INVESTOR PRESENTATION //
June 2013
PRESENTATION // June 2013 Forward looking statements This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION // June 2013 Forward looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject
June 2013
June 2013 // Page 1
– Chim Sáo, Huntington, Catcher, Bream, Sea Lion – FPSOs – West Natuna, North Sumatra – Asian gas position
– Disposal of non-operated/non-core assets
– Disciplined spend
– Initial dividend payable June 2013
– Underlying production growth to 100 kboepd and beyond
June 2013 // Page 3
June 2013 // Page 4
2P + Sea Lion independent valuations at 10% discount rate
~£6/share
~£10/share
discoveries and exploration
June 2013 // Page 5
Funding outlook
– $2 billion pa post-Catcher* – $2.5 billion pa post-Sea Lion*
discretionary exploration spend
Sea Lion first oil at $85/bbl
facilities down to $65/bbl
2500
Development capex (US$ million)
2014 2250 2000 1750 1500 1250 1000 750 500 250 2013 2015 2016 2017
Standby Funding – Sea Lion Premier
* Assumes US$100/bbl
June 2013 // Page 6
Rapidly rising production and cash flow (kboepd)
2011 2013 2012 Sea Lion Catcher 40 65-70 58 100+ 100
June 2013 // Page 7
assets for $231 million cash and $770 million carry
– Concept selection mid-2013 – Project sanction mid-2014 – Generates IRR of >20% at $85/bbl oil
– Up to 3 well progamme with 100-250-750 mmboe resource potential
tax rate of 32.6%
June 2013 // Page 9
Production and development
ramped up and Rochelle onstream
– 1st phase of Solan development drilling commenced – Catcher development concept agreed; first oil timing dependent on FPSO tender process
UK tax position Exploration
* Assumes 4Q 2016 for Catcher
development and production assets
projects will drive continuing growth
June 2013 // Page 10
Grosbeak; Skarfjell extension Luno II Mandal High Frøy Bream Blåbaer
meet internal metrics
– Project sanction early 2014 – First oil 2017; initial production run rate of 35 kbopd
central processing hub continue at Frøy
High for drilling – Myrhauk prospect targeted for 2014 drilling
June 2013 // Page 11
Dua pipe lay February 2013
Dua oil fields
– Addressing power issues which could lead to greater deliverability
– Production and pigging flow lines laid in 1Q 2013 ahead
– Forecast average gross production rate of 8-10 kbopd in the first 12 months
June 2013 // Page 12
Construction of Pelikan/Naga jackets Anoa phase 4
Singapore gas market through development and ongoing exploration activity
averaged 12.3 kboepd – Total sales capacity increasing with Anoa Phase 4, Pelikan and Naga expected onstream 2013/2014 – Rising market share offsets impact of LNG in Singapore
– Capex estimate of ~$650mm – Matang success adds resources
for 2H 2013
– Gross accessible prospective resource ~2 TCF
June 2013 // Page 13
June 2013 // Page 14
Round awards added in 2013
drilled year-to-date successful – Luno II, Matang, Bonneville & K-32 – Successful testing of Luno II & Matang
spud shortly
impact plays with significant follow on potential
June 2013 // Page 16
Contingent Wells Firm Wells: Rig Contracted Firm Wells: Rig TBC All well timings are subject to revision for operational reasons Wells to watch
Four upcoming high impact wells targeting ~125 mmboe
June 2013 // Page 17
Q2 Q3 Q4 Block 121 Ca Voi Block 07/03 Ca Duc Tuna Block Kuda Laut & Singa Laut
UK
P1181 Lacewing
Kadanwari
K-36 Badhra South Deepening-1 Badhra BN-2 Kenya Contingent well Mauritania Tapendar Asia Vietnam North Sea Rest of World Pakistan
Badhra-Bhit
Maersk Resiliant SLB Rig-23 Ocean General Ocean General Ocean General Weatherford 812 SLB Rig-23
Lacewing
Bonneville discoveries
Luno II discovery
Lacewing (1H 2013)
and Norway
Inner Moray Firth Mandal High Greater Catcher Area Quad 16 Mesozoic Luno II Lacewing Bonneville Grosbeak; Skarfjell extension
June 2013 // Page 18
Luno II significant oil discovery
PL 359
BCU Time Map
C.I. 100 ms
10km
Johan Sverdrup Luno/Apollo Ragnarrock
Luno II discovery
Luno II core sampling
June 2013 // Page 19
Khanh Basin; well planned for June 2013
mmboe
multiple leads
water part of Block 121
Deep Water Leads Area Basin Edge Leads
Block 121 Prospects and Leads
Swordfish Whale & East Whale 25km
