NYSE : GBX
Ma y 2018
Investor Contact: Investor.Relations@gbrx.com Website: www.gbrx.com
NYSE : GBX Ma y 2018 Investor Contact: Investor.Relations@gbrx.com - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NYSE : GBX Ma y 2018 Investor Contact: Investor.Relations@gbrx.com Website: www.gbrx.com Sa fe Ha rb o r Sta te me nt UNDE R T HE PRIVAT E SE CURI T I E S L IT I GAT I ON RE F ORM ACT OF 1995: T his pre se nta tio n ma y
Investor Contact: Investor.Relations@gbrx.com Website: www.gbrx.com
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UNDE R T HE PRIVAT E SE CURI T I E S L IT I GAT I ON RE F ORM ACT OF 1995: T his pre se nta tio n ma y c o nta in fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts, inc luding a ny sta te me nts tha t a re no t pure ly sta te me nts o f histo ric a l fa c t. Gre e nb rie r use s wo rds suc h a s “a ntic ipate s,” “b e lie ve s,” “fo re c a st,” “po te ntia l,” “g o a l,” “c o nte mplate s,” “e xpe c ts,” “inte nds,” “pla ns,” “pro je c ts,” “ho pe s,” “se e ks,” “e stima te s,” “stra te g y,” “c o uld,” “wo uld,” “sho uld,” “like ly,” “will,” “ma y,” “c a n,” “de sig ne d to ,” “future ,” “fo re se e a b le future ” a nd simila r e xpre ssio ns to ide ntify fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts. T he se fo rward-lo o king sta te me nts a re no t g ua ra nte e s o f future pe rfo rmanc e a nd a re sub je c t to c e rta in risks a nd unc e rta intie s tha t c o uld c a use a c tua l re sults to diffe r ma te ria lly fro m the re sults c o nte mplate d b y the fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts. F a c to rs tha t mig ht c a use suc h a diffe re nc e inc lude , b ut a re no t limite d to , re po rte d b a c klo g a nd a wa rds tha t a re no t indic a tive o f Gre e nb rie r’ s fina nc ial re sults; unc e rta inty o r c ha ng e s in the c re dit ma rke ts a nd fina nc ial se rvic e s industry; hig h le ve ls o f inde b te dne ss a nd c o mplia nc e with the te rms o f Gre e nb rie r’ s inde b te dne ss; write -do wns o f g o o dwill, inta ng ib le s a nd o the r a sse ts in future pe rio ds; suffic ie nt a va ila bility o f b o rro wing c a pa c ity; fluc tua tio ns in de ma nd fo r ne wly ma nufa c ture d ra ilc ars o r fa ilure to o b ta in
po lic ie s a nd prio ritie s o f the fe de ra l g o ve rnme nt re g a rding inte rna tio nal tra de , ta xa tio n a nd infra struc ture ; so ve re ig n risk to c o ntra c ts, e xc ha ng e ra te s o r pro pe rty rig hts; a c tua l future c o sts a nd the a va ilab ility o f ma te ria ls a nd a tra ine d wo rkfo rc e ; fa ilure to de sig n o r ma nufac ture ne w pro duc ts o r te c hno lo g ie s o r to a c hie ve c e rtific a tio n o r ma rke t a c c e pta nc e o f ne w pro duc ts o r te c hno lo g ie s; ste e l
se g me nts; la b o r dispute s, e ne rg y sho rta g e s o r o pe ra ting diffic ultie s tha t mig ht disrupt ma nufa c turing o pe ra tio ns o r the flo w o f c a rg o ; pro duc tio n diffic ultie s a nd pro duc t de live ry de la ys a s a re sult o f, a mo ng o the r ma tte rs, c o sts o r ine ffic ie nc ie s a sso c ia te d with e xpa nsio n, sta rt-up, o r c ha ng ing o f pro duc tio n line s o r c ha ng e s in pro duc tio n ra te s, c ha ng ing te c hno lo g ie s, tra nsfe r o f pro duc tio n b e twe e n fa c ilitie s o r no n-pe rfo rma nc e o f a llianc e pa rtne rs, sub c o ntra c to rs o r supplie rs; a b ility to o b ta in suita b le c o ntra c ts fo r the sa le
jo int ve nture s; suc c e ssio n pla nning ; disc o ve ry o f de fe c ts in ra ilc a rs o r se rvic e s re sulting in inc re a se d wa rra nty c o sts o r litig a tio n; physic a l da ma g e o r pro duc t o r se rvic e lia b ility c la ims tha t e xc e e d Gre e nb rie r’ s insura nc e c o ve ra g e ; tra in de ra ilme nts o r o the r a c c ide nts o r c la ims tha t c o uld sub je c t Gre e nb rie r to le g a l c la ims; a c tio ns o r ina c tio ns b y va rio us re g ula to ry a g e nc ie s inc luding po te ntia l e nviro nme ntal re me dia tio n o b lig a tio ns o r c ha ng ing ta nk c a r o r o the r ra ilc a r o r ra ilro a d re g ula tio n; a nd issue s a rising fro m inve stig a tio ns o f whistle blo we r c o mplaints; a ll a s ma y b e disc usse d in mo re de ta il unde r the he a ding s “Risk F a c to rs” a nd “F
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fo r the fisc a l ye a r e nde d Aug ust 31, 2017, Gre e nb rie r’ s Qua rte rly Re po rt o n F
e b rua ry 28, 2018, a nd Gre e nb rie r’ s o the r re po rts o n file with the Se c uritie s a nd E xc ha ng e Co mmissio n. Re a de rs a re c a utio ne d no t to pla c e undue re lia nc e o n the se fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts, whic h re fle c t ma nag e me nt’ s o pinio ns o nly a s o f the da te he re o f. E xc e pt a s o the rwise re q uire d b y la w, Gre e nb rie r do e s no t a ssume a ny o b lig a tio n to upda te a ny fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts.
