PLAN UPDATE FATF: Discussion of Trade Trends, Freight Clusters and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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PLAN UPDATE FATF: Discussion of Trade Trends, Freight Clusters and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ATLANTAREGIONAL FREIGHT MOBILITY PLAN UPDATE FATF: Discussion of Trade Trends, Freight Clusters and Regional Performance, and Project Prioritization October 14, 2015 Agenda Introductions Trade Trends Freight Activity Clusters

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ATLANTAREGIONAL FREIGHT MOBILITY PLAN UPDATE

FATF: Discussion of Trade Trends, Freight Clusters and Regional Performance, and Project Prioritization

October 14, 2015

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Agenda

  • Introductions
  • Trade Trends
  • Freight Activity Clusters
  • Regional Freight

Performance

  • Freight Project

Prioritization

  • Freight Programs
  • Next Steps
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Atlanta-Savannah Truck and Train Flows

MODE BETWEEN ATLANTA

AND PORT OF

SAVANNAH BETWEEN ATLANTA

AND REST OF

CHATHAM COUNTY TOTAL BETWEEN ATLANTA AND CHATHAM COUNTY Loaded Trucks Annual 71,532 31,967 103,499 Loaded Trucks per Day 286 128 414 Total Trucks Annual 162,500 72,750 235,250 Total Trucks Per Day* 650 291 941 Number of IMX Trains Per Day 3 3

Source: 2013 ARC Transearch Data, *2015 Draft GDOT Truck Survey, GDOT OTD, consultant analysis Note: Data represent both directions of traffic. Daily figures based on 250 workday year

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Import Gateways for Metro Atlanta

(Tons transported inland by dry-van or reefer truck)

Other National

Source: IHS Transearch

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Import Gateways for Metro Atlanta

(Automobile units transported inland by truck)

Other National

Source: IHS Transearch

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ARC Counties Receiving Imports by Truck from Savannah

Imports from Savannah (in Tons) High : 75,000 Low : 50 Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties Source: IHS Transearch

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Panama Canal Expansion

  • Expansion completion: 2016
  • Capacity of largest vessels will increase from 5,000 TEUs to

>13,000 TEUs

  • Reduced per-unit shipping costs
  • Large coastal shifts have already occurred, favoring

Savannah

Source: US Census Bureau Foreign Trade Data and Parsons Brinckerhoff analysis

East Coast Port Shares of Container Import Tonnage from Northeast Asia

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Panama Canal Expansion

  • Impacts: Atlanta Region not likely to see overall increase in

total volumes/consumption

  • Likely result: modal shift to goods arriving via rail or truck

through Savannah, from arrival today by rail from west coast ports

– Subsequent impacts on warehousing/DC locations – Trends indicate greater impact on lower-value goods

East Coast Share: Container Imports from Northeast Asia by Product Value Segment ($/kg)

Source: US Census Bureau Foreign Trade Data (2013 value) and Parsons Brinckerhoff analysis

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Freight Activity Clusters

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Daily Truck Counts on ASTRoMaP System

Truck Counts Less than 1k 1k to 5k 5k to 10k More than 10k Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

Source: GDOT/ARC

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Manufacturing Clusters

Manufacturing Density Scale Low Medium High Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

Source: GA Power

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Manufacturing Clusters

CLUSTER LEASED AREA (SQ. FT.) PERCENT OF TOTAL LEASED AREA

  • NO. OF

FIRMS I-20 East 8,866,434 12% 50 Fulton Industrial Boulevard 5,727,596 8% 70 I-85/PIB/Jimmy Carter Blvd 3,736,728 5% 60 Remainder of Region 56,331,071 75% 793 Total 74,661,829 100% 973

Source: GA Power

  • Clusters data used to identify key freight

corridors

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Warehouse Clusters

Warehouse - Distribution Scale Low Medium High Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

Source: GA Power

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Warehouse and Distribution Center Cluster

Source: GA Power

CLUSTER LEASED AREA (SQ. FT.) PERCENT

OF TOTAL

LEASED AREA

  • NO. OF

FIRMS AVERAGE FACILITY SIZE Fulton Industrial Boulevard 21,860,200 17% 83 263,376 McDonough/Henry 17,364,802 13% 32 542,650 I-85/PIB/Jimmy Carter Boulevard 7,699,134 6% 38 202,609 Airport/Clayton 6,607,929 5% 22 300,360 Fairburn/Camp Creek 6,136,180 5% 14 438,299 Gwinnett/Satellite Blvd/SR 316 3,895,954 3% 15 259,730 Remainder of Region 66,312,866 51% 217 305,589 Total 129,877,065 100% 421 308,497

