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Parton Distribution Functions and Neural Networks Alberto Guffanti - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Parton Distribution Functions and Neural Networks Alberto Guffanti Albert-Ludwigs-Universitt Freiburg PSI Villigen, March 11, 2010 What are Parton Distribution Functions? Consider a process with one hadron in the initial state D(x,Q 2 )


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SLIDE 1

Parton Distribution Functions and Neural Networks

Alberto Guffanti

Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg

PSI Villigen, March 11, 2010

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SLIDE 2

What are Parton Distribution Functions?

Consider a process with one hadron in the initial state

D(x,Q2) σ

According to the Factorization Theorem we can write the cross section as dσ =

  • a

1 dξ ξ Da(ξ, µ2)d ˆ σa x ξ , ˆ s µ2 , αs(µ2)

  • + O

1 Qp

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 2 / 40

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SLIDE 3

What are Parton Distribution Functions?

The initial condition cannot be computed in Perturbation Theory

(Lattice? In principle yes, but ...)

... but the energy scale dependence is governed by DGLAP evolution equations ∂ ln Q2 qNS(ξ, Q2) = PNS(ξ, αs) ⊗ qNS(ξ, Q2) ∂ ln Q2 Σ g

  • (ξ, Q2) =

Pqq Pqg Pgq Pgg

  • (ξ, αs) ⊗

Σ g

  • (ξ, Q2)

... and the splitting functions P can be computed in PT and are known up to NNLO

(LO - Dokshitzer; Gribov, Lipatov; Altarelli, Parisi; 1977) (NLO - Floratos, Ross, Sachrajda; Gonzalez-Arroyo, Lopez, Yndurain; Curci, Furmanski, Petronzio, 1981) (NNLO - Moch, Vermaseren, Vogt; 2004)

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 4

Why care about PDFs (and their uncertainties)?

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x1,2 = (M/14 TeV) exp(±y) Q = M

LHC parton kinematics

M = 10 GeV M = 100 GeV M = 1 TeV M = 10 TeV 6 6 y = 4 2 2 4

Q

2 (GeV 2)

x

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 5

Why care about PDFs (and their uncertainties)?

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fixed target HERA

x1,2 = (M/14 TeV) exp(±y) Q = M

LHC parton kinematics

M = 10 GeV M = 100 GeV M = 1 TeV M = 10 TeV 6 6 y = 4 2 2 4

Q

2 (GeV 2)

x

Alekhin CTEQ MRST

√s = 14 TeV

σ(gg → H) [pb]

MH [GeV] 1000 100 100 10 1 0.1

Alekhin CTEQ MRST

√s = 1.96 TeV

σ(gg → H) [pb]

MH [GeV] 200 180 160 140 120 100 1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 1000 100 1.1 1.05 1 0.95 0.9 200 150 100 1.2 1.1 1 0.9 0.8

[A. Djouadi and S. Ferrag, hep-ph/0310209]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 6

Why care about PDFs (and their uncertainties)?

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x1,2 = (M/14 TeV) exp(±y) Q = M

LHC parton kinematics

M = 10 GeV M = 100 GeV M = 1 TeV M = 10 TeV 6 6 y = 4 2 2 4

Q

2 (GeV 2)

x

Alekhin CTEQ MRST

√s = 14 TeV

σ(pp → HW) [pb]

MH [GeV] 200 180 160 140 120 100 4 2 1 0.5 0.3

Alekhin CTEQ MRST

√s = 1.96 TeV

σ(p¯ p → HW) [pb]

MH [GeV] 200 180 160 140 120 100 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.05 0.03 200 150 100 1.15 1.1 1.05 1 0.95 0.9 200 150 100 1.15 1.1 1.05 1 0.95 0.9

[A. Djouadi and S. Ferrag, hep-ph/0310209]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 7

Why care about PDFs (and their uncertainties)?

