Paddy Power Betfair plc 2016 Interim Results 2 Overview Revenue - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Paddy Power Betfair plc 2016 Interim Results 2 Overview Revenue - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Paddy Power Betfair plc 2016 Interim Results 2 Overview Revenue up 18%, with good performances across all divisions 1 H1 Results ts Underlying EBITDA up 31% to 181m Underlying operating profit up 39% to 148m Integration
2
- Revenue up 18%, with good performances across all divisions
- Underlying EBITDA up 31% to £181m
- Underlying operating profit up 39% to £148m
H1 Results ts
1
Merg rger Integration
- n
Overview
Outlook
- k
- Integration progressing ahead of schedule
- Now expect cost synergy benefit of £65m vs £50m initial expectation
- Majority of integration actions already completed – full benefit to land in 2017
- Full year 2016 underlying EBITDA expected to be between £365m and £385m
- Scale, market positions and leading capabilities; well placed for sustainable,
profitable growth
1 Note throughout this presentation results are shown prepared on a “Proforma” basis for the Group as if the merger completed on 1 January 2015.
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Financial & Operating Review
4
Financial highlights
- 18% revenue growth (Q1 +16%, Q2 +20%)
- Euro 2016 contributed £22m revenues to
H1 (£38m for full tournament)
- Operating costs up 14%:
− 31% increase in sales & marketing − 5% increase in other costs
- Excluding FX impact, net revenue up 16%
and EBITDA up 30%
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016 H1 1 20 2015 15 YO YOY %
Net r reven enue 759 642 +18% Cost of sales (175) (149) +17% Gross ss profi fit 584 493 +19% Operating costs (403) (355) +14% EBITDA 181 138 +31%
EBITDA margin % 23.8% 21.5% +2.3%
Depreciation & amortisation (33) (32) +6% Underlyin ing o
- peratin
ing p profit it 148 106 +39% Separately disclosed items (195)
- n/a
Operating (loss)/profit (48) 106 n/a Underlying earnings per share 147.0p 107.7p +36% Interim dividends per share 52p n/a Net cash at end of period £2m £12m
5
Divisional overview
£m, Proforma Underlying
ONLINE NE AUSTRALI LIA RETAIL US US GROUP UP H1’16 16 YOY % Y % H1’16 16 YOY % Y % H1‘16 16 YOY % Y % H1’16 16 YOY % Y % H1’16 16 YOY % Y %
Sportsbook stakes 2,700 +20% 1,259 +29% 851 +10%
- 4,810
+21%
Sportsbook net rev % 6.7% +0.6% 10.3%
- 1.1%
11.6% +0.1%
- 8.5%
5% +0.1%
Sports net revenue 316 +21% 129 +17% 100 +12% 38 +23% 582 +18% Gaming net revenue 124 +20%
- 47
+11% 5 +23% 177 +17% Total n net r revenue 440 +20% 129 +17% 147 +12% 43 +23% 759 +18% EBITDA DA 140 +34% 30
- 10%
31 +16% 7 +65% 181 +31% Operatin ing p profit it 123 +40% 26
- 12%
23 +21% 3 +153% 53% 148 +39%
Regulated Online 53% Unregulated Online 5% Australia 17% US 6% Retail 19%
H1 2 2016 N Net R Revenue By M Marke ket
Online Sportsbook 41% Exchange, US Sports & B2B 22% Online Gaming 17% Retail Sportsbook 13% Retail Gaming 6%
By Pr Product H1 2016 2016 O Operating P Profit By d div ivisio ion2
Online 70% Australia 15% US 2% Retail 13%
1 Group EBITDA and operating profit includes unallocated central costs 2 Before unallocated central costs of £28m
1
6
Online
- Sportsbook stakes growth driven by mobile
(76% of revenues)
- Exchange & B2B revenue +3%
- Gaming revenues driven by strong cross-
sell and mobile revenue growth
- Regulated revenues up 25% with
unregulated -13%, primarily due to exiting Portugal in July 2015
- Sales & marketing costs increase includes
continued asset inflation and Euro 2016
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016 H1 1 20 2015 15 YO YOY %
Sport rtsb sbook st stakes 2,700 700 2,242 242 +20% Sportsbook net revenue % 6.7% 6.1% +0.6% Sports net revenue 316 262 +21% Gaming net revenue 124 103 +20% Total n net r revenue 440 365 +20% Cost of sales (100) (87) +16% Gross ss Profi fit 339 278 +22% Sales & marketing (108) (82) +32% Product & technology (58) (56) +2% Operations (33) (35)
- 6%
Total operating costs (199) (174) +14% Underlyi ying EB EBITDA 140 104 +34% Depreciation & amortisation (17) (17) +3% Underlyin ing o
- peratin
ing p profit it 123 88 +40% Active customers (000’s)* 3,061 2,614 +17%
Online division includes the UK/Ireland telephone business * Active customers throughout are defined as those who have deposited real money and have bet in the reporting period, excluding indirect B2B customers. Note that the active customer numbers have not been adjusted for customers who were active on both the Paddy Power and Betfair brands.
