CONFIDENTIAL INVESTOR PRESENTATION
April 2014
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC 1212 Avenue of the Americas, 3rd Floor New York, NY 10036 Tel: 212.792.7999 Fax: 212.531.6153 Email: info@kerrisdalecap.com
Once one of our largest long positions Today, we discuss a short - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
April 2014 Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC 1212 Avenue of the Americas, 3rd Floor New York, NY 10036 Tel: 212.792.7999 Fax: 212.531.6153 Email: info@kerrisdalecap.com C ONFIDENTIAL I NVESTOR P RESENTATION Once one of our largest long
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC 1212 Avenue of the Americas, 3rd Floor New York, NY 10036 Tel: 212.792.7999 Fax: 212.531.6153 Email: info@kerrisdalecap.com
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Source: BOFI March 2014 investor presentation
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Source: FDIC statistics on depository institutions , Bloomberg
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Source: FDIC statistics on depository institutions , Bloomberg
BOFI asset yields now exceed banking industry peers for non-recurring factors that will be outlined in this presentation
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Source: FDIC statistics on depository institutions , Bloomberg
BOFI NIMs now exceed banking industry peers; as the bank’s asset base grows, their NIMs will likely fall back below the banking industry, typical for an online bank
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BOFI WFC USB FITB Peer Avg. Average Securities Yield 4.74% 3.65% 2.29% 3.32% 2.19% Incremental BOFI yield 1.09% 2.45% 1.42% 2.55% Average Securities Balance ($mm) 478 Excess BOFI Net Income ($mm) 3.1 7.0 4.0 7.3 Excess BOFI EPS $0.22 $0.49 $0.28 $0.51 % Downside to LTM EPS (7%) (17%) (9%) (18%)
Source: company filings, FDIC Statistics on Depository Institutions, Kerrisdale analysis
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BOFI EVER Diff.
Loans 5.25% 4.75% 0.50% Securities & other assets 4.07% 2.74% 1.34% <--- BOFI's main advantage is securities Total earnings assets 5.03% 4.35% 0.68% Cost of funding 1.02% 0.98% 0.04% <--- Both firms pay similar funding cost NIM 4.01% 3.37% 0.64% Average balances Loans $2,664 $12,735 Other earning assets $613 $3,154 Total earnings assets $3,276 $15,889
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Source: BOFI investor presentation March 2014 Source: Financial Times
BOFI Loan Pipeline
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BOFI WFC USB FITB Peer Avg. % of Loans with Remaining Maturity or Next Repricing Date of: ≤ 3 Months 8% 52% 46% 57% 21% > 3 Months, ≤ 1 Year 7% 3% 5% 3% 11% >1 Year, ≤ 3 Years 15% 8% 9% 6% 19% >3 Years, ≤ 5 Years 50% 8% 12% 11% 24% >5 Year, ≤ 15 Years 15% 11% 14% 14% 19% >15 Years 5% 18% 15% 9% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Total >3 Years 70% 37% 40% 33% 49%
Source: FFIEC call reports as of 12/31/13, Kerrisdale analysis Note: BOFI's peer group comes from its latest proxy statement, adjusted for subsequent
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Source: Sterne Agee report, March 2014
Online Bank One Year Rate Gap
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1-Year Certificate of Deposits Bank Rate 1 GE Capital Bank 1.05% 2 My e-BAnC by BAC Florida Bank 1.01% 3 VirtualBank 1.01% 4 AloStar Bank of Commerce 1.01% 5 Colorado Federal Savings Bank 1.00% 6 The Palladian PrivateBank 1.00% 7 California First National Bank 1.00% 8 Ally Bank 0.99% 9 Home Savings Bank 0.98% 10 Discover Bank 0.98% 11 Doral Direct 0.95% 12 E-LOAN 0.94% 13 Barclays 0.91% 14 Pentagon Federal Credit Union 0.80% 15 USAA 0.80% 16 ableBanking, a division of Northeast Bank 0.71% 17 First Internet Bank of Indiana 0.65% 18 Pacific Mercantile Bank 0.65% 19 TAB Bank 0.65% 20 Lone Star Bank 0.60% 21 Bank of Internet USA 0.55% MMA and Savings Accounts Bank Type Rate 1 CIT Savings 0.95% 2 GE Capital Bank Savings 0.90% 3 Ally Bank Savings 0.87% 4 EverBank MMA 0.86% 5 Ally Bank MMA 0.85% 6 GE Capital Bank MMA 0.85% 7 American Express Savings 0.80% 8 Capital One Savings 0.75% 9 Barclays Savings 0.90% 10 Sallie Mae MMA 0.90% 11 Palladian PrivateBank Savings 0.90% 12 Union Federal Savings Bank MMA 0.90% 13 Colorado Federal Savings Bank Savings 0.85% 14 Discover Bank Savings 0.85% 15 FNBO Direct Savings 0.85% 16 Mutual of Omaha Bank MMA 0.85% 17 ableBanking, a division of Northeast Bank MMA 0.80% 18 First Internet Bank of Indiana MMA 0.80% 19 Bank of Internet USA MMA 0.75%