Errors on PDFs are in some cases the dominating theoretical error on precision observables

  • Ex. σ(Z 0) at the LHC: δPDF ∼ 3%, δNNLO ∼ 2%

[J. Campbell, J. Huston and J. Stirling, (2007)]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 5 / 40

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SLIDE 8

Why care about PDFs (and their uncertainties)?

Errors on PDFs are in some cases the dominating theoretical error on precision observables

  • Ex. σ(Z 0) at the LHC: δPDF ∼ 3%, δNNLO ∼ 2%

[J. Campbell, J. Huston and J. Stirling, (2007)]

Errors on PDFs might reduce sensitivity to New Physics

  • Ex. Extra Dimensions discovery in dijet cross section at the LHC:

Mc=4TeV Mc=2TeV 2 XDs 4XDs 6XDs Standard Model zone Mc=6TeV Mc=8TeV

[S. Ferrag (ATLAS), hep-ph/0407303]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 5 / 40

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SLIDE 9

Problem

Faithful estimation of errors on PDFs

Single quantity: 1-σ error Multiple quantities: 1-σ contours Function: need an "error band" in the space of functions (i.e. the probability density P[f] in the space of functions f(x)) Expectation values are Functional integrals F[f(x)] =

  • DfF[f(x)]P[f(x)]
  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 10

Problem

Faithful estimation of errors on PDFs

Single quantity: 1-σ error Multiple quantities: 1-σ contours Function: need an "error band" in the space of functions (i.e. the probability density P[f] in the space of functions f(x)) Expectation values are Functional integrals F[f(x)] =

  • DfF[f(x)]P[f(x)]

Determine an infinite-dimensional object (a function) from a finite set of data points ... mathematically ill-defined problem.

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 6 / 40

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SLIDE 11

Solution

Standard Approach

Introduce a simple functional form with enough free parameters q(x, Q2) = xα(1 − x)βP(x; λ1, ..., λn). Fit parameters minimizing χ2.

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 12

Solution

Standard Approach

Introduce a simple functional form with enough free parameters q(x, Q2) = xα(1 − x)βP(x; λ1, ..., λn). Fit parameters minimizing χ2. Open problems: Error propagation from data to parameters and from parameters to

  • bservables is not trivial.

Theoretical bias due to the chosen parametrization is difficult to assess.

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 7 / 40

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SLIDE 13

Shortcomings of the Standard approach

What is the meaning of a one-σ uncertainty?

Standard ∆χ2 = 1 criterion is too restrictive to account for large discrepancies among experiments.

[Collins & Pumplin, 2001]

1 NMC mp/mn 4 NMC F 2 mp 5 Zeus F2 ep 6 BCDMS F2 mp 7 BCDMS F 2 md 8 CCFR F2 n A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 2 E605 pp D-Y
ep 3 H1 F2
  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 14

Shortcomings of the Standard approach

What is the meaning of a one-σ uncertainty?

Standard ∆χ2 = 1 criterion is too restrictive to account for large discrepancies among experiments.

[Collins & Pumplin, 2001]

1 NMC mp/mn 4 NMC F 2 mp 5 Zeus F2 ep 6 BCDMS F2 mp 7 BCDMS F 2 md 8 CCFR F2 n A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 2 E605 pp D-Y
ep 3 H1 F2

Introduce a TOLERANCE criterion, i.e. take the envelope of uncertainties of experiments to determine the ∆χ2 to use for the global fit (CTEQ).

30 20 10 10 20 30 40 distance Eigenvector 4 BCDMSp BCDMSd H1a H1b ZEUS NMCp NMCr CCFR2 CCFR3 E605 CDFw E866 D0jet CDFjet
  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 15

Shortcomings of the Standard approach

What is the meaning of a one-σ uncertainty?

Standard ∆χ2 = 1 criterion is too restrictive to account for large discrepancies among experiments.

