ON THE ESSCHER TRANSFORM AND OTHER EQUIVALENT MARTINGALE MEASURES - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

on the esscher transform and other equivalent martingale
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ON THE ESSCHER TRANSFORM AND OTHER EQUIVALENT MARTINGALE MEASURES - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ON THE ESSCHER TRANSFORM AND OTHER EQUIVALENT MARTINGALE MEASURES FOR THE BNS STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS WITH JUMPS Friedrich HUBALEK, TUWIEN Carlo SGARRA, POLITECNICO di MILANO SPECIAL SEMESTER ON STOCHASTICS WITH EMPHASIS ON FINANCE, CON-


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SLIDE 1

ON THE ESSCHER TRANSFORM AND OTHER EQUIVALENT MARTINGALE MEASURES FOR THE BNS STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS WITH JUMPS

Friedrich HUBALEK, TUWIEN Carlo SGARRA, POLITECNICO di MILANO

SPECIAL SEMESTER ON STOCHASTICS WITH EMPHASIS ON FINANCE, CON- CLUDING WORKSHOP – DECEMBER 3 2008 1

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PLAN OF THE TALK

  • THE BNS MODEL
  • THE ESSCHER TRANSFORMS FOR THE BNS MODEL
  • THE ”STRUCTURE PRESERVING” MARTINGALE MEA-

SURES

  • THE MINIMAL ENTROPY MARTINGALE MEASURE
  • THE MINIMAL MARTINGALE MEASURE AND THE ”NO

LEVERAGE” CASE

2

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THE BNS MODEL Given a probability space (Ω, , P) carrying a standard Brown- ian motion W and an independent increasing pure jump L´ evy process Z, We assume that the discounted stock price is given by St = S0eXt, where S0 > 0 is a constant, logarithmic returns satisfy dXt= (µ + βV t−)dt+

  • Vt−dW t+ρdZλt,

dV t= −λV t−dt + dZλt

3

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SLIDE 4

The parameter range is µ ∈,β ∈,ρ ≤ 0,λ > 0. We denote the cumulant function and the L´ evy measure of Z by k(z) resp. U(dx). Since Z is increasing we have k(z) =

(ezx−1)U(dx). We will work with the usual natural filtration generated by the pair (Wt, Zλt).

4

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The semimartingale characteristics of X with respect to the zero truncation function are (B, C, ν), which satisfy dBt = btdt, dCt = ctdt, ν(dt, dx) = F(t, dx)dt, bt=µ + βV t−, ct= V t−, F(t, dx)= λUρ(dx). Uρ(dx) = U(ρ−1dx)

5

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SLIDE 6

THE ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM FOR THE EXPONENTIAL PROCESS From the characteristics computed above, provided that θ·X is exponentially special, the modified Laplace cumulant process

  • f X in θ ∈ L(X) is given by

KX(θ)t =

t

0 ˜

κX(θ)sds, Where ˜ κX(θ)t = btθt + 1 2ctθ2

t + λk(ρθt).

The general result by Kallsen and Shiryaev specializes in the following form:

6

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SLIDE 7

THEOREM 1: Suppose there is θ♯ ∈ L(X), such that θ♯ · X is exponentially special, KX(θ♯ + 1) − KX(θ♯) = 0, and G♯

t = E( ˜

N♯)t, with ˜ N♯

t =

t

0 ψ♯ sdWs +

t

  • (Y ♯(s, x) − 1)(µX − ν)(dx, ds),

ψ♯

t = θ♯ t

  • Vt−,

Y ♯(t, x) = eθ♯

tρx

defines a martingale (G♯

t)0≤t≤T.

7

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SLIDE 8

Then dP ♯

dP = E( ˜

N♯)T defines a probability measure P ♯ ∼ P on FT. The process (Xt)0≤t≤T is a semimartingale under P ♯and its semimartingale characteristics with respect to the zero trun- cation function are (B♯, C♯, ν♯) which are given by dB♯

t = b♯ tdt, dC♯ t = c♯ tdt, ν♯(dt, dx) = F ♯(t, dx)dt

b♯

t = µ + (β + θ♯ t)Vt−,

c♯

t = Vt−,

F ♯(t, dx) = Y ♯(t, x)λUρ(dx).