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Gre e nb rie r’ s inte g ra te d b usine ss mo de l de live rs supe rio r va lue to c usto me rs b y c re a ting c usto mize d fre ig ht c a r so lutio ns
Our dive rsifie d po rtfo lio o f q ua lity pro duc ts a nd se rvic e s e nha nc e s
a c ro ss the b usine ss c yc le .
Leasing and Services Wheels, Repair and Parts
Manufacturing
F
le e t Info rma tio n
F
to e xc lusive ly ma na g e MUL ra ilc a rs
T hr e e busine ss units wo r king to ge the r
3
Afte rmarke ts(1) L e asing & Se rvic e s(1) Manufac turing (1)
Whe e ls & Par
ts – nine whe e l
se rvic e lo c a tio ns a nd fo ur ra ilc a r pa rt re c o nd itio ning lo c a tio ns
GBW Railc ar
Se r vic e s - 50/ 50 JV
pro vid e s re pa ir se rvic e s a c ro ss mo re tha n 30 lo c a tio ns
L
e a d ing ma nufa c ture r o f ra ilc a rs in No rth Ame ric a a nd E uro pe
L
e ading do me stic manufac tur e r
Ne w ra ilc a r b a c klo g va lue d a t
$2.29 b illio n
Ma rine b a c klo g o f ~$9 millio n Inve stme nts in ra ilc a r
ma nufa c ture r a nd c o mpo ne nt supplie r in Bra zil
F
Ra il, a pre mie rE uro pe a n fre ig ht ra ilc a r ma nufa c turing , e ng ine e ring a nd re pa ir b usine ss
I PO
(1)Da ta a s o f 2/ 28/ 2018322 2,169
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 1994 2017 $ millio ns
Histo ric a l Re ve nue
I PO
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Industry Dynamics Unique Strategic Position Strong Financial Profile
No rth Ame ric a n
Drive rs
c urre nt b usine ss a nd ind ustry tre nd s
d e ma nd a c ro ss c yc le s
re g ula to ry e nviro nme nt
I
nte rna tio na l Drive rs
Ame ric a n, GCC a nd E ura sia ma rke ts
Ma rke t le a de r Pro vide s c usto mize d
so lutio ns
T
ra nsfo rma tio na l initia tive s c re a te g ro wth pla tfo rm
nha nc e d L e a sing mo d e l
d ive rsific a tio n
xte nsive No rth Ame ric a n a fte rma rke t re pa ir ne two rk
a c ro ss d ive rsifie d pro d uc t mix
Dive rse re ve nue a nd
e a rning s stre a m
Stro ng ra ilc a r
b a c klo g a nd tra c k re c o rd o ve r multiple c yc le s
Stro ng fina nc ia l
pe rfo rma nc e
Co ntinue d fo c us o n
c a sh flo w, inve sting in hig h re turn pro je c ts a nd sha re ho lde r re turn
Se a so ne d
ma na g e me nt te a m
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Cor e Nor th Ame r ic an Mar ke t Inte r national Dive r sific ation
E a ste rn E uro pe , Bra zil, E ura sia , Gulf Co o pe ra tio n Co unc il (GCC) Pa rtne r c re a tive ly with stro ng lo c a l b usine sse s E xpa nd to g lo b a l ma rke ts whe re de ma nd fo r ra ilc a rs is g ro wing Pre se rve a nd pro te c t a re a s o f uniq ue c o mpe te nc ie s in e ng ine e ring , ma nufa c turing a nd se rvic e s Co ntinue pro duc t e nha nc e me nts a nd ne w pro duc t de ve lo pme nt F
de ve lo ping huma n c a pita l
10 30 50 70 Car L
Cale ndar Ye ar s
N.A. F r e ight T r affic
7
Ra il sig nific a ntly mo re fue l
e ffic ie nt tha n truc ks
E
nviro nme nta l c o nc e rns fa vo r ra il
Hig hwa y c o ng e stio n,
drive r sho rta g e , re g ula tio n a nd a g ing hig hwa y infra struc ture c o nstra in truc king
So urc e : F T R Asso c ia te s – Ra il E q uipme nt Outlo o k (Ma rc h 2018)
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000
Units Ca le nda r Ye a rs
No rth Ame ric a n Ra il Ca r De live rie s
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N.A. Railc ar De live r ie s Re tur ning to No r malize d L e ve ls
Curre nt de ma nd impa c te d b y
industry b a c klo g a nd o ve r-supply in c e rta in c a r type s, pa rtia lly
a nd lo we r ve lo c ity
Cha ng ing ta nk c a r
re g ula to ry e nviro nme nt
Othe r a re a s o f g ro wth drive n b y
g ra in a nd a uto mo tive tra ffic
Ag ing fle e t will drive re pla c e me nt
de ma nd
Stro ng ra ilro a d b a la nc e she e ts
a nd c a pita l e xpe nditure b udg e ts
L
~50,000 units
So urc e : F T R Asso c ia te s – Ra il E q uipme nt Outlo o k (Ma rc h 2018)
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
Ca le nda r Ye a rs
Co ve re d ho ppe r Bo xc a r T a nks I nte rmo da l F la t c a rs (a uto ) Co a l Othe r ho ppe rs / g o ndo las
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Ma nufa c turing F le xib ility Vita l a s De ma nd Cha ng e s
L
~50,000 units
So urc e : F T R Asso c ia te s – Ra il E q uipme nt Outlo o k (Ma rc h 2018)
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Millions
Calendar Years
U.S. Rail T
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Whe e l de ma nd drive n b y
ra il to n-mile s whic h ha s b e e n impa c te d b y sig nific a nt de c line in c o a l
T
upg ra de s drive re pa ir spe nding
Appro a c hing sub sta ntia l
ta nk c a r ma inte na nc e c yc le
Cha ng ing ta nk c a r