[Collins & Pumplin, 2001]

1 NMC mp/mn 4 NMC F 2 mp 5 Zeus F2 ep 6 BCDMS F2 mp 7 BCDMS F 2 md 8 CCFR F2 n A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 2 E605 pp D-Y
ep 3 H1 F2

Introduce a TOLERANCE criterion, i.e. take the envelope of uncertainties of experiments to determine the ∆χ2 to use for the global fit (CTEQ).

30 20 10 10 20 30 40 distance Eigenvector 4 BCDMSp BCDMSd H1a H1b ZEUS NMCp NMCr CCFR2 CCFR3 E605 CDFw E866 D0jet CDFjet

Make it DYNAMICAL, i.e. determine ∆χ2 separately for each hessian eigenvector (MSTW).

Eigenvector number

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 global 2

χ ∆ Tolerance T =

  • 20
  • 15
  • 10
  • 5

5 10 15 20

(MRST) 50 + (MRST) 50
  • (CTEQ)
100 + (CTEQ) 100
  • NC
r σ H1 ep 97-00 NC r σ H1 ep 97-00 2 d F µ NMC X µ µ → N ν NuTeV X µ µ → N ν NuTeV X µ µ → N ν CCFR E866/NuSea pd/pp DY E866/NuSea pd/pp DY X µ µ → N ν NuTeV 3 N xF ν NuTeV X µ µ → N ν NuTeV X µ µ → N ν NuTeV asym. ν l → II W ∅ D 2 d F µ BCDMS 2 d F µ BCDMS 2 p F µ BCDMS NC r σ H1 ep 97-00 NC r σ ZEUS ep 95-00 2 d F µ BCDMS 2 SLAC ed F NC r σ H1 ep 97-00 NC r σ ZEUS ep 95-00 E866/NuSea pd/pp DY E866/NuSea pd/pp DY E866/NuSea pp DY 3 N xF ν NuTeV 2 d F µ NMC asym. ν l → II W ∅ D NC r σ H1 ep 97-00 2 N F ν NuTeV X µ µ → N ν CCFR E866/NuSea pd/pp DY X µ µ → N ν NuTeV X µ µ → N ν CCFR asym. ν l → II W ∅ D E866/NuSea pd/pp DY NC r σ H1 ep 97-00 NC r σ H1 ep 97-00 3 N xF ν NuTeV X µ µ → N ν NuTeV

MSTW 2008 NLO PDF fit

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 16

Shortcomings of the standard approach

What determines PDF uncertainties?

Uncertainties in standard fits often increase when adding new data to the fit. Related to the need of extending the parametriztion in order to accomodate the new data

Smaller high-x gluon (and slightly smaller αS) results in larger small-x gluon – now shown at NNLO. x

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Ratio to MSTW 2008 NNLO

0.9 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1 1.02 1.04 1.06 1.08 1.1

2

GeV

4

= 10

2

Gluon at Q

MSTW 2008 NNLO MRST 2006 NNLO

Larger small-x uncertainty due to extrat free parameter.

PDF4LHCMSTW 24

[R. Thorne, PDF4LHC]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 17

THE NNPDF METHODOLOGY

[R. D. Ball, L. Del Debbio, S. Forte, J. I. Latorre, A. Piccione, J. Rojo, M. Ubiali and AG]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 18

The NNPDF methodology

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 19

The Neural Network Approach in a Nutshell

Generate Nrep Monte-Carlo replicas of the experimental data. Fit a set of Parton Distribution Functions on each replica, thus defining a sampling of probability density on the space of the PDFs. Expectation values for observables are Monte Carlo integrals F[fi(x, Q2)] = 1 Nrep

Nrep

  • k=1

F

  • f (net)(k)

i

(x, Q2)

  • ... the same is true for errors, correlations, etc.
  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 12 / 40

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SLIDE 20

Monte Carlo replicas generation

Generate artificial data according to distribution O(art) (k)

i

= (1 + r (k)

N

σN)

