Precious Shipping Public Company Limited
SET Opportunity Day
Meeting Room 603, Building B, SET Building
Date
14th August 2019
Precious Shipping Public Company Limited SET Opportunity Day Date - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Precious Shipping Public Company Limited SET Opportunity Day Date 14 th August 2019 Meeting Room 603, Building B, SET Building Industry Overview Shipping Commercial Crafts Dry Trades Passenger Tanker Trades Multi Car Cement Dry Cargo
Meeting Room 603, Building B, SET Building
14th August 2019
Precious Shipping PCL 2
Shipping Passenger Cruise Ferries Dry Trades Dry Cargo Handysize 10-39,999 DWT Supra/Ultramax 40-69,999 DWT Panamax 70-89,999 DWT Capesize 90,000+ DWT Multi Purpose Car Carriers Cement Carriers Containers Tanker Trades Chemical Gas Clean Crude Commercial Crafts
PSL
Precious Shipping PCL 3
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 Dec 85 Dec 86 Dec 87 Dec 88 Dec 89 Dec 90 Dec 91 Dec 92 Dec 93 Dec 94 Dec 95 Dec 96 Dec 97 Dec 98 Dec 99 Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 Dec 19 BDI BDI (Cape, Panamax, Supramax and Handy*) All time High 11,793 20th May 2008 All time Low 290 10th February 2016 Previous Highs 11,039 13th November 2007 6,208 6th December 2004 4,291 3rd June 2009 Previous Lows 647 3rd February 2012 554 July 1986 471 16th December 2015 Latest 1,868 31st July 2019 Largest daily fall 963 12th June 2008
*Handy was removed 1 March 2018
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906 715 1,0181,137 2,617 4,510 3,371 3,180 7,065 6,390 2,6172,758 1,549 920 1,2061,105 719 673 1,1451,353 798 995 1,870 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 1985 1987 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 Q1'19 Q3'19 Index Value Second lowest ever BDI in history Third lowest BDI in history Lowest average BDI in history
Upto 31 Jul 19
Precious Shipping PCL 5
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 Apr 16 May 16 Jun 16 Jul 16 Aug 16 Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17 Feb 17 Mar 17 Apr 17 May 17 Jun 17 Jul 17 Aug 17 Sep 17 Oct 17 Nov 17 Dec 17 Jan 18 Feb 18 Mar 18 Apr 18 May 18 Jun 18 Jul 18 Aug 18 Sep 18 Oct 18 Nov 18 Dec 18 Jan 19 Feb 19 Mar 19 Apr 19 May 19 Jun 19 Jul 19 Baltic Exchange Dry Index
Upto 31 Jul 19
Precious Shipping PCL 6
350 700 1,050 1,400 1,750 2,100 5 10 15 20 25 30 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 2016 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 2017 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 2018 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 BDI mDWT Scrap DWT Avg BDI
Q3 -19 shows data upto 31 Jul 19
50% lower than the lowest average BDI in history
Precious Shipping PCL 7
Latest available Data points on China for 2018 & up to July 2019 (annualized):
(1,013.8 MMT).
development of One Belt, One Road project. Up to Jun’19 was 464.0 MMT (928.0 MMT).
Precious Shipping PCL 8
100.3 84.3 85.8 82.5 94.1 83.2 90.0 89.3 93.1 88.4 86.3 86.7 91.3 83.1 86.4 80.8 83.8 75.2 90.9 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Iron Ore Import (MMT) - 2018 Iron Ore Import (MMT) - 2019
7M’2018: 620.2 MMT, 7M’2019: 591.4 MMT %CHANGE: - 4.6 Y-O-Y
27.8 20.9 26.7 22.3 22.3 25.5 29.0 28.8 25.1 23.0 19.2 10.2 33.5 17.6 23.5 25.3 27.1 26.6 32.5 10 20 30 40 50 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Coal Import (MMT) - 2018 Coal Import (MMT) - 2019
7M’2018: 174.5 MMT, 7M’2019: 186.1 MMT %CHANGE: +6.6 Y-O-Y
Precious Shipping PCL 9
8.5 5.4 5.7 6.9 9.7 8.7 8.0 9.1 8.0 6.9 5.4 5.7 7.4 4.5 4.9 7.6 7.4 6.5 8.6 2 4 6 8 10 12 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Soybeans imports (MMT) - 2018 Soybeans imports (MMT) - 2019