8

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SLIDE 9

The measure P ♯ is then called the Esscher martingale trans- form for the exponential process eX. If there is no solution with the required properties, we say the Esscher martingale transform for the exponential process does not exist. Now we give sufficient conditions, that the solution θ♯ ex- ists, which is then of the form θ♯

t = φ♯(Vt−) for some Borel

function φ♯, and G♯ is a proper martingale and thus a density process. PROPOSITION 1: Let ξ1 = sup{ξ ≥ 0 : E[eξZ1] < ∞}, ℓ0 = inf

θ>ξ1/ρ [k(ρ(θ + 1)) − k(ρθ)] .

9

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If one of the four conditions

  • ξ1 = +∞, or
  • ξ1 < +∞ and ℓ0 = −∞,
  • ξ1 < +∞ and ℓ0 > −∞, β+1/2+ξ1/ρ = 0, and µ+λℓ0 ≤ 0,
  • r
  • ξ1 < +∞ and ℓ0 > −∞, β + 1/2 + ξ1/ρ < 0, and V0e−λT ≥

µ+λℓ0 β+1/2+ξ1/ρ,

holds, then there is a measurable function φ , such that ϑ♯

t =

φ(Vt−) is a solution to the given equation.

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PROPOSITION 2: Suppose θ♯ is a solution for the equation before. Let N♯

t =

t

0 θ♯ sdXs − KX(θ♯)t,

and G♯

t = eN♯

t .

If E[Z1eρΘ♯

0Z1] < ∞,

E[e

1 2(Θ♯ 1)2Z1] < ∞

where

10

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SLIDE 12

Θ♯

0 = −

(µ + λk(ρ))+

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  • +

, Θ♯

1

= max{

(µ + λk(ρ))+

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  • +

,

  • −(µ + λk(ρ))−

V0e−λT + ˜ β

} then (G♯

t)0≤t≤T is a martingale.

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THE ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM FOR THE LINEAR PROCESS It follows from the characteristics of X given above that the semimartingale characteristics of ˜ X with respect to the zero truncation function are given by (˜ B, ˜ C, ˜ ν) which satisfy d ˜ Bt = ˜ btdt, d ˜ Ct = ˜ ctdt, ˜ ν(dt, dx) = ˜ F(t, dx)dt ˜ bt = µ + ˜ βVt− ˜ ct = Vt− ˜ F(t, dx) = λ˜ Uρ(dx), with ˜ β = β + 1/2 , and ˜ Uρ = U ◦ g−1

ρ

is the image measure of U under the mapping gρ(x) = eρx − 1 .

11

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It is convenient to introduce the corresponding cumulant func- tion ˜ kρ(z) =

(ez(eρx−1)−1)U(dx). REMARK: In the following we must be careful not to con- fuse the Laplace cumulant process ˜ KX of X and the modified Laplace cumulant process K ˜

X of ˜

X

12

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The modified Laplace cumulant process of ˜ X in θ and its derivative are then given by K ˜

X(θ)t =

t

0 ˜

κ ˜

X(θ)sds, DK ˜ X(θ) =

t

0 D˜

κ ˜

X(θ)sds,

˜ κ ˜

X(θ)t = ˜

btθt + 1 2˜ ctθ2

t + λ˜

kρ(θt), D˜ κ ˜

X(θ)t = ˜

bt + ˜ ctθt + λ˜ k′

ρ(θt).

13

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SLIDE 16

THEOREM 2: Suppose there is θ∗ ∈ L( ˜ X) , such that θ∗ · ˜ X is exponentially special, DK ˜

X(˜

θ∗)t = 0, and suppose Gt = E( ˜ N∗)t with ˜ N∗

t =

t

0 ψ∗ sdWs +

t

  • (Y ∗(s, x) − 1)(µX − ν)(dx, ds),

ψ∗

t = θ∗ t

  • Vt−,

Y ∗(t, x) = eθ∗

t (ex−1)

defines a martingale (G∗

t)0≤t≤T.