re g ula to ry e nviro nme nt
So urc e : F T R Asso c ia te s – Ra il E q uipme nt Outlo o k (Ma rc h 2018)
Use rs se e k fle xib ility F
ina nc ia l institutio ns se e k yie ld
T
re nd o f inc re a sing priva te (“le a sing / shipping c o mpa nie s”) ra ilc a r o wne rship e xpe c te d to c o ntinue
Cre a te s o ppo rtunity fo r pa rtne ring , se rvic e
c o ntra c ts a nd e nha nc e d ma rg ins
11
So urc e : SCI
62%
Sta te ra ilro a ds o wn a ppro xima te ly 50-60% o f the We ste rn E uro pe a n fre ig ht fle e t b ut this is e xpe c te d to de c re a se
Sta te ra ilro a ds unde r inte nse pre ssure due to inc re a se d c o mpe titio n fro m de re g ula tio n, sta g na nt e c o no my, a nd the influe nc e o f lo w o il pric e s whic h fa vo r tra nspo rt o n ro a ds
L a rg e ly a b se nt fro m the ne w wa g o n ma rke t sinc e 2008
E xpe c te d to inc re a se re lia nc e o n le sso rs
Priva te ra il o pe ra to rs pla ying a n inc re a sing ly impo rta nt ro le in the ne w wa g o n ma rke t
T a king sha re fro m ine ffic ie nt sta te ra ilro a d s
Ad d ing ne w a nd mo re e ffic ie nt e q uipme nt to the ir fle e ts, whic h furthe r impro ve s va lue pro po sitio n
Sta te Ra ilroa ds 60% Priva te Ope ra tors 15% L e ssors / Shippe rs 25%
100% = 700,000 units
E stima te d E uro pe a n F re ig ht Wa g o n Owne rship
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1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 e st.
Units
We ste rn E urope a n De live rie s
So urc e : SCI
E uro pe a n De live rie s Aro und Re c e nt L
De ma nd fo r fre ig ht wa g o ns in E uro pe ha s no t ye t re c o ve re d to pre -re c e ssio n le ve ls o f ~7,000 – 8,000 units
Re pla c e me nt de ma nd fo r ~500,000 fle e t with life o f 40 ye a rs is e stima te d to b e ~12,500 wa g o ns a nnua lly 2010-2016 Ave ra g e : ~ 5,900 units
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15
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 e st.
Units
So urc e : ABI F E R (Bra zilia n Asso c ia tio n o f the Ra ilro a d I ndustry)
2010-2016 Ave ra g e : ~3,900 units
Gre e nb rie r-Ma xio n ha s a c hie ve d a n a ve ra g e ma rke t sha re o f o ve r 70%
E xc luding a ny la rg e infra struc ture inve stme nts, ma rke t de ma nd is e xpe c te d to b e ne a r a ve ra g e de live rie s
58% 24% 12% 4% 2% 56% 26% 12% 4% 2% 29% 34% 29% 5% 3%
Ro a ds Ra ilra o ds Wa te rwa ys Pipe line Air F re ig ht
Mode of T r anspor tation
2005 2015 2025
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Modal shar e pr
Mar ke t Poise d for Gr
Shift in mo d a l tra nspo rta tio n
F re ig ht ra il vo lume s a re e xpe c te d to inc re a se sub sta ntia lly re q uiring sig nific a nt infra struc ture a nd ra ilc a r inve stme nt o ve r the ne xt se ve ra l ye a rs
Ag ing F le e t (ma rke t o f ~130,000 ra ilc a rs)
Ove r 50% o f the fre ig ht c a rs in 2016 ha d a n a g e pro file o f 30 ye a rs a nd o lde r
Othe r ma rke t d yna mic s
Inc re a se o f inno va tio n, g ro wing e xpo rta tio n o f a g ric ulture , a nd g ro wth in o the r L a tin Ame ric a n ma rke ts
So urc e : ANT T (Bra zil’ s De pa rtme nt o f T ra nspo rta tio n) ANT T pro je c ts a 10% g ro wth in mo da l sha re fo r ra ilro a ds
18
T
T X e xc e lle nt supplie r a wa rd fo r 23 ye a rs
Ne w Ra ilc a r Ma nufa c turing – Dive rsifie d pro duc t
po rtfo lio c a r type s; pro prie ta ry c a r type s
Whe e ls & Pa rts – de ve lo ping te sting a nd inspe c tio n
inno va tio ns to a dva nc e sa fe ty & q ua lity o f whe e ls a nd a xle s
Re pa ir – ta nk c a r re tro fits a nd c e rtific a tio ns,
re purpo sing o f ra ilc a rs
L
e a sing & Se rvic e s – E nha nc e d syndic a tio n mo de l, pro prie ta ry fle e t ma inte na nc e a nd ma na g e me nt so lutio ns a nd c a pa b ilitie s, Re g ula to ry Se rvic e s Gro up
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Improve s c ompe titive position due to dive rse pro duc t mix a t lo we r-
c o st, fle xib le ma nufa c turing fa c ilitie s
Dive rsifie s busine ss mix b y e xpa nding re pa ir a nd whe e l
ma inte na nc e b usine ss - la rg e a fte rma rke t b usine ss pro vide s sta b ility a nd stra te g ic b e ne fits thro ug ho ut b usine ss c yc le s
E nhanc e s le asing ac tivitie s, c a pturing mo re va lue thro ug ho ut the
ra ilc a r life c yc le
E xpands available marke t b y inc re a sing thro ug hput a nd
dive rsifying pro duc t po rtfo lio while ma inta ining the q ua lity c usto me rs de ma nd
E xpands ge ographic re ac h into ne w inte rna tio na l ma rke ts with
e ntrie s into Ro ma nia , Bra zil a nd Sa udi Ara b ia
Gr e e nbr ie r is str
to day, bo th o pe r atio nally and financ ially, than in pr e vio us c yc le s due to the se initiative s.
