NDEBUMOG’S PRESENTATION FOR CSJ’S 2019 BUDGET SUMMIT , ABUJA, 5TH-6TH MARCH, 2019
By: Dr. George-Hill Anthony
Executive Director/CEO Niger Delta Budget Monitoring Group
www.nigerdeltabudget.org Outline MTEF Projections for FGNs 2019 to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NDEBUMOGS PRESENTATION FOR CSJS 2019 BUDGET SUMMIT , ABUJA, 5 TH -6 TH MARCH, 2019 By: Dr. George-Hill Anthony Executive Director/CEO Niger Delta Budget Monitoring Group www.nigerdeltabudget.org Outline MTEF Projections for FGNs
Executive Director/CEO Niger Delta Budget Monitoring Group
7,165,869,994,451 6,966,989,049,631 6,091,274,668,042 6,961,500,917,208 2,998,862,437,251 3,688,282,600,552 3,331,045,693,399 3,886,826,300,613 31,247,078,652 39,889,887,640 37,536,384,270 37,582,922,472 1,170,985,667 1,288,084,234 1,375,443,767 1,469,466,808 1,384,931,578,205 1,385,541,128,141 1,809,253,848,038 2,016,943,284,244 794,688,449,303 799,517,317,863 1,142,851,778,618 1,290,442,726,235 207,512,890,147 229,339,263,648 250,244,316,670 273,688,604,246 324,859,497,742 302,551,098,964 329,201,132,104 358,197,959,172 57,870,741,012 54,133,447,666 86,956,620,646 94,613,994,592 2018 Budget (As Passed) 2019 Proj. 2020 Proj. 2021 Proj.
MTEF PROJECTIONS FOR FGN BUDGET 2019-2021
AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of Oil Revenue AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of Dividend (NLNG) AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of Minerals & Mining AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of Non-Oil AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of CIT AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of VAT AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of Customs AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR FGN BUDGET Share of Federation Acct. Levies
2,287,987,405,933 265,509,285,492 324,644,693,748 1,160,416,279,596 652,915,780,857 492,360,342,965 2,264,014,113,091 1,378,788,677,233
021 MAIN ENVELOP - PERSONNEL 022 MAIN ENVELOP - OVERHEAD 023 CRF CHARGES - PENSIONS AND GRATITUTIES 024 CRF CHARGES - SERVICE WIDE VOTES 025 CRF CHARGES - CAPITAL SUPPLEMENTATION 026 STATUTORY TRANSFERS 027 DEBT SERVICES 031 CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT FUND MAIN
1,731,805,088,710 1,732,429,578,279 2,467,498,242,893 2,782,715,670,520 1,414,410,608,814 1,474,585,477,415 2,144,502,451,437 2,413,016,857,829 254,912,855,860 233,923,000,863 289,927,666,342 332,490,208,288 44,612,633,903 17,641,300,000 12,210,441,587 13,739,318,121 1,543,994,718,357 1,703,893,330,714 1,859,436,879,988 2,033,873,543,494 2,500,000,000 2,500,000,000 2,500,000,000 2,500,000,000 848,531,734,297 790,975,327,856 922,830,346,414 1,004,094,510,063 720,229,459,577 670,958,816,016 730,043,248,207 794,330,637,784 594,206,513,619 603,862,934,414 657,038,923,386 714,897,574,005 119,420,651,362 60,386,293,441 65,703,892,339 71,489,757,401 6,602,294,596 6,709,588,160 7,300,432,482 7,943,306,378 128,302,274,720 120,016,511,840 192,787,098,207 209,763,872,279 305,000,000,000