14

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Then dP ∗

dP = E( ˜

N∗)T defines a probability measure P ∗ ∼ P

  • n

FT. The process (Xt)0≤t≤T is a semimartingale under P ∗ with semimartingale characteristics (B∗, C∗, ν∗) given by dB∗

t = b∗ tdt , dC∗ t = c∗ tdt, ν∗(dt, dx) = F ∗(t, dx)dt ,

b∗

t = µ + (β + θ∗ t )Vt−,

c∗

t = Vt−,

F ∗(t, dx) = Y ∗(t, x)λUρ(dx).

15

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SLIDE 18

The measure P ∗ is then called the Esscher martingale trans- form for the linear process ˜ X . If there is no solution with the required properties, we say the Esscher martingale transform for the linear process does not exist. There exists always a measurable function φ∗, such that ϑ∗

t =

φ∗(Vt−) is a solution to eq. given before, and sufficient con- ditions are given that G∗ is a proper martingale and thus a density process.

16

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PROPOSITION 3: Let N∗

t =

t

0 θ∗ sd ˜

Xs − K ˜

X(θ∗)t,

and G∗

t = eN∗

t , where θ∗ is as above. If

E[e

1 2(Θ∗ 1)2Z1] < ∞

with Θ∗

1 = max{

(µ + λk(ρ))+

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  • +

,

  • −(µ + λk(ρ))−

V0e−λT + ˜ β

} then (G∗

t)t∈[0,T] is a martingale.

17

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EXAMPLES THE POISSON TOY EXAMPLE This model is used for illustrative purposes, since all calcula- tions are explicitly possible. EXPONENTIAL ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM Suppose Zt = δNt where δ > 0 is the jump size and N is a standard Poisson process with intensity parameter γ > 0. Then k(θ) = γ(eδθ − 1) and the solution of equation before is

18

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θ♯

t

= −µ + ˜ βVt− Vt− − 1 ρδw × ×

  • δρλγ(eδρ − 1)

Vt− exp

  • −δρµ + βVt−

Vt−

  • ,

where w is known as (the principal branch of) the Lambert W (or polylogarithm) function.

19

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The function w is available in Mathematica, Maple, and many

  • ther computer packages and libraries. Basically it is the in-

verse function of xex. For this model we have E[eξZ1] < ∞ for all ξ ∈, so the condi- tion given in Proposition 1 before is satisfied, and the expo- nential Esscher martingale transform exists.

20

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LINEAR ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM The jumps of ˜ X are ∆ ˜ Xt = eρ∆Xt − 1 and since we have in the Poisson toy model only one jump size, this implies, that we can write ˜ Xt = ˜ δρNt where ˜ δρ = eρδ − 1. So the cumulant function is of the same form we have seen in the previous section, namely ˜ kρ(z) = γ(e˜

δρz − 1), and its

derivative is ˜ k′

ρ(z) = γ˜

δρe˜

δρz.

21

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For the linear Esscher transform we have to solve the second algebraic equation given, which becomes ˜ bt+˜ ctθ+λγ˜ δρe˜

δρθ = 0.

The solution will be given, again using the Lambert w function, as θ∗

t = −µ + ˜

βVt− Vt− − 1 ˜ δρ w

 λγ˜

δ2

ρ

Vt− exp

  • −˜

δρ µ + ˜ βVt− Vt−

  .

As we have E[eξZ1] < ∞ for all ξ ∈, the condition in Proposi- tion 3 is satisfied, and the linear Esscher martingale transform exists.