20
fo r ~27% o f the No rth Ame ric a n ma rke t (Bo xc a rs, F la t Ca rs, Go nd o la s a nd Inte rmo d a l)
1,401,000 200,000 700,000 118,000
2017 Total Addressable Market
N.A. market addressed by GBX N.A. market not addressed by GBX (Coal) Europe maket Brazil market
Total market = ~2,419,000 railcars 1,405,000 200,000
2015 Total Addressable Market
N.A. market addressed by GBX N.A. market not addressed by GBX (Coal)
Total market = ~1,605,000 railcars 434,000 1,163,000 2007 Total Addressable Market
N.A market addressed by GBX N.A market not addressed by GBX
Total market = ~1,597,000 railcars
e xc e pt fo r c o a l ra ilc a rs
ma nufa c turing ma rke t b y ~410%
Re pre se nts ra ilc a r ma rke t size in g e o g ra phie s whe re Gre e nb rie r c o mpe te s; L e g a c y E uro pe a n o pe ra tio ns we re fo c use d o n nic he , spe c ia lty c a r type s a nd did no t pa rtic ipa te in g e ne ra l purpo se ra ilc a r fle e t a c tivity
$749 $1,725 $102 $313 $92 $131 $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500
F Y 2006 F Y 2017
$ in millions (% of T
e ve nue )
L e a sing & Se rvic e s Whe e ls & Pa rts Ma nufa c turing
21 $943 $2,169
(10%) (11%) (79%) (10%) (78%) (12%)
100% = 88,116 units
Se pte mbe r 30, 2006*
100% = 55,216 units
Ma r c h 31, 2018 Re ve nue
F Y 2018
Guida nc e of $2.4 - $2.6 billion
Nor th Ame r ic a n Industr y Ba c klog
So urc e : RSI ARCI, pub lic filing s (April 2018) * Se pte mb e r 30, 2006 re pre se nts the prio r industry b a c klo g pe a k
GBX, 36% AR I, 6% R AIL , 4% T R N, 39% Othe r s, 15% GBX, 13% AR I, 21% R AIL , 14% T R N, 36% Othe r s, 16% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
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Hig he r Pe a k a nd T ro ug h Pro fita b ility Ove r T he Cyc le
($ in millio ns)
$53 $26 $41 $113 $64 $76 $317
$- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500
2001 2002 2003 2008 2009 2010 2017 2018
BIT DA Va lue ($ in millions)
BIT DA T r
3 year average = $84.6 ~2.1x higher than prior trough 3.75x higher
?
3 year average = $40.1
$71 $80 $90 $112 $129 $254 $434
$- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500
1998 1999 2005 2006 2007 2014 2015
BIT DA Va lue ($ in millions)
BIT DA Pe ak
2 year average ~3.5x higher than prior peak 3 year average = $110.4 ~1.5x higher than prior peak 2 year average = $75.3 Gre e nb rie r ha s sho wn a c o nsiste nt a b ility to g ro w e a rning s so tha t pe a ks a nd tro ug hs a re ste a d ily impro ving
23
Backlog Units
12,100 16,200 13,400 5,300 15,400 10,700 14,400 31,500 41,300 27,500 28,600 26,500 24,100
I n 2Q F Y 2018, Gre e nb rie r re c e ive d o rde rs fo r 3,400 units va lue d a t o ve r $265 millio n.
Pr
ar nings Visibility
$830 $1,440 $1,160 $420 $1,230 $1,200 $1,520 $3,330 $4,710 $3,190 $2,800 $2,560 $2,290
$69 $89 $87 $79 $80 $112 $106 $106 $114 $116 $98 $97 $95
$- $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q 18 2Q 18
Ave ra g e Sa le s Pric e / Unit ($ in thousa nds) Ba c klog Va lue ($ in millions)
$3.76
$(1.00) $- $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Adjuste d E PS
(1)
16.0
0.0 3.0 6.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 18.0 21.0 24.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
De live rie s (000’ s o f units)(2)
$2,169
$- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Re ve nue
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(1) Adjuste d E PS e xc lude s Go o dwill impa irme nt, Re struc turing c ha rg e s a nd o the r Spe c ia l Ite ms (2) 2017 inc lude s Gre e nb rie r-Ma xio n, o ur Bra zilia n ra ilc a r ma nufa c ture r, whic h is a c c o unte d fo r unde r the e q uity me tho d
(3) Una djuste d E PS inc lude s a o ne -time , no n-c a sh b e ne fit o f $0.70 pe r dilute d sha re re la te d to the T
a x Ac t o f De c e mb e r 2017.
