PCI Overview of Energy Imbalance Markets in West 1 Webinar Purpose - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

pci overview of energy imbalance markets in west
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

PCI Overview of Energy Imbalance Markets in West 1 Webinar Purpose - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

PCI Overview of Energy Imbalance Markets in West 1 Webinar Purpose Purpose of Webinar: Provide high level overview of energy imbalance markets and address common questions that PCI hears from entities considering joining an energy imbalance


slide-1
SLIDE 1

1

PCI Overview of Energy Imbalance Markets in West

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

Webinar Purpose

Purpose of Webinar: Provide high level overview of energy imbalance markets and address common questions that PCI hears from entities considering joining an energy imbalance market. Agenda:

  • PCI Experience in EIM
  • EIM History
  • Financial Implication of EIM – Simple Example
  • Common Questions & Answers
  • Wrap Up / Questions
slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

PCI Overview

  • Company:

– Software Development for Energy Markets – 160 employees and growing – Founded 1992 / Privately Owned

  • Experience:

– Supported better utilization of asset portfolios for over 20 years.

  • System:

– PCI GSMS (Generation Supply Management System)  Portfolio Optimization  Market Systems  Asset Operations  Transaction Management  Data Warehouse & BI

  • Market:

– 60% of US generation capacity using PCI – 70% of Fortune 500 Utility & Energy companies

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

Key Takeaways

Energy imbalance markets in most cases can help participants better utilize asset portfolios and/or reduce costs to serve

  • bligation

PCI supports better asset portfolio utilization whether

  • r not a customer

participates in an energy imbalance market or not.

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

Energy Imbalance Markets

EIM History

 The electric Energy Imbalance Market (EIM) concept is taking a foothold in the Western U.S.

  • The California ISO (CAISO) is
  • ffering an imbalance market

which is an extension of their Real- Time market, and

  • The Northwest Power Pool is

actively pursuing setting up an independent imbalance market.

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

Energy Imbalance Markets

EIM History

 On November 1, 2014, the CAISO successfully began an Energy Imbalance Market with the two Balancing Authorities owned by PacifiCorp.  CAISO’s EIM is an extension of their current Real-Time Market which consists of both a 15 minute and a 5 minute resource clearing process.  This success is bringing two more utilities into the EIM:

  • Nevada Energy (NVE) – October 1, 2015
  • Puget Sound Energy – October 1, 2016

 There is an expectation that 1-2 more utilities will announce that they will join CAISO’s EIM sometime after 2015.

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7

Energy Imbalance Markets

Webinar Topics

Today’s PCI Webinar will target these questions:

1. Can an imbalance market cause financial "pain"? 2. Can an imbalance market be avoided while increasing solar or wind resources? 3. If a company is already optimally dispatching resources, is there really any savings that can be realized? 4. If our company stays out of an EIM, but those around us join, how could it impact us? 5. If you are considering joining EIM, what should your analysis take into account? 6. If you are not sure whether you will join a market, are there things that could be done now that will be beneficial either way? 7. What type of software is needed whether you plan to join EIM or participate in one at interface?

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 1. Can an imbalance market cause financial "pain"?
  • The simple answer is “no” if offering at costs.
  • Many companies fear that EIM will in some way drain revenue

from their system through additional charges and uplifts.

  • In truth, a company’s generation and schedules (whether base

schedules in EIM or Native Load Schedules in other designs) act as a hedge against energy and congestion costs.

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

Energy Imbalance Markets Example A: 3 Companies Serving Their Load

The following example has three companies each serving their own load in an unconstrained transmission system.

LMP is $25.00 at all locations because adding 1 MW anyway will result in the Company A generation being dispatched at a cost of $25.00. ?

slide-10
SLIDE 10

10

Energy Imbalance Markets Example A: 3 Companies Serving Their Load

When companies serve their own load through self-scheduling, there are no imbalance charges with the market operator. The following table shows the cost to serve load for each company:

There are no settlement charges or credits because the resources self supplied their own load.

?

slide-11
SLIDE 11

11

Energy Imbalance Markets Example B: 3 Companies in a Basic Energy Market

The following example has three companies participating in an energy imbalance market.

Company A is able to provide less expensive generation to Company C. Both companies profit from the market

?

slide-12
SLIDE 12

12

Energy Imbalance Markets Example B: 3 Companies in a Basic Energy Market

Company A is paid for additional generation at the LMP which will be at or above their

  • ffer and Company C is able to buy energy below their marginal energy cost to generate.

f

Company A collects $3600 in revenue but it costs them $2000 to produce the additional MWs ($25 x 80 MW) resulting in $1600 of additional margin! Company C gets charged $3600, but avoids production costs of $5200 ($65 x 80 MW) resulting in $1600 of additional margin!