22

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THE Γ-OU EXAMPLE THE EXPONENTIAL ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM Suppose we have a stationary variance with Γ(δ, γ) distribu- tion. Then the BDLP is a compound Poisson process with exponential jumps and has cumulant function k(θ) = δθ/(γ − θ), ℜθ < γ. For the exponential Esscher transform we must have θ♯

t =

φ♯(Vt−) where the function φ♯ is obtained by solving the equa- tion

23

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SLIDE 26

µ + ˜ βv + vφ + λ δρ(φ + 1) γ − ρ(φ + 1) − λ δρφ γ − ρφ = 0. This equation can be transformed into a cubic polynomial equation in φ and thus, a real solution always exists.

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SLIDE 27

Proposition 2 provides sufficient conditions for G♯ to be a true martingale, namely conditions, that can be written in this case as ρ

(µ + λδρ/(γ − ρ))+

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  • +

< γ 1 2 max{

(µ + λδρ/(γ − ρ))+

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  • +

,

  • −(µ + λδρ/(γ − ρ))−

V0e−λT + ˜ β

2

} < γ

24

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THE LINEAR ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM We have to solve the equation µ + ˜ βθ + vθ+ λ

eθ(eρx−1)(eρx − 1)δx−1e−γxdx = 0. We do not have a closed form expression for the integral in the last equation, but we know from the now usual Lemma , that there is always a real solution, that could be obtained numerically.

25

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THE IG-OU EXAMPLE THE EXPONENTIAL ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM The cumulant function of the BDLP in the IG-OU model is k(θ) = δθ/

  • γ2 − 2θ, ℜ(θ) < γ2/2.

To determine the exponential Esscher martingale transform we have to find a solution to the first algebraic equation, which becomes equivalent to solving f(θ; Vt−) = 0 with θ > γ2/(2ρ), where

26

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SLIDE 30

f(θ; v) = (µ + ˜ βv) + vθ + +λδρ

  

θ + 1

  • γ2 − 2ρ(θ + 1)

− θ

  • γ2 − 2ρθ

   .

In the notation of Proposition 1 we have ξ1 = γ2/2, and ℓ0 = ∞ and so we know there is always a solution. The equation for θ♯ can be transformed into a polynomial equation of eighth order.

27

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SLIDE 31

The conditions in Lemma for this model can be written as ρ

  

(µ + λδρ/

  • γ2 − 2ρ)+

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  

+

< γ2 2 1 2 max{

  

(µ + λδρ/

  • γ2 − 2ρ)+

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  

+

, ,

  

−(µ + λδρ/

  • γ2 − 2ρ)−

V0e−λT + ˜ β

  

2 −

} ≤ γ2 2 and if so, the exponential Esscher martingale transform exists.

28

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SLIDE 32

THE LINEAR ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM We have to solve the equation µ + ˜ βθ + vθ+ λ

eθ(eρx−1)(eρx − 1) δ √ 2πx−3/2e−γ2x/2dx = 0. We do not have a closed form expression for the integral in the last equation, but we know from Proposition, that there is always a real solution, that could be obtained numerically.

29

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OTHER EQUIVALENT MARTINGALE MEASURES FOR BNS MODELS

  • E. Nicolato and E. Venardos (Mathematical Finance, 2003)

have given a complete characterization of all equivalent mar- tingale measures for BNS models. Their result, slightly reformulated in our notation, is the fol- lowing: THEOREM 4: Let Q be an EMM for the BNS model. Then the corresponding density process is given by the stochastic exponential GQ

t = E( ˜

NQ)t, where

30

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SLIDE 34

˜ NQ

t

=

t

0 ψQ s dWs +

t

  • (Y Q(s, x) − 1)(µX − ν)(dx, ds),

and where ψQ is a predictable process and Y Q is a strictly positive predictable function such that

T

0 (ψQ s )2ds < ∞

,

T ∞

  • Y Q(s, x) − 1

2

Uρ(dx) < ∞

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SLIDE 35

The function Y Q and the process ψQ are related by µ + (β + 1 2)Vt− +

  • Vt−ψQ

t +

Y Q(x, t)(ex − 1)λUρ(dx) = 0 The process (Xt)0≤t≤T is a semimartingale under Q which semimartingale characteristics (BQ, CQ, νQ) with respect to the zero truncation function are given by

31

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SLIDE 36

dBQ

t = bQ t dt, dCQ t = cQ t dt, νQ(dt, dx) = F Q(t, dx)dt

bQ

t = −1

2Vt− −

  • (ex − 1)Y Q(t, x)λUρ(dx),

cQ = Vt−, F Q(t, dx) = Y Q(t, x)λUρ(dx).