7M’2018: 52.9 MMT, 7M’2019: 46.9 MMT %CHANGE: - 11.3 Y-O-Y
Precious Shipping PCL 10
71.9 64.9 74.0 76.7 81.1 80.2 81.2 80.3 80.9 82.6 77.6 76.1 78.6 71.0 80.3 85.0 89.1 87.5 50 60 70 80 90 100 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec China Steel Production (MMT) - 2018 China Steel Production (MMT) - 2019
6M’2018: 448.8 MMT, 6M’2019: 491.5 MMT %CHANGE: + 9.5 Y-O-Y
Precious Shipping PCL 11
9.1 13.0 17.9 14.1 11.3 10.3 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.9 8.3 8.1 11.3 18.8 15.2 12.8 11.1 11.7 12.9 5 10 15 20 25 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec China Steel Inventory (MMT) - 2018 China Steel Inventory (MMT) - 2019
7M’2018: 12.2 MMT, 7M’2019: 13.4 MMT %CHANGE: + 9.8 Y-O-Y
4.7 4.9 5.7 6.5 6.9 6.9 5.9 5.9 6.0 5.5 5.3 5.6 6.2 4.5 6.3 6.3 5.7 4.3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec China Steel Exports (MMT) - 2018 China Steel Exports (MMT) - 2019
6M’2018: 35.6 MMT, 6M’2019: 33.4 MMT %CHANGE: - 6.2 Y-O-Y
Precious Shipping PCL 12
^ as of Q2’2019 * annualized based on figures of 7M’2019 ** annualized based on figures of 6M’2019
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 GDP Growth Rate 10.4% 9.2% 7.8% 7.7% 7.4% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 6.6% 6.2%^ Iron Ore Imports (m MT) 618 686 745 820 933 953 1,025 1,075 1,064 1,014* Coal Imports (m MT) 164 182 289 322 292 204 256 271 281 319* Steel Production (m MT) 626 684 709 775 813 801 807 845 928 983** Steel Exports (m MT) 43 49 56 62 95 112 109 76 70 67**
Precious Shipping PCL 13
Source : Clarksons
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 (f) 2020 (f) Iron Ore 7,934.3 8,180.4 8,174.9 7,960.7 8,193.1 Coal (includes Lignite) 4,982.4 5,249.6 5,563.5 5,509.7 5,583.2 Grains (includes Soybeans) 3,204.6 3,422.2 3,323.9 3,409.7 3,501.2 Minor Bulk 11,097.1 11,632.1 12,207.0 12,723.4 13,326.5 3.6% 3.0%
2.8% 0.6% 5.1% 5.6%
1.3% 2.5% 6.4%
2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 4.7% 5.0% 4.2% 4.1%
0% 5% 10% 2016 2017 2018 2019 (f) 2020 (f) Iron Ore Growth (%) Coal Growth (%) Grains Growth (%) Minor Bulk Growth (%)
% age increase over the previous year
Precious Shipping PCL 14
Source : Clarksons
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 (f) 2020 (f) Steel Products 1,801 1,761 1,855 1,899 1,936 Forest Products 2,435 2,488 2,536 2,582 2,632 Other Minor Bulk 6,883 7,417 7,889 8,332 8,787 Total Minor Bulk 11,119 11,665 12,281 12,813 13,355 Ships 10-69999DWT (MDWT) 284.45 292.94 299.69 308.14 314.73
% age increase over the previous year
5% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 7% 6% 5% 5% 2% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2%
0% 5% 10% 2016 2017 2018 2019 (f) 2020 (f) Steel Prod. Growth (%) Forest Prod. Growth (%) Other Minor Growth (%) Minor Bulk Growth (%) Growth rate on 10-69999DWT ships (%)
Precious Shipping PCL 15
Bulk cargo in the aggregate amount of 12.3 MMT, 11.7 MMT, 12.7 MMT, 6.63 MMT was carried on PSL ships in 2016, 2017, 2018 and 1H’2019 respectively
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Agri Prods Cement Coal Fertilizers Limestone Logs Ore/Conc. Other cargoes Petcoke Salt Scrap Steel MMT 2016 2017 2018 2019
Precious Shipping PCL 17
Source: Clarksons
Ship Type DWT Range (MT) Ships Av Age (yrs) Total DWT (m MT) Av DWT (MT) % of DWT Handysize 10,000 – 39,999 3,829 11.49 105.37 27,838 12.32% Supra/Ultramax 40,000 – 69,999 3,615 8.14 201.7 58,108 23.59% Panamax 70,000 – 89,999 2,265 9.56 179.24 79,135 20.96% Capesize 90,000+ 2,049 8.55 368.83 180,005 43.13% Total / Average 11,758 10.07 855.14 72,728 100% Ship Type DWT Range (MT) Ships No (%age) DWT m MT (%age) Handysize 10,000 – 39,999 +179 (+4.90%) +3.80 (+3.74%) Supra/Ultramax 40,000 – 69,999 +56 (+1.57%) +3.59 (+1.81%) Panamax 70,000 – 89,999 +74 (+3.38%) +6.08 (+3.51%) Capesize 90,000+ +18 (+0.89%) +5.21 (+1.43%) Total / Average +327 (+2.86%) +18.68 (+2.23%)