F Y 2018 Guidanc e 20,000 - 22,000 units F Y 2018 Guidanc e $5.00(3) F Y 2018 Guidanc e
25
Ne t F unde d De bt
(2) / Adjuste d E
BIT DA
(1)
L iquidity Summa r y ($ in millions)
(1) Adjuste d E BIT DA e xc lude g a in o n c o ntrib utio n to GBW, re struc turing c ha rg e s, g o o dwill impa irme nt a nd o the r spe c ia l ite ms (2) Ne t de b t is de fine d a s Gro ss de b t plus de b t disc o unt le ss Ca sh 5.5x 4.6x 2.7x 2.0x 1.1x 0.5x 0.2x 0.0x 0.1x
2010 2012 2014 2016 L T M 2/ 28/ 2018
$105 $192 $299 $304 $321 $268 $350 $339 $393 $99 $50 $54 $97 $185 $173 $223 $611 $586 $204 $242 $353 $401 $506 $441 $573 $950 $979
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2/ 28/ 2018
Bo rro wing Ava ila b ility Ca sh
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C pro je c ts
Ne a rly $220 millio n o f c a pita l re turne d to sha re ho lde rs thro ug h
divide nds a nd sha re re purc ha se sinc e Oc to b e r 2013
Bo a rd inc re a se d q ua rte rly divide nd b y 9% to $0.25 pe r sha re o r
a n a nnua lize d ra te o f $1.00 in April 2018
Sinc e initia ting a d ivid e nd in July 2014, Gre e nb rie r ha s e sta b lishe d a histo ry
F lexible balanc e sheet and po sitive c ash flo w tr end
27
Pr
c usto mer diver sity pr
U nique mo del that enhanc es financ ial per fo r manc e ac r
with po wer ful c r
selling o ppo r tunities Manage o ur c o r e No r th Amer ic an mar ket and diver sify inter natio nally into gr
ail mar kets
Solid Railcar
Bac klog Dive r sifie d Re ve nue Str e ams Str
Balanc e She e t & L iquidity F
Dur ing Cur r e nt Mar ke t
29
Ba c klo g 24,100 units va lue d a t $2.29 b illio n
Dive rse b a c klo g re fle c ts a b ro a d ra ng e o f c a r type s inc luding va rio us-size d c o ve re d ho ppe rs, no n-e ne rg y ta nk c a rs, a uto mo tive c a rrying ra ilc a rs, g o ndo la c a rs, inte rmo da l units a nd b o xc a rs
De live rie s o f 4,900 units inc luding syndic a tio n a c tivity o f 250 units
22,600 31,000 28,600 26,500
24,100 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Bac klog
3,900 2,600 5,500 4,400
4,900 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
T
ie s
550 200 1,600 500
250 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Syndic ate d De live r ie s
30
Re ve nue to $629.3 millio n
Gro ss ma rg in o f 16.7%
Adjuste d E BI T DA to $79.1 millio n
Adjuste d E BI T DA ma rg in o f 12.6%
Adjuste d dilute d E PS o f $1.21
E xc lude s o ne -time , no n-c a sh b e ne fit o f $0.70 pe r dilute d sha re re la te d to the T a x Cuts a nd Jo b s Ac t o f De c e mb e r 2017
Co ntinue d fo c us o n pro fita b ility a nd g ro wth
$566.3 $439.2 $611.4 $559.5
$629.3 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Re ve nue ($ millions)
$94.5 $63.8 $73.3 $76.9
$79.1 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Adjuste d E BIT DA(1) ($ millions)
$1.09 $1.03 $0.86 $0.83
$1.21 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Adjuste d Dilute d E PS(1), (2)
(1) 4Q 17 a djuste d fo r $3.5 millio n ne t o f ta x o r $0.11 pe r sha re a sso c ia te d with a g o o dwill impa irme nt c ha rg e re c o rde d b y GBW (2) 2Q 18 a djuste d fo r o ne -time , no n-c a sh b e ne fit o f $0.70 pe r sha re a sso c ia te d with the T a x Ac t o f De c e mb e r 2017
31
Po sitive Ope ra ting Ca sh F lo w
Bo a rd inc re a se s q ua rte rly divide nd 9% to $0.25 pe r sha re
Ne a rly $980 millio n o f a va ila b le liq uidity
(1) Inve stme nt in Unc o nso lida te d Affiliate s inc lude d to re fle c t ne t
inve stme nts in unc o nso lidate d jo int ve nture s
(2) E
xc lude s de b t disc o unts a nd issua nc e c o sts
$52.9 $(9.1) $207.6 $(39.7)
$32.0 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Ope r ating Cash F low ($ millions)
$(2.1) $65.7 $35.0 $(45.2)
$11.3 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Ne t Capital E xpe nditur e & Inve st. In Unc onsol. Affiliate s(1) ($ millions)
$29.5 $108.1 $(9.5) $12.3
$18.1 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Ne t F unde d De bt (2) ($ millions)
32
Dir e c t Sale s