32

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THE MINIMAL MARTINGALE MEASURE In this section we compute the minimal martingale measure, by specializing the general results Obtained by Follmer and Schweizer to the BNS model with leverage. The following result can be obtained also as a special case of the results obtained by Choulli and Stricker (Finance&Stochastics, 2007) for the minimal Hellinger (local) martingale measure of

  • rder q with q = 2.

THEOREM 5: Let ˜ N♭

t =

t

0 ψ♭ sdWs +

t

  • (Y ♭(s, x) − 1)(µX − ν)(dx, ds),

33

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SLIDE 38

ψ♭

t = −θ♭ t

  • Vt−,

Y ♭(t, x) = 1 − θ♭

t(ex − 1),

θ♭

t =

µ + λκ(ρ) + ˜ βVt− Vt− + λ(κ(2ρ) − 2κ(ρ)). If ∆ ˜ N♭

t > −1 and G♭ t = E( ˜

N♭)t is a martingale, then, the density

  • f the minimal martingale measure P ♭ on FTis given by dP ♭

dP =

E( ˜ N♭)T.

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SLIDE 39

The process (Xt)0≤t≤T is a semimartingale under P ♭. Its characteristics (B♭, C♭, ν♭) with respect to the zero trunca- tion function are given by dB♭

t = b♭ tdt, dC♭ t = c♭ tdt, ν♭(dt, dx) = F ♭(t, dx)dt,

b♭

t

= µ +

  • β − θ♭

t

  • Vt−,

c♭

t = Vt−,

F ♭(t, dx) = Y ♭(t, x)λUρ(dx). Now we give sufficient conditions, granting that the process G♭ is positive and a proper martingale, and thus a density process.

34

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PROPOSITION 4: A sufficient condition for ∆ ˜ N♭

t > −1 on 0 ≤ t ≤ T is

ρ ≤ 0, (β + 3/2)V0e−λT ≥ −µ + λk(ρ) − λk(2ρ), β ≥ −3 2. When the jumps of Z are unbounded, this is also necessary.

35

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SLIDE 41

PROPOSITION 5: If E[e

1 2K2 0Z1] < ∞,

where K0 = max

  • β + 1

2

  • ,
  • µ + λk(ρ)

λ(k(2ρ) − 2k(ρ))

  • then G♭ is a martingale.

36

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SLIDE 42

REMARK 1: We see from the above calculations that the mean-variance tradeoff process for the BNS model with lever- age is Kt =

t

(µ + λk(ρ) + ˜ βVs−)2 Vs− + λ(k(2ρ) − 2k(ρ))ds, and so it is not deterministic. REMARK 2: Related to the description of the minimal mar- tingale measure is the locally risk-minimizing strategy which has been explicitly calculated for European options in the BNS model by R. Cont and E. Voltchkova (See proceedings of the Abel Symposium in Oslo of 2005).

37

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STRUCTURE PRESERVING MARTINGALE MEASURES In this section we want to examine the behavior of the class

  • f equivalent martingale measures for the BNS models which

preserve the model structure, in order to compare them with the measures we obtained in the previous sections. Under an arbitrary EMM Q it could be possible, that Z is not a L´ evy process, that (W Q, Z) are not independent, and thus under Q the log-price process is no longer described by a BNS

  • model. We need a strong characterization of the subclass of

EMMs which preserve the model structure. This class of measures has been characterized as follows:

38

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THEOREM 6: Let y(x) be a function y : R+ → R+ such that

(

  • y(x) − 1)2Uρ(dx) < ∞. Then the process given by

ψy

t = −V −1/2 t−

  • µ + ˜

βVt− + λky(ρ)

  • ky(θ) =

  • eθx − 1
  • y(x)U(dx)

for ℜ(θ) < 0, is such that

T

0 ψ2 s ds < ∞, and Gy t = E( ˜

Ny)t, where ˜ Ny

t =

t

0 ψy sdWs +

t ∞

0 (y(x) − 1)(µX − ν)(dx, ds),

is a density process.