7
Australia
- Revenue growth impacted by adverse
horseracing results
- In-play betting contributed 15% of stakes &
8% of revenues in H1 2016, versus 8% & 4% in FY 2015 prior to launch of ‘Bet Live’
- Sales & marketing cost growth reflects
substantial investment in media assets and cost inflation
- Other cost growth reflects significant new
hires in H2 2015; expected to moderate from H2 2016
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016 H1 1 20 2015 15 YO YOY %
Sport rtsb sbook st stakes 1,259 259 973 +29% Sportsbook net revenue % 10.3% 11.4%
- 1.1%
Net r reven enue 129 111 +17% Cost of sales (32) (26) +25% Gross ss Profi fit 97 85 +14% Sales & marketing (34) (26) +35% Product & technology (12) (9) +27% Operations (20) (16) +25% Total operating costs (66) (51) +30% Underlyi ying EB EBITDA 30.3 33.8
- 10%
0% Depreciation & amortisation (4.2) (4.1) +3% Underlyin ing o
- peratin
ing p profit it 26.1 29.8
- 12%
2% Active customers (000’s) 610 465 +31%
Note YoY impact of movement in FX rates was immaterial in H1 (A$ YoY movement disclosed in the Interim statement).
8
Retail
- Good revenue growth in both estates:
― UK +11% ― Ireland +13% (+6% in constant currency)
- Like-for-like KPIs in constant currency:
― Sportsbook stakes +2% ― Sportsbook revenues +4% ― Machine gaming revenues +5% ― Total net revenue +4% ― Opex +3%
- Excluding FX impact, operating profit
increased 14%
- 6 new shops opened in H1 2016 (3 in
Ireland & 3 in the UK) & 1 UK closure
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016 H1 1 20 2015 15 YO YOY %
Sport rtsb sbook st stakes 851 773 +10% Sportsbook net revenue % 11.6% 11.5% +0.1% Sportsbook net revenue 100 89 +12% Machine gaming net revenue 47 43 +11% Total n net r revenue 147 132 +12% Cost of sales (32) (29) +11% Gross ss Profi fit 115 103 +12% Operating costs (84) (76) +10% Underlyi ying EB EBITDA 31.1 26.9 +16% Depreciation & amortisation (8.2) (7.9) +4% Underlyin ing o
- peratin
ing p profit it 23.0 19.0 +21% Shops at period end 603 584 +3%
9
US
- Sports revenue driven by 17% growth
(constant currency) in TVG handle
- New Jersey casino market share
maintained at >10%
- Horseracing exchange launched in New
Jersey in May
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016 H1 1 20 2015 15 YO YOY % US$ S$ YO YOY %
Sports net revenue 38 31 +23% +16% Gaming net revenue 5 4 +23% +16% Total n net r revenue 43 35 +23% +16% Cost of sales (10) (8) +19% +12% Gross ss Profi fit 33 27 +25% +17% Operating costs (27) (23) +17% +11% Underlyi ying EB EBITDA 6.9 4.2 +65% +50% Depreciation & amortisation (4.0) (3.0) +31% +23% Underlyin ing o
- peratin
ing p profit it 2.9 1.2 +153% 153% +110% +110% Active customers (000’s) 118 114 +4%
10
Cost synergies
- Now expect £65m annualised cost synergies
− Increased from £50m and delivered a year earlier than previously expected
- One-off cash implementation costs still expected to be less than £65m
- Key actions:
― Restructuring of management teams ― Rationalisation of duplicated roles ― Offshoring of technology roles ― Closure of four offices ― Consolidation of data centres ― Procurement savings ― Reduced use of third-party suppliers
H1'16 FY 2016 FY 2017
£65m £65m £30m £30m £9m £9m
Expec ected ed phasing of cost synerg ergy be benefits
11
Separately disclosed items
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016