Changes in 2019 Dry Bulk Fleet as of 31 Jul 2019
Precious Shipping PCL 18
Source: CRS - PSL
1.82 4.80 4.52 13.02 2.67 8.20 11.99 25.62 0.50 2.76 4.05 11.25 0.03 0.34 0.34 1.49 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 Handysize Supra/Ultramax Panamax Capesize mDWT 2019 2020 2021 2022 (Geared) (Gearless) (Gearless) (Geared) Total Confirmed Orders as of 31th Jul 2019: 2019: 24.16 m DWT or +2.83% 2020: 48.48 m DWT or +5.67% 2021: 18.56 m DWT or +2.17% 2022: 2.20 m DWT or +0.26% Total until 2022: 93.40 m DWT or +10.92% {includes 72.28 m DWT or 77.39% Gearless ships (Panamax, Capesize and VLOCs)} Geared: 21.12 m DWT or 6.88% of existing Geared ships fleet Gearless: 72.28 m DWT or 13.19% of existing Gearless ships fleet
Precious Shipping PCL 19 30.6 57.3 169.2 104.1 38.5 104.5 42.2 24.4 104.1 59.5 17.9 13.2 32.3 30.8 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000 28,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 mDWT BDI Bulk Carrier Contracting
Source: CRS - PSL
2015 included: 11.66 mDWT (65.0%) Gearless (Panamax, Capesize & VLOCs) 2016 included: 12.39 mDWT (93.7%) Gearless (Panamax, Capesize & VLOCs) 2017 included: 27.68 mDWT (85.6%) Gearless (Panamax, Capesize & VLOCs) 2018 included: 25.31 mDWT (82.2%) Gearless (Panamax, Capesize & VLOCs) As of 31 Jul 2019 included: 12.33 mDWT (80.9%) Gearless (Panamax, Capesize & VLOCs) Start of Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 31Jul 19 Fleet (mDWT) 322.50 344.89 368.05 392.04 417.64 458.64 536.58 615.63 692.74 735.19 770.33 788.42 790.41 813.53 836.46 855.14
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5.04 1.50 1.58 2.48 2.62 2.34 2.61 2.08 0.74 3.10 1.17 2.92
2 4 6 8 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec mDWT Delivered - 2018 Scrapped - 2018
Delivered in 7M’2018 = 18.17 mDWT Delivered in 7M’2019 = 23.98 mDWT Change = + 5.81 mDWT (+ 31.98%)
3.62 2.47 3.05 2.83 3.74 3.61 4.66
3 6 9 12 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec mDWT Delivered - 2019 Scrapped - 2019
Scrapped in 7M’2018 = 3.32 mDWT Scrapped in 7M’2019 = 5.30 mDWT Change = + 1.98 mDWT (+ 59.64%)
Precious Shipping PCL 21
* based on 30% slippage (actual was 46.77% until 31Jul’19) & 12 MDWT scrapping (actual was 5.3 MDWT until 31Jul’19) for 2019 and 2020
Year End No of ships Av Dwt Total Dwt % Change CAGR (8 years period) 2001 5,475 52,281 286,240,329 4.16% 6.09 % 2002 5,557 53,024 294,652,566 2.94% 2003 5,632 53,834 303,190,410 2.90% 2004 5,847 55,139 322,395,450 6.33% 2005 6,161 56,687 349,250,814 8.33% 2006 6,412 57,953 371,596,437 6.40% 2007 6,670 58,716 391,638,490 5.39% 2008 6,978 59,880 417,841,795 6.69% 2009 7,312 62,820 459,343,243 9.93% 2010 8,154 65,626 535,110,328 16.49% 7.41% 2011 9,072 67,160 609,272,229 13.86% 2012 9,628 70,341 677,238,680 11.16% 2013 10,112 71,123 719,197,997 6.20% 2014 10,514 71,721 754,070,036 4.85% 2015 10,755 71,771 771,899,513 2.36% 2016 10,967 72,072 790,409,109 2.40% 2017 11,210 72,572 813,530,004 2.93% 2018 11,431 73,175 836,460,643 2.82% 2019* 865,344,724 3.45% Geared: 3.67% & Gearless: 3.33% 2020* 892,357,766 3.12% Geared: 2.31% & Gearless: 3.57%
Precious Shipping PCL 22
Source: IMF & Clarksons
Year World GDP growth (from IMF) World Seaborne Dry Bulk Trade (billion tonne-miles) % Change 2000 4.82 12,949.3 8.4 2001 2.46 13,190.2 1.9 2002 3.00 13,292.0 0.8 2003 4.27 14,218.8 7.0 2004 5.38 15,676.8 10.3 2005 4.86 16,630.3 6.1 2006 5.43 17,817.1 7.1 2007 5.56 18,931.6 6.3 2008 3.01 19,097.0 0.9 2009
18,424.8