Custo me r o rd e rs ra ilc a r to b uy a nd use
We b uild ra ilc a r a nd d e live r it to c usto me r
Re ve nue re c o g nize d in Ma nufa c turing se g me nt
L e ase Syndic ation
Custo me r o rd e rs ra ilc a r to le a se
We b uild ra ilc a r a nd le a se it
Ra ilc a rs he ld te mpo ra rily o n b a la nc e she e t g e ne ra ting inte rim le a se inc o me fo r GBX
Ca lle d “L
e a se d ra ilc a rs fo r synd ic a tio n” o n Ba la nc e She e t
“Inte rim” le a se inc o me re c o g nize d in L
e a sing & Se rvic e s se g me nt
Ra ilc a rs a g g re g a te d a nd so ld (“synd ic a te d ”) to multiple third pa rty inve sto rs (no n-re c o urse to GBX)
Sa le s pric e pre mium o ve r d ire c t sa le fro m a tta c he d
le a se
Re ve nue fro m sa le re c o g nize d in Ma nufa c turing
se g me nt
L
inve sto rs o n ra ilc a rs a fte r synd ic a tio n
Re ve nue re c o g nize d in L
e a sing & Se rvic e s se g me nt
Dire c t L e a se
33
Units F e b . 28, 2017 Ma y 31, 2017 Aug . 31, 2017 No v. 30, 2017 F e b . 28, 2018 L
(“E q uipme nt o n o pe ra ting le a se ”) 6,700 6,800 7,200 6,200 5,800 Sho rt te rm o wne d units (“L e a se d ra ilc a rs fo r syndic a tio n”) 1,300 2,200 1,100 1,800 2,600 T
8,000 9,000 8,300 8,000 8,400 Ma na g e d fle e t (units) 266,000 267,000 336,000 353,000 359,000
Owne d & Ma na g e d F le e t
Owne d E
q uipme nt o n o pe ra ting le a se ‘ rig ht-size d’
Ad d itio na l mo ne tiza tio n witho ut ne w a d d itio ns wo uld b e ta x ine ffic ie nt with o ve r $82 millio n o f De fe rre d T a xe s re la te d to the L e a se fle e t
Asse t sa le s to MUL will b e la rg e ly re inve ste d a nd will re fre sh ta x pro file o f the fle e t
Se c ure s L e a sing te rm lo a n o f $173.8 millio n
Manage d fle e t se rvic e s inc lude ra ilc a r re ma rke ting ,
ma inte na nc e ma na g e me nt, c a r hire a c c o unting a nd va rio us o the r se rvic e s
Ac c o unts fo r ~22.4% o f No rth Ame ric a n ra ilc a r fle e t
L e a se Syndic a tion Mode l
Ove r $1.0 b illio n o f Synd ic a tio n vo lume d uring the la st
two ye a rs (re po rte d in Ma nufa c turing se g me nt)
One o f two c ha nne ls to ma rke t, e xpa nd ing c usto me r
unive rse b e yo nd tra d itio na l b a se
Dwe ll time o f re nt pro d uc ing ra ilc a rs o n b a la nc e she e t
(“L e a se d ra ilc a rs fo r synd ic a tio n”) a ve ra g e s 3 mo nths, a s ra ilc a r le a se s a re a g g re g a te d a nd so ld in b und le s to inve sto rs
In a d d itio n to pre mium pric ing a b o ve d ire c t sa le s,
c re a te s stre a m o f multi-ye a r ma na g e me nt fe e inc o me
Ab le to so urc e e xte rna lly pro d uc e d ra ilc a rs to d ive rsify
F le e t Infor ma tion
34
Qua rte rly T re nds Re ve nue a nd Gross Ma rg in % F Y 18 Outlook Re ve nue inc re a se prima rily a ttrib uta b le to
hig he r vo lume o f de live rie s
Ma rg in % inc re a se due to hig he r pro duc t
mix a nd syndic a tio n a c tivity
De live rie s o f 20,000 to 22,000 units inc luding
Gre e nb rie r-Ma xio n (Bra zil) whic h will a c c o unt fo r up to 10% o f F Y 2018 de live rie s
Ca pita l e xpe nditure s a re e xpe c te d to b e
a ppro xima te ly $70 millio n, prima rily re la te d to e nha nc e me nts o f o ur e xisting ma nufa c turing fa c ilitie s a nd E uro pe a n
($ in millio ns) 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 Re ve nue s $ 445.5 $ 317.1 $ 508.5 $ 451.5 $ 511.8 Gro ss Ma rg in $98.9 $71.9 $83.0 $70.6 $82.7 Gro ss Ma rg in % 22.2% 22.7% 16.3% 15.6% 16.2% Ope ra ting Ma rg in % 19.2% 18.3% 13.5% 11.7% 12.3% Ca pita l E xpe nditure s $6.2 $11.5 $28.2 $10.4 $10.6 Ne w Ra ilc a r Ba c klo g $2,440 $3,100 $2,800 $2,560 $2,290 Ne w Ra ilc a r Ba c klo g (units) 22,600 31,000 28,600 26,500 24,100 De live rie s (units) 3,900 2,600 5,200(1) 4,000(1) 4,300(1)
2Q Busine ss Conditions
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24% $- $0.4 $0.8 $1.2 $1.6 $2.0 $2.4
$ in Billions
Re ve nue Gro ss Ma rg in
(1) Excludes Brazil deliveries since they do not impact Manufacturing Revenue and Margins.