121-CV-1X NW SW 121-CV-1 Proposed Surface Location
June 2013 // Page 20
Silver Sillago (Ca Duc) (2H 2013)
Kuda/Singa Laut (2H 2013)
kitchen to the east
Ca Duc
NW SE NW SE
Belut Laut-1
TD 4977m
Kuda Laut MMU L.Terumbu Arang Gabus Depth of Top Oligocene in Gajah Laut Utara Top Basement Top NCS Top Cau MMU Dua
2km
Gajah Laut Utara-1
TD 4687m
Singa Laut
June 2013 // Page 21
Kenya (L10A & L10B)
Cretaceous sandstone (gas?) play in the East
Kiboko Prospect, Block L11B
Outboard Plays
Block L10B
W E
10 km
NE SW
Turaco prospect Tembo Trough
Green arrows highlight potential hydrocarbon migration routes from underlying Tertiary source rocks to Miocene reef reservoirs
Inboard Reef Play
4 km
Sunbird prospect Babbler prospect
June 2013 // Page 22
– ~300 feet of fractured Lama Sandstones within the Anoa field – 70-100-150 bcf total gas in place
– Gross accessible prospective resource: ~2TCF – Exploration drilling in 2014 and 2015
Lama Prospects and Leads
June 2013 // Page 23
Utsira High in 2008 – Proven Kitchen to west of High – Proven Jurassic sands to east
– Hydrocarbons proven in basement
– Gross resource potential 10-60-135 mmboe
Premier has access to ~ 200 mmbo of net prospective resources on and around the Mandal High
Mandal High
June 2013 // Page 24
Fan 2 Fan 3 Fan 1
inventory
– Play opening wells below Sea Lion sands & in up-dip east flank sands – 100-250-750 mmboe total gross resource potential in multiple stacked targets
Fan 5 Fan 1 Fan 2 Fan 3 Fan 4 Beverly Discovery Casper South Discovery
June 2013 // Page 25
Brazil’s 11th Round
water basins offshore NE Brazil
within Cretaceous Rift basins
2014/2015 in each block
– 1 in Block FZA-M-90 – 2 in Block CE-M-717
June 2013 // Page 26
Premier 35%
– 3D required to validate trap extent and mature lead inventory
FZA-M-90
Top Rift / Base Drift
June 2013 // Page 27
Premier 50% (Op)
– 250 mmbbl prospective resource potential; key risk is reservoir quality
– 250-300 mmbbl prospective resource potential; 3D required to validate trap extent
SW NE
CE-M-717
June 2013 // Page 28
Premier 50% (op)
– 3D required to validate trap extent
SW NE
CE-M-665
R S
10km
June 2013 // Page 29
Natuna Sea UK CNS Pakistan Nam Con Son Basin Norway Utsira High (Luno II) Block A Aceh UK Inner Moray Firth UK CNS (Deep/HPHT) Norway Mandal High Natuna Sea Lama Play Falklands (NFB) Brazil (Ceará Basin) Brazil (Foz do Amazonas Basin) Phu Khanh Basin Iraq (Block 12) Offshore Kenya Deepwater Mauritania
FRONTIER EMERGENT EARLY MATURE MATURE Exploration Maturity / Wells Drilled Discoveries
the portfolio by entering frontier and emergent plays in rift and frontal fold belt geologies
June 2013 // Page 30
1 to be booked at project sanction 2 Including FPSO lease costs
Huntington UK CNS Solan
Catcher UK CNS Bream Area Norway Sea Lion Falkland Islands Premier equity 40% 60% 50% 40% 60% Operator No Yes Yes No Yes First Oil 2013 2014 2016 2017 2017 Reserves (2P) 27 mmboe 44 mmbbls 90 mmbbls 68 mmboe1 300 mmboe1 Plateau production 25-30 kboepd 24 kbopd 50-70 kbopd 35-38 kboepd 80-85 kboepd Capex (gross field) $20/boe $20/bbl $18/bbl $19/boe $17/boe Opex (LOF) $34/boe2 $19/bbl $32/bbl2 $34/boe $26/boe
1 to be booked at project sanction 2 Including FPSO lease costs
June 2013 // Page 32
Key milestones
received in April
production run rate of 24 kbopd
Subsurface and drilling
planning complete
– Phase 1 April 2013: 2 injectors & producer upper hole sections – Phase 2 April 2014: finish drilling 2 producers
Producers Injectors
Solan reservoir cross section Solan well plan
June 2013 // Page 33
Platform and Subsea
December in Dubai
lines awarded
maintenance visits
Platform fabrication at Methil Subsea tank fabrication Solan development schematic
June 2013 // Page 34
Key milestones
concept in December 2012 – Leased FPSO – Subsea development of three fields
to FPSO proposals Subsurface and drilling
to optimise subsurface development and drilling plans
commence shortly
FPSO and subsea wells
June 2013 // Page 35
FPSO and subsea
Now FPSO Bids Project Sanction Order Long Lead Items