  • O(exp)

i

+

Nsys

  • p=1

r (k)

p

σi,p + r (k)

i,s σi s

  • where ri are univariate gaussian random numbers

Validate Monte Carlo replicas against experimental data

(statistical estimators, faithful representation of errors, convergence rate increasing Nrep)

O(1000) replicas needed to reproduce correlations to percent accuracy

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 21

Proper Fitting avoiding Overlearning

Let’s see how proper fitting works in a toy model

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 22

Proper Fitting avoiding Overlearning

Let’s see how proper fitting works in a toy model

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 23

Proper Fitting avoiding Overlearning

Let’s see how proper fitting works in a toy model

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 24

Proper Fitting avoiding Overlearning

Let’s see how proper fitting works in a toy model

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 25

Proper Fitting avoiding Overlearning

Let’s see how proper fitting works in a toy model Need a redundant parametrization to avoid parametrization bias. Need a way of stopping the fit before overlearning sets in to avoid fitting statistical noise.

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 26

Why use Neural Networks?

Neural Networks are non-linear statistical tools. Any continuous function can be approximated with neural network with

  • ne internal layer and non-linear neuron activation function.

Efficient minimization algorithms for complex parameter spaces. They provide a parametrization which is redundant and robust against variations.

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 15 / 40

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SLIDE 27

Neural Networks

... just another basis of functions

Multilayer feed-forward networks Each neuron receives input from neurons in preceding layer and feeds

  • utput to neurons in subsequent layer

Activation determined by weights and thresholds ξi = g  

j

ωijξj − θi   Sigmoid activation function g(x) = 1 1 + e−βx

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 28

Neural Networks

... just another basis of functions

Multilayer feed-forward networks Each neuron receives input from neurons in preceding layer and feeds

  • utput to neurons in subsequent layer

Activation determined by weights and thresholds ξi = g  

j

ωijξj − θi   Sigmoid activation function g(x) = 1 1 + e−βx A 1-2-1 NN: ξ(3)

1 (ξ(1) 1 ) =

1 1 + e

θ(3)

1 − ω(2) 11 1+eθ(2) 1 −ξ(1) 1 ω(1) 11

ω(2) 12 1+eθ(2) 2 −ξ(1) 1 ω(1) 21

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 29

Neural Networks

Training Method

Genetic Algorithm

1

Set network parameters randomly.

2

Make clones of the set of parameters.

3

Mutate each clone.

4

Evaluate χ2 for all the clones.

5

Select the clone that has the lowest χ2.

6

Back to 2, until stability in χ2 is reached.

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 30

Neural Networks

Training Method

Genetic Algorithm

1

Set network parameters randomly.

2

Make clones of the set of parameters.

3

Mutate each clone.

4

Evaluate χ2 for all the clones.

5

Select the clone that has the lowest χ2.

6

Back to 2, until stability in χ2 is reached. Pros:

Allows to minimize the fully correlated χ2 Explores the full parameter space, reducing the risk of being trapped in a local minimum

Cons:

Slow convergence χ2 decreases monotonically - need to find a suitable stopping criterion

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 31

Neural Networks

Stopping criterion

Stopping criterion based on Training-Validation separation Divide the data in two sets: Training and Validation Minimize the χ2 of the data in the Training set Compute the χ2 for the data in the Validation set When validation χ2 stops decreasing, STOP the fit

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 32

Neural Networks

Stopping criterion

Stopping criterion based on Training-Validation separation Divide the data in two sets: Training and Validation Minimize the χ2 of the data in the Training set Compute the χ2 for the data in the Validation set When validation χ2 stops decreasing, STOP the fit

# iterations 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6

  • rep 0003

val

and E

tr

#E tr

E

val

E

  • rep 0003

val

and E

tr

#E

# iterations 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 3.1 3.12 3.14 3.16 3.18 3.2 3.22 3.24 3.26 3.28 3.3

  • rep 0003

val

and E

tr

#E tr

E

val

E

  • rep 0003

val

and E

tr

#E

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 33

RESULTS

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 34

The Past

NNPDF1.0/1.2

NNPDF 1.0

[R. D. Ball et al., arXiv:0808.1231]

