PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS, AND THE AVAILABILITY OF TRAFFIC SAFETY DATA - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TITAN, PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS, AND THE AVAILABILITY OF TRAFFIC SAFETY DATA IN TENNESSEE 1

What is TITAN? TITAN essentially serves as Tennessee’s Traffic Records Management System. This network is comprised of two components: • A Stand Alone Software Application • Online Web Portal 2

Goals • Reduce submission of paper crash, citation, and crime reports (Eliminate Manual Processes) • Increase data available for Data Driven Decision Making (Pro-active vs. Re-active Enforcement) • Improve allocation of resources • Safer Roadways and Communities 3

Currently  320+agencies submitting electronically  150,000+ reports in the last 12 months  91% timely submission (7 days or less)  87% use Map-It tool 4

New Legislation 5

TITAN Modules E-Crash E-Forms E-Citation DUI Tracker E-Crime & Trooper Activity Court Disposition Reporting 6

Map-It Enhancement  Integration Integrated with E-CRASH, E-CITATION, and E- CRIME components of the TITAN system.  Improved Location Data Officers will be able to access the state map and pick a location on the map for every event.  Eliminate Dependency on GPS Devices Agencies will no longer need GPS devices to enter the required coordinates into TITAN. 7

Officer Map-It Tool – Application View Statewide Tracking System for DUI arrests  168k *Additional funding required. What we will get:  Statistics/Reporting Capabilities  Detailed Violation Data  Ability to look up cases  Provides Historical Data  Accountability/Evaluates Trends  On Line Website 8

TITAN Predictive Analytics Program Goals & Objectives  Using IBM SPSS modeler software to build statistical models indicating where traffic crashes and other traffic safety incidents are most likely to occur  Provides management tools to THP Command Staff and Supervisors, as well as our local law enforcement partners, for use in optimizing the allocation of resources and manpower  Generates Law Enforcement Visibility in the right locations at the right times in order to maximize impact on traffic safety 9

TITAN Predictive Analytics Program Goals & Objectives  Reduce traffic fatalities, serious injuries in crashes, impaired driving, and crime  Create safer roads for citizens across the State of Tennessee Save Lives and Reduce Injuries 10

TITAN Predictive Analytics Data Used by the Models  Historical Crash Data from TITAN statewide repository  Date/Time  Location  Severity  Weather  Forecasts (automated data stream)  Special Events  THP District Captains  Internet Sources (Sporting Events, Holiday Events, Festivals, etc.) 11

TITAN Predictive Analytics Crash Model Overview  Location: Outputs for  Predicts likelihood of District, County, serious injury and fatal Tenth-Degree (6 mi. x crashes 5 mi.) Squares  Identifies areas of  Differs from reporting concern by time of day, solely on historical day of week, and data geographic location  Time: Outputs in 4-hour  Predicts when / where blocks, by day, by week crashes are most likely to occur 12

CRASH/DUI Model Architecture Crash Risk by Weekday and Time Midnight 3 AM - 6 AM - 9 AM - Noon - 3 PM - 6 PM - 9 PM - - 2:59 AM 5:59 AM 8:59 AM 11:59 AM 2:59 PM 5:59 PM 8:59 PM 11:59 PM Mon 8 7 37 57 81 63 28 15 Crash-DUI Tue 6 11 46 64 70 57 27 20 Wed 11 7 51 57 75 82 28 19 Thu 20 15 45 71 60 59 29 19 Data Fri 6 17 37 70 67 72 29 16 Sat 18 9 15 27 37 15 18 15 Sun 8 4 8 12 20 20 16 13 (TITAN) Charts & Tables Weather Forecast Data (NOAA) SPSS Modeler Special CRASH Events Data (Internet IBM Cognos Dashboards Predictive Sources) Business Intelligence (BI) Solutions Model Special Events Data (District Captains) GIS Services 13

14

TITAN Predictive Analytics Static PDF Reports By County 15

Traffic Safety Data Availability  TITAN Web Site: https://titan.safety.state.tn.us  Request a TITAN User Account @ titan.safety@tn.gov  TDOSHS Web Site: http://www.tn.gov/safety/stats.shtml  FARS: http://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/Main/index.aspx  FARS: http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/departments/nrd- 30/ncsa/STSI/47_TN/2012/47_TN_2012.htm 16

TITAN Web Portal – Query Tool 17

TITAN Web Portal - Mapping 18

Chris Osbourn: 615-743-4967 Christopher.Osbourn@tn.gov Patrick Dolan: 615-743-4993 Patrick.Dolan@tn.gov 19