Presentation for Investors 18 February 2004 Contents Press slides - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Presentation for Investors 18 February 2004 Contents Press slides - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Presentation for Investors 18 February 2004 Contents Press slides Page 3 Financial highlights Q4/03 Page 18 Credit quality Page 52 Economic capital Page 67 Nordea Page 72 Business areas Page 80 Balance sheet Page
2
Contents
Press slides
Page 3
Financial highlights Q4/03
Page 18
Credit quality
Page 52
Economic capital
Page 67
Nordea
Page 72
Business areas
Page 80
Balance sheet
Page 123
Market shares
Page 130
Appendix
Page 146
Year-end Report 2003 Press conference
18 February 2004 Lars G Nordström President and Group CEO
4
Solid improvements in 2003
- Net profit up 68% to EUR 1,490m (EUR 887m in 2002)
- Operating profit up 17% to EUR 1,812m (EUR 1,547m)
- Total income largely unchanged at EUR 5,639m (EUR 5,670m)
- Total costs down 2%
- Earnings per share EUR 0.51 (EUR 0.30)
- Return on equity (excluding goodwill) 16.7% (11.3%)
- Proposed dividend EUR 0.25 per share, an increase by 9%
5
Underlying positive trend confirmed in Q4
- Operating profit EUR 383m (EUR 470m in Q3)
- Total income at EUR 1,399m (EUR 1,403m); net interest and
commission income up
- Costs largely unchanged on a comparable basis taking reservation for
profit sharing and start-up costs related to the joint venture with IBM into account
- Loan losses down to EUR 84m (EUR 89m)
- Net profit EUR 202m (EUR 628m) reflecting write-down related to the
real estate divestment process, and a deferred tax income in Q3
6
Short-term top priorities have been addressed - delivering on promises
Reduce volatility and ensure growth of income Improve cost control Ensure capital efficiency Maintain credit portfolio quality
7
Volatility has been reduced
- Investment earnings up EUR
48m
–
position taking benefited from reduced interest rates particularly in Q2
- Operating profit in Life &
Pensions up EUR 147m
–
gradual implementation of changed business model
–
new model key element in reducing volatility
- Earnings volatility significantly
down in 2003
11 31 39 41 29 81 27 33
- 34
- 113
- 17
44 19 50 40 40
- 125
- 100
- 75
- 50
- 25
25 50 75 100 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Investment earnings, banking Operating profit, Life and General EURm
Investment earnings and insurance
- perating profit Q1/02-Q4/03
8
- Marginal increase when including
currency effect
- Net interest income down 2%
–
pressure on deposit margins following lower interest rates
–
compensated by increase in mortgage lending
- Commission income slightly down
–
brokerage reduced
–
strong net inflows within Asset Management
–
continued growth in payment commissions
- Increased trading income
Income maintained at a stable level
Income Q1/02-Q4/031
1 Insurance reported according to the one-line principle
1382 1425 1406 1457 1374 1463 1403 1399 400 800 1200 1600 2000 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Income EURm
9
Costs are kept well within the flat cost target
- Reported expenses including
profit sharing down EUR 72m
- r 2% to EUR 3,673m
- Underlying expenses down
- approx. 5.5%
–
profit sharing
–
new business, Poland
–
higher restructuring costs
–
higher variable salaries
–
f/x effects
- Costs in 2004 are expected to
be unchanged compared to 2003
925 993 917 881 973 902 922 905 67 61 66 65 63 64 58 64
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 EURm 20 40 60 80 100 Costs C/I ratio
Costs and C/I ratio Q1/02-Q4/03
% Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
10
- Number of full-time
employees (FTE) down by 3,510 to 30,761
–
900 FTEs to joint venture with IBM
–
500 FTEs related to the sale
- f Huoneistokeskus
- Number of FTEs down 6% on
a comparable basis in 2003
Number of employees down
Full time equivalents (FTEs) Q1/02-Q4/03 (end of period)
35300 34600 33888 34271 33879 32949 32227 30761 4400 4400 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 Nordea Group excl. GI General Insurance (GI) Number
- f FTEs
LG Petro Bank included as from December 2002
Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
11
Capital efficiency strengthened
10.2 10.4 9.9 10.2 9.5 9.1 8.9 9,0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Economic capital 01/02-Q4/03
EURbn
- Economic capital reduced by
EUR 1.3bn since end of 2002
- Divestment of real estate and
- ther non-core assets
- Growth of off-balance-sheet
business
- Implementation of economic
capital and economic profit framework
- Regulatory capital ratios
maintained well above targets
- Repurchase of own shares
Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Tier 1 7.2 7.4 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.5 7.3 Total 9.2 8.9 9.0 9.9 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.3 RWA 140 136 137 135 137 135 135 134
12
Credit portfolio in general in healthy shape
66 76 89 84 63 56 92 98
25 50 75 100 125 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Loan losses Loan losses ratio (acc. and annualised) EURm %
- Concentration on Nordic
customers has helped maintain good credit quality
- Loan losses were EUR 102m
higher than in 2002, but slightly decreasing throughout 2003
- Majority of loan losses stems
from the Norwegian lending portfolio - especially fish farming
- Loan losses correspond to
0.25% of total loans and guarantees
Loan losses Q1/02-Q4/03
13
Increased dividend per share proposed
4.2% 48% 712 0.25 Dividend yield (calculated on share price 30 Dec, 2003) Pay-out ratio (of the net profit, target >40%) Total, EURm Per share, EUR
14
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 COMMERZBANK SEB NORDEA DnB NOR HYPOVEREINSBANK SWEDBANK BARCLAYS BNP SOCIETE GENERALE SHB ABN AMRO KBC DANSKE BANK SAMPO HBOS RBOS BANK OF IRELAND LLOYDS TSB ABBEY NATIONAL ALLIED IRISH BANK
Total shareholder return (TSR) 2003
Nordea peer group
Source: Bloomberg 31/12-2003 %
15
Strategic themes 2004
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and performance oriented employees Ensure stable and profitable growth of income Ensure operational excellence, strict cost management and reduced complexity Ensure capital efficiency and high credit portfolio quality Sustainable growth of economic profit
16
In summary
Increased focus and speed led to improved performance in 2003 Mission accomplished - delivering on our promises
– Volatility has been reduced and income maintained at a stable level – Costs are kept well within the flat cost target – strict cost management leads to
raised cost ambition for 2004
– Capital efficiency has been strengthened – Credit losses slightly decreasing throughout the year – credit portfolio in general in
healthy shape Platform for future improvements in place
– Continued strict cost and risk management – Special attention on income development
17
Financial highlights Q4/03
18
- 15
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 20 25 30 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm Nasdaq Dow Jones
Market development – stock market indexes
%
19
+0.37
- 0.02
- 0.20
- 0.54
+0.30 +0.02 +0.40 Change Q4/03 3.77 2.82 4.04 2.76 3.34 2.10 3.10 2.07 30-09-03
- 1.05
2.80 Short, SE 4.14 Long, SE
- 4.47
2.22 Short, NO
- 1.59
3.84 Long, NO
- 0.04
3.64 Long, DK
- 0.94
2.12 Short, DK +0.09 3.50 Long, EUR (5 years)
- 0.93
2.07 Short, EUR (one week) Change 2003 31-12-03 %
Market development – interest rates
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 EUR DKK SEK NOK Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Short interest rates - average (one week)
%
21
Net interest income
885 835 843 838 850
200 400 600 800 1000 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
YoY:
Nii down 2% Pressure on deposit margins Strong demand for mortgages Corporate lending margins
improved
QoQ:
Nii up 1% Interest rates at historical low level Deposit margins stable overall
– supported by ”hedges”
Improved corporate lending
margins EURm
22
Nii – active management of interest rate exposure
Falling interest rates have had a negative impact on
deposit margins in 2003
“Hedges” reduced negative effect on Nii in H2 2003 by
- approx. EUR 10-15m per quarter
Effect expected to be reduced from and including Q2 2004
23
Structural Interest Income Risk (SIIR)
- 251
275
Q4/03
- 240
220
Q3/03
Decreasing market rates, 100bp Increasing market rates, 100bp EURm, annualised effect on Nii*
- Increased SIIR
–
maturity of current ”hedges” shortened compared to Q3 *Approx. end of period
SIIR is defined as the effect on net interest income (Nii) in the next 12 months if market rates change by one percentage point. Figures are asymmetrical as interest rates on deposits from customers cannot be reduced below 0%. Figures are based on maturity and repricing structure, and the effect going forward will be subject to management decisions and the competitive situation in the market.