2010 5.39 20,951.5 13.7 2011 4.27 22,227.3 6.1 2012 3.52 23,559.1 6.0 2013 3.47 24,869.5 5.6 2014 3.58 26,364.5 6.0 2015 3.45 26,643.3 1.1 2016 3.23 27,218.4 2.2 2017 3.70 28,484.4 4.7 2018 3.70 29,269.3 2.8 Period (2000 – 2018) World GDP growth (from IMF) Dry Bulk Trade (billion tonne-miles) % Change Period 19 years 19 years Average 3.84 4.90 Difference 1.06 Basis point 106
4 8 12 16 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Annual World GDP growth Annual Growth in Dry Bulk Demand
Precious Shipping PCL 23
* As of 31 Jul 2019 Source: CRS - PSL
10.49% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Orderbook % of fleet (LHS) % of fleet over 20y (RHS) % 20y+ until end 2022 Dry Bulk – 855.14* MDWT Orderbook % of fleet 12.45% % of fleet over 20y 7.07% % 20y+ until end 2022 10.49%
Precious Shipping PCL 24
* As of 31 Jul 2019 Source: CRS - PSL
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Orderbook % of Fleet (Handy) Orderbook % of Fleet (Supra/Ultras) % of Fleet Over 20y (Supras/Ultras) % of Fleet Over 20y (Handy) % 20y+ until end 2022 (Handy) % 20y+ until end 2022 (Supras/Ultras) Handysize – 105.4* MDWT Orderbook % of fleet 6.38% % of fleet over 20y 13.80% % 20y+ until end 2022 16.73% Supra/Ultramax – 201.7* MDWT Orderbook % of fleet 9.42% % of fleet over 20y 8.64% % 20y+ until end 2022 12.14%
Precious Shipping PCL 26
PSL’s reading of these Tariffs
China’s export dependent economy will be the one to suffer the most. That would have been true before the Global Financial Crisis but no longer holds water.
commodity is either available from some other supplier/country or is substitutable by a similar priced commodity with similar/identical attributes.
in supplier/country results in congestion; slower loading of ships (compared to the original supplier/country); and an increase in ton-mile, then that is best for the dry bulk markets.
Precious Shipping PCL 27
trade will be obliged to comply sometime between 8 September 2017 and 8 September 2024.
Picture of global availability of 0.5% compliant LSFO is getting clearer. LNG and “hybrid” fuels are also still being considered as other options for compliance.
& Group B cargo, unless otherwise tested.
Caribbean) cover both SOX & NOX.
use fuel with less than 0.5% sulfur in territorial waters.
collected in accordance with SEEMP Part 2 and reported to flag for obtaining a SOC.
Precious Shipping PCL 28
Cost: about USD 0.5 Million Downtime: about 10 days in drydock Cost: about USD 3 - 6 Million Downtime: about 4-6 weeks in drydock
Precious Shipping PCL 29
January 2020.
current limit of 3.5%.
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 ECA Global 1.5% 1.0% 0.1% 3.5% 4.5% 0.5%
Precious Shipping PCL 30
Precious Shipping PCL 31
As of 31 Jul 2019 Source: Clarksons
2.44% of the existing fleet of 97,207 ships
Carrier ships are Scrubber fitted
Including the forward book there will be just 2.91% ships Scrubber fitted of the total fleet of 101,165 ships as of the end of 2022.
Bulk Carrier ships will be Scrubber fitted
157 21 143 31 3 1 9 7 2 16 190 40 80 120 160 200
Scrubber fitted (Existing Ships) Scrubber fitted (On order ships)
729 192 460 58 4 3 47 57 5 89 724 150 300 450 600 750 900
Precious Shipping PCL 32
As of 31 Jul 2019 Source: Clarksons
0.52% of the existing fleet of 97,207 ships
Carrier ships are LNG fuel capable
will be just 0.8% ships will be LNG fuel capable of the total fleet of 101,165 ships as of end of 2022.
Carrier ships will be LNG fuel capable
5 63 28 125 20 18 1 6 6 36 35 70 105 140
LNG capable (Existing ships) LNG capable (On order ships)
6 57 5 353 26 24 2 2 9 26 100 200 300 400
Precious Shipping PCL 33
A total of 36.7 MDWT of ships will need to carry out their scheduled 4th or subsequent Special Survey (SS) and will need to fit the BWTS onboard.
