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Pancreatic Cancer Research and HMGB1 Signaling Pathway Haijun Gong*, Paolo Zuliani*, Anvesh Komuravelli*, James R. Faeder # , Edmund M. Clarke* * # The Hallmarks of Cancer D. Hanahan and R. A. Weinberg Cell, Vol. 100, 57 70, January 7,


  1. Pancreatic Cancer Research and HMGB1 Signaling Pathway Haijun Gong*, Paolo Zuliani*, Anvesh Komuravelli*, James R. Faeder # , Edmund M. Clarke* * #

  2. The Hallmarks of Cancer D. Hanahan and R. A. Weinberg Cell, Vol. 100, 57 – 70, January 7, 2000 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09

  3. Outline 1. Introduction • HMGB1 Protein • Important Signaling Pathways 2. Model Building • BioNetGen Model • Simulation Results 3. Model Checking • Statistical Model Checking • Verification of HMGB1 model 4. Conclusions 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09

  4. The Protein HMGB1 • High-Mobility Group Protein 1 (HMGB1): • DNA-binding protein and regulates gene transcription • released from damaged or stressed cells, etc. • HMGB1 activates RAGE or TLR2/4 • RAGE: Receptor for Advanced Glycation End products. • TLR: Toll-like receptor RAGE/TLR activation can activate NF k B and RAS signaling pathways • which causes inflammation or tumorigenesis.

  5. HMGB1 and Pancreatic Cancer ( Lotze et al., UPMC ) HMGB1 RAGE Apoptosis Experiments with pancreatic cancer cells:  Overexpression of HMGB1/RAGE is associated with diminished apoptosis, and longer cancer cell survival time.  Knockout of HMGB1/RAGE leads to increased apoptosis, and decreased cancer cell survival.

  6. Our Goals  We use the BioNetGen language ( http://bionetgen.org ) to describe the crosstalk of important signaling pathways activated by HMGB1.  We focus on the p53, RAS, NFkB & RB-E2F signaling pathways.  How the expression level of HMGB1 influences the cell’s fate.  We use statistical model checking to formally verify behavioral properties expressed in temporal logic:  Can express quantitative properties of systems  Scalable, can deal with large models 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09

  7. P53-RAS-RB Crosstalk Model  First computational model of HMGB1 signal transduction in tumorigenesis.  Focus on the crosstalk of p53, RAS, & RB signaling pathways.  More details in the paper “ Analysis and Verification of the HMGB1 Signaling Pathway ” published in BMC Bioinformatics 11 (Suppl 7) (2010) 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09

  8. HMGB1 RAGE RAGEa PI3K-p53 pathway RAS RASa PI3K P53 is a tumor suppressor, is mutated in more RAF than 50% of cancers . RAFa PIP2 PIP3 Functions of P53: MEKp MEK 1. Induces cell cycle arrest : P21, etc. deg 2. DNA repair ERKp INK4A ERK AKT AKTp 3. Initiates apoptosis – Programmed Cell deg Death: Bax, etc. CyclinD Myc MDM2p MDM2 PTEN deg RBp RB  Negative feedback loop: deg deg E2F PI3K  PIP3  AKT  MDM2 ─┤ p53 deg deg  MDM2 mdm2 ARF RB-E2F deg  Positive feedback loop: p53  PTEN ─┤ PIP3  AKT  MDM2 deg CyclinE P53 P21 ─┤ p53 deg S Phase Apoptosis

  9. HMGB1 RAGE RAGEa RAS RASa PI3K RAF RAFa PIP2 PIP3 MEKp MEK deg ERKp INK4A ERK AKT AKTp deg RAS-ERK pathway CyclinD Myc MDM2p MDM2 PTEN deg RBp RB deg deg E2F 1. Activation of RAS signaling causes cell growth and survival. deg 2. RAS family has three members: HRAS, KRAS, NRAS. deg mdm2 3. KRAS mutations are found in more than 90% of pancreatic cancers. ARF RB-E2F deg  RAGE  RAS  RAF  MEK  ERK1/2  TFs  Cyclin D  deg CyclinE P53 Cell-cycle progression P21  RAS  PI3K  PIP3  AKT  MDM2 ─┤Apoptosis deg 9 S Phase Apoptosis

  10. HMGB1 RAGE RAGEa RB-E2F pathway RAS RASa  Regulates the G1-S phase PI3K transition in the cell cycle. RAF RAFa PIP2 PIP3 1. E2F is an oncoprotein, activates MEKp MEK the transcription of Cyclin E, and it is modulated by RB. deg ERKp INK4A ERK AKT AKTp 2. RB is a tumor suppressor: deg prevents the replication of CyclinD Myc damaged DNA. MDM2p MDM2 PTEN deg RBp RB deg deg E2F 3. Cyclin D-CDK4 phosphorylates deg RB, leading to the activation of deg mdm2 E2F. ARF RB-E2F deg  CyclinD ─┤ RB ─┤ E2F  deg CyclinE CyclinE  S Phase P53 P21 deg 10 S Phase Apoptosis

  11. HMGB1 31 molecular species RAGE RAGEa 59 reactions RAS RASa Blue: tumor suppressor PI3K Red: oncoprotein/gene RAF RAFa PIP2 PIP3 MEKp MEK deg ERKp INK4A ERK AKT AKTp deg CyclinD Myc MDM2p MDM2 PTEN deg RBp RB deg deg E2F deg deg mdm2 ARF RB-E2F deg deg CyclinE P53 P21 deg 11 S Phase Apoptosis