24
108 104 114 120 129 195 179 191 194 200 35 24 20 28 35 95 88 87 88 88 61 44 40 47 47
- 88
- 76
- 80
- 84
- 94
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Asset management Payments & deposits Brokerage Lending Other Expenses
EURm
Net commission income
YoY:
Down 3%
–
reflecting mainly lower brokerage income
–
partly compensated by Asset Mgmt and payments QoQ:
Up 2% AuM up 6% to EUR 113bn
–
high net inflows
–
strengthening of equity markets
Payment commissions
improved
–
card payments up 8%
388 353 366 379 388
25
Trading
130 157 155 130 125
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
YoY:
Increased by 7% Leading Nordic provider of
derivatives and debt capital market services
High quality earnings
– customer driven revenue
stream QoQ:
Largely unchanged reflecting
maintained activity level
EURm
26
Total income
5,639 5,670 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2002 2003
YoY:
Maintained income level despite
difficult markets
– negative currency effect of 1%
Net interest income down 2%
– pressure on deposit margins
following lower interest rates
– compensated by increase in
mortgage lending
Commission income down 3%
– brokerage reduced – strong net inflows within Asset Mgmt – continued growth in payment
commissions
Increased trading income Other income includes non-recurring
items in 2003 EURm
27
Expenses – underlying development
3,464 3,666 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 2002 2003
YoY:
Reported expenses down 2%
– personnel expenses increased
by 1%
– other expenses decreased 8%
Underlying expenses down 6%
– profit sharing – new business, Poland – higher restructuring costs – higher variable salaries – f/x effects
EURm 3,745 3,673
28
545 520 539 531 511 448 397 363 350 416 46 200 400 600 800 1000 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Personnel Other Profit sharing
EURm
Expenses
QoQ:
Expenses increased by EUR
92m in Q4 of which:
–
profit sharing EUR 46m
–
Start-up IBM JV EUR 30m
Variable salaries and
restructuring costs increased EUR 12m
Shift of EUR 12m between
personnel and other due to IBM JV
Underlying costs unchanged
917 993 902 881 973
29
Development of FTEs
30,761 32,227 34,271 33,879 32,949
5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
- 6%
Underlying change
- 10%
Change 34,271 30,761 Total +1,321 Outsourced/ insourced 1,684 6,772 1,796 2,102 18,407 2003 1,951 7,710 1,866 2,444 20,300 2002 Other CIB GPT AM & Life Retail FTEs
End of period
30
Loan losses
219 236 246 221 229
- 143
- 138
- 154
- 132
- 145
76 98 92 89 84
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Gross Reversals Net
EURm YoY:
Loan loss ratio 0.25% in 2003 Loan losses concentrated to
Norwegian retail portfolio
Large part relates to fish
farming
Pan Fish shares valued at
zero
QoQ:
Loan loss ratio 0.23% in Q4
31
Investment earnings, banking
41 29 81 27 33
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
YoY:
Increased EUR 48m Gains on fixed income
portfolio in H1
Gains on equity portfolio in H2
QoQ:
Equity portfolios performed
well
Positive contribution also from
fixed income portfolios
EURm
32
Operating profit, Life insurance
149 2 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 2002 2003
YoY:
Substantially Increased profit
in 2003
Gradual implementation of
changed business model
Higher investment return
– 5.8% in 2003 (0.2% in 2002) – financial buffers increased
QoQ:
Maintained profit level
EURm
33
Income statement summary
1,547
- 171
- 122
2 122 1,716 52
- 261
- 3,745
5,670 2002
17
- 3
- 2
- 1
Change % 149 Operating profit, life insurance 170 Investment earnings, banking
1,812 Operating profit
- 167
Goodwill depreciation
- Operating profit, general insurance
1,660 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 57 Equity method
- 363
Loan losses, net
- 3,673
Total expenses 5,639 Total income 2003 EURm
34
Real estate holdings reduced
0.7 0.2 0.1 0.4 2003 0.2 Non owner occupied properties 1.8 0.4 1.2 2002 Total Shares in real estate companies Owner occupied properties Book value. EURbn
2003
Divestment of residential
property and owner-occupied properties in Denmark
Sale of shares in Nordisk
Renting and Citycon
Divestment of 97 offices in
Finland, Norway and Sweden 2004
Further properties in Finland
sold
Letter of intent signed
regarding remaining properties
Write-down of EUR 115m in Q4 Expected gain of approx. EUR 300m in
2004
– net financial effect of real estate disposals
expected to be a gain of approx. EUR 200m
35
Net profit
887 1,490
300 600 900 1200 1500 2002 2003
Increased by 68% Operating profit up 17% Deferred tax income of EUR
300m included in Q3/03
Write-down of real estate
included at year-end, EUR 115m
Allocation to pension fund in
2002 (EUR 255m)
EURm
36
5 10 15 20 25 30 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Key figures
Return on equity (excl. goodwill) % Earnings per share EUR
14.5% 16.7% RoE adjusted to standard tax and for real estate write-down RoE 2003 EUR 0.43 EUR 0.51 EPS 2003 adjusted to standard tax and for real estate write-down EPS 2003
37
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 4 / 2 Q 1 / 2 1 Q 2 / 2 1 Q 3 / 2 1 Q 4 / 2 1 Q 1 / 2 2 Q 2 / 2 2 Q 3 / 2 2 Q 4 / 2 2 Q 1 / 2 3 Q 2 / 2 3 Q 3 / 2 3 Q 4 / 2 3
EUR
Earnings per share – 12 months rolling
38
Increased dividend proposed
14 April
Payment date
5 April
Record date
1 April 4.2% 48% 712 0.25
Ex dividend date Dividend yield (calculated on share price Dec 30, 2003) Pay-out ratio (of the net profit, target >40%) Total, EURm Per share, EUR
39
Balance sheet - key items
134.4 262.2 12.2 95.6 145.6 2003 134.7 249.6 11.9 94.2 145.7 2002 Risk-weighted assets 5 Total assets 2 Shareholders’ equity 1 Deposits Lending Change, 12 months %
EURbn
End of period
40 Lending
146 147 147 149 146 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Lending and deposits
Deposits
94 95 91 93 96 20 40 60 80 100 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 EURbn EURbn
End of period
41
Tier 1 ratio 7.1 7.3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2002 2003
Capital position
%
End of period
Approx 2.8% of outstanding shares
repurchased by end 2003
Implementation of IAS19/RR29
(pensions) from 2004
– reduction of equity of EUR 183m – reduction of Tier 1 by approx. 15bp
New authorisation to purchase up
to 10% of the total no. of shares suggested
42
395 92 48 43 35
- 111
- 268
62 44 60 100 428
- 300
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Retail CIB Asset Mgmt* Life* Group Treasury Group Functions and Eliminations
Q3/03 Q4/03
Result by business area
EURm
*Product result for Asset Management and Life
Figures are disclosed and consolidated using end of period and average currency rates in conformity with the ordinary statutory reporting. Previously, fixed planning rates were used. Historical information has been restated accordingly.