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Consumption Clusters: Regional Centers

Source: ARC

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Atlanta’s Primary Freight Clusters

  • 11 Freight

intensive clusters identified using freight facility and regional center data

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Key Findings and Discussion

  • A large portion of freight activity occurs within a

handful of clusters

  • Fulton Industrial Boulevard is a critical freight

corridor for the region

– Home to the largest number of DCs, manufacturing activity, and vacant industrial buildings – Consistently mentioned by industrial real estate brokers as likely location of future industrial buildings

  • ASTRoMaP reaches the region: clusters and large

portions of activity not in a cluster

  • Should region pursue a policy of encouraging

continued clustering of freight activity?

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Regional Freight Performance

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Accessibility Performance Measure

7 Origin Clusters to 7 Destination Clusters

  • Cross-coverage of region

ORIGINS: Manufacturing & Distribution

DESTINATIONS: Region Centers & Distribution

Region Core Buckhead Kennesaw/ Barrett Pkwy Alpharetta Airport/ Clayton Co McDonough/ Henry Co Gwinnett/ Satellite Blvd./SR 316 Fulton Industrial Blvd. I-85/PIB/JC Blvd. I-20 East/Conyers/ Covington Fairburn/Camp Creek Airport/Clayton McDonough/Henry Gwinnett/Satellite Blvd./SR 316

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Fulton Industrial Boulevard Speed Performance

Source: ARC INRIX

  • FIB trucks

experience significant congestion travelling to key destinations

PM Peak: 5-6PM

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Fulton Industrial Boulevard Reliability Performance

Source: ARC INRIX

  • Travel

between FIB and key destinations is highly unpredictable

PM Peak: 5-6PM

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FIB - 1-Hour Reliability Travel Shed at PM Peak

Source: ARC INRIX

  • During peak

hours, FIB trucks cannot reliably reach key destinations within 1 hour

PM M Peak: 5-6PM

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McDonough/Henry County Speed Performance

Source: ARC INRIX

  • McDonough

trucks experience significant congestion travelling to key destinations

PM Peak: 5-6PM

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McDonough/Henry County Reliability Performance

Source: ARC INRIX

  • Travel

between McDonough and key destinations is highly unpredictable

PM Peak: 5-6PM

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McDonough - 1-Hour Reliability Travel Shed at PM Peak

Source: ARC INRIX

  • During peak

hours, McDonough trucks cannot reliably reach key destinations within 1 hour

PM M Peak: 5-6PM

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Many Key Freight Corridors Have High Truck Crash Levels

COUNTY ROADWAY

  • EST. ANNUAL

NUMBER OF CRASHES CLUSTER Fulton Fulton Industrial Boulevard 163 Fulton Industrial Blvd Fulton Camp Creek Parkway 100 Fulton Industrial Blvd Henry Highway 155 80 McDonough DeKalb Briarcliff Road 77 None Clayton Old Dixie Road/SR 155 74 Airport/Clayton Clayton Riverdale Road 63 Airport/Clayton DeKalb Bouldercrest Road 57 None Clayton Forest Parkway 51 Airport/Clayton DeKalb Clairmont Road 43 None Henry State Route 20 40 McDonough Gwinnett Buford Highway 37 I-85/PIB/JCB Gwinnett Jimmy Carter Boulevard 37 I-85/PIB/JCB Fulton Donald Lee Hollowell Parkway 34 Fulton Industrial Blvd Gwinnett Satellite Boulevard 29 Gwinnett/SatBlv/316

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Key Findings from Corridor Performance Analysis

  • Many key corridors accessing freight clusters have

three critical issues

– High levels of congestion – Unpredictable traffic conditions – High levels of crash incidence

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Freight Project Prioritization

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  • Approximately 560

projects identified from existing plans

Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • r Projects on ASTRoMaP

Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

Projects Identified as Freight Or on ASTRoMaP

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  • Approximately 160

freight projects identified from existing plans on ASTRoMaP Network

Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • n ASTRoMaP Network

Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

Projects Identified as Freight And on ASTRoMaP

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160 Projects Sectional Views: Inside the Perimeter

Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • n ASTRoMaP Network

Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

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Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • n ASTRoMaP Network

Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

160 Projects Sectional Views: Northeast

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Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • n ASTRoMaP Network

Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

160 Projects Sectional Views: Northwest

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Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • n ASTRoMaP Network

Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

160 Projects Sectional Views: Southeast

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Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • n ASTRoMaP Network

Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

160 Projects Sectional Views: Southwest

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Freight Project Prioritization Process

  • Screening process conducted by ARC/FATF
  • Three Stage Screening:

– Feasibility – Goal Advancement – Project Portfolio

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1st Stage - Feasibility

  • Each project scored as a “yes/no”

– Any “No” – eliminates project – All “Yes” – advances project to 2nd Stage DIMENSION CRITERION

Relevance Identified as freight project, or located on ASTRoMaP (~ Critical Urban Freight Corridors) Community Support No major community opposition known, or has strong community support Financial No major funding obstacle known (e.g. does not

  • verwhelm budget)

Benefit Cost Ratio If known: benefits exceed (or expected to exceed) costs

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2nd Stage – Goal Advancement

  • Project scored on a low to high scale: 1-3-5 or 1-3-

9 (6 sigma)

– n/a scores a zero

  • Scoring system offsets ability of low score on

multiple goals to offset high score on few

  • Scored on five Region’s Plan goals, reflecting

influence on Performance Measures

  • Weighted scores – goal weights add to 100%
  • Weighting standards fixed bi-annually through

ARC/FATF consensus

  • Ranked projects grouped by tiers rather than

ranked by specific score

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2nd Stage – Goal Advancement

GOAL WEIGHT PERFORMANCE MEASURE CORRELATION

Global Hub TBD% Projects improving ASTRoMaP speed (Mobility) or Accessibility Measure buffering score at least 3; doing both scores 5/9 Skilled Workforce TBD% Projects generating logistics-related jobs score at least 3, and 5/9 if a large number (e.g.> 100) Advanced Network TBD% Projects improving speed, buffering, or crashes on ASTRoMaP, or improving Accessibility Measure buffering score at least 3; doing any two scores 5/9 Vibrant Centers TBD% Freight projects in LCIs score at least 3; those part of an LCI comprehensive freight program score 5/9 Health & Culture TBD% Projects reducing NOx, PM2.5, and/or GHG score at least 3; large reductions (TBD) score 5/9

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3rd Stage – Project Portfolio

  • Refines selection of projects in top tier
  • Enables lower scores to move up for sake of

cumulative result

– yes or multiple yes scores move up – no counts as zero

  • Net Present Value (NPV) or Benefit-Cost Ratio

(BCR) desirable for ranking but relegated to Portfolio Screen since unavailable for some projects

  • Final ranking based on:

– Goal (numerical) – Portfolio (yes) score – NPV or BCR as available

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3rd Stage – Project Portfolio

DIMENSION PURPOSE

Balance across goals Help assure all goals adequately addressed Balance across region Help assure broader needs are met throughout region Packaging: synergy Recognize that some combinations of projects are mutually supportive

AS AVAILABLE:

Absolute NPV Present value of net benefits (TIGER calculation) - doubles as size indicator Absolute BCR Specific Benefit-Cost Ratio

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Prioritizing Freight Projects: Exercise

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FIB Reliability and Identified Freight Projects

Regional Destinations ForestPark Cluster SR316 FIB Cluster Henry Cluster

  • Boulevard-01: Fulton Industrial

Boulevard at Cascade Road Intersection Modification

  • Add turn lanes and improve

turning radii to accommodate WB- 65 truck trailers

Legend

Identified Freight Projects

  • n ASTRoMaP Network

Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties

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Freight Programs: Looking Ahead

  • Home delivery

– Staging and arrival

  • Truck-friendly lanes in select locations
  • Truck parking
  • Corridor study to build on previous FIB CID

Master Plan and examine long term traffic issues

  • Subarea studies in Cluster areas
  • Connected and Automated Vehicles

– Pilot on key freight corridor

  • Others?
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Next Steps

  • Task 5 Draft Completion
  • Project Priorities
  • Final Report
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Thank you!

Daniel Studdard, AICP, ARC Senior Planner dstuddard@atlantaregional.com 404-463-3306 http://www.atlantaregional.com/freight Joe Bryan BryanJG@pbworld.com Claudia M. Bilotto, AICP, bilottocm@pbworld.com