Global DIS fit First application of the full NNPDF Methodology (multiple exps., multiple PDFs)

NNPDF 1.2

[R. D. Ball et al., arXiv:0906.1958]

Constraining strangeness (dimuon data) Extraction of physical parameters (CKM matrix elements)

X

CKM unit. fit CKM unit. fit NNPDF1.2 NNPDF1.2

Vcs Vcs Vcd Vcd

0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00 1.02

Result for the combined fit |Vcs| = 0.96 ± 0.07 |Vcd| = 0.244 ± 0.019 ρ[Vcs, Vcd] = 0.21

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 35

NNPDF 2.0

Technical improvements

Fast DGLAP evolution based on higher-order interpolating polynomials Improved treatment of normalization errors (t0 method)

For details see [R. D. Ball et al., arXiv:0912.2276]

Improvements in training/stopping

Target Weighted Training Improved stopping for avoiding under-/over-learning

For all the deatils see: [R. D. Ball et al., arXiv:1002.4407]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 36

NNPDF2.0

Dataset

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/ p

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NMC-pd NMC SLAC BCDMS HERAI-AV CHORUS FLH108 NTVDMN ZEUS-H2 DYE605 DYE886 CDFWASY CDFZRAP D0ZRAP CDFR2KT D0R2CON

NNPDF2.0 dataset

3477 data points

(for comparison MSTW08 includes 2699 data points) OBS Data set Deep Inelastic Scattering F d

2 /F p 2

NMC-pd F p

2

NMC SLAC BCDMS F d

2

SLAC BCDMS σ+

NC

ZEUS H1 σ−

NC

ZEUS H1 FL H1 σν, σ ¯

ν

CHORUS dimuon prod. NuTeV Drell-Yan & Vector Boson prod. dσ❉❨/dM2dy E605 dσ❉❨/dM2dxF E866 W asymm. CDF Z rap. distr. D0/CDF Inclusive jet prod.

  • Incl. σ(❥❡t)

CDF (kT ) - Run II

  • Incl. σ(❥❡t)

D0 (cone) - Run II

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 37

NNPDF2.0

Proper inclusion of NLO corrections

Inclusion of higher order corrections to hadronic processes in parton fits is often too expensive Often higher order corrections are included as (local) K factors rescaling the LO cross section We use FastNLO for inclusive jet cross section

[T. Kluge et al.,hep-ph/0609285]

We developed our own FastDY for fixed target Drell-Yan and vector boson production at colliders

Relative Accuracy w.r.t to Exact calculation

10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1

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0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 ε y E605 E886p E886r Wasy Zrap

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 38

NNPDF2.0

Parametrization

We parametrize 7 PDF combinations at the initial scale with Neural Networks Parton Distributions Combination NN architechture Singlet (Σ(x)) = ⇒ 2-5-3-1 (37 pars) Gluon (g(x)) = ⇒ 2-5-3-1 (37 pars) Total valence (V(x) ≡ uV(x) + dV(x)) = ⇒ 2-5-3-1 (37 pars) Non-singlet triplet (T3(x)) = ⇒ 2-5-3-1 (37 pars) Sea asymmetry (∆S(x) ≡ ¯

d(x) − ¯ u(x))

= ⇒ 2-5-3-1 (37 pars) Total Strangeness (s+(x) ≡ (s(x) + ¯

s(x))/2)

= ⇒ 2-5-3-1 (37 pars) Strange valence (s−(x) ≡ (s(x) − ¯

s(x))/2)