43
Retail Banking operating profit
354 345 376 395 428 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
Strong sales Increase in payment transactions Loan losses in Retail Banking
Norway
Improved RoE
26 55 Q4/03 24 RoE, % 56 C/I ratio, % Q3/03 Key ratios
44
Retail Banking, lending and deposit margins
Quarterly averages 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 4 / 2 Q 1 / 3 Q 2 / 3 Q 3 / 3 Q 4 / 3 Lending to corporates Lending to personal customers Deposits from corporates Deposits from personal customers Stable lending margins Stable deposit margins
– supported by ”hedges”
%
45
141 107 131 92 100 30 60 90 120 150 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
CIB operating profit
EURm
Income picked up in Q4 Maintained high activity in
Markets
Continued low loan losses
15 54 Q4/03 13 RoE, % 56 C/I ratio, % Q3/03 Key ratios
46
Asset Management product result
38 31 41 48 60 10 20 30 40 50 60 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
Strong sales and result Net inflow of EUR 5.8bn Q4
– net inflow in 2003 EUR 12.5bn
AuM up 6% to EUR 113bn Q4
– up 18% from end 2002
113 56 Q4/03 107 AuM, EURbn 60 C/I ratio, % Q3/03 Key ratios
47
52 43 44 48 22 10 20 30 40 50 60 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
Life Insurance, product result
Stable result development Changed business model key
to reduced volatility
Improved investment return
–
financial buffers stable on Q3 0.4 0.7 Inv return, % 4.7 Q4/03 4.6 Financial buffers*, % Q3/03 Key ratios
* Financial buffers in % of provisions
48
Group Treasury operating profit
High funding activity Gain on equities
27 58 91 35 62 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
49
Group Functions and Eliminations
QoQ:
OM/HEX shares EUR 27m Q3 SWAP reservation to CIB Q3 IBM JV start-up costs EUR 30m Q4 Profit sharing EUR 46m Q4 General: Results from real estate holdings
(non-owner occupied)
Expenses in Group functions not
defined as service offered to business areas
Depreciation of goodwill related to
the creation of Nordea
7 14 Operating profit, Life 17
- 69
Income
- 31
- 32
Goodwill 5 6 Equity method
- 111
- 268
Operating profit
- 7
- 14
Loan losses
- 102
- 173
Expenses Q3/03 Q4/03
50
Outlook 2004
Economic growth expected to increase in the Nordic region in 2004 Increased short-term interest rates not expected until late 2004, at the
earliest
Outlook for increased revenues is positive, although at a moderate level Sharp attention on cost control will be maintained also going forward Total costs in 2004 expected to be unchanged compared to 2003 Loan losses not expected to exceed the level in 2003
51
Credit quality
52 Companies 54% Public sector 2% Personal customers 44%
Loan portfolio by customer group
End of 2003
EUR 145.6bn
53
Housing loans 76% Other loans 24%
Lending to personal customers
End of 2003
EUR 64.7bn
Continued strong growth in
mortgage lending
Other loans comprise
–
consumer credits
–
investment credits
–
car financing
–
- verdraft facilities
–
credit cards
54
Construction 3% Real estate 27% Manufacturing 16% Finance 11% Commerce and services 11% Agriculture & Fishing 6% Shipping & Offshore 5% Transport, communication 6% Renting, consulting and
- ther services
7% Other companies 8%
Lending to companies by industry
End of 2003
EUR 77.9 bn
55 145.6 3.7 4.3 9.5 5.7 8.3 12.5 8.7 4.4 2.6 21.2 64.7 Q4/03 147.0 4.5 4.3 8.6 7.0 12.2 12.5 9.1 3.8 2.8 22.0 60.2 Q2/03 147.0 4.7 4.3 8.5 8.7 10.7 13.5 8.9 3.5 2.9 22.6 58.6 Q1/03 148.7 3.9 4.3 8.3 6.1 11.2 13.2 9.1 4.6 2.5 22.0 63.5 Q3/03 145.7 4.6 4.3 10.3 8.2 9.1 13.9 8.3 3.5 3.1 22.4 57.9 Q4/02 Total Shipping & Offshore Agriculture & Fishing Other companies/public sector Renting, Consulting and other services Finance Manufacturing Trade and services Transport, communication Construction Real estate Personal customers EURbn
Loan portfolio
End of period
56
Asia 0.5% Other OECD 0.6% Other 8.3% The Baltic states and Poland 1.1% Other EU countries 3.3% Latin America 0.9% USA 1.1% Non-OECD 0.8% Nordic countries 91.7%
Lending by geographical area
End of 2003
EUR 145.6bn
Nordic countries, EUR 133.6bn Denmark 38.2 Finland 31.0 Norway 22.0 Sweden 42.4
57
Transfer risk exposure
- EURm. End of 2003
64 Turkey 104 Iran
- of which
2 Argentina
309 Middle East
22 114 352
682
- of which
Latin America
Panama Chile Mexico Brazil 31 Indonesia South Korea China 21 47 140
- of which
262 Asia
58
Nordea fisheries financing
End of 2003
Fish processing/ export 23% Fish farming 41% Fishing vessels 36%
Total outstanding EUR 1.8bn Mainly Norwegian exposure Fish farming the troubled area
– represents approx. 0.6% of total
loan book
Increased salmon prices but still
not on satisfactory level
Total exposure approx. EUR 2.1 bn
59
Nordea shipping portfolio
Distribution by type of vessel
End of 2003
Combined vessels 1% Crude tankers 14%
- Misc. loans
12% Bulkers 12% Product tankers 9% Chemical tankers 9% Liners 8% Cruise 8% Gas tankers 8% Feries 6% Pure car carries 5% Other dry cargo 5% Reefers 3%
Outstanding, EUR 4.9bn
– reduced following weak
USD
Well diversified portfolio by
type of vessel
Focus on large industrial
players
Exposure split approx
55% / 45% Nordic / Int’l.
Total exposure approx. EUR 5.6bn
60
Nordea real estate financing portfolio
End of 2003
Denmark 9.0% Norway 19.7% Sweden 48.5% Finland 22.8%
Largest industry exposure Relatively large and financially
strong companies
High level of collateral coverage Lending to residential real estate
companies approx 50%
Total exposure approx. EUR 21.2bn
61
0.49 73 99 713
- 406
- 62
- 1,468
- 1,936
2,649
Q4/03
0.57 71 109 836
- 379
- 65
- 1,571
- 2,015
2,851
Q2/03
0.55 72 124 805
- 393
- 64
- 1,630
- 2,087
2,892
Q1/03
0.57 71 105 844
- 384
- 64
- 1,624
- 2,072
2,916
Q3/03
0.76 66 130 1,107
- 391
- 64
- 1,698
- 2,153
3,260
Q4/02
Transfer risk reserve Of which: General provisions Appraised by category Specific provisions Provisions Provisions/impaired loans, gross (%) Impaired loans,net/lending (%) Impaired loans, net Impaired loans, gross
- EURm. End of period
Impaired loans
62
1,936 62 207 1 304 229 21 206 168 181 63 143 351 Provisons 1 Public sector 2,649 73 259 458 261 37 242 222 255 73 211 557 Gross 713 11 52 154 32 16 36 54 74 10 68 206 Net Total Shipping & Offshore Agriculture & Fishing Other companies Renting, Consulting and other services Finance Manufacturing Trade and services Transport, communication Construction Real estate Personal customers
- EURm. End of 2003
Impaired loans
63
Loan losses
219 236 246 221 229
- 143
- 138
- 154
- 132
- 145
76 98 92 89 84
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Gross Reversals Net
EURm YoY:
Loan loss ratio 0.25% in 2003 Loan losses concentrated to
Norwegian retail portfolio
Large part relates to fish
farming
Pan Fish shares valued at
zero
QoQ:
Loan loss ratio 0.23% in Q4
64
Comments on certain industries
Real estate
Vacancy rates increasing from very low levels in commercial real estate Rent levels down from peak but still higher than original levels 3-5 years ago Low interest rates help secure cash flow and secondary market values New construction volumes adjusted to decreased demand Large foreign interest in Nordic property market Residential part of portfolio performing strongly
65
Comments on certain industries
Shipping and Offshore industry
Pick up in economy leading to increased rates Bulk market particularly strong Tanker market strong but volatile Crusing market recovering from global uncertainties Offshore industry suffering from uncertainty of oil prices Nordea´s exposure well diversified with modern ships and globally
competitive companies
Restructuring and consolidation of industry continue
66
Economic capital
67
Economic capital (EC)
EC is the capital required by Nordea to cover unexpected losses 6 different risk categories are incorporated The measurement period is one year The confidence level is 99.97% The economic capital may change over time due to:
– composition of risk exposures – changes in parameters
Economic capital is used for
– risk management – performance measurement – capital allocation
68
Economic capital
10.2 9.5 9.1 9.0 8.9
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 EURbn
EC reduced by EUR 1.3bn
in 2003
No major changes in Q4 Ongoing sale of real estate
holdings
69
Economic capital per business area
End of 2003
CIB 20% Other 9% Treasury 5% Asset Mgmt & Life 12% Retail 54%
1.0 Life 1.8 CIB 0.1 Asset Mgmt 0.5 Treasury 0.8 Other 4.7 Retail Banking
8.9
Q4/03
Total
EC per business area, EURbn
70
Distribution of economic capital - by risk category
End of 2003
Credit risk 60% Business risk 10% Market risk 17% Real estate risk 4% Operational risk 8% Life risk 1%
71
Nordea
72
Vision
We will be valued as the leading financial services group in the Nordic and Baltic markets with a substantial growth potential. We will be in the top league or show superior profitable growth in every market and product area in which we choose to compete. We will have the leading multichannel distribution with a top world ranking in e-based financial solutions and a high level of usage of our e-services We will be a good corporate citizen ensuring confidence and trust
Mission: ‘Making it possible’
By providing a broad set of easily accessible and competitive financial services and solutions, Nordea helps customers to reach their objectives.
