Noosa Mining Virtual 16 July 2020 A Sustainable Company Revenue - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Noosa Mining Virtual 16 July 2020 A Sustainable Company Revenue - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Noosa Mining Virtual 16 July 2020 A Sustainable Company Revenue Earning Long Life Mine Generating Cash Strongly Growing Market Enduring Geographical Simple Project and jurisdictional Low CAPEX & OPEX Competitive Advantage 2 | ASX
A Sustainable Company
2 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Strongly Growing Market Long Life Mine Enduring Geographical and jurisdictional Competitive Advantage Generating Cash Revenue Earning Simple Project – Low CAPEX & OPEX
Achievements
3 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Stage 2 DFS Expansion Operational Performance Reduced Unit Costs Production Increase Revenue/EBITDA Growth
Update Regarding COVID
4 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Protocols Very Successful
❑ Social distancing practiced onsite and to and from
site via staggered meal times and other actions
❑ Pre-flight medical checks and surveys instigated,
PPE worn on flights
❑ After liaison with Traditional Owners regular flights
to remote indigenous communities are in hiatus until conditions improve
❑ No cases detected for any Metro employees or
contractors and no disruption to operations
Impacts of COVID
❑ Lower alumina price causing lower bauxite pricing
generally
❑ Market dislocation given very low freight rates
Guinea to China
❑ Customer uncertainty and caution ❑ Difficulty in securing additional sales contracts -
challenges remain
Metro Delivers
December Restructured out of US$ debt facility November A$47.5M NAIF Loan Facility October Stage 2 DFS Complete December: Upper end of revised guidance achieved April: Delivery of additional 3 x 210 tonne trailer sets – fleet total 6 April Implementation of COVID protocols allow start of mining March Infrastructure expansion to 3.5Mt complete March Site Upgrade completed April Qld Govt Endorses A$47.5M NAIF Loan
2019 2020
June RECORD SHIPPING MONTH June Qtr Shipping 1.251Mt
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2018 2019 2020 (WMT) (‘000) 6 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
2018-2020 Shipping Performance
June Qtr Full Year
June Quarter Shipping Comparison 2018-2020
7 | ASX : MMI | July 2020 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 2018 2019 2020
June May April
8 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Source: IAI, CM Analysis
Stage 2 Expansion
6.0M WMT pa
✓
Significant economic benefits confirmed
✓
LOM unit operating costs forecast to reduce by ~18% delivered to China – margins increased
✓
Positions Bauxite Hills in lowest quartile of global cash cost curve for bauxite producers
✓
Significant reduction in unit operating costs delivered via Floating Terminal loading larger Ocean-Going Vessels
Funding
✓
A$51.4 M Capital Costs (incl 10% contingency)
✓
Project Payback <18 months
✓
Approval from NAIF received for $47.5M facility. Qld Government sign off in March 2020
✓
Detailed engineering & design is complete.
✓
Construction Contracts negotiated and agreed.
Uncertainties in world markets due to COVID 19 have delayed the final decision.
Source: IAI, CM Analysis
Stage 2 Expansion – Floating Terminal
Floating Terminal by Rocktree for indicative purposes only
China Demand Outlook Remains Strong
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 China's Annual Bauxite Imports (Mln DMT)
Forecast 2020 Q2 Forecast 2019 Q2 Forecast
Source: CMGroup Source: CM Group
10 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Source: CM GROUP
▪
China bauxite imports continue to increase - 2019 imports were just over 100Mt, 18Mt increase from 2018.
▪
Official Q1 2020 data, China imported 28.5Mt, Q2 2020 estimate of 30.0 Mt – on target for post-COVID adjusted forecast of approx. 110Mt
▪
Major growth driver remains domestic ore depletion, not primary Al demand
▪
All bauxite prices softened in first half of 2020 due to COVID-19 concerns:
- Primary aluminium prices in China have now recovered and surpassed pre-COVID levels
- Alumina very volatile with a range of RMB3,200/t to RMB2,075/t. Currently at around RMB2,500/t
- Reagent prices, particularly caustic soda, dropped significantly but are recovering
- Domestic bauxite prices fell during Q2, but have since rebounded, with Henan and Shanxi
refiners still reporting domestic ore shortages
- Ocean freight fell considerably but has also recovered – Guinea to Shandong Capesize
routes now in excess of pre-COVID levels
- A$ weakened in 2020 but bounced strongly from February lows and is now stubbornly strong
- The RMB weakened against the US$ in H1 but has strengthened more recently
▪
China’s market is recovering and returning to normal as COVID uncertainty reduces – concerns about ROW end markets persist.