39

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SLIDE 45

The probability measure defined by dQy = (G)y

TdP is an EMM

  • n FT for the BNS model.

The process (Xt)0≤t≤T is a semimartingale under Q with semi- martingale characteristics (BQ, CQ, νQ) given by dBy

t = by t dt, dCy t = cy t dt, νy(dt, dx) = F y(t, dx)dt,

by

t = −1

2Vt− −

  • (ex − 1)y(x)λUρ(dx),

cy

t = Vt−,

F y(t, dx) = y(x)λUρ(dx).

40

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SLIDE 46

The process W y

t = Wt−

t

0 ψy sds is a Q-Brownian motion and Zλt

is a Qy-L´ evy process, such that Z1 has L´ evy measure Uy(dx) = y(x)U(dx) and cumulant transform ky(θ), and the processes W y and Z are Qy-independent. Conversely, for any Q satisfying the requirements above, there exists a function y : R+ → R+ with

  • (
  • y(x) − 1)2U(dx) < ∞, such that Q coincides with Qy.

41

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SLIDE 47

REMARK 1: Structure Preserving Equivalent Martingale Mea- sures are relevant since they allow to obtain some analytical results for option pricing. Since the Laplace transform of log-prices has a simple expression, using a transform-based technique the authors can obtain some closed-form formulas for the price of European options in several relevant cases. REMARK 2: The structure preserving measures are in general not Esscher transforms with respect to X or ˜

  • X. In the special

case, when only the law of the BDLP is changed such that y(x) = eθx, the density process is given by Lt = eθZλt−λky(θ)t and thus we have an Esscher transform with respect to the L´ evy process (Zλt).

42

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SLIDE 48

REMARK 3: Whenever the distribution of the BDLP belongs to the same parametric class (such as gamma or inverse Gaus- sian, for example) under the original and under an equivalent martingale measure, we say the measure change is distribution

  • preserving. The distribution preserving measures are obviously

a subclass of the structure preserving measures.

43

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SLIDE 49

REMARK 4 (UNIQUENESS): It follows from the examples below, that neither the equivalent martingale measures, the structure preserving or the distribution preserving martingale measures are unique in general. But, the measure that does not change the law of the BDLP Z, is unique. In this case we have Y = 1, and the change of drift for the Brownian motion W is uniquely determined. This measure is trivially distribution preserving. Economically this choice of martin- gale measure corresponds to the (questionable) idea, that the jumps represent only non-systematic risk that is not reflected in derivatives prices.

44

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SLIDE 50

THE MINIMAL ENTROPY MARTINGALE MEASURES An important equivalent martingale measure, that can be de- fined for a wide class of general semimartingales is the minimal entropy martingale measure (MEMM). This measure is also relevant for its connection with utility maximization with respect to exponential utility. For exponential L´ evy models the MEMM coincides with the linear Esscher martingale transform, see the paper by Esche and Schweizer, SPA, 2005. A natural question is whether this property holds also more generally, and in particular for BNS models. We will see below by direct comparison, that in the non-leverage-case the answer is negative.

45

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SLIDE 51

The minimal entropy martingale measure for the BNS model in the leverage case, i.e., when ρ = 0, has been obtained by

  • T. Rheinl¨

ander and G. Steiger. They provide a representation formula in terms of the solution of a semi-linear integro-PDE, but from this representation formula it seems difficult to make a direct comparison in the general case. In the simple concrete example of the Poisson toy model it is possible to verify explicitly that the two measures do not coincide. This leads to the conclusion that in general, the MEMM and the (linear) Esscher transform for BNS models are different. As Rheinl¨ ander and Steiger already remarked, the MEMM does not preserve the independence of increments

  • f the BDLP, thus is not a structure preserving measure.