73
Strategic themes
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and performance oriented employees Ensure stable and profitable growth of income Ensure operational excellence, strict cost management and reduced complexity Ensure capital efficiency and high credit portfolio quality Sustainable growth of economic profit
74
Strategic themes firmly anchored throughout the Group
Group / Group functions
- Centralisation and
consolidation of production processes
- Centralisation and
consolidation of administrative processes
- Selective use of sourcing
alternatives
- Complete divestment of real
estate
- Roll-out of economic
capital/economic profit framework
Retail Banking
- Increase sales to all existing
customers
- Acquire new profitable
customers
- Sell more through all
channels: Branches, Netbank and Contact Centres
- Sell products in bundles
- Implement common
solutions
- Encourage the customers to
use Netbank and Contact Centres
- Handle customers according
to segment-based strategy
- Enforce strict cost
management
- Use economic profit to
determine individual corporate customer strategy
- Secure the right procedure
for credit-granting
- Monitor credit risks and take
rapid action
- Use credit-scoring models
Ensure stable and profitable growth of income
- Corp. and Inst. Banking
- Increase share of wallet
- Further enhance position
among large corporate customers in Sweden
- Increase focus on Financial
Institutions
- Realise full potential of the
existing cost saving initiatives and harvest full benefits
- Increase organisational
efficiency
- Limited use of balance
sheet
- Price according to risk
- Proactive handling of credit
risk
Asset Management & Life
- Capture share of growth in
the long-term savings and life area
- Grow economic profit in Life
& Pensions at low volatility
- Standardise service
concepts
- Streamline support functions
- Ensure continuous product
range management
- Leverage on existing
products/processes
- Proactively manage
compliance and operational risk
- Realise full potential of the
changed business model in Life & Pensions Ensure capital efficiency and high credit portfolio quality Ensure operational excellence, strict cost management and reduced complexity
75
Financial targets
*Proposed dividend for 2003 EUR 0.25 per share. Dividend for 2002 was EUR 0.23 per share
7.3 48* 0.25 63 3,673 16.7 3rd 2003 7.1 76 0.19 64 3,745 11.3 15th 2002 > 40 % of net profit Dividend pay-out ratio,% > 6.5% Tier 1 capital ratio, % In the top five of the peer group Total shareholder return, peer group ranking < 0.40% of loans and guarantees
- n average over a business cycle
Loan losses ratio, % < 55 % from 2005 and with present business mix Cost/income ratio, % Same cost level as in 2003 Costs, EURm Sustainable RoE>15% from 2004 Return on equity excluding goodwill, % Target Key performance indicator
76
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 SAMPO DnB NOR SWEDBANK SEB COMMERZBANK SHB HYPOVEREINSBANK BANK OF IRELAND ALLIED IRISH BANKS ABBEY NATIONAL KBC DANSKE BANK NORDEA ABN AMRO SOCIETE GENERALE LLOYDS TSB HBoS BNP BARCLAYS RBoS
Peer group* by market cap, EURbn
6 February 2004
*As defined by Nordea
77
Strong distribution network throughout the Nordic and Baltic Sea region
Riga Vilnius Tallinn
Helsinki
Luxembourg
Stockholm
St Petersburg Frankfurt
Oslo
Countrywide network
Branch office or subsidiary Office of an associated bank
Moscow
Copenhagen
7,659 Personnel 9,118 Personnel 30,761 Total personnel 1,224 Total locations 1,491 Personnel 73 Branches/salepoints Poland and Baltic 8,657 Personnel 345 Branch offices Denmark 3,836 Personnel 130 Branch offices Norway 260 Branch offices Sweden 416 Branch offices Finland
Warzaw
78
Large customer base with high penetration in e-banking
1,588 463 440 4,100 SE 43 55 30 280 Baltic Sea Region 280 220 65 630 NO 3,652 1,665 935 9,590 Total 312 615 Life insurance customers (1,000) 1,218 523 E-banking customers (1,000) 320 80 Corporate customers 2,960 1,620 Personal customers Banking customers (1,000) FI DK
79
Business areas
80
395 92 48 43 35
- 111
- 268
62 44 60 100 428
- 300
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Retail CIB Asset Mgmt* Life* Group Treasury Group Functions and Eliminations
Q3/03 Q4/03
Result by business area
EURm
*Product result for Asset Management and Life
Figures are disclosed and consolidated using end of period and average currency rates in conformity with the ordinary statutory reporting. Previously, fixed planning rates were used. Historical information has been restated accordingly.
81
Retail Banking
82
Retail Banking operating profit
354 345 376 395 428 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
Strong sales Increase in payment transactions Loan losses in Retail Banking
Norway
Improved RoE
26 55 Q4/03 24 RoE, % 56 C/I ratio, % Q3/03 Key ratios
83
Retail Banking operating profit by markets
- 1
9 31 32 2
- 2
30 44 28 25 24 26 RoE % 84 79 57 54 56 65 56 51 52 54 56 55 C/I ratio % 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 4.7 4.7 Economic capital, EURbn 11 11 222 225 124 117 191 198 203 208 751 758 Net interest income 6 8 116 124 46 35 78 99 91 87 340 356 Non-interest income Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4
EURm
3 1 4
- 15
19 149
- 8
161
- 188
349
- 6
- 60
54
- 98
152 168 22 146
- 151
297 120
- 19
134
- 161
295 428
- 65
495
- 619
1,114 17 338 170 269 294 1,091 Total income
- 14
- 191
- 96
- 151
- 155
- 611
Total expenses 145 6 115 131 395 Operating profit
- 1
2
- 68
- 3
- 13
- 83
Loan losses 147 SE 3 74 118 139 480 Profit bef. loan loss P&B NO FI DK Retail
84
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q3/03 Q4/03
Retail Banking lending
EURbn End of period
85
5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q3/03 Q4/03
Retail Banking deposits
EURbn End of period
86
Retail Banking deposits
10.2 5.4 6.9 6.1 6.8 3.4 6.4 6.6 4.2 1.2 9.3 2.6
5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Corporate Personal customer - saving accounts Personal customer - current accounts
- EURbn. End of 2003
87
Retail Banking, volumes and margins
1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% Q4/03 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% Q3/03 Margins 41.1 41.0 Deposits from personal customers 118.8 119.0 Total lending 69.3 70.0 Total deposits 28.2 29.0 Deposits from corporates 61.5 63.0 Lending to personal customers 57.3 56.0 Lending to corporates Q3/03 Q4/03
EURbn
Volumes
Margins are quarterly averages and exclude Poland and Baltic, volumes end of period
88
Retail Banking, lending and deposit margins
Quarterly averages 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 4 / 2 Q 1 / 3 Q 2 / 3 Q 3 / 3 Q 4 / 3 Lending to corporates Lending to personal customers Deposits from corporates Deposits from personal customers Stable lending margins Stable deposit margins
– supported by ”hedges”
%
89
E-banking & transactions
90
E-banking customers
Equity trading customers
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Jan-00 June-00 Nov-00 April-01 Sept-01 Feb-02 July-02 Dec-02 May-03 Oct-03
E-banking customers
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Jan-00 June-00 Nov-00 April-01 Sept-01 Feb-02 July-02 Dec-02 May-03 Oct-03
(1,000) Mill.
91
Payments and log-ons
E-banking payments 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q1/00 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Mill. E-banking log-ons 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q1/00 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Mill.
92
Penetration on the net
Equity trading penetration rate
Executed trades
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 J a n
- M
a y
- S
e p t
- J
a n
- 1
M a y
- 1
S e p t
- 1
J a n
- 2
M a y
- 2
2
- S
e p J a n
- 3
M a y
- 3
S e p
- 3
Mutual funds penetration rate
5 10 15 20 25 30 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sep-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03
% %
93
Cards
Issued debit and credit cards
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sept-02 Mar-03 Jul-03 Nov-03
Card payments
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sept-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03
Mill. Mill.
94
Payment transactions, households
Payments transactions, households 150 175 200 225 250 275 300
Q1/01 Q2/01 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Mill.
Breakdown of transactions
100 200 300 400 500
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Card payments ATM Transactions Solo payments Manual transactions Direct debet
Mill.
