Prepping for the Prepping for the 2019 Grain Markets 2019 Grain - - PDF document

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Prepping for the Prepping for the 2019 Grain Markets 2019 Grain - - PDF document

Oct 02, 2022 24 likes •135 views

Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub Prepping for the Prepping for the 2019 Grain Markets 2019 Grain Markets Nebraska Women in Agriculture Kearney, NE February 22, 2019 Will the grain exist Should you

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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 1

Prepping for the Prepping for the 2019 Grain Markets 2019 Grain Markets

Nebraska Women in Agriculture Kearney, NE February 22, 2019

Is it a good price? Is it highly likely to go up in the future? Sell the grain anyway. You have my limited permission to procrastinate. Will the grain exist

  • r be covered by

insurance? SELL THE GRAIN!

Should you sell some grain today?

Yes Yes No No

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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 2

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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 3

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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 4

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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 7

Soybean Options (1/15/2019) Put Price Call Price ‘Put‐Call Parity’ Disparity

March ATM ($9.00) 14¢ 16¢ 2¢ September ATM ($9.40) 44.1¢ 42.5¢ ‐1.6¢

Corn Options (1/15/2019) Put Price Call Price ‘Put‐Call Parity’ Disparity

March ATM ($3.80) 7.4¢ 7.4¢ 0¢ September ATM ($4.00) 23.4¢ 21.6¢ ‐1.8¢

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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 8

‐50 50 100 150 200 250 1866 1872 1878 1884 1890 1896 1902 1908 1914 1920 1926 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016

bushels per acre

US Average Corn Yield Nebraska Linear (US Average Corn Yield)

  • Poly. (US Average Corn Yield)
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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 9

8¢

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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 10

CASH GRAIN CONTRACTS

  • Spot contracts
  • Forward contracts
  • Hedge‐to‐Arrive contracts
  • Basis‐only contracts

FUTURES CONTRACTS OPTIONS CONTRACTS ‘DESIGNER’ CONTRACTS

Hedging

BLOCKCHAIN: A shared digital ledger

  • Decentralized
  • Synchronized
  • Corroborated
  • Immutable
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Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 11

Illustrations by Bojan Simonoski Background image obtained from iStock photo

@elainekub

Thank you!