Merger deal costs 50 Includes stamp duty & advisor fees Merger integration costs 49 One-off costs to achieve the cost synergy savings Non-cash merger related items: Business combination intangible asset amortisation 79 IFRS3 acquisition accounting Fair value adjustment for share-based payments 13 Revaluation of existing plans Impairment of assets 4 Obsolete assets resulting from the merger Total s separately d disclos
- sed i
items 195
- All items result from the merger
- Further details included in the Appendix
12
Cash flow
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016 H1 1 20 2015 15 YO YOY %
Underlying EBITDA 181 138 +31% Capex (incl. retail & HRTV acquisitions) (34) (53)
- 36%
Working capital & tax (7) 15 n/a Underly lying f free c cash f flo low 140 100 +39% Cash flow from separately disclosed items (63)
- n/a
Free c cash f flow
- w
77 100
- 24%
4% Dividends paid (145) (46) +219% Return of capital (incl. fees)
- (482)
n/a Interest & other borrowing costs (1) (1) Flat Other 1 (5) n/a Net d decrea ease in c n cash (69) (433) 33) n/ n/a Net cash at start of period 84 453
- 81%
FX translation impact (13) (8) n/a Net c cash a at end of
- f p
period
- d
2 12
- 81%
1%
13
Financial guidance
- Proforma 2016 full year underlying EBITDA expected to be between £365m and £385m
(2015: £296m)
Full Year 201 016 6 Profits Cost syne nergies
- £65m benefit from 2017 (c.£30m benefit in 2016)
- One-off cash costs to achieve synergies expected to be less than £65m (£49m incurred)
Marketing Capex Effective tax rate FX FX Regulatory
- UK: eGaming POCT change from Aug 2017 (c.£6m annual impact); potential levy
extension to online; AML; responsible gambling
- Australia: In-play; credit betting; South Australian POCT; NSW greyhounds; product fees
- Full-year 2016 sales & marketing costs up c.30% year-on-year
- Full-year 2016 capex expected to be between £70m and £80m
- Full-year 2016 underlying effective tax rate of approximately 16%
- c.75% of Group EBITDA is GBP denominated with c.35% AUD, USD & other currencies
- ffset by net EUR losses of c.10%
Business Review
15
Merger created global Group with leading positions…
Global presenc nce Distinctive e & complem emen entary brands Products ts Leadin ing capabil ilit itie ies
- No. 1 online operator
- r in key regulated markets
- With exposur
ure to a large number of int nterna nationa nal markets
- Leading spor
- rtsboo
- ok
- No.1 global bettin
ing exchange
- eGaming
- B2B
- Scalable
le proprie ietary t technolo logy platforms
- In
In-hou
- use prod
- duct d
develop
- pment
- Dig
igit ital market eting exper ertise
- Ris
isk & t tradin ing
16
UK&I sports US horseracing Australia
c.22% c.35%
Local l onli line scale le
c.29%
…and substantial scale.
= Estimated PPB Market Share3
No.1 operator in all of these markets
247 302 317 447 580 633 646 753 1153 1475
Sky Bet 888 Betsson Unibet Ladbrokes + Gala Coral GVC William Hill Amaya Bet365
Online Revenues1 £m
Global l onli line scale le
Technology gy & & marketing g firepower
£471 471m annual spend2
1 Most recently reported 12 month period. Source: Public filings. Paddy Power Betfair is proforma for year ended 30 Jun 2016. Bet365 is the year ended 31 Mar 2015, Sky Bet is the year
ended 30 Jun 2015, Gala Coral is the year ended 9 Apr 2016; GVC is proforma for the year ended 30 Jun 2016; 888 is for the year ended 31 Dec 2015; all others are year ended 30 Jun
- 2016. Paddy Power Betfair and William Hill include telephone, which are reported within online divisions. For companies whose reporting currency is not GBP, revenues have been
converted to GBP at the average spot rate in the applicable period.