95
Corporate and Institutional Banking (CIB)
96
141 107 131 92 100 30 60 90 120 150 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
CIB operating profit
EURm
Income picked up in Q4 Maintained high activity in
Markets
Continued low loan losses
15 54 Q4/03 13 RoE, % 56 C/I ratio, % Q3/03 Key ratios
97
Stock market development
Source: Nordea Securities
12.7 2.4 77.0 Sweden 19.9 0.5 19.6 Norway 8.3
- 3.1
37.6 Finland 2.6
- 2.8
17.1 Denmark Q4 2003, % Chg Q4 vs Q3, % Q4 2003, EURbn Market index Market Volume
98
CIB operating profit by main area
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.1 2.0 1.8 Economic capital
- 47
1
- 48
- 37
- 11
Q3 65 65
- 60
125 Q4 Markets
- 14
3
- 1
- 17
- 43
26 Q4 Other 51 51
- 54
105 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 EURm 1 7
- 7
14 33 1 32
- 13
45 30 4 27
- 31
58 50 1
- 10
60
- 35
95 54 100 3 1
- 6
109
- 129
238 14 44 46 119 212 Total income
- 12
- 11
- 25
- 34
- 119
Total expenses 56 C/I ratio % 2 2 Transfer risk Equity method 2 31 20 86 92 Operating profit
- 2
- 1
Loan losses 2 Investment Banking 33 21 85 93 Profit bef. loan loss International and Shipping Division Financial Instititutions Division Corporate Banking Division CIB
* Markets has product responsibility for trading products such as FX, fixed income and related derivatives and is evaluated by
monitoring the product result. The product result includes all income and expenses related to the respective products, which is allocated to the customer responsible unit within Corporate and Institutional Banking and Retail Banking.
99
CIB lending volume
5 10 15 20 25 Corporate Banking Division Financial Institutions Division International and Shipping Division Total Q3/03 Q4/03
EURbn
End of period
100
Asset Management & Life
101
Asset Management product result
38 31 41 48 60 10 20 30 40 50 60 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
Strong sales and result Net inflow of EUR 5.8bn Q4
– net inflow in 2003 EUR 12.5bn
AuM up 6% to EUR 113bn Q4
– up 18% from end 2002
113 56 Q4/03 107 AuM, EURbn 60 C/I ratio, % Q3/03 Key ratios
102
Assets under management
20 40 60 80 100 120 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Life & pensions Institutional clients European private banking & fund distribution Nordic private banking Nordic retail funds
EURbn
113.3
103
Asset structure – Investment Management*
*Including mgmt of own investment funds
Nordic fixed income 53% Int'l. equities 22% Nordic equities 14% Int'l. fixed income 11%
Q4/03 EUR 73.7bn
Nordic fixed income 54% Int'l. equities 20% Nordic equities 13% Int'l. fixed income 13%
Q3/03 EUR 70.4bn
104
Asset structure – Investment Funds
Fixed income funds 46% Equity funds 44% Balanced funds 10%
Q4/03 EUR 41.2bn
Fixed income funds 48% Equity funds 41% Balanced funds 11%
Q3/03 EUR 38.4bn
105
Investment Funds, volumes and margins
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 DK FI NO SE Q3/03 Q4/03 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 DK* FI NO SE Q3/03 Q4/03
Margins * Net margin
% EURbn End of period
106
European Fund distribution
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 Q 3 / Q 1 / 1 Q 3 / 1 Q 1 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 1 / 3 Q 3 / 3 Inflow AUM
Net sales amounted to EUR 1bn in Q4 More than 1000 active distribution
agreements
Assets by country of source:
– 24% from Switzerland – 24% from Germany – 20% from Spain – 9% from Austria – 8% from Luxembourg – 6% from France – 9% from Other
EURm
107
52 43 44 48 22 10 20 30 40 50 60 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
Life Insurance, product result
Stable result development Changed business model key
to reduced volatility
Improved investment return
–
financial buffers stable on Q3 0.4 0.7 Inv return, % 4.7 Q4/03 4.6 Financial buffers*, % Q3/03 Key ratios
* Financial buffers in % of provisions
108
Life - breakdown of product result
- 1
- 2
Net profit from other business 43
- 3
46 7 28
- 13
126
- 151
50 Q3/03 47 Product result before distribution expenses 6 Operating profit Unit Linked business 44
- 3
- 10
- 6
111
- 114
62 Q4/03 Change in discount rate for life provisions Total product result Distribution expenses Retail Allocation to/from financial buffers Fluctuations compared to normalised investment return Normalised operating margin Allocation to policy-holders
EURm
109
Life
10 43
- 3
46 457 7 87 39
- 1
28
- 13
25 126
- 151
50
- 24
- 532
236 370
Q3/03
10 52
- 3
55 548 4 87 51 4
- 165
- 13
225
- 126
297 54
- 28
- 626
247 461
Q2/03
48 22 44 Product result
- 3
- 3
- 3
Distribution expenses Retail 9 25 598
- 1
100 26
- 1
11
- 8
24
- 48
- 14
86
- 27
- 636
250 499
Q1/03
18 47 701 6 168 41
- 2
- 10
- 6
59 111
- 114
62
- 28
- 687
244 533
Q4/03
41 51 722
- 7
127 58
- 4
- 51
113
- 83
117 79
- 30
- 770
284 595
Q4/02
Change in discount rate for life provisions Premiums written, net of reinsurance Of which profit within Retail Banking Product result before distribution expenses TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS Product result before distribution expenses Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS Product result before distribution expenses TRADITIONAL LIFE Normalised operating margin Of which allocated to policyholders Of which to/from financial buffers Insurance operating expenses Fluctuations compared to normalised investment return Actual operating margin Net profit from other business Benefits paid and change in provision Normalised investment. return Premiums written net
EURm
110
Life
47 1 3 5 21 17 Product result before distribution expenses
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 1
Distribution expenses Retail
- 114
- 2
- 10
24
- 22
- 105
Fluctuation compared to normalised investment return 1 15 13 1 1 3
- 4
- 2
6 2 Other 17 254 2 25 15
- 2
5 12 111 6
- 11
- 322
108 230 Denmark 701 51 131 250 Premiums written, net of reinsurance 44 3 4 19 Product result TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS 6 1
- 1
4 Product result before distribution expenses 168 19 19 94 Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS 41 2 6 17 Product result before distribution expenses TRADITIONAL LIFE 62 10 17 27 Normalised operating margin
- 6
- 11
4 Of which allocated to policyholders
- 10
2
- 25
8 Of which to/from financial buffers
- 28
- 2
- 11
Insurance operating expenses 111 Change in discount rate for life provisions 59 41 5 Actual operating margin
- 2
- 687
244 533 Total
- 36
16 32 Sweden
- 135
51 113 Norway Net profit from other business
- 192
Benefits paid and change in provision 62 Normalised investment return 156 Premiums written net Finland EURm
111
Life - investments
5 10 15 20 25 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Equities Bonds Real estate Unit linked Equities
–
predominantly listed equities
–
50/50 Nordic/international
Bonds
–
¾ Nordic issuers
–
primarily govmn’t & mortgage inst. EURbn
23.9
End of period
112
Life - asset allocation
10 Total equity exposure including hedge, % 15 14 22.9 23.4 Total 3 10 17 16* Q4/03 Equities, % 4 10 17 17* Q3/03 2.7 3.1 6.1 11.0 Q3/03 Q4/03 2.7 Sweden 3.2 Norway 6.3 Finland 11.2 Denmark Total, EURbn
*Hedged
113
Life - solvency situation
End of 2003
168 45 112 66 Sweden 238 303 522 219 Finland 113 58 493 435 Denmark 161 74 195 121 Norway Solvency in %
- f requirement
Solvency buffer Actual solvency Required solvency EURm
114
Life – financial buffers*
4.7 3.0 2.3 3.1 6.5 Q4/03 878 48 62 145 623 Q4/03 3.4 54 Sweden % of total provisions EURm 4.6 842 Total 3.4 153 Finland 6.2 595 Denmark 1.5 39 Norway Q3/03 Q3/03
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
115
Life – solvency sensitivity, end of 2003
168 161 238 114 Solvency in % of requirement 156 156 208 113 Equities drop 12% 209 180 254 110 Interest rates down 50bp 165 Norway 137 Sweden 117 Denmark Finland 211 Interest rates up 50bp
%
116
Life – buffer sensitivity, end of 2003
48 62 145 623 Financial buffers*
- 10
- 19
- 54
- 116
Equities drop 12% 26 8 48
- 43
Interest rates down 50bp
- 8
Norway
- 22
Sweden
- 23
Denmark Finland
- 48
Interest rates up 50bp EURm
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
117
Group Treasury
118
Group Treasury operating profit
High funding activity Gain on equities
27 58 91 35 62 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
119
Group Treasury operating profit by main areas
Q3/03 Q4/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm Group Funding Investment & Risk Trading
Equity portfolios Fixed income portfolios
Total
35 62
Operating profit
33 31
- 6
2 27 33
Investment earnings
8 29 8 29
Profit excl. Investment earnings
- 9
- 8
- 1
- 3
- 3
Expenses
17 37 33 32
- 3
5
Income
120
Group Treasury - investments
5 10 15 20 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Fixed income Equities
Equities
–
listed, unlisted & private equity funds
Bonds
–
¾ Nordic issuers
–
primarily government and mortgage inst. EURbn
14.8
End of period
121
Treasury – risk management
End of 2003
Price risk
– price risk in interest-rate positions, calculated as a parallel shift assuming a
change in market interest rates of 100bp
Equity risk (VaR)
– risk related to equities, calculated as VaR, comprise all equities including listed,
unlisted and private equity
46 99 2002 49 98 2003 Equity risk (VaR) Interest rate risk EURm, end of period
122
Balance sheet
123
Balance sheet - key items
134,396 262,190 12,177 95,556 145,644 2003 134,660 249,619 11,897 94,177 145,740 2002 Risk-weighted assets 5 Total assets 2 Shareholders’ equity 1 Deposits Lending Change, 12 months %
EURm End of period
124
146 28 23 22 25 5 146 32 29 23 29 3 30 60 90 120 150 Lending Bonds and
- ther interest
bearing securities Loans and advances to credit inst. Assets, insurance Other assets, banking Other 2002 2003
Balance sheet structure - assets
EURbn End of period
125
Real estate holdings
2.8 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 2003 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 Non owner occupied properties 3.7 1.9 0.4 1.2 2002 4.1 2.0 0.3 1.5 2001 4.0 1.6 0.4 1.4 2000 5.5 Total 1.6 Investments of the insurance companies 0.4 Shares in real estate holding companies 1.4 Owner occupied properties 1999 Book value. EURbn