The cost to serve for both Company A & C is lowered with a market!

?

slide-13
SLIDE 13

13

Energy Imbalance Markets

Example C: 3 Companies in a Constrained Basic Energy Market

The following example has three companies participating in an energy imbalance market with a transmission constraint of 25 MW between Bus 2 and 3.

Transmission congestion alters LMPs, but companies are hedged by their schedules.

?

slide-14
SLIDE 14

14

Energy Imbalance Markets

Example C: 3 Companies in a Constrained Basic Energy Market

The following example has three companies participating in an energy imbalance market with a transmission constraint of 25 MW between Bus 2 and 3. Real-Time Congestion

  • ccurs due to the constraint

which results an over

  • collection. Typically the
  • ver collection is dispersed

through load ratio share. In this example congestion has raised Company A’s margins significantly which has reduced their cost to serve their load drastically. Also note that each company’s generation acts as a hedge to rising LMPs. If prices rise to their marginal offer, they are dispatched.

?

slide-15
SLIDE 15

15

Energy Imbalance Markets

What are Examples A, B and C showing us:

 A company’s generation acts as a natural hedge against high LMP prices.  Less expensive generation will be run to offset higher cost generation up to the transmission limitations of the grid.  Offering at or near costs provides a safe energy imbalance market strategy.  Generation assets will be redispatched to prevent violating transmission limits which will result in a higher utilization factor of the transmission system.  Base or Native Load Schedules provide a congestion hedge in the event there is LMP price separation between generators and load.  Most companies will benefit from a pooled generation (i.e. SCED-security constrained economic dispatch), but there could be times when a company’s

  • wn generation is the least expensive solution.

?

slide-16
SLIDE 16

16

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 2. Can an imbalance market be avoided while increasing solar or

wind resources?

  • The simple answer is “yes” provided a company can provide

large quantities of flexible-ramp reserves. However, maintaining large volumes of flexible-ramp reserves can be very costly

  • It comes down to the cost of having highly dynamic resources

that can ramp quickly both up and down.

  • An intra-hour imbalance market provides geographic diversity

where imbalances caused by load-forecast errors, intermittent resources, etc… can be offset across the market footprint. The difference in balancing to 5 minute dispatch in lieu of hourly schedules will reduce the cost of flexible-ramp reserves.

slide-17
SLIDE 17

17

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 2. Can an imbalance market be avoided while increasing solar or

wind resources? continued…

  • The CAISO EIM design provides an intra-hour 15 minute and 5

minute balancing mechanism that helps offset impacts from solar, wind and demand changes.

  • When the MISO market integrated their Southern region of 30

GW, MISO didn’t add any additional regulation because of their geographic footprint!

  • A key to integrating

renewable resources is to be able to spread the forecasting error across a large enough footprint where it is either negated or the impact diluted.

?

slide-18
SLIDE 18

18

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 3. If a company is already optimally dispatching resources, is there

really any savings that can be realized?

  • “Yes,” but the impact depends upon the size and generation mix
  • f the company.
  • Companies with high-cost resources will save money by

purchasing energy from lower-cost resources while companies with lower-cost resources will see more benefits from running their resources at higher capacity factor.

  • Intra-hour balancing will reduce the cost of maintaining

regulation and flexible reserves for all players in the EIM market.

  • A pooled dispatch using SCED will always result in additional

savings because the market operator redispatches generation to resolve constraints instead of cutting schedules.

slide-19
SLIDE 19

19

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 4. If our company stays out of an EIM, but those around us join,

how could it impact us?

  • If the market is CAISO’s EIM, you will be able to

buy and sell at the tie lines (interfaces) into the market at 15 minute intervals.

  • A market can provide a huge opportunity to

dynamically bid and offer into the market and have it cleared automatically in CAISO’s EIM 15 Minute Market. Most designs even support self-scheduling at the ties.

  • To leverage this opportunity a company will

need to create bid and offer curves based on their supply portfolio. These curves must be dynamically updated because they can change every hour.

slide-20
SLIDE 20

20

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 4. If our company stays out of an EIM, but those around us join,

how could it impact us? continued…

  • A disadvantage of being surrounded by EIM players is increased

loop flows.

  • By design, SCED dispatch will increase overall utilization of

transmission system by dispatching resources to reflect transmission constraints. This higher utilization of transmission lines can cause energy sometimes to flow on neighboring systems, thus creating more loop flows.