6,279,800,000 20,857,683,527 23,469,286,282
2018 Budget (As Passed) 2019 Proj. 2020 Proj. 2021 Proj.
NON-OIL REVENUE (MTEF PROJECTION)
Corporate Tax Companies Income Tax NLNG Tax Stamp Duties Value-Added Tax Surcharge on Luxury Items Customs Main Federation Account Import Excise Fees Special levies (Federation Account) Tax Amnesty - VAIDS Capital Gains Tax
535,824,000,000 585,911,754,297 1,573,145,664,852 1,375,348,986,788
129,625,000,000 266,048,450,000 61,663,222,500 823,500,000 823,500,000 915,000,000 915,000,000 107,878,500,000 29,813,401,719 41,478,370,706 41,913,320,454 49,135,500,000
61,000,000,000 6,862,500,000 6,862,500,000 10,086,350,000 11,248,400,000 90,036,000,000 30,286,500,000 32,177,500,000 34,190,500,000
68,250,852,578 165,310,000,000 165,310,000,000 305,000,000,000 981,237,245,703 981,237,245,703 15,250,000,000 15,250,000,000 14,892,748,443 17,871,298,132
2018 BUDGET (AS PASSED) 2019 PROJ. 2020 PROJ. 2021 PROJ.
Other Federally Funded Upstream Projects
Other Federally Funded Upstream Projects National Domestic Gas Development Gas Infrastructure Development Brass LNG Gas Supply Projects Frontier Exploration Services (NFES) EGTL Funding Renewable Energy Development (RED) Pipeline Security & Maintenance Cost Nigerian Crude Oil Finger Printing Pre-Export Financing PMS Under-Recovery Crude Oil Pre-Export Inspection Agency Expenses (NESS)
1,222,759,527,202 90,692,728,169 249,065,341,168 380,001,457,865 320,000,000,000
1,590,448,580,635 670,978,748,837 90,841,200,000 5,343,600,000 503,285,031,797 320,000,000,000
468,183,839,964 80,241,488,620 215,963,033,340 892,898,748,992 320,000,000,000
518,041,809,913 78,767,205,558 418,246,689,989 754,354,229,123 320,000,000,000
CRUDE OIL & GAS SALES NNPC JV CRUDE OIL & GAS (PROFIT OIL) MCA CRUDE OIL & GAS (PROFIT OIL) EF CRUDE OIL & GAS (PROFIT OIL) PSC CRUDE OIL & GAS (PROFIT OIL) PSC CRUDE OIL & GAS (NEW TERMS) SC CRUDE OIL & GAS (PROFIT OIL) FORWARD SALE
PROJECTION ON OIL REVENUE (2018-2021)
2018 Budget (As Passed) 2019 Proj. 2020 Proj. 2021 Proj.
3,512,677,902,076 2,115,467,388,700 246,486,583,989
193,339,376,271 300,434,379,448 65,000,000,000 4,718,039,438,458 2,287,987,405,905 160,504,766,016 265,509,285,492 159,145,947,296
151,402,049,347 363,050,424,848 65,000,000,000 51,219,751,964 359,831,060,380 4,690,824,744,571 2,402,386,776,200 166,434,138,437 246,486,583,989 163,354,957,010
59,438,777,103 431,766,127,602 65,000,000,000 51,844,414,914 281,110,825,156 4,915,348,305,592 2,522,506,115,010 171,722,828,635 246,486,583,989 163,218,302,672
106,631,974,278 437,779,538,283 65,000,000,000 59,467,445,656 319,533,372,910
RECURRENT (NON-DEBT) PERSONNEL COSTS (MDAS) PERSONNEL COSTS (GOES) OVERHEADS (MDAS) OVERHEADS (GOES) SWV PENSIONS (2018 ONLY) PENSIONS, GRATUITIES & RETIREES BENEFITS SWV POWER SECTOR REFORM PROGRAMME (TRANSFERS TO NBET) OTHER SERVICE WIDE VOTES (INCLUDING GAVI/IMMUNIZATION) PRESIDENTIAL AMNESTY PROGRAMME BASIC HEALTH CARE FUND (1% OF CRF) TANSFERS OF GOES OPERATING SURPLUS (80% OF WHICH IS IN FG INDEPENDENT REVENUES)