End of period
126
94 62 26 29 20 12 6 96 64 29 34 22 12 5
20 40 60 80 100 120
Deposits and
- ther
borrowings from the public Debt securities in issue Deposits by credit institutions Provisions and
- ther liabilities,
banking Liabilities, insurance Shareholder´s equity Other
2002 2003
Balance sheet structure – liabilities and equity
EURbn End of period
127 Lending
146 147 147 149 146 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
Lending and deposits
Deposits
94 95 91 93 96 20 40 60 80 100 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 EURbn EURbn
End of period
128
Capital base
12,529
- 258
- 1,440
4,473 9,754
- 63
- 1,762
8 280 11,291
- 886
12,177 End of 2003 Deductions for other investments Group goodwill Other deductions TIER 1 Capital TIER 2 Capital (subordinated debt) Deductions for investments in insurance companies Deductions insurance companies and other Hybrid capital Minority interests Shareholders’ equity in the capital base Capital base Shareholders’ equity
EURm
129
* Statistics as of December 2003
Market shares
130
Market shares, personal customer deposits
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Dec 02 Dec 03 %
131
Personal customer deposits - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40%
100 200 300 400 500
- A
u g
- N
- v
1
- F
e b 1
- m
a y 1
- A
u g 1
- N
- v
2
- F
e b 2
- m
a y 2
- A
u g 2
- N
- v
3
- F
e b 3
- M
a y 3
- A
u g 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 100 200 300 400 500 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 june-02 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 25%
EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share 100 200 300 400 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15%
132
Market shares, corporate deposits
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Dec 02 Dec 03
%
133
Corporate deposits - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 35% 37% 39% 41% 43% 45% 50 100 150 200 250 300 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 100 200 300 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share 100 200 300 400 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 10% 15% 20% 25%
134
Market shares, personal customer lending
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Dec 02 Dec 03
%
135
Personal customer lending - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 60 J a n
- 3
F e b
- 3
M a r
- 3
A p r
- 3
M a y
- 3
J u n
- 3
J u l
- 3
A u g
- 3
S e p
- 3
O c t
- 3
N
- v
- 3
29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-02 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 200 400 600 800 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22%
136
Personal customer lending - market volume & share
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-02 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 200 400 600 800 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 10 20 30 40 50 60 J a n
- 3
F e b
- 3
M a r
- 3
A p r
- 3
M a y
- 3
J u n
- 3
J u l
- 3
A u g
- 3
S e p
- 3
O c t
- 3
N
- v
- 3
30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35%
137
Market shares, corporate lending
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Dec 02 Dec 03
%
138
Corporate lending - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41%
250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-02 Mar-02 Jun-03 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
139
Investment funds - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 25 J u n
- M
a r
- 1
D e c
- 1
S e p
- 2
D e c
- 2
M a r
- 3
J u n
- 3
S e p
- 3
D e c
- 3
20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 200 400 600 800 1000 Mar-00 Dec-00 Sep-01 Jun-02 Mar-03 Dec-03 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Dec-99 Sep-00 Jun-01 Jan-02 Jun-02 Sep-03 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Nordea market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Mar-00 Dec-00 Sep-01 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
140
Investment funds, net inflow, Norway
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 3,000
- 2,000
- 1,000
1,000 2,000 3,000 D e c
- 1
F e b
- 2
A p r
- 2
J u n
- 2
A u g
- 2
O c t
- 2
D e c
- 2
F e b
- 3
A p r
- 3
J u n
- 3
A u g
- 3
O c t
- 3
D e c
- 3
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% NOKm
141
Investment funds, net inflow, Finland
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 400
- 200
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 02-may Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03
- 16
- 8
8 16 24 32 40
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% EURm
142
Investment funds, net inflow, Sweden
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 2,000
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Dec-01 Feb-02 Apr-02 Jun-02 Aug-02 Oct-02 Dec-02 Feb-03 Apr-03 Jun-03 Aug-03 Oct-03 Dec-03
- 4
4 8 12 16 20 24 28
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% SEKm
18bn 19bn
143 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm Q3/03 Q4/03
%
Market share, equity dealing - Nordea Securities
75.2 19.5 38.8 17.6
Q3/03
77.0 19.6 37.6 17.1
Q4/03
Sweden Norway Finland Denmark
EURbn Equity market turnover
144
Appendix
Financials
Page 146
Nordea share
Page 157
Other
Page 164
Macro statistics
Page 169
145
Appendix
Financials
146
Pension obligations
Defined benefit plans in Sweden, Norway, Finland and partly
Denmark, mainly covered by pension funds under local regulation
Aggregated deficit of EUR 56m end 2003 not recognised in
balance sheet
– reflecting surpluses in Finland (EUR 58m), Sweden (EUR 5m) and Denmark
(EUR 8m)
– deficit of EUR 127m in Norway
Nordea will implement IAS 19/RR29 of from 2004 IAS 19/RR29 leads to valuation adjustment
– will be recognised as a reduction of equity of EUR 183m
147
27% 9 5 (4) 81 85 Q3/03 13% 10 8 (3) 82 84 Q4/03
Denmark Sweden Norway Finland Total
34%
- 41
41 589 548 Q3/03 25% 257 (12) (269) 1,729 1,998 Q3/03 (56) 58 (64) (127) 6 5 Surplus(deficit) not recognised in balance sheet 244
- 120
111 128 122 Net liability on balance sheet 1 (300) 58 (184) (238) (122) (117) Funded status
- surplus/(deficit)1
26% 1,770 2,070 Q4/03 15% 287 471 Q3/03 21% 772 894 Q3/03 36% 16% 23% Equity exposure 552 533 901 Pension obligations Q4/03 Q4/03 Q4/03
EURm
610 295 784 Assets
1) The liability in Sweden is related to former employees in Postgirot Bank
Pension obligations (national GAAP)
Major pension plans End of period
148
- 46
Profit sharing 470
- 40
- 40
27 443 10
- 89
522
- 881
- 350
- 531
1,403 56 130 379 838 Q3/03 579
- 40
- 50
81 488 19
- 92
561
- 902
- 363
- 539
1,463 99 155 366 843 Q2/03 380
- 41
- 19
29 373 14
- 98
457
- 917
- 397
- 520
1,374 29 157 353 835 Q1/03 383
- 46
- 40
33 356 14
- 84
426
- 973
- 416
- 511
1,399 36 125 388 850 Q4/03 446
- 43
- 44
41 404 16
- 76
464
- 993
- 448
- 545
1,457 54 130 388 885 Q4/02 Investment earnings, banking Operating profit, life Insurance Other income Profit before inv. earnings and insurance Equity method Loan losses, net Profit before loan losses Operating profit Goodwill depreciation Operating profit, general Insurance Total expenses Other expenses Personnel expenses Total income Trading income Net commission income Net interest income EURm
Operational income statement
149
Statutory income statement
- 90
- 84
Depreciation, amortisation and write-down of tangible and intangible fixed assets
- 115
Real estate sales and write downs, net
323
- 140
2
461
38 423 16 2
- 78
483
- 1,020
- 399
- 531
1,503
63 76 403 3 958
- 1,643
2,601
Q4/02
- 1,131
Total operating expenses
Minority interest
268 Total operating profit
Pension adjustments
- 66
Taxes
- 134
Loan losses, net 50 Change in value of property taken over for protection of claims 14 Profit from companies accounted for under the equity method 234 Operating profit, banking 34 Operating profit, insurance
202 304
- 373
- 559
1,435
60 86 405 1 883
- 1,023
1,906
Q4/03 Profit before loan losses Total income
General administrative expenses Personnel expenses Other administrative expenses Other operating expenses Net interest income Net result from financial operations Other income Dividends received Net commission income
Net profit
Interest expenses Interest income
EURm
150
Reconciliation of operational and statutory accounts
- 115
20)
- 115
Real estate write-downs 20) 115
- 115
Real estate write-downs 19) 46
- 46
Profit sharing 20 16) 20 Change in value of property taken over 1,490
- 2
- 205
- 16
1,713 126 1,587 57
- 383
1,893
- 3,930
- 299
- 1,381
- 2,135
5,823 220 369 1,533 43 3,658 Statutory 2003
- 16
- 99
144
- 243
- 20
- 243
- 243
- 299
155 30
- 27
27 Other adjustment 23
- 149
126 Insurance
- 170
170 170
- 14
- 10
- 4
184 13 26 30 115 Investment activities 14 316
- 567
47 13 177 Trading income 1,490
- 2
- 205
1,812
- 167
149 170 1,660 57
- 363
1,966
- 3,673
- 1,526
- 2,101
5,639 220 567 1,486 3,366 Operational 2003 4) 3) 5) 2) 4) 1) 10) 10) 8) 7) 9) 6) 12) 11) 13) 15) 16) 14,15) 13,19) 18) 18) 17) 17) Allocation to Pension foundation Taxes Minority interests Total expenses Operating insurance Operating profit, life insurance Goodwill depreciation Operating profit Loan losses, net Profit from companies – equity method Profit excluding investment earnings Investment earnings, banking Profit before Loan losses Total income Personnel expenses Other expenses Depreciation according to plan Commission income Net result from financial operations Other income Trading Net profit Dividends received Net interest income
EURm
151
Reconciliation of operational and statutory acounts
1. Net interest income from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (for example interest related to swaps etc.), reclassified as trading income in the operational accounts. Mainly customer trading. 2. Commission income in Nordea Markets, reclassified as Trading income in the operational accounts. 3. Net result from financial operations from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (foreign exchange and derivatives trading) reclassified to trading income in the
- perational accounts. Mainly customer trading.