= ⇒ 2-5-3-1 (37 pars) 259 parameters

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 39

NNPDF2.0

Results - General features of the fit

χ2

t♦t

1.21 E ± σE 2.32 ± 0.10 Etr ± σEtr 2.29 ± 0.11 E✈❛❧ ± σE✈❛❧ 2.35 ± 0.12 ❚▲ ± σ❚▲ 16175 ± 6257 χ2(k) ± σχ2 1.29 ± 0.09

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2

for sets

2

χ Distribution of

NMC-pd NMC SLACp SLACd BCDMSp BCDMSd HERA1-NCep HERA1-NCem HERA1-CCep HERA1-CCem CHORUSnu CHORUSnb FLH108 NTVnuDMN NTVnbDMN Z06NC Z06CC FLPOS DMPOS DYE605 DYE886p DYE886r CDFWASY CDFZRAP D0ZRAP CDFR2KT D0R2CON

for sets

2

χ Distribution of

2(k)

χ 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 distribution for MC replicas

2(k)

χ distribution for MC replicas

2(k)

χ

tr (k)

E 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 distribution for MC replicas

tr

E distribution for MC replicas

tr

E Training lenght [GA generations] 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 Distribution of training lenghts Distribution of training lenghts

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

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SLIDE 40

NNPDF2.0

Results - Partons - Comparison to older NNPDF set

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10 1 )

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xg (x, Q

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1 2 3 4 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

xg (x, Q

  • 0.1

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x

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(x, Q Σ x 1 2 3 4 5 6 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

3

xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

xV (x, Q 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

S

∆ x

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0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x

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10 1 )

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0.5 1 1.5 2 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

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+

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0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

  • xs
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0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 26 / 40

slide-41
SLIDE 41

NNPDF2.0

Results - Partons - Comparison to other global fits

x

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1 2 3 4 NNPDF2.0 CTEQ6.6 MSTW 2008 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

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xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 CTEQ6.6 MSTW 2008 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

xV (x, Q 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 NNPDF2.0 CTEQ6.6 MSTW 2008 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

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0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 NNPDF2.0 CTEQ6.6 MSTW 2008 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

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0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 NNPDF2.0 CTEQ6.6 MSTW 2008

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 27 / 40

slide-42
SLIDE 42

NNPDF2.0

Results - Partons - A couple of upshots

Reduction of uncertainties with respect to

  • lder NNPDF sets due to inclusion of new

data

x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

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xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 28 / 40

slide-43
SLIDE 43

NNPDF2.0

Results - Partons - A couple of upshots

Reduction of uncertainties with respect to

  • lder NNPDF sets due to inclusion of new

data

x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

3

xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2

Uncertainties on PDFs competitive with results from other groups ...

x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

3

xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 CTEQ6.6 MSTW 2008

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 28 / 40

slide-44
SLIDE 44

NNPDF2.0

Results - Partons - A couple of upshots

Reduction of uncertainties with respect to

  • lder NNPDF sets due to inclusion of new

data

x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

3

xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2

Uncertainties on PDFs competitive with results from other groups ...

x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 )

2

(x, Q

3

xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 CTEQ6.6 MSTW 2008

... but still retain unbiasedness in regions where there are little or no experimental constraints

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  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 28 / 40

slide-45
SLIDE 45

NNPDF2.0

Results - Quantitative assesment of impact of modifications

We define the distance between central values of PDFs .dkfhshf d(qj) =

  • qj(1) − qj(2)

2 σ2

1[qj] + σ2 2[qj]

  • N♣❛rt

and the similarly for Standard Deviations.

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 29 / 40

slide-46
SLIDE 46

NNPDF2.0

Results - Quantitative assesment of impact of modifications

We define the distance between central values of PDFs .dkfhshf d(qj) =

  • qj(1) − qj(2)

2 σ2

1[qj] + σ2 2[qj]

  • N♣❛rt

and the similarly for Standard Deviations. Comparisons we have performed for NNPDF2.0

NNPDF1.2 vs. NNPDF1.2 + minimization/training improvements Improved NNPDF1.2 vs. Improved NNPDF1.2 + t0-method Fit to DIS dataset with H1/ZEUS data vs. Fit with HERA-I combined Fit to DIS dataset vs. Fit to DIS+JET Fit to DIS+JET vs. NNPDF2.0 final

