Pooja Gardemal, CPA/ABV Panum Aviation Consulting } GDP } Air - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

▶

Oct 26, 2022 319 likes •636 views

Pooja Gardemal, CPA/ABV Panum Aviation Consulting } GDP } Air Transport Passengers } Fuel Price } Foreign Currency Risk } RPK Growth } Operation Comparison } Fleet } Middle Eastern Carriers } African Carriers } Growth Prospects Panum Aviation

SLIDE 1

Pooja Gardemal, CPA/ABV Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 2

} GDP } Air Transport Passengers } Fuel Price } Foreign Currency Risk } RPK Growth } Operation Comparison } Fleet } Middle Eastern Carriers } African Carriers } Growth Prospects

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 3

10,000,000,000,000

20,000,000,000,000 30,000,000,000,000 40,000,000,000,000 50,000,000,000,000 60,000,000,000,000 70,000,000,000,000 80,000,000,000,000 90,000,000,000,000

500,000,000,000

1,000,000,000,000 1,500,000,000,000 2,000,000,000,000 2,500,000,000,000 3,000,000,000,000 3,500,000,000,000 4,000,000,000,000

GD GDP

Middle East & North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa World

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 4

500,000,000

1,000,000,000 1,500,000,000 2,000,000,000 2,500,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,500,000,000 4,000,000,000

50,000,000

100,000,000 150,000,000 200,000,000 250,000,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Middle East & North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa World

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 5

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16

Br Brent Crude & Jet Fuel

Brent Crude USD/bbl Jet Fuel Spot Price USD/ gallon

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 6

Mi Middle East 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 Decline AED 0.2723 0.2723 0.2723 0.2723 0.2723 0.2723 0.0% QR 0.2746 0.2747 0.2748 0.2748 0.2749 0.2747 0.0% OMR 0.3839 0.3848 0.3838 0.3838 0.3837 0.3837 0.0% JOD 0.7065 0.7080 0.7054 0.7060 0.7067 0.7056

0.1%

KWD 0.2781 0.2815 0.2817 0.2924 0.3030 0.3008 8.2% Af Africa EGP 0.1663 0.1652 0.1447 0.1403 0.1281 0.1129

32.1%

BIRR 0.0586 0.0555 0.0526 0.0499 0.0476 0.0463

21.1%

ZAR 0.1232 0.1180 0.0954 0.0862 0.0649 0.0658

46.6%

KES 0.0120 0.0117 0.0118 0.0112 0.0099 0.0101

15.9%

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 7

50.0% 55.0% 60.0% 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0%

100,000,000

200,000,000 300,000,000 400,000,000 500,000,000 600,000,000 700,000,000 800,000,000 900,000,000

2015 2015 Operations

RPK ASK LF

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 8

200,000,000

400,000,000 600,000,000 800,000,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Africa : Central/Western Africa Africa : Eastern Africa Africa : North Africa Africa : Southern Africa Middle East

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 9

Large widebody 4% Medium widebody 9% Small widebody 8% Single aisle 25% Regional jets 4% Total fleet 50%

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 10

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Large widebody Medium widebody Small widebody Single aisle Regional jets

370 680 520 1,230 80

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 11

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Large widebody Medium widebody Small widebody Single aisle Regional jets 10 70 190 780 40

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 12

SLIDE 13

25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% $- $5,000.00 $10,000.00 $15,000.00 $20,000.00 $25,000.00 Revenues (USD) Profit Margin

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 14

150%
100%
50%

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% Emirates Etihad Qatar Air Arabia Royal Jordanian Oman Air Jazeera Airways Revenues Net Income

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 15

200,000,000

400,000,000 600,000,000 800,000,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Ca Capacity Inc Increase se

AIR ARABIA EMIRATES ETIHAD AIRWAYS FLYNAS OMAN AIR QATAR AIRWAYS SAUDIA

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 16

100,000,000

200,000,000 300,000,000 EMIRATES ETIHAD AIRWAYS QATAR AIRWAYS AIR ARABIA FLYDUBAI ROYAL JORDANIAN OMAN AIR JAZEERA AIRWAYS 2015 2014

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 17

50 100 150 200 250 300 252 125 165 45 54 26 45 7 244 188 187 7 82 6 22 Current Fleet On Order

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 18

50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85%

50,000,000

100,000,000 150,000,000 200,000,000 250,000,000 300,000,000 350,000,000 RPKs ASKs LF

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 19

SLIDE 20

0% 10% 20% $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 ETHIOPIAN AIR MAURITIUS KENYA AIRWAYS COMAIR LTD EGYPT AIR FASTJET Revenues (USD) Profit Margin

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 21

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ETHIOPIAN AIR MAURITIUS KENYA AIRWAYS COMAIR LTD EGYPT AIR FASTJET Revenues Profit

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 22

50,000,000

100,000,000 150,000,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Ca Capacity Inc Increase se

ETHIOPIAN SAA EGYPT AIR KENYA AIRWAYS AIR ALGERIE AIR MAURITIUS TUNIS AIR

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 23

10,000,000

20,000,000 30,000,000 ETHIOPIAN AIR MAURITIUS KENYA AIRWAYS EGYPT AIR FASTJET 2015 2014

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 24

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 ETHIOPIAN AIR MAURITIUS KENYA AIRWAYS COMAIR LTD EGYPT AIR FASTJET 82 13 34 16 57 5 36 4 9 1 Current Fleet On Order

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 25

50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80%

5,000,000

10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 35,000,000 40,000,000 RPKs ASKs LF

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 26

SLIDE 27

0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 700.0 800.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Southeast Asia South Asia North America Middle East Europe Africa

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 28

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Southeast Asia - Middle East North America - Middle East Europe - Middle East Middle East - Middle East South Asia - Middle East Africa - Middle East Middle East - Oceania

2015 2015-2035 2035

2015-2035

Panum Aviation Consulting

SLIDE 29

0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Southeast Asia North America Middle East Europe Africa

SLIDE 30

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Africa -Africa Africa - Europe Africa - Middle East Africa - North America Africa - Southeast Asia

2015 2015-2035 2035

2015-2035

SLIDE 31