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BOFI Product Ranking Top 5 Banks (highest to lowest APY on 3/31/14) 3-Month CD 13th AloStar, VirtualBank, Barclays, Discover, EverBank 6-Month CD 24th Zions Direct, Doral Direct, AloStar, GE Capital Bank, My e-BAnC 1-Year CD 25th GE Capital Bank, My e-BAnC, Virtual Bank, AloStar, Colorado Federal Savings Bank 5-Year CD 22nd EverBank, Barclays, iGObanking.com, GE Capital Bank, State Farm Bank 1-Year Jumbo CD 17th My E-BAnC, GE Capital Bank, VirtualBank, AloStar, Home Savings Bank MMA/Savings 20th GE Capital Bank, CIT Bank, Barclays, GE Capital Bank, Sallie Mae MMA/10K Savings 13th GE Capital Bank, Sallie Mae, Palladian PrviateBank, EverBank, Colorado Federal Savings Bank MMA/Jumbo Savings not listed GE Capital Bank, Sallie Mae, Colorado Federal Savings, Discover Bank, FNBO Direct
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Accounts at Beginning 27,746 32,898 32,833 32,272 33,312 35,196 35,414 34,670 40,943 Acquisitions 8,400 Net Additions 5,152 (65) (561) 1,040 1,884 218 (744) (2,127) (1,852) Accounts at End 27,746 32,898 32,833 32,272 33,312 35,196 35,414 34,670 40,943 39,091 Quarter Ending 6/30/10 6/30/11 3/31/12 6/30/12 9/30/12 12/31/12 3/30/13 6/30/13 9/30/13 12/31/13
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BOFI 1 Change '17 Curve2 Asset Yield 5.03% 1.12% 6.15% <--- Based on forward 10-year curve, asset yields will rise Funding Cost 1.02% 2.88% 3.90% <--- Based on forward 1-year rates, BOFI's funding cost will rise more Net Interest Margin 4.01% (1.76%) 2.25% Earning Assets $3,276 $0 $3,276 Net Interest Income $131 ($58) $74 % Change (44%) Net Income 3 $52 ($35) $18 % Change (66%) <--- Illusrtrative net income impact from forward rate curve
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On average, internet banks have higher funding costs, and more price sensitive depositors… … and earn lower yields on assets… … resulting in lower NIMs than their peers
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High growth banks Internet banks Marquee banks
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Source: CapitalIQ
High-Growth Banks P/TBV Internet Banks P/TBV Marquee Banks P/TBV
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Source: CapitalIQ
High-Growth Banks P/EPS Internet Banks P/EPS Marquee Banks P/EPS
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Source: Sterne Agee report, March 2014
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(Dollars in thousands, as at December 31, 2013) Net Present Value Percentage Change from Base NPV as a Percentage
Up 300 basis points $ 267,278 (34.8%) 7.83% Up 200 basis points 331,284 (19.2%) 9.39% Up 100 basis points 388,060 (5.4%) 10.69% Base 410,248 — 11.05% Down 100 basis points 445,133 8.5% 11.81% Down 200 basis points 446,566 8.9% 11.75%
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NIM Estimates FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 Price-target basis KBW 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% DCF Sidoti 4.0% 4.1% CY2015 EPS Sandler O'Neill 1,2 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% CY2014 EPS Maxim 1,2 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% CY2015 EPS Sterne Agee 3.9% 3.8% 3.7% CY2015 EPS Average 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% Bank Sector 3 3.3% BOFI 4.0%
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As of the publication date of this report, Kerrisdale Capital Management LLC and its affiliates (collectively "Kerrisdale"), others that contributed research to this report and others that we have shared our research with (collectively, the “Authors”) have short positions in and may own options on the stock of the company covered herein (BofI Holding Inc.) and stand to realize gains in the event that the price of the stock decreases. Following publication of the report, the Authors may transact in the securities of the company covered herein. All content in this report represent the opinions of
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