2.5 3.5 4.9 4.6 4.0 4.2 1.7 2.3 1.6 1.9 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 6.0 7.5 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 mDWT 4th SS (Ships turning 20yrs) 5th SS (Ships turning 25yrs) 6th SS (Ships turning 30yrs)
Upto 31 Jul 19
Precious Shipping PCL 34
A total of 15.6 MDWT of Geared ships that will need to carry out their scheduled 4th or subsequent Special Survey (SS) and will need to fit the BWTS onboard.
0.6 1.1 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.7 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 mDWT 4th SS (Ships turning 20yrs) 5th SS (Ships turning 25yrs) 6th SS (Ships turning 30yrs)
Upto 31 Jul 19
Precious Shipping PCL 35
By the start of 2020, there will be 63.62 MDWT or 7.4% of existing dry bulk fleet that would be over 20 years of age and become likely scrapping candidates due to expensive regulatory environment. By the end of 2020, this figure will reach 73.20 MDWT or 8.6% of the existing fleet.
As of 31 Jul 2019
14.0% 8.9% 7.7% 4.6% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% Handysize Supra/Ultramax Panamax Capesize
Precious Shipping PCL 36
bunker suppliers that can offer bunker fuels with sulphur content of no more than 0.5%. The 49 Singapore fuel suppliers can offer fuel grades ranging from MGO, low sulphur fuel oil, ultra-low sulphur fuel oil of 0.1% and the 3.5% heavy bunker fuel oil. http://www.seatrade maritime.com/news/asia/29617.html?highlight=ImltbyAyMDIwIg==
sulfur marine fuel oil in 2020 and 2023. By January 1, 2020, Zhoushan and other China major ports will be fully covered with SINOPEC product availability, and more than 50 key overseas ports, including Singapore, will be covered with SINOPEC supply ability. https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/sinopec-announces- goal-of-10-million-ton-low-sulfur-marine-fuel-oil-production-capability-by-2020/
Hong Kong, where compliant fuels would be available, with locations in North America to follow. And will be ready with the products and point of sales by the third quarter of 2019. https://www.seatrade- maritime.com/news/americas/imo-2020-exxonmobil-confirms-0-5-fuel-supplies-by-q3-2019/
fourth quarter of this year. Low sulphur fuels will be available in the major hubs of Europe, Asia and Africa http://www.seatrade-maritime.com/news/asia/29847.html?highlight=InRvdGFsIg==
key ports globally and will be carrying out further trials in New Orleans, Rotterdam and Singapore. https://www.shell.com/business-customers/marine/news-and-media-releases/news-and-media-2019/shell- partners-with-industry-on-successful-fuel-trials-ahead-of-imo-2020.html
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57,600 nautical miles.
48,000 nautical miles.
Precious Shipping PCL 39
As of 31st Dec 2015 31st Dec 2016 31st Dec 2017 31st Dec 2018 30th Jun 2019 Number of Vessels 45 36 36 36 36 Average Age (Simple Avg) 9.78 years 5.83 years 6.28 years 7.28 years 7.28 years Insured Value USD 716.90 Million USD 695.10 Million USD 673.00 Million USD 700.30 Million USD 700.30 Million Book Value USD 701.03 Million USD 715.55 Million USD 717.19 Million USD 689.37 Million USD 676.16 Million Total DWT 1,628,398 1,541,244 1,585,805 1,585,805 1,585,805 Total LDT 367,844 343,372 350,989 350,989 350,989 Average DWT per Vessel 36,187 42,812 44,050 44,050 44,050
Precious Shipping PCL 40
Only vessels fixed on T/C for a period of more than one year are considered for this analysis.
Contract value USD 32.72 m USD 30.47 m USD 30.39 m USD 28.30 m USD 26.55 m 2,409 2,196 2,190 1,992 1,825 13,585 13,875 13,875 14,211 14,550 13,140 13,176 13,140 13,140 13,140 18% 17% 17% 15% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 3,500 7,000 10,500 14,000 17,500 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Fixed T/C days T/C rate Total Days % age Fixed
Precious Shipping PCL 41
* As there is no special index for the Ultras we have compared them with the BSI
Index Q2 2019 Average Index Market
PSL
Performance vs Benchmark BHSI (Handysize) 407 USD 6,077 USD 8,717 +43.44% BSI (Supramax) 754 USD 8,192 USD 9,071 +10.73% Ultramax
USD 9,600 +17.19%
Precious Shipping PCL 42
profitable year for all.
increasing profitability.
supply will remain tight in the immediate future.
absorbing between 4 to 8% of existing supply.
for rapid increase in future supply of ships.
compared to 2008’ could increase the cost of ships in the future and keep the supply side disciplined.
not meeting it’s true potential.
