People, pattern & process: Learning from Big Data Douglas - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
People, pattern & process: Learning from Big Data Douglas - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
People, pattern & process: Learning from Big Data Douglas Anderson FIA CERA FSA May 19, 2020 Were best known for postcode longevity modelling Glasgow Edinburgh High life expectancy Mid life expectancy Low life expectancy G76 8E P EH4
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We’re best known for postcode longevity modelling
High life expectancy Mid life expectancy Low life expectancy
Source: Club Vita research based on VitaBank as at 2 October 2008 G76 8EP G76 8EJ EH4 1HT EH4 1HS
Glasgow Edinburgh
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Regional Covid variation @ 19.5.20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/05/19/near-me-coronavirus-cases-in-my-area-postcode/
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Analysis of “excess” deaths
https://www.clubvita.co.uk/news-and-insights/covid-19-the-latest-picture-as-at-12th-may-2020 Source: Club Vita analysis of available ONS data @ 12 May 2020
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Rising Covid deaths in care homes
https://www.clubvita.co.uk/news-and-insights/covid-19-the-latest-picture-as-at-12th-may-2020 Source: Club Vita analysis of available ONS data @ 12 May 2020
6 Source: Club Vita joint analysis with PLSA
Longevity inequality has been rising …..
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Covid-19 outcomes are not uniform
Catch the disease Need hospital treatment Need ICU Die
Outcomes linked to socioeconomic groups and geographical location
https://www.clubvita.us/news-and-insights/vitamins-socioeconomic-effects-of-covid-19
- Population density
- Living near a travel hub
- Social obedience
- Type of work
Who will catch the disease?
- Pre-existing conditions
- Age profile
- Lifestyle risk factors
- Poorer healthcare
Who will be worse affected?
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Month by month updates, by socio-economic group
Source: Analysis of Club Vita UK data
Club Vita LLP is an appointed representative of Hymans Robertson LLP, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and licensed by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries for a range of investment business activities.