  • Electricity doesn’t flow by

contract path, but by path of least resistance.

?

slide-21
SLIDE 21

21

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 5. If you are considering joining EIM, what should your analysis

take into account?

  • A major factor is to understand all the drivers that could influence

future electric prices (Gas prices, Weather, Hydro availability, Transmission constraints, Unit outages, etc..)

Unwinding this thought….

‒ Future prices depend on the expected marginal cost of generation. ‒ How much wind and solar will there be? ‒ How much generation will be supplied from hydro production? ‒ Natural Gas is expected to be the marginal fuel source, but at what price? ‒ The availability of Natural Gas from fracking and the impact of fuel switching in the non- electric industries impact price.

slide-22
SLIDE 22

22

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 5. If you are considering joining EIM, what should your analysis

take into account? continued…

  • When predicting savings of joining EIM, be careful that the estimates

for fuel and electric prices don’t become additive or negate each other.

  • It is recommended that whatever analysis is done, it is also back

casted against a known period of time using your future generation

  • mix. Check your model against known fuel and electric prices, load and

renewable production as a test for reasonableness.

  • Any analysis should take into account the degree of participation of

generating resources in the EIM market. The more resources put into EIM, the more savings that should be expected.

  • Something also worth considering is how well your resources can

follow 5-mn dispatch instructions. Markets are all about stating what you can do and then doing what you said. If you can’t do what you say, then you may have to work on a company’s culture to be successful.

?

slide-23
SLIDE 23

23

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 6. If you are not sure whether you will join a market, are there

things that could be done now that will be beneficial either way?

Every company has a list of improvements that are desirable, but the following list is a recommendation for any company thinking of joining EIM.

  • Fully identify resource capabilities and costs.

Make sure there is a clear understanding of a resource’s costs across their full operating range including minimum and maximum limits, ramp rates and even startup times and costs.

  • Implement Optimized Dispatch.

Make sure that the system is being optimally dispatched for the greatest savings. This dispatch will be used to create base or native load schedules for use in hedging congestion in an EIM.

slide-24
SLIDE 24

24

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 6. If you are not sure whether you will join a market, are there

things that could be done now that will be beneficial either way? continued…

  • Upgrade metering and Energy Accounting.

Identify any potential metering problem that does not support the accuracy or data requirements of a market. This can take time and it is better to get this done prior to joining a market. The second item is make sure your Energy Accounting system can handle the analysis and reporting necessary. Remember all errors in a market are monetized so errors in metering will become dollars in settlements.

  • Implement a Real-Time Pricing tool.

A Real-Time Pricing tool determines the cost when to make energy buy and sell

  • decisions. Knowing when to make the right decision is second important to having

an energy dispatch optimized solution. This capability will help a company to improve margins and validate resource can respond as advertised.

?

slide-25
SLIDE 25

25

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 7. What type of software is needed whether you plan to join EIM
  • r participate in one at interface?

The following recommendations are not in any particular order but more depends on a current organization’s situation:

  • Optimized Dispatch Software – PCI GenTrader

Makes sure resources are dispatched based on actual costs. This will also be needed for calculating schedules.

  • Energy Accounting Solution – PCI Energy Accounting

Make sure all metering and calculations support market

  • perations.
  • Market Bid/Offer Software – PCI GenManager

Software needed to communicate bids/offers and download results from the Market Operator.

slide-26
SLIDE 26

26

Energy Imbalance Markets

  • 7. What type of software is needed whether you plan to join EIM
  • r participate in one at interface?

The following recommendations are not in any particular order but more depends on a current organization’s situation:

  • Market Settlement Software – PCI GenManager

Software needed to validate settlements and support reporting needs.

  • Fuel Management Software – PCI Gas Management

Depending upon your resource mix, a company will need to manage their fuel supply around the demands of the market.

  • Asset Operations Software – PCI Asset Operations

Manage Outages, Plant Interfaces, GADS and Energy Scheduling with plants to streamline the data and communication process.

?

slide-27
SLIDE 27

27

Energy Imbalance Markets

Power Costs, Inc.

Graph or photo

PCI is the premier, one-stop provider of essential software solutions for energy supply, trading and marketing organizations. Companies utilize PCI products to capitalize on their portfolio capabilities in

  • rder to minimize costs while maximizing market opportunities and

profits.

Feel free to reach out to us with questions or inquiries: Tony Delacluyse

405-326-1496 tony@powercosts.com

Jason Kram

832-228-8474 jmkram@powercosts.com

Go here for PCI’s Product Booklet:

http://www.powercosts.com/wp- content/uploads/PCI_ProductBooklet1.pdf ?