INVESTOR
PRESENTATION
Q U A R T E R E N D E D D E C E M B E R 3 1 , 2 0 1 7
450 Lexington Ave New York, NY 10017 800.468.7526 BRIXMOR.COM
PRESENTATION Q U A R T E R E N D E D D E C E M B E R 3 1 , 2 0 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q U A R T E R E N D E D D E C E M B E R 3 1 , 2 0 1 7 450 Lexington Ave New York, NY 10017 800.468.7526 BRIXMOR.COM WHO IS BRIXMOR? PORTFOLIO QUICK FACTS One of the largest open-air retail landlords in the US
Q U A R T E R E N D E D D E C E M B E R 3 1 , 2 0 1 7
450 Lexington Ave New York, NY 10017 800.468.7526 BRIXMOR.COM
WHO IS BRIXMOR?
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centers to be relevant to communities served
including grocers, value retailers and consumer oriented service providers
and controlled
PORTFOLIO QUICK FACTS
Number of shopping centers 486 GLA 83M SF Average shopping center size 170K SF Percent billed 90.3% Percent leased 92.2% Percent leased – Anchors (≥ 10K SF) 95.5% Percent leased – Small shops (< 10K SF) 84.5% Average ABR PSF $13.47 4Q 2017 rent spread (new and renewal) 16.0% Average grocer sales PSF1 ~$550
FORWARD INTERNAL GROWTH
VISIBLE DRIVERS OF
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Sector leading leasing
353 353 612 773 1,188 1,541 2,920 3,195 29% 23% 19% 9% 11% 23% 34%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 0% 50000% 100000% 150000% 200000% 250000% 300000% 350000% 400000% 450000%RPAI WRI FRT REG DDR KIM BRX New Lease GLA (K SF) New Lease Spreads
New lease productivity – TTM 1
$14 $15 $18 $31 $41 $42 3.9% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.1% 4.4%
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 0% 1000% 2000% 3000% 4000% 5000% 6000%RPAI FRT DDR REG KIM BRX New ABR Created ($M) % of Portfolio ABR
New ABR created – TTM 2
Visibility on future growth
below-market rent profile
particularly in anchor space – 5.0M SF of anchor leases expiring through 2021 with no remaining options at an ABR PSF at expiration of $8.78 – 2017 new anchor leases signed at an ABR PSF of $12.47
8.5% 14.1% 15.2% 13.2% $13.32 $11.72 $11.88 $12.14 2017 New Lease se ABR PSF $16.00
$7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 $11.00 $12.00 $13.00 $14.00 $15.00 $16.00 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%2018 2019 2020 2021 % of Leased GLA Expiring ABR PSF at Expiration
FORWARD INTERNAL GROWTH (CONTINUED)
VISIBLE DRIVERS OF
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Small shop occupancy opportunity
redevelopment or repositioning has been completed in the past five years has improved 600 – 800bps – Creating $21M of incremental ABR
– Broadening tenant mix with strong local
– Leveraging new anchor leasing – Driving absorption through targeted marketing
– Small shop occupancy in future redevelopment pipeline is 78.5%, 600bps below portfolio average
260 470 710 880
At completion 1yr after completion 2yrs after completion 3yrs after completion Small shop occupancy 1 year prior to completion vs.
Small shop occupancy change (bps) following reinvestment
78.5%
Small Shop Occupancy At Future Redevelopments Potential Small Shop Occupancy Following Reinvestment
600 – 800bps
small shop occupancy improvement following reinvestment
RELEVANT TO CONSUMERS
Non-discretionary & value-oriented retail mix with strong
service component
Best-in-class retailers with significant growth plans Strong tenant credit profile with meaningful diversification
PRODUCTIVE RETAILERS
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Increased Exposure Decreased Exposure
Proactive Tenant Management
TOP RETAILERS BY ABR
Retailer Stores % of GLA % of ABR ABR PSF Credit Rating (S&P/Moody’s) 90 3.4% 3.2% $10.68 A+ / A2 65 5.1% 3.1% 7.02 BBB / Baa1 155 2.1% 1.9% 10.40 BB+ / Ba1 37 2.0% 1.7% 9.38 NR 25 3.7% 1.4% 4.41 AA / Aa2 24 1.6% 1.4% 10.12 BBB/ Baa2 23 1.9% 1.4% 8.19 BB / Ba2 21 1.4% 1.3% 10.68 B+ / B1 35 1.2% 1.1% 11.01 A- / A3 33 1.0% 1.1% 12.87 BBB / Baa1
TOP 10 508 23.4% 17.6% $8.61
44 1.8% 1.0% 6.46 BBB / - 29 0.8% 1.0% 14.53 B / B1 13 0.7% 0.9% 15.73 B+ / B2 37 0.6% 0.9% 16.88 B / B2 15 0.7% 0.9% 13.47 BBB- / Baa1 32 0.8% 0.8% 11.16
35 0.6% 0.8% 14.58 B+ / Ba3 14 0.7% 0.8% 13.77 NR 27 0.7% 0.7% 12.48 B+ / B1 26 0.7% 0.7% 11.77 BB+ / Baa2
TOP 20 780 31.5% 26.1% $9.51
Broad cross-section of retailers
complementary service component (by ABR)
THRIVING RETAILERS
GROWING TENANCY WITH
