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NICHOLAS M BIANCO & FRANZ T LITZ NICHOLAS M. BIANCO & FRANZ - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NICHOLAS M BIANCO & FRANZ T LITZ NICHOLAS M. BIANCO & FRANZ - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NICHOLAS M BIANCO & FRANZ T LITZ NICHOLAS M. BIANCO & FRANZ T. LITZ with contributions from MADELINE GOTTLIEB & THOMAS DAMASSA Agriculture 7% Other 1% Other Industrial 5% Natural Gas Systems 2% 2% Electric Generating Units (Coal) Coal
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- PSD/BACT
- New Source Performance Standards
- Vehicle Emissions Standards
- Title VI
- CAFE Standards
- Appliance and Equipment Standards
- Emissions and
Operational Standards for Aircraft
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2020 Emissions by Sector
Business‐as‐usual ‐
2500
2171 2249 2422
e
2020 Emissions by Sector
Go‐Getter Middle‐of‐the‐Road Lackluster Business as usual
1500 2000
2001 2171 1056 1057
tric Tons CO2e
500 1000
1029 438 1041 453 378 503 396 83 277 227 523 400 295 281 235 133 124 201
Million Met
333 83 236 213 97 32 11 186 2 83 262 219 114 32 11 196 2 227 132 69 11 199 2 124 54 201 27
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3000
2413 2593
2030 Emissions by Sector
G G tt Middle‐of‐the‐Road Lackluster Business‐as‐usual ‐
1500 2000 2500
1709 2143 2413 1066
ric Tons CO2e Go‐Getter
500 1000
749 935 335 352 1047 398 411 36 298 256 418 446 279 308 280 149 122
Million Metr
315 296 36 213 210 109 32 11 201 3 36 266 231 128 32 11 231 3 36 256 148 68 11 238 3 122 54 244 30 3
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Example of Approach: Getting Reductions from Power Plants Getting Reductions from Power Plants
US Environmental P i A Protection Agency:
- Pre‐construction air
permits require Best Available Control Available Control Technology (BACT)
- New Source
Performance Performance Standards (NSPS) US Dept of Energy: US Dept of Energy:
- Appliance efficiency
standards
- Equipment efficiency
standards
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Residential 1%
T t ti
Emissions Reductions Under Waxman‐Markey
Industrial
Industrial 10%
Transportation 4%
Electricity 60% 19% Transportation Electricity 85% Transportation 21%
2020
2020 2030
2020 2030
2020 2030
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Getting Reductions from Light‐Duty Vehicles
US Environmental Protection Agency:
- Vehicle emissions
standards standards
- Renewable Fuel Standard
US Dept of Transportation:
- CAFE standards
F d l f di t t t
- Federal funding to states
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Light‐Duty Vehicle Scenarios
40 mpg 50 mpg 50 mpg
+ 30% EV +17% PHEV
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Lackluster Scenario: Reduction Targets Set by Legislation Middle‐of‐the‐Road Scenario: Middle‐of‐the‐Road Scenario: Reduction Targets Set by Executive Order Go‐Getter Scenario: Regional Cap‐and‐Trade Initiatives
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