46

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SLIDE 52

THE ”NO LEVERAGE CASE” THE ESSCHER MARTINGALE TRANSFORM FOR BNS WITH- OUT LEVERAGE PROPOSITION 6: Suppose the logarithmic return process X satisfies dXt = µtdt + σtdWt with W a standard Brownian motion, and µ and σ are adapted processes, such that the process defined by the stochastic differential equation before is well-defined. Then the Esscher martingale transforms for the exponential process eX, the Esscher martingale transform for the linear process ˜ X, and and the minimal martingale measure either exist and coincide, or neither of them exists.

47

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SLIDE 53

The expression we have obtained for both Esscher transforms is the following: dP ♯ dP = exp(−

T

µt + 1

2σ2 t

σt dWt + −1 2

T

(µt + 1

2σ2 t )2

σ2

t

dt), By comparing our result with the expression for the density

  • f the minimal martingale measure, we see that the Esscher

martingale transforms agree with the minimal martingale mea- sure.

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REMARK: As it is apparent from the proof the reason by which P ♯ and P ∗ coincide is the fact, that for any parameter process θ : ˜ X − X = K ˜

X(θ) − KX(θ)

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THE MINIMAL ENTROPY MARTINGALE MEASURE IN THE ”NO LEVERAGE” CASE We want to recall in this section some results available for the minimal entropy martingale measure in the framework of the BNS model without leverage and we want to compare them with the measures we have obtained in order to show that for BNS, the MEMM and the Esscher martingale transform for the linear process in general do not coincide. F.E. Benth and T. Meyer-Brandis (Finance & Stochastics, 2003) have obtained an explicit expression for the MEMM in the particular case of the BNS model without leverage, i.e., when the coefficient ρ = 0. The measure is obtained as the zero risk aversion limit of the martingale measure correspond- ing to the indifference price with respect to the exponential utility function.

49

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Under some integrability conditions they have proved, that the MEMM is given by: dP e dP = exp

T

µ+˜ βVt−

Vt− dWt −

T

(µ+˜ βVt−)2 Vt−

dt

  • E
  • exp(−

T

(µ+˜ βVt−)2 2Vt−

dt)

  • .

It is not difficult to see that this measure does not preserve the L´ evy property, and thus the model structure; in order to have the L´ evy property preservation, in fact, the measure should be

  • f the form as described in the corresponding section in which

y(x) must be deterministic and time independent. Moreover a direct comparison shows that this measure does not coincide neither with the Esscher martingale transforms nor the minimal martingale measure.

50

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This remark allows to conclude that BNS models have a quite different behavior in comparison with exponential L´ evy models with respect to these classes of measures. In the exponential L´ evy case, in fact, it has been proved by F. Esche and M. Schweizer that the MEMM coincides with the Esscher mar- tingale transform for the linear process and that this measure has the special property of preserving the L´ evy structure of the model. REMARK 1: In the paper by Esche and Schweizer the MEMM for a particular stochastic volatility model with L´ evy jumps has been investigated, for which it turns out that MEMM has the same properties of L´ evy structure preservation and it coincides with the Esscher martingale transform for the linear process. This analogy with the exponential L´ evy models breaks down for more complex models like BNS.

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REMARK 2: In contrast to the exponential L´ evy model the minimal entropy measure is for the BNS models not time-independent. This means, for given 0 < T1 < T2, the minimal entropy mar- tingale measure for horizon T1 is not obtained as restriction

  • f the minimal entropy martingale measure for horizon T2 to
  • T1. This was also observed for the Stein and Stein / Heston

model by T. Rheinlander. REMARK 3: MEMM for the no leverage BNS has been used (Remarkable!) for pricing by F. Espen Benth in a numerical framework based on a finite-difference scheme.

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