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 29 / 40

slide-47
SLIDE 47

Results

Impact HERA-I combined dataset

Overall fit quality to the whole dataset is good (χ2 = 1.14)

σ+

◆❈ dataset has relatively

high χ2 ∼ 1.3 σ−

❈❈ dataset has very low

χ2 ∼ 0.55

Same χ2-pattern observed in the HERAPDF1.0 analysis Impact on PDFs is moderate, affecting mainly Singlet and Gluon at small-x

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 1 2 3 4 5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 1 2 3 4 5 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- x
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  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 30 / 40

slide-48
SLIDE 48

Results

Impact of Tevatron inclusive Jet data

We include Tevatron Run-II inclusive jet data They provide a valuable constrain on large-x gluon No signs of tension with other datasets included in the analysis Run-I data not included but compatibility with the outcome

  • f the fit has been checked
1 2 3 4 5 6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 1 2 3 4 5 6 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0-DIS vs. 2.0-DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 xg (x, Q
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0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 NNPDF2.0 - DIS NNPDF1.2 - DIS + JET x
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  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 31 / 40

slide-49
SLIDE 49

Results

Impact of Drell-Yan and Vector Boson production data

Good description of fixed target Drell-Yan data (E605 proton and E886 proton and p/d ratio) Vector boson production at colliders (CDF W-asymmetry and Z rapidity distribution) harder to fit All valence-type PDF combinations are affected by these data Sizable reduction in the uncertainty of the strange valence (possible impact on NuTeV anomaly)

2 4 6 8 10 12 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0 vs. 2.0 DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 2 4 6 8 10 12 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0 vs. 2.0 DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 2 4 6 8 10 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0 vs. 2.0 DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 2 4 6 8 10 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0 vs. 2.0 DIS+JET Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 (x, Q 3 xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF2.0 DIS+JET NNPDF2.0 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 xV (x, Q 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 NNPDF2.0 DIS+JET NNPDF2.0 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 (x, Q S ∆ x 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 NNPDF2.0 DIS+JET NNPDF2.0 x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 (x, Q
  • xs
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  • 0.01
0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 NNPDF2.0 DIS+JET NNPDF2.0
  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 32 / 40

slide-50
SLIDE 50

Results

Vector Boson production at colliders

Z rapidity distribution:

Very good description of D0 data (χ2 = 0.57) Poor description of CDF data (χ2 = 2.02) MSTW08 has the same pattern Possible inconsistency of the two datasets?

CDF W-asymmetry

We fit the direct W-asymmetry data, not the leptoinc asymmetry Poor description of the data (χ2 = 1.85)

W

Y 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 )

W

(Y

TeV W

A 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 NNPDF1.0 NNPDF1.2 NNPDF2.0 DATA

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 33 / 40

slide-51
SLIDE 51

Results

Phenomenological implications

LHC standard Candles

σ(W +)❇r ` W + → l+νl ´ σ(W −)❇r ` W − → l+νl ´ σ(Z 0)❇r “ Z 0 → l+l−” NNPDF1.2 11.99 ± 0.34 nb 8.47 ± 0.21 nb 1.94 ± 0.04 nb NNPDF2.0 11.57 ± 0.19 nb 8.52 ± 0.14 nb 1.93 ± 0.03 nb CTEQ6.6 12.41 ± 0.28 nb 9.11 ± 0.22 nb 2.07 ± 0.05 nb MSTW08 12.03 ± 0.22 nb 9.09 ± 0.17 nb 2.03 ± 0.04 nb