Recurrent (Non- Debt)FY 18 and MTEF 2019-2021 2021 Proj. 2020 Proj. 2019 Proj. 2018 Budget (As Passed)
144,222,126,129, 83% 1,886,857,812, 1% 16,108,983,841, 9% 12,479,369,455, 7%
Graphycal Analysis of 2017 Appropriation Act. (Environment)
Personnel Total Overhead Total Recurrent Total Capital
Graphical Analysis of 2017 Appropriation Act (Min of Niger Delta) 1,081,793,241 727,089,124 1,808,882,365 33,692,500,001
Personnel Total Overhead Total Recurrent Total Capital
Graphical Analysis of 2017 Appropriation Act. (Ministry of Niger Delta)
Series1 5,000,000,000 10,000,000,000 15,000,000,000 20,000,000,000 25,000,000,000 30,000,000,000 35,000,000,000 40,000,000,000
Total Allocation 2017 Total Allocation 2018 Total Allocation 2019 (Proposed) 28,588,353,296 35,378,408,624 27,127,413,937
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENT'S MINISTRY ALLOCATION 2017, 2018 & (PROPOSAL) 2019
35,965,882,366 60,223,997,128 136,789,195,697
Total Allocation 2017 Total Allocation 2018 Total Allocation 2019
NIGER DELTA MINISTRY'S APPROPRIATION 2017,2018 AND 2019 PROPOSAL
39,400,583,997 8,353,238,696
5,000,000,000 10,000,000,000 15,000,000,000 20,000,000,000 25,000,000,000 30,000,000,000 35,000,000,000 40,000,000,000 45,000,000,000
Niger Delta Environment
Amnesty Special Intervention Program (Recurrent) Special Intervention Program (Capital) ZIP
65,000,000,000 35,000,000,000 150,000,000,000 100,000,000,000 WITHIN SERVICE WIDE VOTE (2019 PROPOSAL)
North East- N8,081,856
N51,441,301.
(World Bank’s assisted)- N225m
Ministries of Environment/related MDAs-N27,142,089
Comparative Analysis for Some Line Items on Environment 2017-2018 (Here is FY 2018 (Climate Change Related)
Geopolitical Zones, Phase III-N61,479,850
Program (Phase 2)-N26,236,591
Comparative Analysis for Some Line Items on Environment 2017-2018 (Here is FY 2018 (Climate Change Related)…Cont’d
Adaptation for Green Economy-N7,830,000
N35,734,112
N96,293,416
N225,000,000
Environment/Relevant MDAs-N27,141,089
Some Fed Ministry of Environment Proposed Line Items for 2019
the 6 Geopolitical Zones (Phase III)-N70m
Degradation and Mitigate Effects of Drought and Climate Change-N66,460,640
Some Fed Ministry of Environment Proposed Line Items for 2019…Cont’d
(Phase II)-N24,984,000
and Relevant MDAs-N44,843,299
N22,060,000
N37,841,496
Bayelsa, Delta, Lagos and Edo State-N80m
and cultural sentiment. But eggheads, can balance the trajectory, between development, religion and a sustainably (developed) humanity, which is eluding Africans…
Climate Change (UNFCCC)?
viz, growing insecurity in the North East and against (mechanized and peasant farmers nationwide? Effects of Climate Change cannot be mitigated by (some) political farmers that are sucking agricultural (value-chain) envelopes, alongside; related propaganda.
geometry and interstellar dust, whilst the Federal Min of Environment grapples with
programmes, which NSAs, may not be able to measure its justiciability nor campaign for releases of funds for this Ministry, which considers NSAs/CSOs, as development’s
and communal (land)factors radicality in effects to Climate Change?