4. Other income and dividends received in Nordea Markets, reclassified to trading income in the operational accounts. 5. Trading income in the operational accounts, equals income in Nordea Markets (incl. income allocated to Business Areas), reclassified from the statutory accounts as described in 1) through 4) above. 6. Net interest income from Treasury’s portfolio of certificates and bonds, reclassified as investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 7. Securities gains/losses on Treasury’s investment portfolios (certificates, bonds and equities), reclassified from Net result form financial operations in the statutory accounts, to investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 8. Real estate gains/losses. Reclassified from Other income in the statutory accounts to Investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 9. Dividends received on equities (non-insurance portfolio), reclassified as Investment earnings in the operational accounts.
- 10. Costs related to investment activities, reclassified from
relevant category of cost in the statutory accounts, to being reported on a net basis as part of investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 11. Operating profit for insurance, in separate lines for general and life in the operational accounts. 12. Depreciation of goodwill related to insurance included in
- ne-line consolidation of insurance activities (Operating
profit, insurance) in the statutory accounts, reclassified to Depreciation of goodwill in the operational accounts. 13. Pension adjustments accounted for according to Swedish regulations in the statutory accounts. Reclassified to Personnel expenses in the Operational accounts. 14. Depreciation according to plan, including goodwill within banking is separate line in the statutory accounts. Depreciation excluding goodwill is reclassified as Other expenses in the operational accounts. 15. Depreciation of goodwill, see footnote 14) (Banking) and 12) (Insurance), shown as part of Depreciation according to plan in the statutory accounts, as opposed to separate line item in the operational accounts. 16. Change in value of property taken over in the statutory accounts, reclassified as Loan losses, net, in the
- perational accounts.
17. The difference between statutory accounts and operational accounts at the Total operating profit level is related to Pension adjustments (Sweden), only. There is no difference between the two at the Net profit level. 18. Reclassification of net result from sale of shares in OM Hex from Net result from financial operations to Other income 19. Profit sharing included in personnel expenses in the statutory income statement 20. Real estate write-downs included in the operating profit in the statutory income statement
152
Expenses - breakdown
- 46
Profit sharing 881
- 3
884 123 74 53 14 88 532 Q3/03 902
- 5
907 128 81 49 23 85 541 Q2/03 917
- 3
920 142 82 58 18 99 521 Q1/03 973
- 3
976 112 87 56 27 136 512 Q4/03 993
- 5
998 130 89 62 34 136 547 Q4/02 Information technology 2) Other Expenses
- f which investment activities 3)
Expenses Rents, premises and real estate expenses Postage, telephone and office expenses Marketing Personnel 1) EURm
1) Variable salaries were EUR 28m in Q4 2003 (Q3 2003: EUR 22m) 2) Refers to IT operations, service expenses and consulting fees. Total IT-related costs in Q4 2003, including personnel etc were EUR 208m (Q3 2003: EUR 166m). 3) Including personnel expenses (Q4 EUR 1m)
153
Total IT-related expenses*
216 184 174 166 208
50 100 150 200 250 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
EURm
*Refers to IT operations, service expenses and consultant fees including personnel etc, but
excluding IT expenses in insurance operations
154
66 65 58 61 67
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03
C/I ratio
C/I ratio, banking %
58 64 63
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2001 2002 2003 C/I ratio, banking %
155
Other Eq m
- 16
Real Invest Other Own line
- 115
Write-down real estate 10 Retail Finland Other Eq m 30 Danish Morg. Inst
- 105
Q4/03 Retail Inv e 24 Europay
24
Q4/02
- 10
- 40
Q2/02
2
- 4
22 Q3/02 GI Inv e Other Other Other Other P&L GI Retail Other Retail Retail Other BA 27 OM/HEX shares 8 Inkassosentralen General Ins
75
32 43 Q2/03 Huoneistokeskus Nordisk Renting Q1/03
35
Q3/03
Total
Contant Oy EURm
Gains and losses on various disposals etc
156
Appendix
Nordea share
157 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
C O M M E R Z B A N K S E B N O R D E A D n B N O R H Y P O V E R E I N S B A N K S W E D B A N K B A R C L A Y S B N P S O C I E T E G E N E R A L E S H B A B N A M R O K B C D A N S K E B A N K S A M P O H B O S R B O S B A N K O F I R E L A N D L L O Y D S T S B A B B E Y N A T I O N A L A L L I E D I R I S H B A N K
Total shareholder return (TSR) 2003
Nordea peer group*
Source: Bloomberg 31/12-2003
%
*As defined by Nordea
158
Shareholder structure, end of 2003
19.0% 7.1% 7.0% 6.3% 4.0% 30.2% 2.0% 24.4% Swedish institutions International institutions Swedish state Danish institutions Finnish institutions Finnish public Danish public Swedish public
Number of shareholders approx. 503,000
159
Largest registered shareholders, end 2003
0.3 9.7 AMF Pension fonder 0.3 8.7 Öms. Pensionsförsäkringsbolaget Varmo-Sampo 0.6 15.9 Nordea Bank Sverige vinstandelsstiftelse 46.6 1,325.8 Total for the 20 largest shareholders 3.2 92.4 Alecta 2.7 75.5 Robur fonder 19.0 542.0 Swedish state 3.6 102.5 Nordea Danmark fonden 2.4 69.6 Nordea fonder 2.1 61.0 AMF Pension 1.8 52.2 Tryg i Danmark smba 1.8 50.1 Fjärde AP-fonden 1.7 49.7 SEB fonder 1.4 39.5 Skandia 0.4 10.6 Länsförsäkringar 0.4 10.7 Solidium Oy (Finnish state) 0.4 10.9 Länsförsäkringar fonder 1.0 28.1 Andra AP-fonden 1.1 31.3 SHB/SPP fonder 1.1 32.3 Tredje AP-fonden 1.2 32.9 Första AP-fonden % Number of shares Shareholder
160
Number of shares
2,928,108,227
- 57,008,000**
Buyback Cancellation Oct, 2003 2,846,499,727 81,608,500 Buyback Market Nov-Dec 2004 2,928,108,227 45,050 Conversions* New issue Sep, 2002 2,928,063,177 40,008,000** Buyback Market Aug-Sep 2002 2,968,071,177 2,405,087 Conversions* New issue May, 2002 2,965,666,090 17,000,000** Buyback Market April, 2001 2,982,666,090 3,473,373 Conversions* New issue 2000-2001 2,979,192,717 18,348,501 Unidanmark New issue June, 2000 2,960,844,216 869,776,488 Unidanmark New issue April, 2000 2,091,067,728 815,800,287 Merita New issue Jan, 2000 Outstanding shares Number of shares issued Subject Type of transaction Date
*Convertible bond conversions
** Shares bought back in April 2001 and Aug-Sep 2002 cancelled in Oct 2003 Average number of shares Jan-Dec 2003 was 2,921 million (Jan-Dec 2002 2,955 million). Dilution not applicable.