Precious Shipping PCL 44
Particulars H1-2019 H1-2018 Q2-2019 Q1-2019 Q2-2018 Total Revenues - US$ Million 62.76 72.01 32.32 30.44 37.19 Gross Profit - US$ Million 30.76 43.29 14.90 15.86 21.42 Net Profit (loss) - US$ Million (7.15) 6.29 (4.48) (2.67) 2.85 Net Profit (loss) excluding non-recurring items and exchange gain (loss) - US$ Million (7.02) 6.35 (4.39) (2.63) 2.93 EBITDA - US$ Million (Average per Ship) 19.10 (0.53) 33.16 (0.92) 8.46 (0.24) 10.64 (0.30) 16.37 (0.45) Average TC Income per Ship per day (US$) 9,113 10,866 9,002 9,273 10,767 Average Ship Running Cost per Ship per day (US$) 4,875 4,500 4,934 4,816 4,519 Operating days (Average Number of Ships) 6,516 (36.00) 6,516 (36.00) 3,276 (36.00) 3,240 (36.00) 3,276 (36.00) Earnings (loss) per share excluding non-recurring items and exchange gain (loss) (Baht) (0.14) 0.13 (0.09) (0.05) 0.06 Earnings (loss) per share (Baht) (0.14) 0.13 (0.09) (0.05) 0.06 Gross Profit Margin (%) 49.63 60.59 46.76 52.68 58.30 Net Profit Margin (%) (11.40) 8.73 (13.87) (8.77) 7.67
Precious Shipping PCL 45
Particulars 30-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2018 Liquidity (Cash & Cash Equivalents + Undrawn Commitments) - US$ Million 65.48 74.79 Cash & Cash Equivalents - US$ Million 47.48 56.79 Total Current Assets - US$ Million 63.66 71.41 Advances to Sainty - US$ Million * 64.12 64.12 Ships Net - US$ Million 676.16 689.37 Fixed Assets Net - US$ Million 677.34 690.58 Total Assets - US$ Million 846.61 857.85 Total Current Liabilities - US$ Million ** 16.01 13.29 Total Long-Term Loans - US$ Million 261.04 278.20 Debentures - US$ Million ^ 179.27 169.82 Total Liabilities - US$ Million 462.69 466.62 Total Shareholders’ Equity - US$ Million 383.92 391.23 Book Value per share (US$) 0.25 0.25 Book Value per share (Baht) 7.57 8.14 Return on Equity ^^ (%)
3.71% Return on Total Assets ^^ (%)
1.64% Total Liabilities / Equity Ratio 1.21 1.19 Number of Ships 36 36
* For 9 Shipbuilding Contracts which are under the arbitration process ** Excluding current portion of long-term loans ^ Net Debentures after the currency swap is US$ 154.62 million ^^ Excluding non-recurring items and exchange gain (loss)
Precious Shipping PCL 46
Particulars 2018 H1-2019 USD % USD % Crew costs 2,328 50.38% 2,348 48.16% Manning Expenses 174 3.77% 172 3.53% Victualing 158 3.42% 159 3.26% Lube oils 164 3.55% 195 4.00% Insurance 295 6.38% 321 6.59% Repairs/Maintenance 121 2.62% 140 2.87% Stores/Spares 454 9.82% 474 9.72% Dry-dock/Special Surveys 479 10.37% 585 12.00% Management Expenses 384 8.31% 374 7.67%
64 1.38% 107 2.20% Total 4,621 100.00% 4,875 100.00%
OPEX Target For 2019: USD 4,750 per day per ship
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For Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Particulars US$ (Per Day) Industry PSL Industry PSL Industry PSL Industry PSL Industry PSL Industry PSL PSL Crew Cost 2,539 2,311 2,569 2,413 2,581 2,648 2,641 2,769 2,621 2,728 2,639 2,646 2,660 Stores 655 496 620 491 587 459 548 400 521 370 506 375 379 Repairs & Maintenance 769 322 771 358 748 388 702 259 683 328 659 326 360 Insurance 483 359 464 397 458 359 432 378 411 302 391 298 295 Administration 825 451 798 354 817 371 785 342 759 358 734 391 448 Total Operating Costs 5,271 3,939 5,222 4,013 5,191 4,225 5,108 4,148 4,995 4,086 4,929 4,036 4,142
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3,118 2,556 2,589 5,040 4,355 4,621 4,875 7,306 4,808 5,854 14,449 11,387 16,489 6,266 6,476 11,063 9,113 19,514 24,901 28,170 44,050 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1-19 OPEX (USD) TC Rate (USD) Av Size (DWT)
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1-19 Avg Age 15.97 16.18 14.24 14.59 15.59 15.57 15.65 15.82 16.60 17.35 18.98 19.98 19.59 20.59 17.08 15.43 14.20 11.36 11.35 10.45 9.78 5.83 6.28 7.28 7.28
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31 45 226 227 257 211 185 133 110 106 86 240 157 44 21 128 163 222 296 283 361 410 482 469 433 416 0.6 0.6 2.5 2.4 3.8 2.9 3.0 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 100 200 300 400 500 0.0 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1-19 Debt ( Million USD) Ratio Year Debt (Million USD) Debt/Equity Ratio