2 Proforma spend for the twelve months ended 30 June 2016. Technology spend includes capital expenditure. 3 Management estimates
17
PPB regulated mix:
- 95% of revenue
Mobile revenue mix:
- 76% of sportsbook
Our r position1
- Fastest growing online segment
- Higher barriers to entry
- Better customer retention
- Largest & fastest growing
- nline segment
- Greater certainty of returns
Clear strategic focus
Prioritise se i invest stme ment i in t the f fast stest st g growi wing m markets a s and s segme ments
Priorities Rationale le
- Fastest growing market
- Structural migration from
retail to online
Invest i t in p product, t, m marketi ting, technology & & t talent Operat ate e efficie iently at at s scal ale
Online mix:
- 80% of revenue
- 87% of profits
- 79% of online revenue
- 73% of gaming
activations via cross-sell
Onl nline ne-le led Sports-le led Mobile le-le led Regulated markets
Sustain ainable profit itab able growth
1 H1 2016
18
1 2 3
Combining the best st asse sets s and capabilities s of each legacy busi siness ss Optimis isin ing our brand posit itio ionin ing in the UK & Ireland Capitalising ng on n our ur enh nhanced scale
Key priorities
19
Combining the best assets and capabilities
1
Product
Betfair t tenni nnis p produc uct e enh nhanc nced Propri rietary ry ga gaming g cont ntent nt on B Betfair air
c.17%
Betfair Arcade handle (Jul ’16)
3rd Party Content Propriet etary Content
Pre-merger Now
x2 x2
Betfair Sportsbook
- No. of tennis matches available in-play
Paddy P Power S Sportsbook Euro 2016 In-play betting
Bets ts Stak akes
20% 11%
Existing markets New markets
Paddy P Power f football p product e enhanced
- Sharing existing products where practical with
current technology architecture
- Full sharing of product once brands operating on a
common platform
20
Technology P Platform: L Legacy P Position
Combining the best assets and capabilities
1
Technology & product development
Account and Wallet Exchange Platform Services Exchange Web/Mobile Sportsbook Gaming APIs Sportsbook Web/Mobile Gaming Web/Mobile Customer Service Promotions Pricing
Betfair ir Platfo form
- Predominantly proprietary systems, including Account &
Wallet and Promotional tools
- Modular architecture provides high level of scalability
Sportsbook Sportsbook Mobile Sportsbook Web Account and Wallet Customer Service Promotions Gaming Web/Mobile Pricing = 3rd Party
Paddy P Pow
- wer Platfor
- rm
- Proprietary front-ends for mobile sportsbook apps
- Proprietary sportsbook pricing & risk management tools
- Proprietary gaming content
- Reliance on disparate 3rd Party back end systems
APIs Paddy Power Gaming = In-house (PP) = In-house (BF)
21
Technology P Plat atform: C Combin inatio ion o
- f k
key f feat atures o
- f e
exis istin ing s systems
Combining the best assets and capabilities
1
Technology & product development
Account and Wallet Exchange Platform Services Sportsbook Gaming APIs BF Sportsbook Web/Mobile Customer Service Promotions Pricing = 3rd Party = In-house BF Exchange Web/Mobile BF Gaming Web/Mobile PP Sportsbook Web/Mobile PP Gaming Web/Mobile
Key bene nefits
- Key functionality located in proprietary platform layers (e.g.
