Prepping for the Prepping for the 2019 Grain Markets 2019 Grain - PDF document

Oct 02, 2022 •24 likes •134 views

Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub Prepping for the Prepping for the 2019 Grain Markets 2019 Grain Markets Nebraska Women in Agriculture Kearney, NE February 22, 2019 Will the grain exist Should you

Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub Prepping for the Prepping for the 2019 Grain Markets 2019 Grain Markets Nebraska Women in Agriculture Kearney, NE February 22, 2019 Will the grain exist Should you sell SELL THE GRAIN! or be covered by some grain today? insurance? Yes Is it a good price? Sell the grain anyway. No No Is it highly likely to go up in the You have my future? limited permission Yes to procrastinate. 1
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 2
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 3
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 4
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 5
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 6
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub Corn Options ‘Put‐Call Parity’ (1/15/2019) Put Price Call Price Disparity March ATM ($3.80) 7.4¢ 7.4¢ 0¢ September ATM 23.4¢ 21.6¢ ‐1.8¢ ($4.00) Soybean Options ‘Put‐Call Parity’ (1/15/2019) Put Price Call Price Disparity March ATM ($9.00) 14¢ 16¢ 2¢ September ATM 44.1¢ 42.5¢ ‐1.6¢ ($9.40) 7
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 250 US Average Corn Yield Nebraska 200 Linear (US Average Corn Yield) Poly. (US Average Corn Yield) 150 bushels per acre 100 50 0 1866 1872 1878 1884 1890 1896 1902 1908 1914 1920 1926 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 ‐50 8
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub 8¢ 9
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub CASH GRAIN CONTRACTS • Spot contracts • Forward contracts • Hedge‐to‐Arrive contracts • Basis‐only contracts Hedging FUTURES CONTRACTS OPTIONS CONTRACTS ‘DESIGNER’ CONTRACTS BLOCKCHAIN: A shared digital ledger • Decentralized • Synchronized • Corroborated • Immutable 10
Elaine Kub 605.644.6KUB elaine@masteringthegrainmarkets.com @elainekub Thank you! @elainekub Illustrations by Bojan Simonoski Background image obtained from iStock photo 11

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