including in any European Economic Area Member State, based on Directive 2003/71/EC of the European Parliament, as amended, and of the Council of 4 November 2003 on the prospectus to be published when securities are offered to the public or admitted to trading). Any offered securities may not be offered or sold outside the territory of the Republic of Turkey unless such offer or sale could be legally made in such jurisdiction without the need to fulfil any additional requirements. In any European Economic Area Member State that has implemented Directive 2003/71/EC, as amended (together with any applicable implementing measures in any Member State, the “Prospectus Directive”), this presentation is not a prospectus for purposes of the Prospectus Directive. Each of Citi, HSBC and Ak Yatırım are acting exclusively for the Company, Aviva and Sabancı and no one else in connection with the Offering and will not be responsible to anyone other than the Company, Aviva and Sabancı for providing the protections afforded to their respective clients or for providing advice in connection with the Offering. By attending this presentation or by reading the presentation slides, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations and restrictions and, in particular, will be deemed to have represented, warranted and undertaken that: (i) you have read and agree to comply with the contents of this disclaimer including, without limitation, the obligation to keep this presentation and its contents confidential; (ii) you are a Relevant Person (as defined above); and (iii) you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the Company and its business, financial position and future performance and will make any investment decision solely on the basis of the final Turkish Prospectus or the final Offering Circular, as applicable.

Disclaimer

43

Thank you