NYSERDA Conference, Albany, NY November, 2011 1 E&S - - PDF document

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NYSERDA Conference, Albany, NY November, 2011 1 E&S - - PDF document

T.J. Sullivan 1 B.J. Cosby 2 T.C. McDonnell 1 C.T. Driscoll 3 NYSERDA Conference, Albany, NY November, 2011 1 E&S Environmental Chemistry, Inc., P.O. Box 609, Corvallis, OR 97339 2 Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia,


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T.J. Sullivan1 B.J. Cosby2 T.C. McDonnell1 C.T. Driscoll3

NYSERDA Conference, Albany, NY November, 2011

1 E&S Environmental Chemistry, Inc., P.O. Box 609, Corvallis, OR 97339 2 Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia,

Charlottesville, VA 22903

3 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Syracuse

University, Syracuse, NY 13244

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  • NYSERDA
  • National Park Service
  • U.S. EPA
  • U.S. Forest Service

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  • 1. Critical Load – What is it?
  • 2. CL vs. TL vs. Exceedance
  • 3. Models
  • 4. Major Research Focus
  • Weathering
  • Critical Limit
  • Extrapolation
  • 5. Exceedance

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SLIDE 4
  • Critical Load
  • Target Load (Dynamic CL)
  • Exceedance

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  • Steady State Mass Balance
  • SSWC
  • Process Models
  • MAGIC
  • PnET-BGC

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Aquatic Terrestrial Acidification

X X

N Enrichment Biodiversity

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Base cation balance CL = weathering + deposition

  • uptake – ecological buffer

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CL = weathering + deposition

  • uptake – ecological buffer

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10

  • 40
  • 30
  • 20
  • 10

10 20 30 40 50

ANC (µeq/L) Year

LTM Data MAGIC Modeling

1980 1990 2000 2010

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SLIDE 11

CL = weathering + deposition

  • uptake – ecological buffer

Ecological buffer = runoff x critical ANC leaching limit

  • Protect surface water –

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  • ANC = 50 µeq/L
  • Protect soil and vegetation –
  • Soil solution Ca:Al = 1, 10
  • Soil BS = ?
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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 ≤ 25 25 - 50 50 - 75 75-100 > 100 Number of MAGIC Modeled Watersheds Critical Load Class (meq/m2/yr) Ratio = 1 Ratio = 10

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10 20 30 40 50 60 Number of Trees Base Saturation - Upper B Horizon (%) Growth Decline No Growth Decline

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% Base Saturation in Upper B Horizon Sugar Maple Seedling Count

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  • Numeric
  • Spatial

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Landscape Characteristics Water Chemistry

  • Watershed

area

  • WA:SA
  • Elevation
  • Slope
  • % clay in soil
  • Soil pH
  • Soil depth to

restricting layer

  • ANC
  • pH
  • Sum of base

cations

  • Sum of base

cations – chloride

  • Sulfate
  • Nitrate
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50 100 150 200 250 50 100 150 200 250 Critical Load (meq/m2/yr) Estimated by Regression Critical Load (meq/m2/yr) MAGIC Calculated

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