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* Calculated per Debt Facility Agreements
4.7 4.3 5.9 6.5 6.4 3.6 3.4 3.3 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 6.2 4.8 8.3 16.9 20.3 8.5 6.1 7.3 4 8 12 16 20 24 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1-19 Ratio Year Debt/EBITDA
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22 37 36 26 15 13 25 26 24 40 145 196 135 162 164 102 50 38 27 44 27
28 43 7 11 21 14 3
1 5 5 23 110 154 93 125 149 88 36 23 4 16
12
50 100 150 200 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1-19 Million USD Cash Operating P&L (EBITDA-Interest) Operating P&L (EBITDA-Interest-Depreciation)
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11 21 14
6
1 7 25 110 154 93 125 148 88 36 24 4 17
14
22 37 36 7 31 19 25 28 18 42 145 196 135 163 163 102 49 39 27 46 29
27 44 8
50 100 150 200 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1-19 Million USD Net Profit/Loss Cash Profit (Net Profit/Loss+Depreciation)
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Dividend Policy: not less than 25% of net profit
* 2006 Final Dividend includes 1:1 bonus share at par All dividends shown adjusted for 1:1 bonus shares at par No Final Dividends for 2014 and No Dividends for 2015 - H1’2019
0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 42% 28% 25% 70% 56% 59% 61% 80% 80% 286% 78% 350% 0% 60% 120% 180% 240% 300% 360% 420% 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2003 2004 2005 2006* 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Dividends as % of EPS Dividends Baht Interim Dividends Final Dividends As % of EPS
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* Calculated per Debt Facility Agreements
H1-2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Cash & Cash Equivalents $47.5m $56.8m $56.7m $74.7m $12.6m $16.2m Total Assets $846.6m $857.9m $882.3m $901.9m $899.4m $846.7m Gross Debt $415.7m $432.8m $469.4m $482.1m $410.4m $361.4m Net Debt $368.2m $376.0m $412.6m $407.4m $397.8m $345.2m Equity $383.9m $391.2m $377.5m $381.2m $456.8m $463.7m Gross Debt/Equity 1.08 1.11 1.24 1.26 0.90 0.78 Net Debt/Equity 0.96 0.96 1.09 1.07 0.87 0.74
36 36 36 36 45 44 EBITDA $19.1m $68.2m $53.2m $17.9m $14.0m $42.9m Debt/EBITDA 7.31* 6.10* 8.50* 20.25* 16.92* 8.30 Daily Earnings $9,113 $11,063 $9,486 $6,476 $6,266 $8,096 Daily Opex $4,875 $4,621 $4,355 $4,503 $4,652 $4,695 Net Profit (Loss) ($7.2)m $14.1m ($3.8)m ($75.6)m ($69.4)m ($2.5)m Total Revenues $62.8m $153.6m $130.2m $107.5m $123.6m $143.3m
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Awards Asia 2018.
the 11th Seatrade Maritime Awards Asia 2018.
Pacific Awards 2018.
Lloyd’s List Asia Pacific Awards 2018.
IBJ Awards 2018.
International Bulk Journal’s IBJ Awards 2018.
Awards at the IR Magazine Awards South East Asia 2017.
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Institute of Directors & the Stock Exchange of Thailand, in the category for companies with a market capitalization below Baht 30,000 million.
Sustainability Awards 2015 on 16 October 2015.
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the second best company in Thailand for Corporate Governance for 2008.
the quality and timeliness of your information release.
understand the financial health and well being of your company.
casino and not hand you their money to run a shipping company.
Disclosure and Transparency, Shareholders’ rights and equitable treatment, Investor Relations and also Best Investor Relations Officer in Thailand in 2009, 2010 and 2014.
mid cap companies category for 2009.
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by a Thai company.
for 2012”, at The Seatrade Asia Awards Ceremony. PSL was a finalist for The Dry Bulk Operator of the year award at the same function.
the same ceremony, PSL was a finalist in ‘The Wet / Dry Bulk Operator Award’ category.
held on 20th November 2013.