  12. P53-NFkB-RAS-RB Crosstalk Model  Crosstalk of p53, NFkB, RAS, & RB signaling pathways.  NFkB protein is involved in inflammation, cell proliferation and apoptosis.  NFkB is a transcription factor for the pro-apoptotic gene p53, for anti-apoptotic genes Bcl-XL and for the cell-cycle regulatory proteins Myc and Cyclin D.  More details in the paper “ Computational Modeling and Verification of Signaling Pathways in Cancer ” published in Algebraic and Numeric Biology Proceedings (2010). 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09 07/16/09

  13.  In resting cells IkB exists only in the cytoplasm, bound to NFkB  IKK (IkB kinase) can NFkB pathway phosphorylate IkB to release NFkB 2 negative feedback loops:  Free NFkB enter the nucleus to 1.TLR  IKK ─┤ IkB activate the ─┤ NFkB  IkB ─┤ expression of A20, NFkB IkB, P53, Cyclin D, Myc. 2.NFkB  A20 ─┤ IKK ─┤ IkB ─┤ NFkB  Overexpression of NFkB is common in the pancreatic cancer.

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  15. The BioNetGen Language begin molecule types A(b,Y~U~P) # A has a component Y which # can be labeled as U (unphosphorylated) # or P (phosphorylated) b B(a) U a P Y end molecule types B A begin reaction rules a + a b b A(b)+ B(a)<-> A(b!1).B(a!1) B B A A A(Y~U) -> A(Y~P) end reaction rules U Ordinary Differential Equations and Stochastic P Y Y simulation (Gillespie’s algorithm) A A Faeder JR, Blinov ML, Hlavacek WS Rule-Based Modeling of Biochemical Systems with BioNetGen. In Methods in Molecular Biology: Systems Biology, (2009).

  16. BioNetGen  Two Events: PIP3 phosphorylates AKT, and AKT dephosphorylates. begin species begin parameters AKT(d~U) 1e5 k 1.2e-7 AKT(d~p) 0 d 1.2e-2 end species end parameters begin reaction_rules PIP(c~p) + AKT(d~U) → PIP(c~p) + AKT(d~p) k AKT(d~p) → AKT(d~U) d end reaction_rules  The corresponding ODE is: [AKT(d~p)](t) ' = k ∙ [PIP(c~p)](t) ∙ [AKT(d~U)](t) – d ∙ [AKT(d~p)](t)

  17. Simulations (I)  Baseline simulation of p53, MDM2, Cyclin D/E in response to HMGB1 release: ODE vs stochastic simulation

  18. Simulations (II)  Baseline simulation of NFkB, IkB, IKK and A20 in response to HMGB1 release.

  19. Simulations (III)  Overexpression of HMGB1 leads to increase of E2F and Cyclin D/E, decrease of p53.  Overexpression of AKT represses p53 level

  20. Simulations (IV)

  21. Simulations (V)  IKK overexpress in many cancer cells, it promotes NFkB’s transcription activity and accelerate cell proliferation.  Overexpression of NFkB is common in pancreatic cancer.

  22. Bounded Linear Temporal Logic  Bounded Linear Temporal Logic (BLTL): Extension of LTL with time bounds on temporal operators.  F t a – “a will be true in the Future within time t ”  G t a – “a will be Globally true between time 0 and t ”  For example: “# of AKTp reach 4,000 within 20 minutes ?” – F 20 (AKTp ≥ 4,000)  Let σ = ( s 0 , t 0 ), (s 1 , t 1 ), . . . be an execution of the model  along states s 0 , s 1 , . . .  the system stays in state s i for time t i  σ i : Execution trace starting at state i .

  23. Verification of BioNetGen Models  Given a stochastic BioNetGen model , Temporal property Ф , and a fixed 0< θ <1 , we ask whether P ≥ θ ( Ф ) or P < θ ( Ф ).  For example: “could AKTp reach 4,000 within 20 minutes, with probability at least 0.99?” : P ≥0.99 ( F 20 (AKTp ≥ 4,000))  Does satisfy with probability at least ?  Draw a sample of system simulations and use Statistical Hypothesis Testing: Null vs. Alternative hypothesis

  24. Statistical Model Checking Statistical Model Checking of biochemical models: M ╞═ P ≥ θ ( Φ )? Statistical Model Checker BioNetGen M ╞═ P ≥ θ ( Φ ) Model M Statistical Stochastic Test simulation M ╞═ P ≥ θ ( Φ ) Formula monitor BLTL property Φ

  25. Bayes Factor  a sample of Bernoulli random variables  Prior probabilities P(H 0 ) , P(H 1 ) strictly positive, sum to 1  Ratio of Posterior Probabilities: Bayes Factor B  Fix threshold T ≥ 1 and prior probabilities P(H 0 ) , P(H 1 ) . Continue sampling until  Bayes Factor B > T : Accept H 0  Bayes Factor B < 1/T : Reject H 0

  26. SMC Algorithm Require : Property P ≥ θ ( Φ ) , Threshold T ≥ 1 , Prior density g n : = 0 {number of traces drawn so far} {number of traces satisfying Φ so far} x : = 0 repeat σ := draw a sample trace from BioNetGen (iid) n : = n + 1 if σ Φ then x : = x + 1 endif B : = BayesFactor(n, x, g) until ( B > T v B < 1/T ) if ( B > T ) then return “ H 0 accepted” else return “ H 0 rejected” endif

  27. Verification (I)  Overexpression of HMGB1 will induce the expression of cell regulatory protein CyclinE.  We model checked the formula with different initial values of HMGB1, the probability error is 0.001. P ≥0.9 F 600 ( CyclinE > 900 ) HMGB1 # samples # Success Result 10 2 9 0 False 10 3 55 16 False 10 6 22 22 True

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