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BRX covers 200+ national & regional open-air retailers with plans to open ~13,000 net new stores
Dollar Store 3% Hobby & Party 4% Other Value Fashion 4% Home 6% Off-Price Apparel 6% General Merchandise… Health & Personal Care 8% Restaurants 13% Services 16% Grocery 17% Other (≤ 3%) 16%
Executing new leases with thriving retailers
Other Value Fashion 4% General Merchandise 5% Hobby & Party 6% Grocery 7% Restaurants 10% Off-Price Apparel 10% Home 12% Health & Personal Care 16% Services 17% Other (≤ 3%) 13%
50+ new national & regional retailers added to portfolio since May 2016
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION PROVIDES
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– 76% have an additional anchor
– Average grocer occupancy costs below 2% 1
Flexible format, primarily grocery anchored (by ABR) 2 2%
Other
75%
Community / Neighborhood
13%
Power center
10%
Grocery-anchored regional center
Productive grocery anchors
National retailers account for 65% of portfolio ABR 19%
Local
65%
National
16%
Regional
Merchandise mix Retail format
Traditional Specialty Warehouse
Taking off-mall 8% 13% 10% 7% 7% 11% 10% 5% 2% 4% 4% 0% 1% < 1% 1% < 1%
Ross Burlington Lucky's Sprouts Fitness Kay Jewelers Panera Starbucks
BRX Share of New Stores BRX Share of Existing Retailer Fleet
CORE TENANCY
CAPTURING SHARE FROM
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Institutionalizing relationships
Brixmor’s Share of New Store Opening Plans (2018)
Fitness
REINVESTMENT
Breadth of opportunity
Attractive relative risk
Sustainable returns
UNLOCKING VALUE THROUGH
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Value Creation Opportunity ($M)
Number Projects Net Estimated Costs1 Expected NOI Yield 1,2 In Process 47 $295 ~10% Completed YTD 26 $90 12% BRX Redevelopment Only Representative Ground-up Development Representative Redevelopment vs. Ground-up Development Total investment $200M $800M
1/4 the amount
invested Yield 10% 7% Residual cap-rate 6.0% 6.0% Value creation $133M $133M Same value creation Risk of value destruction Residual cap-rate 6% - 8% 6% - 8% Value creation $50 - $133M ($100) - $133M
Attractive redevelopment pipeline drives significant value creation & growth potential at lower risk
CAPITAL RECYCLING
PRUDENT & RESPONSIBLE
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Disciplined capital recycling to drive outperformance & create long-term value with attractive risk-adjusted returns
local market knowledge
Disciplined Capital Allocation
2018
Accelerated Effort Significant Opportunity
2% of ABR
Holding an asset Buying the asset Underwriting
FINANCIAL
incremental returns
MARKET
when a significant landlord in a market
HUMAN CAPITAL
created
STRATEGY
BALANCE SHEET
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Net debt + preferred / forward cash EBITDA1
5.1 5.3 5.5 6.3 6.8 6.9 7.6 7.8
0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% 700% 800% 900%REG RPAI WRI FRT BRX KRG DDR KIM
$185 $600 $658 $686 $500 $500 $807 $700 $608 $400 $11
$0 $250 $500 $750 $1,000 $1,250 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028+
Secured Mortgages Term Loans Unsecured Notes
Debt Maturities ($M) Debt Statistics
Weighted avg. stated interest rate 3.8% Weighted avg. maturity 5.2 years Fixed / Variable 97% / 3% Unencumbered ABR 79.0%
Leverage & Coverage Ratios Credit Ratings
Net principal debt to Adjusted EBITDA 6.4x Net principal debt to Cash Adjusted EBITDA 6.8x Fixed charge coverage 3.6x Fitch BBB- Stable Moody’s Baa3 Stable S&P BBB- Stable
GUIDANCE
2017 2017 2018E 2019E 2019E Base rent 2.10% 1.75% – 2.25% 2.75% – 3.75% Provision for doubtful accounts 0.50% (0.50%) 0.00% Other 0.00% (0.25%) 0.25% Same Property NOI 2.60% 1.00% – 1.50% 3.00% – 4.00%
2018 8
proactive terminations
comparison, primarily as a result of significant recoveries in 2017
driven by bankruptcies and proactive terminations
2019 2019
contribution from redevelopment of 0.50% – 1.00%
Low High 2018E NAREIT FFO per diluted share, before prospective capital recycling 1 $1.99 $2.06 Prospective capital recycling (0.04) (0.02) 2018E NAREIT FFO per diluted share 1 $1.95 $2.04
Funds from operations guidance Same property NOI guidance
1. Does not include any expectations of additional one-time items, including, but not limited to, litigation, investigative and other non-routine legal expenses.