Platform Services, Account, Promotions) allows: − Improved pace of development − Retention of IP / knowledge − Customisation of bonuses & promotions − Lower cost of development
- Improved speed & cost to roll out across multiple brands,
channels and geographies
- Highly scalable
Effici cient, scala lable le, fle lexible le, controlla llable le pla latform that supports multiple brands, channels and geog
- graphies
- Based on Betfair’s predominantly in-house architecture
- Incorporates Paddy Power’s pricing & risk management tools
and proprietary gaming content
= In-house Betfair front-end = In-house Paddy Power front-end
22
Technology P Platform: S Sportsbook C Cash O Out c case s study
Combining the best assets and capabilities
1
Technology & product development
Platform Services
Paddy Power Cash Out service Betfair Cash Out service
Sports- book
Developed
3rd party In-house
Launch on singles
Nov‘13 May ‘13
Launch on ACCAs
Mar’14 May ‘13
Estimated capacity1
- c. 4X
Typical availability2
81% 91%
Archite tectu ture Technic ical al K KPIs
- Advantages of modular architecture and in-house development are illustrated by Cash Out KPIs
- Common architecture will allow shared Cash Out capability
1 Based on estimated maximum number of requests for Cash Out quotes per second 2 Based on % of time a Cash Out offer is available in-play for a typical 4-leg football accumulator 3 % of each brands existing customers ranking the brand as “No.1 for Cash Out”, customer surveys undertaken Q2’15 to Q1’16 4 FY2015
Customer K KPIs
Cash Out usage4
4%
% of football stakes4
17%
Cash Out customer rating3
7m 2m
23
Combining the best assets and capabilities
1
Marketing & operations
Marketing
- Shared marketing technology (PPC, ad server, CRM)
- Sharing of customer analytics data, models and practices
- Co-ordinated bidding for assets
- Optimisation of media assets
Risk & & t trad adin ing Customer o
- perations
- Pooled customer services resources
- Improved customer verification journey
- More responsive fraud management
- Aligning responsible gambling tools
- Sharing of proprietary models & greater liquidity improves pricing capability
- Pricing strategy informed by observing impact of different price positions of two brands
- Exchange pricing used to enhance sportsbook (e.g. less bet suspension time & more markets)
- Enhanced risk management capability from pooled data, models & processes
24
Sp Sportsbook r revenue s split
74% 18% 8% 8%
% of 2015 Paddy Power Betfair UK Online Sportsbook revenues
Limited customer overlap
Optimising our brand positioning in the UK & Ireland
2
Customer o r overla rlap
73% 18% 9% 9%
% of 2015 Paddy Power Betfair UK Online customers
Only have account with one of our brands Only active with one of our brands Active with both of our brands
Note: Active means a customer who placed a bet in 2015
25
Our t two b bran ands ar are s strong in in d dis istin inct m mar arket s segments
Note: size of box indicates proportion of the total market represented by each segment
Football ll focusse sed Racing ng focusse ssed Mixed / other spor
- rts
Our current brand positioning
Optimising our brand positioning in the UK & Ireland
2
Key Drivers
- f Brand
Choice
Thrill ll-seeker
Atti ttitude to to gambli bling Sports p preference
- Best odds
- Range of Markets
- Reliability of website
- Range of Markets
- Live sport
- Consistently good
- dds
- Ease of using the app
- Brand that does things
differently
- Convenience
Money-cent ntric Social
Shading indicates where each brand over- indexes relative to overall market share
26
Our brand approach
Optimising our brand positioning in the UK & Ireland
2
Smart, Spirited, Straight-forward Pri rimary ry target segment nt Brand person
- na
Brand propos
- sition
- n
Key enablers Sharp-witted, Brave, Fun Money-centric Social Best Value on Exchange & Sportsbook The Most Entertaining Experience Market leading Risk Management & Pricing Best-in-class Brand Marketing Digital Marketing expertise In-house Product Development
27
Access t ss to t the b best a asse ssets
5-year N r NRL sponsorshi hip FC B Barc rcelona 3 3 year g glo loba bal l partner r