Companies which have shown that they are committed to continuously operating with social responsibility and are good role model of sustainable businesses by Thailand’s Corporate Social Responsibility Institute (CSRI) and the SET.
for 6 years: 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2018 and 2019 by the Thai Investors Association.
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August 2019.
IOD & National CG Committee for nine consecutive years from 2010 to 2018.
listed companies in terms of Corporate Governance in PSL’s respective market cap categories
Governance Scorecard guidelines for 2013/2014 and 2015.
Awards 2015.
"Best in Sector: Industrials" category in Investor Relations.
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Particulars 1st Rank 2018 PSL Rank 2018 1st Rank 2017 PSL Rank 2017 1st Rank 2016 PSL Rank 2016 1st Rank 2015 PSL Rank 2015 1st Rank 2014 PSL Rank 2014 1st Rank 2013 PSL Rank 2013 SITC 16 SITC 32 Golar LNG Partners 62 Matson 74 Golar LNG Partners 55 Safe Bulkers 52 Total Return to Shareholders (TRS) 14 37 8 28 4 10 18 55 26 66 5 36 Total Assets Turnover Rate 8 63 8 74 42 79 1 68 39 49 49 58 Profit Margin 67 22 63 27 5 50 62 59 5 33 10 36 Return on Equity (ROE) 3 36 3 57 2 79 6 79 1 58 8 37 Return on Assets (ROA) 1 23 2 40 2 76 6 80 2 55 4 57 Price / Book Value 1 16 2 14 4 25 1 61 3 46 16 58
PSL Rank in 2018:
Source: Marine Money
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Source: Marine Money
Particulars 1st Rank result in Dry Bulk Sector 2018 Pangaea ranking in Dry Bulk Sector 2018 PSL Rank in Dry Bulk Sector 2018 PSL result 2018 1stRank in Dry Bulk Sector 2017 PSL Rank in Dry Bulk Sector 2017 1st Rank in Dry Bulk Sector 2016 PSL Rank in Dry Bulk Sector 2016 Pangaea Logistics Solutions 2 Pangaea Logistics Solutions 3 Pangaea Logistics Solutions 6 Total Return to Shareholders (TRS)
9 8
12 10 5 3 Total Assets Turnover Rate 0.85 1 17 0.17 1 13 1 11 Profit Margin 14.61% 18 4 49.33% 17 4 10 6 Return on Equity (ROE) 10.81% 1 9 3.65% 1 8 1 13 Return on Assets (ROA) 8.42% 1 7 4.40% 1 3 1 11 Price / Book Value 0.57 9 2 1.06 7 2 4 2
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According to Marine Money June/July 2013, PSL was ranked in Top 10 Companies based on performance since year 2005.
“ Let’s celebrate for a minute the top performers from Marine Money’s Top Ranked companies over the past eight years. It is, in fact, an eclectic group, proving that management, strategic focus, financial structure and a little bit of sectoral good fortune is critical. The following ranked the highest based on their annual placement: Norden, Frontline Ltd, SFI, CMB, Precious Shipping, U-Ming, Grindrod, Safe Bulkers, Kirby Corp, and Navios Maritime. The rankings weigh Total Return to Shareholders, Turnover, Profit, RoE, RoA and Price/Book for a final Ranking and so, are a broad based spectrum of results. That some seemingly pure commodity companies are at the top over time is a testament to management’s skills through a cycle and worthy of note.”
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4 6
9 6 25 51 61 82.2 90 112 72 35 22 16 16 8
6 67 149.2 239.2 351.2 423.2458 480 496 512 520 440 440 440 440 440
20 40 60 80
150 300 450 600 No of shares Baht Inflow/Outflow Net Cash Position before sale of investment No of Shares held
1 IPO share value after 26 years @ 8.10 Baht / share (as of 28th June 2019) adjusted for rights, splits and bonus = 486 Baht Total net cash position = 926 Baht Returns = 10.89 times
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Investment (Beginning of Year) 1993(IPO) 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Cost of Investment (THB) 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 Share price (THB) 85.00 302.00 10.00 39.75 18.60 13.60 Shares Obtained (Nos.) 11.76 3.31 100.00 25.16 53.76 73.53 Dividends Received (THB) 7,235.29 2,003.31 29,500.00 646.54 130.11
705.89 198.68 3,000.00 75.47 80.64 110.29 Value as at 30.06.2019 (THB) 11,894 3,315 49,800 1,157 676 746
Website: www.preciousshipping.com | E-mail: psl@preciousshipping.com, ir@preciousshipping.com