2018
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REDEVELOPMENTS
REPRESENTATIVE FUTURE
enhance restaurant experience – Potential to add residential / student housing component → Net estimated costs of $40M → Expected NOI yield of 10% - 12% (including anticipated residential entitlement sales)
University Mall – Davis, CA
exposure
fitness and entertainment & enhance restaurant experience → Net estimated costs of $60M → Expected NOI yield of ~9%
Mall at 163rd Street – Miami, FL
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COMMUNITIES
CENTERED ON
Committed & responsible employer
culture as ‘Positive’ in an Employee Satisfaction Survey
five key properties; all military veterans GREEN STAR RECIPIENT
Positive impact on local community
more efficiently
and use of public spaces
Reduced environmental impact
installed or under development
saved annually
completed to-date
Delivering sustainable growth for our stakeholders through a relentless focus on the environmental, social and economic well-being of the communities we serve, our tenants and our employees
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2014 2015 2016 2017
CAM electric consumption
CAM Electric Consumption vs Target
Target
GENERAL INFO & FUNDAMENTALS
REITs
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What is a REIT? A REIT, or Real Estate Investment Trust, is a company that owns, operates or finances income-producing real estate. Modeled after mutual funds, REITs give all investors access to the benefits of real estate investment along with the advantages of investing in a publicly traded stock. How to qualify as a REIT 1,2: Invest at least 75% of total assets in real estate Derive at least 75% of gross income from real estate investments Must have a minimum of 100 shareholders and no more than 50% of shares held by five or fewer individuals
Distribute at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders annually through dividends
– Nearly all REITs pay at least 100% to avoid taxation – Allows shareholders to share in a REITs cash flow growth
Key Metrics and Terminology 1
Earnings Metrics
Nareit FFO
Operating Metrics
Same Property NOI
value-add investment impacts Tenant Improvements
Valuation Metrics
Value enhancing capital expenditures
less total debt and preferred equity. To arrive at an estimated market value for the underlying real estate, the next four quarters of expected property NOI are capitalized using an appropriate “cap rate” which encapsulates growth, asset quality and risk. For valuation purposes, an investor can look at the current discount or premium that a stock is trading at relative to estimated NAV and can also compare NAV premium/discounts or absolute cap rates of peer companies. An “as of today” or “liquidation” metric, NAV has its fair share of shortcomings in that it typically excludes the expected value of future accretive investment opportunities as well as G&A impacts.
SOURCES
FOOTNOTES &
Page 2 Who is Brixmor? 1. Based on a combination of most recent tenant reported information and management estimates. Page 3 Visible Drivers of Forward Internal Growth 1. Data based on company filings as of 4Q 2017. Leasing spreads based on comparable leases/spaces only. FRT and REG comparable leases include those in which there was a former tenant. All other comparable leases include only those in which there was a former tenant within the prior year. 2. Data based on company filings as of 4Q 2017. Includes new, renewal and option leases executed in TTM and calculated as new ABR less old or prior ABR for comparable leases plus new ABR for non-comparable leases. FRT excludes options. Excludes WRI as data is not provided in company filings. Page 7 Portfolio Composition Provides Competitive Advantages 1. Based on a combination of most recent tenant reported information and management estimates. 2. Community Centers include properties with total GLA between 125K - 400K SF. Neighborhood Centers include properties with total GLA less than 125K SF. Grocery- Anchored Regional Centers include properties greater than 250K SF with small shop spaces accounting for less than 30% of total property GLA, and that have a traditional or specialty grocer at the property (either owned or non-owned). Power Centers include properties greater than 250K SF with small shop spaces accounting for less than 30% of total property GLA, and that do not have a traditional or specialty grocer at the property (either owned or non-owned). Other includes lifestyle centers, unanchored strip centers, and single tenant centers. Page 9 Unlocking Value Through Reinvestment 1. Represents gross project costs less any project specific credits (lease termination income or other ancillary credits). 2. NOI yield is calculated as the projected incremental NOI as a percentage of the incremental third party costs of a specified project, net of any project specific credits (i.e. lease termination income or other ancillary credits). Page 16 REITs – General Info & Fundamentals 1. Source: RBC Capital Markets. 2. Source: Nareit. 18 Page 11 Balance Sheet Strategy 1. Source: Citi Research.
DISCLAIMER
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Safe fe Harbor Langu nguage ge This document may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to the Company’s expectations regarding the performance of its business, its financial results, its liquidity and capital resources and other non-historical statements. You can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of words such as “outlook,” “believes,” “expects,” “potential,” “continues,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “approximately,” “projects,” “predicts,” “intends,” “plans,” “estimates,” “anticipates” or the negative version of these words or other comparable words. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including those described under the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, as such factors may be updated from time to time in our periodic filings with the SEC, which are accessible on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included in this release and in the Company’s filings with the SEC. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.