FPSO Funded Tender Process Evaluate Bids Finalise Contracts Subsea Feed Tender Subsea EPCI Contract(s) Optimise Subsurface Development Plan Tender Drilling Rig CATS / Fulmar Negotiations JV Approval Process DECC Approval Process Prepare DECC Field Dev. Plan Prepare Environmental Statement 2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec FPSO Subsea Drilling and Subsurface Select Gas OfftakeRoute Approvals
June 2013 // Page 36
Key milestones
Subsurface and drilling
modelling underway for Sea Lion
discussions with rig companies commenced
the development drilling campaign
June 2013 // Page 37
FPSO and subsea
assess options for conversions and new builds
fatigue life, turret designs and offloading
bundles as an alternative to conventional flowlines
has commenced
June 2013 // Page 38
Falkland Islands Indonesia Norway Pakistan & Mauritania UK Vietnam Total 2P Reserves On production
29.7 28.0 122.1 Approved for development
19.8 7.0 68.4 Justified for development
74.3 1.4 101.4 Total Reserves
123.7 36.4 291.9 2C Contingent Resources Development pending 193.7
2.5 4.2
Development un- clarified / on hold 32.7 68.0 0.1 16.2 16.7 13.2 146.9 Development not currently viable 6.2 4.9 2.3 12.8 28.7 7.2 62.0 Total Contingent Resources 232.6 72.9 73.9 31.5 49.6 20.3 480.7 Total Reserves & Contingent Resources 232.6 170.1 73.9 66.0 173.3 56.8 772.7
June 2013 // Page 39
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 Operating costs (US$/bbl) 2012 2011 UK 41.9 39.5 Indonesia 11.2 11.1 Pakistan 2.3 2.4 Vietnam 13.7 16.6 Group 16.2 15.9 Highlights 12 months to 31 Dec 2012 Working Interest production (kboepd) Entitlement production (kboepd) Realised oil price (US$/bbl) - pre hedge Realised gas price (US$/mcf) - pre hedge Sales and other operating revenues Cost of sales Gross profit Exploration/New Business General and administration costs Operating profit Financial items Profit before taxation Tax charge/(credit) Profit after taxation 40.4 37.7 111.9 8.5 US$m 827 (415) 412 (211) (26) 176 (34) 142 29 171 57.7 51.6 111.4 8.3 US$m 1,409 (743) 666 (187) (24) 455 (95) 360 (108) 252
US$25 million post-tax
average equivalent of US$105/bbl
2014 targeting US$110/bbl Hedging
June 2013 // Page 41
Cash flow from operations Taxation Operating cash flow Capital expenditure Acquisitions/disposals, net Finance and other charges, net Pre-licence expenditure Net cash out flow
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 US$m
2012 Development Exploration Capital expenditure split (US$m) 772
530 (44) 486 (661) (90) (50) (23) (338)
12 months to 31 Dec 2012 US$m
1,041 (233) 808 (772) (210) (163) (29) (366)
2013 Forecast of US$1 billion (development) and US$200 million (exploration)
433 228 661 2011
– US$6.6/bbl (including carries)
(new projects): – US$14.3/bbl
(post tax): – US$5.4/bbl Acquisitions, development and finding costs 585 187
June 2013 // Page 42
Cash Bank debt Bonds Convertibles Net debt position Gearing Cash and undrawn facilities 309 (484) (341) (228) (744) 36% 1,116 187 (500) (577) (220) (1,110) 36% 1,110
Average debt costs of 4.6% (fixed) and 2.3% (floating) Facilities extended post year-end by US$150 million Excludes uncommitted facilities of $310 million
Stable balance sheet; continued access to multiple debt markets
Debt maturity profile (including Letters of Credit)
1 Maturity value of US$245 million
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 US$m 12 months to 31 Dec 2012 US$m
1
2 Net debt/net debt plus equity
2
June 2013 // Page 43
Overseas Prior period provisions/revisions UK PRT CT Current charge Deferred tax credits Tax charge/credit for the year
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 US$m
Allowances brought forward Net additions RFES Tax allowances carried forward
UK Tax Losses/Allowances Position
12 months to 31 Dec 2012 US$m
Tax charge
Tax paying overseas; no UK CT expected until post-2018
Overseas tax position
137.0 (11.9) 83.1 – 208.2 (100.3) 107.9 1,360 398 129 1,887
% of Operating Profit* Indonesia 50 Pakistan, Vietnam 30-33
60.1 70.0 17.2 – 147.3 (177.0) (29.7)
As at 31 Dec US$m
*Before exploration write off
June 2013 // Page 44
June 2013 // Page 46
Premier Oil Plc 23 Lower Belgrave Street London SW1W 0NR Tel: +44 (0)20 7730 1111 Fax: +44 (0)20 7730 4696 Email: premier@premier-oil.com
June 2013