Bauxite Market & Price Outlook
12 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Source: CM GROUP
CBIX Bauxite Index – Last 12 Months
China Alumina Prices Jan 2019 – Jul 2020
Source: CM Group
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 China Alumina Price (RMB/T INCL. VAT) China Changjian Al Price (RMB/T INCL. VAT)
Aluminium 2019 Alumina
13 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Source: CM GROUP
CBIX Bauxite Index – Last 12 Months
Freight – Guinea (US$/WMT)
$0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 $30.00 $35.00 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20
Good Community Relationships
14 | ASX : MMI | February 2020
◼ Relationship continues to grow and flourish ◼ Metro becoming a key participant in the Northern Cape York Community ◼ COVID Management protocols in place after liaison with Traditional Owners ◼ Local employment levels a key achievement
19.8% 16.2% 10.2% 5.6% 6.0% 42.2%
15 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Share Register
Greenstone Balanced Property BlackRock DADI Other Institutions Other Shareholders
Current Capital Structure
Share & Market Cap Range 01/2019-07/2020 Share Price (14 July 2020) A$0.11 0.08 0.17 Shares on Issue 1,383.4M 1,383.4M 1,383.4M Market Capitalisation A$152M $110.67M $235.2M Options Unlisted 30.1M Cash & Receivables (31 Mar 2020) A$11.7M Debt Facilities A$35M Enterprise Value A$175.3M
Share Price Performance
Price ($) Volume (m)
Board of Directors
Independent Chairman Stephen Everett Managing Director & CEO Simon Finnis Non-Executive Director Mark Sawyer Independent Non-Executive Director Philip Hennessy Independent Non-Executive Director Fiona Murdoch
Share Price & Corporate Structure
Share Price Performance
$0.00 $0.05 $0.10 $0.15 $0.20
16 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Source: CM GROUP
CBIX Bauxite Index – Last 12 Months
Summary and Close
✓ Metro has largely weathered the COVID storm with excellent results on site & support from our offtake partner Xinfa ✓ China bauxite imports continue to increase, although 2020 will be slightly down on pre-COVID forecasts ✓ Chinese bauxite imports continue to grow, although 2020 will be lower than pre-COVID forecasts. The major
growth driver remains domestic ore depletion, not primary Aluminium demand
✓ Macro economic factors in bauxite/alumina/aluminium space are improving:
✓ Aluminium now back to pre-COVID levels in China ✓ Alumina rebounding strongly – above RMB2,400/t for first time since March 2020 ✓ Ocean freight rebounding – freight from Guinea above US$20/WMT again ✓ Domestic bauxite prices creeping upwards, along with reagent costs
✓ Downward pressure on bauxite pricing is easing, but revenue may be offset by strong AUD ✓ Negotiations with target customers well advanced but not complete.
For Further Information: Contact: Simon Finnis – Chief Executive Officer & Managing Director | Chief Financial Officer – Duane Woodbury Ph: +61 (0) 7 3009 8000 | Head Office: Lvl 2, 247 Adelaide Street, Brisbane Q 4000 | GPO Box 10955, Brisbane Q 4000 This ASX Presentation has been authorised by Metro Mining Director, Simon Finnis 17 | ASX : MMI | July 2020
Disclaimer
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENT Statements and material contained in this ASX Presentation, particularly those regarding possible or assumed future performance, production levels or rates, commodity prices, resources or potential growth of Metro Mining Limited, industry growth or other trend projections are, or may be, forward looking statements. Such statements relate to future events and expectations and, as such, involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Graphs used in this ASX Presentation (including data used in the graphs) are sourced from third parties and Metro Mining has not independently verified the
- information. Although reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this ASX
Presentation are accurate and or that the opinions expressed are fair and reasonable, no reliance can be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on its
- completeness. Actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied
by these forward-looking statements depending on a variety of factors. Nothing in this ASX Presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction. COMPETENT PERSON’S STATEMENT The information in this report that relates to the Bauxite Hills Mine Mineral Resource is based on information compiled by Ed Radley who is a consultant to Metro Mining and a Member of the Australian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (MAusIMM)). Mr Ed Radley has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’. Mr Ed Radley has consented in writing for inclusion in this Report the matters based on the information in the form and context it appears. COMPETENT PERSON’S STATEMENT The information in this report to that relates to the “Metro Mining – Bauxite Hills” Reserves is based on information compiled by MEC Mining and reviewed by Edward Bolton, a Competent Person who is a Member of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Edward Bolton is a full-time employee
- f MEC Mining Pty Ltd. Edward Bolton has sufficient experience that is relevant to the style of
mineralization, type of deposit under consideration and to the activity being undertaken to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’. Edward Bolton consents to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears. Competent Person Statement: COMPETENT PERSON’S STATEMENT The information in this report that relates to Exploration Results is based on information compiled by Neil McLean who is a consultant to Metro Mining and a Fellow of the Australian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (F.Ausimm). Mr McLean has sufficient experience that is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity being undertaken to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting
- f Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’. Mr McLean consents to the inclusion in
the report of the matters based on information in the form and context in which it appears.