10,000,000,000 20,000,000,000 30,000,000,000 40,000,000,000 50,000,000,000 60,000,000,000 70,000,000,000 80,000,000,000 90,000,000,000 100,000,000,000
MINISTRY OF NIGER DELTA NDDC 41,600,274,568 95,188,921,129
TOTAL ALLOCATION 2019 FOR NDDC AND MINISTRY OF NIGER DELTA. Note: NDDC is recurrent only
TOTAL PERSONNEL TOTAL OVERHEAD TOTAL RECURRENT TOTAL CAPITAL
FEDERAL MINISTRY OF NIGER DELTA ( 2019 GENERAL BREAKDOWN)
Niger Delta’s Development Conundrum…Cont’d What Are The Projects Proposed in FGN’s Budget for 2019-We Are Sampling Some 2019 (Proposed) Projects Here…
this Ministry’s repetition
(recycled) projects and programmes, which has appeared in the Ministry’s appropriations, from inception of the Ministry, till date. Such are almost @ a billion (cumulative) threshold in the 2019 proposed FGN’s budget. Some of these (recycled) repetitive projects are:
Junction to Onne Junction Road projects, among others. Bomadi Water Scheme, Ukparam Water Scheme, Ubane- Utanga Water Projects, alongside, Electricity projects @ Okrika, Ogbgbene, Eleme, Khana, etc. Either, earlier allocations/provisions, had no budgetary releases/cash backed up or something is wrong, if earlier allocations had cash releases. We are aware, a times, partial releases could render capital projects/releases nincompoopic. See NDEBUMOG’s position about the above (recycled) projects, as was published on the 8th Day of February, 2012:
exposition-2009-2010-2011-2012-budgets-how-ministry
Niger Delta’s Development Conundrum…Cont’d What Are The Projects Proposed in FGN’s Budget for 2019-We Are Sampling Some 2019 (Proposed) Projects Here…
Orlu,Orsu/ON East Fed Constituency, Imo State-N100m
machines, generators for Edo “Youth” Senatorial District-N100m
machines and generators for Ondo Central Senatorial District-N100m
Fishery, poultry, detergent making and confectionaries-N82,500,000
N27,500,000
N1 billion
Niger Delta’s Development Conundrum…Cont’d What Are The Projects Proposed in FGN’s Budget for 2019-We Are Sampling Some 2019 (Proposed) Projects Here…
Federal Constituency-N2billion
N2billion
States of the Niger Delta-N2billion
Akoko-Edo-N100m
Niger Delta’s Development Conundrum…Cont’d What Are The Projects Proposed in FGN’s Budget for 2019-We Are Sampling Some 2019 (Proposed) Projects Here…
District-N100m
N100m
Constituency-N100m
MNDA’s Budget for 2019. Curiously, we are tempted to ask and ponder, what’s the prerequisite requirements for folks that are to be given these “buses, motorcycles, tricycles” and other “empowerment materials? Assuming, these benefits, are not rewards for ballot box snatching for youths’ that must conquer a senatorial district/federal constituencies for politicians…
assessment components, beside (traditional) alterations and insertions into predicted budgetary formats. What are the justifications for travels, “ and trainings” locally and internationally, if what is going for personnel and overhead, cannot be justified, through bureaucratic (fiscal) restitution?
are mushrooming among unemployed youths, what’s the percentage of those that will patronize these “tricycles and motorcycles” as passengers, across poverty stricken communities?
life elongation researches and discovery of (habitable?) planets, whilst (our younger) folks here, are paid to idle away to watch over oil pipelines. What becomes their future (here), when oil becomes irrelevant for those watching over oil pipelines on “security contracts” from the Nigerian State, even as others, among the youths, are “encourage” into tricycles/motorbikes’ survivalism within their productive years…? What becomes of their (predictable?) -non) productive future, viz a viz, comparative development with folks in developed society?
predicament?
❖Political ❖Bureaucratic, and ❖Communal
model and should evolve a new (inclusive) thinking, which encompasses: ➢Government ➢Communities ➢Private Sector ➢Organized Civil Society ➢The academia, and ➢Clustered Cultural/Traditional Territories