35
Qua rte rly T re nds Re ve nue a nd Gross Ma rg in % (1) F Y 18 Outlook Re ve nue inc re a se prima rily a ttrib uta b le to
hig he r whe e l a nd c o mpo ne nt vo lume
Ma rg in % inc re a se due to inc re a se d
vo lume s a nd o pe ra ting e ffic ie nc ie s
Ca pita l e xpe nditure s a re e xpe c te d to b e
a ppro xima te ly $5 millio n fo r ma inte na nc e a nd stra te g ic initia tive s.
2Q Busine ss Conditions
($ in millio ns) 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 Re ve nue s
$82.7 $85.2 $75.1 $78.0 $88.7
Gro ss Ma rg in
$7.2 $7.2 $5.2 $5.5 $8.0
Gro ss Ma rg in %
8.7% 8.5% 7.0% 7.1% 9.0%
Ope ra ting Ma rg in %
6.7% 5.0% 3.0% 3.1% 5.8%
Ca pita l E xpe nditure s
$0.7 $0.6 $0.6 $0.4 $0.7
(1) Pre -2014 re sults inc lude le g a c y Re pa ir o pe ra tio ns
whic h we re c o ntrib ute d to GBW Ra ilc a r JV in July 2014
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% $- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600
$ in T housa nds
Re ve nue Gro ss Ma rg in
36
Qua rte rly T re nds Re ve nue a nd Gross Ma rg in % F Y 18 Outlook Re ve nue de c re a se re fle c ts lo we r vo lume o f
e xte rna lly so urc e d ra ilc a r syndic a tio ns
Ma rg in % inc re a se prima rily due to hig he r
ma na g e me nt fe e s a nd inte rim re nt
Ca pita l e xpe nditure s (inc luding c o rpo ra te )
e xpe c te d to b e ~$120 millio n, with $150 millio n o f Pro c e e ds fro m the sa le o f le a se d a sse ts due to b ro a de ning o f MUL re la tio nship
Co ntinue d g ro wth in ma na g e me nt se rvic e s 2Q Busine ss Conditions
($ in millio ns) 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 Re ve nue s
$38.1 $36.8 $27.8 $30.0 $28.8
Gro ss Ma rg in
$12.9 $10.6 $11.7 $13.2 $14.7
Gro ss Ma rg in %
33.8% 28.7% 42.1% 43.9% 51.0%
Ope ra ting Ma rg in %
26.0% 19.2% 27.2% 93.8% 56.0%
Net Capi tal E xpendi tur es
($9.0) $20.1 ($0.4) ($56.0) ($17.7)
L ease F l eet U ti l i zati
93.8% 93.6% 92.1% 91.8% 92.2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300
$ in Millions
Re ve nue Gro ss Ma rg in
37
(1)
Qua rte rly T re nds Re ve nue F Y 18 Outlook Re ve nue a nd o pe ra ting re sults re fle c t
c ha lle ng ing o pe ra ting e nviro nme nt, e spe c ia lly in g e ne ra l re pa ir o pe ra tio ns
Ope ra ting c ha lle ng e s e xpe c te d to impro ve
mo de stly
2Q Busine ss Conditions
($ in millio ns) 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18
Re ve nue s
$64.2 $62.7 $56.3 $58.0 $62.7
E a rning s (lo ss) fro m o pe ra tio ns
($6.9) ($5.5) ($15.4) ($5.7) ($5.5)
T
$227.2 $218.8 $206.0 $204.3 $208.5
(1)GBW Ra ilc a r Se rvic e s re fle c te d in the “E
a rning s fro m Unc o nso lida te d Affilia te s” line o n the inc o me sta te me nt
$- $100 $200 $300 $400 2015 2016 2017 L T M 2/ 28/ 18
$ in millions
38
39
Supple me ntal Disc lo sur e Re c onc iliation of Ne t E ar nings to Adjuste d E BIT DA
(I n millio ns, unaudite d)
Quar te r E nding
F e b . 28, 2017 Ma y 31, 2017 Aug . 31, 2017 No v. 30, 2017 F e b . 28, 2018 Ne t e a rning s $49.0 $31.2 $32.3 $33.4 $65.3 GBW g o o dwill impa irme nt
nte re st a nd fo re ig n e xc ha ng e 5.7 7.9 8.9 7.0 7.0 I nc o me ta x e xpe nse (b e ne fit) 24.8 8.7 10.1 18.1 (11.3) De pre c ia tio n a nd a mo rtiza tio n 15.0 16.0 18.5 18.4 18.1
Adjuste d E BIT DA $94.5 $63.8 $73.3 $76.9 $79.1
Se e slide 43 fo r de finitio n o f Adjuste d E BI T DA
40
Supple me ntal Disc lo sur e Re c onc iliation of Ne t E ar nings (loss) to Adjuste d E BIT DA
(I n millio ns, unaudite d)
Ye ar E nding August 31, 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ne t e a rning s (lo ss) $8.3 $8.4 $61.2 ($5.4) $149.8 $265.3 $284.8 $160.5 Inte re st a nd fo re ig n e xc ha ng e 45.2 37.0 24.8 22.2 18.7 11.2 13.5 24.2 Inc o me ta x e xpe nse (b e ne fit) (0.9) 3.5 32.4 25.1 72.4 112.2 112.3 64.0 De pre c ia tio n a nd a mo rtiza tio n 37.5 38.3 42.4 41.4 40.4 45.1 63.4 65.1 Go o dwill impa irme nt(1)
Ga in o n c o ntrib utio n to GBW
e xting uishme nt (2.1) 15.7
(11.9)
1.5