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 34 / 40

slide-52
SLIDE 52

Results

Phenomenological implications

LHC standard Candles

σ(W +)❇r ` W + → l+νl ´ σ(W −)❇r ` W − → l+νl ´ σ(Z 0)❇r “ Z 0 → l+l−” NNPDF1.2 11.99 ± 0.34 nb 8.47 ± 0.21 nb 1.94 ± 0.04 nb NNPDF2.0 11.57 ± 0.19 nb 8.52 ± 0.14 nb 1.93 ± 0.03 nb CTEQ6.6 12.41 ± 0.28 nb 9.11 ± 0.22 nb 2.07 ± 0.05 nb MSTW08 12.03 ± 0.22 nb 9.09 ± 0.17 nb 2.03 ± 0.04 nb

Impact on NuTeV determination of sin2 θW

0.215 0.22 0.225 0.23 0.235 0.24 0.245 sin2θW Determinations of the weak mixing angle sin2θW NuTeV01 NuTeV01 EW fit + NNPDF1.2 [S-] NuTeV01 + NNPDF2.0 [S-]

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 34 / 40

slide-53
SLIDE 53

Conclusions

A reliable estimation of PDF uncertainties is crucial in order to exploit the full physics potential of the LHC experiments. The NNPDF methodology based on using Monte Carlo techniques and Neural Networks is well suited to address problems of standard fits. No sign of strong tension among different datasets Officially released NNPDF sets (NNPDF 1.0/1.2/2.0) are available within the LHAPDF interface. Next steps:

Improved treatment of Heavy Flavour contributions, NNPDF 2.x Inclusion of higher order contributions (QCD/EW effects), NNPDF x.x ...

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 35 / 40

slide-54
SLIDE 54

BACKUP SLIDES

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 36 / 40

slide-55
SLIDE 55

NLO QCD

Fast Evolution

Implementation of a new strategy to solve DGLAP evolution equation Evolution is performed as interpolation using higher-oder interpolating polynomials (Hermite polyonomials) Implementation benchmarked against the Les Houches tables Gain in speed by a factor 30 (for a fit to 3000 datapoints) Speed of the evolution scales with number of points in the interpolating grid (compare to older implementations which scaled with number of datapoints).

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 37 / 40

slide-56
SLIDE 56

Methodology

Impact of improved trainig/stopping

x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 xV (x, Q 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 NNPDF1.2 =0 NNPDF2.0 DIS(HERAold) + t x
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1 2 3 4 5 NNPDF1.2 =0 NNPDF2.0 DIS(HERAold) + t x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 (x, Q 3 xT 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 NNPDF1.2 =0 NNPDF2.0 DIS(HERAold) + t 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 1.2 vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 1.2 vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 2 4 6 8 10 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 1.2 vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 2 4 6 8 10 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 1.2 vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s-
  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 38 / 40

slide-57
SLIDE 57

Methodology

Impact of t0-method

x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 ) 2 xV (x, Q 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 NNPDF2.0 DIS+JET NNPDF2.0 x
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10 1 ) 2 (x, Q Σ x 1 2 3 4 5 6 NNPDF2.0 DIS(HERAold) =0 NNPDF2.0 DIS(HERAold) + t 2 4 6 8 10 12 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0-DIS-HERAold vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 2 4 6 8 10 12 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ q(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between central values NNPDF 2.0-DIS-HERAold vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0-DIS-HERAold vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1e-05 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 d[ σq(x,Q0 2) ] x Distance between PDF uncertainties NNPDF 2.0-DIS-HERAold vs. 2.0-DIS-HERAold-t0=0 Σ g T3 V ∆S s+ s-
  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 39 / 40

slide-58
SLIDE 58

Results

Some more phenomenological implications

σ(t¯ t) σ(H, mH = 120 ●❡❱) NNPDF1.2 901 ± 21 pb 36.6 ± 1.2 pb NNPDF2.0 913 ± 17 pb 37.3 ± 0.4 pb CTEQ6.6 844 ± 17 pb 36.3 ± 0.9 pb MSTW08 905 ± 18 pb 38.4 ± 0.5 pb

  • A. Guffanti (Univ. Freiburg)

PDF errors 40 / 40