Capitalising on our enhanced scale
3
Marketing
Improv
- ved e
efficiency
Aug/Sep '15 Aug/Sep '16 Estimate
24% >30%
Incre reased s share re o
- f v
voice
UK Share of gambling category TVRs1 for Paddy Power and Betfair
1 Targeted view rating for Male 18-44 ABC1
Estimated unit cost of key TV assets
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2016/17
Market average Top T TV p packages f for 2016/ 16/17 f 17 football seaso son
28
Capitalising on our enhanced scale
3
Product development
c.1, 1,000 00
Substa tanti tial d development t resourc rces
c.600 600
In-house product development headcount
- Each brand has access to greater resources
- Higher returns possible as products can be
- ffered to both customer bases
c.450 450
Pr Pre-merger Post st-mer erger
29
Summary
- Good trading momentum maintained
- Merger integration delivered ahead of schedule
- Additional cost synergies identified
H1 progr gress Key prio iorit itie ies
- Combining the best assets and capabilities of each legacy business
- Optimising our brand positioning in the UK & Ireland
- Capitalising on our enhanced scale
- Prioritise investment in the fastest growing markets and segments
- Invest in product, marketing, technology and talent
- Operate efficiently at scale
Strategic c focu cus
Q&A
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Appendices
32
Separately disclosed items
MERGER ACQUISITION ACCOUNTING £m Consid ideratio ion 4,314 Market value at completion of shares issued plus fair value of replacement share options issued Less: ss: Betfair net assets on completion 39 Net of fair value adjustments Identified i intangible a assets (comprising brands, customer relationships, technology & licences) Amortised to income statement over useful lives of up to 8 years:
H116 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 – FY23
628 79 173 132 83 67 43 p.a. Deferred tax on identified intangible assets (95) (10) (21) (18) (12) (10) (8) p.a. Equals Goodwill 3,742 Not amortised, reviewed annually for impairment OTHER FAIR VALUE ADJUSTMENTS £m Fair v val alue ad adjustment f for s shar are-based p payments Revaluation of existing plans required on completion, additional charge to income statement over vesting period reflecting increased market value of shares: H116 FY16 FY17 FY18 Total P&L impact 13 22 11 2 35
33
Proforma Income Statement
£m, Proforma H1 2016 016 H1 1 20 2015 15 H2 2 20 2015 15 FY 20 2015 15
Revenue 759 759 642 642 676 676 1, 1,31 318 Cost of sales (175) (149) (162) (311) Gross profit 584 493 514 1,007 Operating costs (403) (355) (356) (711) Underly lying E EBITDA 181 181 138 138 158 158 296 296 Depreciation & amortisation (33) (32) (36) (67) Underly lying o
- perating p
profit 148 148 106 106 122 122 229 229 Net interest expense (2) (0) (2) (2) Underlying profit before tax 146 106 120 226 Underlying taxation (23) (17) (19) (35) Underlying profit for the period 122 90 102 191 Underly lying ba basic e earnings p per s share 147. 7.0p 0p 107. 7.7p 7p 122. 2.1p 1p 229. 9.8p 8p Underly lying o
- perating p
profit 148 148 106 106 122 122 229 229 Separately disclosed items (195)
- (9)
(9) Operating ( (lo loss)/profit (47) 47) 106 106 113 113 219 219 Net interest expense (2) (0) (2) (2) (Loss) / profit before tax (49) 106 111 217 Taxation (8) (17) (15) (32) (Loss) / profit for the period (57) 90 96 185 Basic ( (loss) / / e earnings p per s sha hare (68. 68.3)p 107. 7.7p 7p 115. 5.3p 3p 223. 3.0p 0p
34
2015 Proforma Cash flow
£m, Proforma H1 1 20 2015 15 H2 2 20 2015 15 FY 20 2015 15
Underlying EBITDA 138 158 296 Capex (incl. retail & HRTV acquisitions) (53) (39) (92) Working capital & tax 15 17 32 Underly lying f free c cash f flo low 100 135 236 Cash flow from separately disclosed items
- (9)
(9) Free c cash f flow
- w
100 126 227 Dividends paid (46) (42) (88) Return of capital (incl. fees) (482) (2) (484) Interest & other borrowing costs (1) (1) (1) Other (5) (6) (11) Net ( (decrease) / / i increasein c cash sh (433) 33) 76 (357) 57) Net cash at start of period 453 12 453 FX translation impact (8) (4) (12) Net c cash a at end of
- f p
period
- d
12 84 84