BIT DA $76.1 $102.9 $160.8 $162.9 $253.8 $433.8 $474.0 $317.3
Se e slide 43 fo r de finitio n o f Adjuste d E BI T DA
(1) 2013 Go o dwill impa irme nt re la te s to o ur Whe e ls a nd Pa rts se g me nt. 2017 Go o dwill impa irme nt re fle c ts o ur
po rtio n o f a Go o dwill impa irme nt c ha ng e re c o rde d b y GBW
41
Quar te r E nding
F e b . 28, 2017 Ma y 31, 2017 Aug . 31, 2017 No v. 30, 2017 F e b . 28, 2018 Ne t e a rning s a ttrib uta b le to Gre e nb rie r $34.5 $32.8 $23.7 $26.3 $61.6 GBW g o o dwill impa irme nt
Adjuste d ne t e a rning s $34.5 $32.8 $27.3 $26.3 $38.7 Weighted aver age diluted shar es
32.4 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7
Adjuste d E PS $1.09 $1.03 $0.86 $0.83 $1.21
Se e slide 43 fo r de finitio ns o f Adjuste d ne t e a rning s a nd Adjuste d E PS
Supple me ntal Disc lo sur e
Re c onc iliation of Ne t E ar nings Attr ibutable to Gr e e nbr ie r to Adjuste d Ne t E ar nings (I n millio ns, e xc e pt pe r share amo unts, unaudite d)
42
Ye ar E nding August 31, 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net ear ni ngs (loss) attr i butable to Gr eenbr i er $4.3 $6.5 $58.7 ($11.1) $111.9 $192.8 $183.2 $116.1 Go o d will impa irme nt (a fte r-ta x)(1)
Ga in o n c o ntrib utio n to GBW (a fte r-ta x)
n) on debt exti ngui shment (after
(1.3) 9.4
(11.9)
1.0
($8.9) $15.9 $58.7 $62.5 $99.3 $192.8 $183.2 $119.6 Wei ghted aver age di luted shar es
ng 20.2 26.5 33.7 34.2 34.2 33.3 32.5 32.6
Adjuste d E PS ($0.44) $0.60 $1.91 $2.00 $3.07 $5.93 $5.73 $3.76
Supple me ntal Disc lo sur e
Re c onc iliation of Ne t E ar nings (loss) Attr ibutable to Gr e e nbr ie r to Adjuste d Ne t E ar nings (loss) (I n millio ns, e xc e pt pe r share amo unts, unaudite d)
Se e slide 43 fo r de finitio ns o f Adjuste d ne t e a rning s (lo ss) a nd Adjuste d E PS
(1) 2013 Go o dwill impa irme nt re la te s to o ur Whe e ls a nd Pa rts se g me nt. 2017 Go o dwill impa irme nt re fle c ts o ur
po rtio n o f a Go o dwill impa irme nt c ha ng e re c o rde d b y GBW
43
Adjuste d E BIT DA, Adjuste d ne t e a rning s (lo ss) a nd Adjuste d E PS a re no t fina nc ia l me a sure s unde r g e ne ra lly a c c e pte d a c c o unting princ iple s (GAAP). T he se me tric s a re pe rfo rma nc e me a sure me nt to o ls c o mmo nly use d b y ra il supply c o mpa nie s a nd Gre e nb rie r. Yo u sho uld no t c o nside r the se me tric s in iso la tio n o r a s a sub stitute fo r o the r fina nc ia l sta te me nt da ta de te rmine d in a c c o rda nc e with GAAP. In a dditio n, b e c a use the se me tric s a re no t me a sure s o f fina nc ia l pe rfo rma nc e unde r GAAP a nd a re susc e ptib le to va rying c a lc ula tio ns, the se me a sure s pre se nte d ma y diffe r fro m a nd ma y no t b e c o mpa ra b le to simila rly title d me a sure s use d b y o the r c o mpa nie s. We de fine Adjuste d E BIT DA a s Ne t e a rning s (lo ss) b e fo re Inte re st a nd fo re ig n e xc ha ng e , Inc o me ta x e xpe nse (b e ne fit), De pre c ia tio n a nd a mo rtiza tio n a nd e xc luding the impa c t a sso c ia te d with ite ms we do no t b e lie ve a re indic a tive o f o ur c o re b usine ss o r whic h a ffe c t c o mpa ra b ility. We b e lie ve the pre se nta tio n o f Adjuste d E BIT DA pro vide s use ful info rma tio n a s it e xc lude s the impa c t o f fina nc ing , fo re ig n e xc ha ng e , inc o me ta xe s a nd the a c c o unting e ffe c ts o f c a pita l spe nding . T he se ite ms ma y va ry fo r diffe re nt c o mpa nie s fo r re a so ns unre la te d to the o ve ra ll o pe ra ting pe rfo rma nc e o f a c o mpa ny’ s c o re b usine ss. Adjuste d ne t e a rning s (lo ss) a nd Adjuste d E PS e xc lude s the impa c t a sso c ia te d with ite ms we do no t b e lie ve a re indic a tive o f o ur c o re b usine ss o r whic h a ffe c t c o mpa ra b ility. We b e lie ve this a ssists in c o mpa ring o ur pe rfo rma nc e a c ro ss re po rting pe rio ds.
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