161
Distribution of shares, end of 2003
Shares,% No of shares Shareholders,% Shareholders No of shares 100.00 2,846,499,727 100.0 503,290 Total 77.53 2,206,830,345 0.05 234 1,000,001- 7.31 208,109,580 0.12 627 100,001-1,000,000 3.70 105,303,233 0.84 4,203 10,001-100,000 6.77 192,815,613 15.79 79,446 1,001-10,000 4.69 133,440,956 83.21 418,780 1-1,000
162
11.7 54.0 0.51 4.28
EUR 0.252)
2003 52.0 50.0 71.5 55.5 38.4 Share price, end of period, SEK 14.0 0.30 4.06
EUR 0.23
2002
1) Pro forma incl. Unidanmark 2) Proposed dividend 3) Share price converted to euro devided by 12 months rolling EPS
14.0 0.58 3.74
SEK
2.00 2000 11.0 10.6 11.3 P/E ratio3) 0.53 0.55 0.53 Earnings per share, EUR 2.68 3.43 4.00 Shareholders’ equity per share, EUR
SEK
1.64
SEK
1.75
EUR
0.23 Dividend 1998 19991) 2001
Data per share
163
Appendix
Other
164
Ratings
Individ. Long Short Long Short Long Short BFSR A1 P-1 Norgeskreditt Aaa Nordea Kredit A-1 Aa3 P-1 Nordea Hypotek B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank S B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B- Nordea Bank N B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank F B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank D Fitch S&P Moody’s
165
Business structure
Corporate Nordic Wealth Management Household Planning and Control Investment Management Investment Funds Nordic Wealth Management European Private Banking Group IT Electronic Banking* Global Operations Services* Group Credit and Risk Control Carl-Johan Granvik Group Treasury Group Planning and Control Group Legal CEO Lars G Nordström Corporate Banking Division Financial Institituitions Division International and Shipping Division Group Support and Procurement Group Human Resources Group Identity and Communications Group Management Secretariat Production and Productivity Market Support Product Companies Group Finance Investor Relations Group Corporate Development Group Compliance Life & Pensions Board of Directors Internal Audit Activity Regional Banks Denmark Regional Banks Finland Regional Banks Norway Regional Banks Sweden Regional Banks Poland and Baltic Retail Banking Kari Jordan Asset Management & Life Christian Clausen Group Processing and Technology Markku Pohjola Group Corporate Centre Arne Liljedahl Group Staffs Peter Schütze Corporate and Institutional Banking Tom Ruud Markets
166
Legal structure, 30 January 2004
Nordea Life Holding A/S Denmark Nordea Bank AB (Publ) Sweden Nordea Securities AB Sweden Nordea Asset Management AB Sweden Nordea Bank Norge ASA Norway
Nordea Liv Holding AS Norway Nordea Life Assurance I Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Nordea Pension Danmark, Livsfor- sikringsselskab A/S Denmark Nordea Finance Poland Nordea Life Assurance II Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Nordea Bank Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Nordea Bank Danmark A/S Denmark
Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Nordea Bank Finland Plc Finland
Various subsidiaries Nordea Bank Polska SA Poland Nordea Zycie SA Poland
167
Group Executive Management
Lars G Nordström President and Group CEO Christian Clausen Head of Asset Management & Life Carl-Johan Granvik Head of Group Credit and Risk Control, Group CRO Kari Jordan Head of Retail Banking Arne Liljedahl Head of Group Corporate Centre, Group CFO Markku Pohjola Head of Group Processing and Technology, Deputy Group CEO Tom Ruud Head of Corporate and Institutional Banking Peter Schütze Head of Group Staffs
168
Appendix
Macro statistics and estimates
Source: Nordea Markets Economic Research Estimates from January 2004
169
Macro data
% 2003e 2004e 2005e Gross domestic product DK 0.2 2.3 2.4 FI 1.7 3.2 3.5 NO 0.7 3.4 2.9 SE 1.5 2.5 2.9 Inflation DK 2.1 1.5 2.0 FI 1.3 0.6 1.8 NO 2.5 1.0 2.1 SE 2.1 0.9 2.0 Private consumption DK 1.3 2.8 2.0 FI 3.8 3.3 2.6 NO 3.0 4.7 3.5 SE 2.0 2.3 2.5 Unemployment DK 6.1 6.2 5.6 FI 9.0 9.1 8.7 NO 4.6 4.3 3.8 SE 4.9 5.1 4.9
In Norway, forecasts are for mainland GDP
170
Market development - GDP
2.9 2.9 3.5 2.4 2005e 2.5 1.5 Sweden 3.4 0.7 Norway 3.2 1.7 Finland 2.3 0.2 Denmark 2003e
%
Source: Nordea Economic Research, January 2004 In Norway, forecasts are for mainland GDP
2004e 2002 1.9 1.3 2.2 2.1
171
Gross domestic product
- 10
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 Q1/90 Q1/95 Q1/00 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
172
Inflation
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
173
Private consumption
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 Q1/90 Q1/95 Q1/00
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Change in % YoY
174
Household saving rates
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 12 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden %
175
Unemployment
5 10 15 20 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden % of labour force
176
Credit growth total lending to non-bank sector
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 96 March 96 Sept 97 March 97 Sept 98 March 98 Sept 99 March 99 Sept 00 March 00 Sept 01 March 01-Sep 02-Mar 02-Sep Mar-03 03-Sep
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
177
Bankruptcies
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 J a n
- 9
4 J a n
- 9
5 J a n
- 9
6 J a n
- 9
7 J a n
- 9
8 J a n
- 9
9 J a n
- J
a n
- 1
J a n
- 2
J a n
- 3
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Number of bankruptcies per month
178
Exchange rate, EUR/USD
0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.2 2/1 /98 2/5 /98 2/9 /98 2/1 /99 2/5 /99 2/9 /99 2/1 /00 2/5 /00 2/9 /00 2/1 /01 2/5 /01 2/9 /01 2/1 /02 2/5 /02 2/9 /02 2/1 /03 2/5 /03 2/9 /03 2/1 /04 USD
179
Exchange rate, EUR/SEK
8 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.6 10 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 1/1 /04 SEK
180
Exchange rate, EUR/NOK
7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 1/1 /04 NOK
181
Oilprice development, Brent, USD/Barrel
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1/1 /90 1/1 /91 1/1 /92 1/1 /93 1/1 /94 1/1 /95 1/1 /96 1/1 /97 1/1 /98 1/1 /99 1/1 /00 1/1 /01 1/1 /02 1/1 /03 1/1 /04 Dollar
182
Stock exchange indices
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2/1 /97 2/7 /97 2/1 /98 2/7 /98 2/1 /99 2/7 /99 2/1 /00 2/7 /00 2/1 /01 2/7 /01 2/1 /02 2/7 /02 2/1 /03 2/7 /03 2/1 /04
HEX Index Affärsvärldens General Index Oslo Total Index KFX Index Index 100 = 1997
183
Money market, 3 month rates
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1/1 /98 1/4 /98 1/7 /98 1/10 /98 1/1 /99 1/4 /99 1/7 /99 1/10 /99 1/1 /00 1/4 /00 1/7 /00 1/10 /00 1/1 /01 1/4 /01 1/7 /01 1/10 /01 1/1 /02 1/4 /02 1/7 /02 1/10 /02 1/1 /03 1/4 /03 1/7 /03 1/10 /03 1/1 /04
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
184
Government bond, 10 year
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 1/1 /04
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
185
Financial calendar 2004
AGM will be held on 31 March 2004 Q1 report 2004 will be published on 28 April 2004 Q2 report 2004 will be published on 18 August 2004 Q3 report 2004 will be published on 27 October 2004 The Nordea Annual Report will be available on www.nordea.com around March 1
www.nordea.com/ir