nyse now our team
play

NYSE : NOW OUR TEAM Carol Fuss Matthew Yardley OUTLINE - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

NYSE : NOW OUR TEAM Carol Fuss Matthew Yardley OUTLINE ServiceNow Overview Enterprise Cloud Computing Strengths and Strategy Growth Opportunities Risk Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Our Recommendation


  1. NYSE : NOW

  2. OUR TEAM Carol Fuss Matthew Yardley

  3. OUTLINE • ServiceNow Overview • Enterprise Cloud Computing • Strengths and Strategy • Growth Opportunities • Risk Analysis • Financial Analysis • Valuation • Our Recommendation

  4. PRICE HISTORY Ticker: NOW $100.00 $90.00 $80.00 $70.00 $60.00 $50.00 $40.00 $30.00 $20.00 $10.00 $0.00 06/29/12 12/29/12 06/29/13 12/29/13 06/29/14 12/29/14 06/29/15 12/29/15 06/29/16 12/29/16

  5. SERVICENOW PLATFORM

  6. ENTERPRISE SOFTWARE INDUSTRY

  7. MARKET CAPITALIZATION

  8. TOPLINE GROWTH

  9. STRENGTHS & OPPORTUNITIES • SaaS Business Model • First Movers and Industry Pioneers • Dedicated Business Units • Ready Made Platform

  10. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES • Forbes Global 2,000 (G2K) • Upsells • Renewal Rates • Emerging Product Mix • Multi-Product Customer • Research & Development

  11. G2K PENETRATION 735 704 680 654 633 604 574 556 533 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 13% 37% 58% 44% G2K Penetration North America EMEA APAC & Other

  12. UPSELLS 400 14% 13% Contracts > $1M Q/Q Growth 350 11% 11% 12% 11% 11% 300 10% 7% 9% 250 8% 8% 200 341 6% 302 150 272 244 227 4% 204 100 188 169 157 2% 50 0 0% Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  13. RENEWAL RATE 99% 99% 100% 97% 97% 97% 90% 80% 70% Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  14. PRODUCT MIX Service Management ITOM Other 17 17 25 27 29 12 16 13 12 21 71 67 60 59 54 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  15. MULTI PRODUCT CUSTOMERS Mult-Product Customers Single-Product Customers 72% 69% 67% 65% 62% 59% 56% 53% 49% Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  16. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT

  17. KEY RISKS • Cyber Security • Convertible Debt • Management Turnover • Operational History of New Products • Patents • Exchange Rates

  18. CYBER SECURITY BrightPoint Security

  19. MANAGEMENT TURNOVER Frank Slootman CEO John Donahoe Designated CEO

  20. CONVERTIBLE DEBT • Expires November 2018 • Cash, Stock, Combination • Selective Scenarios for Pre Conversion

  21. DEBT SCENARIOS

  22. VALUATION • Financial Analysis • DCF • Comparables • Multiples

  23. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  24. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  25. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  26. DCF • WACC 15.36% • Terminal Growth Rate 13.5% • Tax Rate 40% • Terminal Value $14.8B

  27. DCF WITH CONVERTIBLE DEBT

  28. DCF SENSITIVITIES

  29. MULTIPLES

  30. TARGET PRICE

  31. WHY IS SERVICENOW A HOLD? • International Expansion G2K • R&D • Strategic Partnerships • Cyber Security • Patents • Management

  32. APPENDIX: MAIN SLIDES FINANCIALS • • PRICE HISTORY IS MANAGEMENT • • PLATFORM BS MANAGEMENT • • INDUSTRY MRKT CAP CF MANAGEMENT • • TOPLINE GROWTH WACC • • STENGTHS DCF MANAGEMENT • • GROWTH OPPS DCF BASE CASE • • G2K DCF DOWNSIDE • • UPSELLS SENSITIVITIES MANAGEMENT • • RENEWALS SENSITIVITIES BASE CASE • • PRODUCT MIX SENSITIVITIES DOWNSIDE • • MULTI-PROD CUST. DEBT SCENARIOS • R&D COMPARABLE COMPANIES • KEY RISKS • CA, INC. • CYBER SECURITY • WORKDAY, INC. • MANAGEMENT • SALESFORCE.COM, INC. • CONVERTIBLE DEBT OTHER • FINANCIAL ANALYSIS • KEY ASSUMPTIONS • DCF • INSTITUTIONAL HOLDERS • SENSITIVITIES • MULTIPLES • TARGET PRICE • WHY HOLD?

  33. INCOME STATEMENT

  34. BALANCE SHEET

  35. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW

  36. WACC

  37. DCF MANAGEMENT

  38. DCF BASE CASE

  39. DCF DOWNSIDE

  40. SENSITIVITIES: MANAGEMENT

  41. SENSITIVITIES BASE CASE

  42. SENSITIVITIES DOWNSIDE

  43. DEBT SCENARIOS

  44. CA, INC.

  45. WORKDAY, INC.

  46. SALSEFORCE.COM, INC.

  47. TOP 5 INSTITUTIONAL HOLDERS

  48. KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Download Presentation
Download Policy: The content available on the website is offered to you 'AS IS' for your personal information and use only. It cannot be commercialized, licensed, or distributed on other websites without prior consent from the author. To download a presentation, simply click this link. If you encounter any difficulties during the download process, it's possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

Recommend


More recommend