New Frontiers of Opportunities Evolution of Space Ecosystem - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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New Frontiers of Opportunities Evolution of Space Ecosystem - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

New Frontiers of Opportunities Evolution of Space Ecosystem PRESENTER Karim Michel SABBAGH 16 November 2017 Kardashev Scale Classifying Civilisations Civilisation capability of harnessing energy Type I Type II Type III 0.7 Mankind today


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PRESENTER Karim Michel SABBAGH 16 November 2017

New Frontiers of Opportunities

Evolution of Space Ecosystem

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2 New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

Kardashev Scale

Classifying Civilisations

Type I Type II Type III

Civilisation capability of harnessing energy

0.7

Mankind today (Carl Sagan)

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Space still today the territory of the privileged Only telecommunications sector developed into a flourishing private sector Global space industry growth from USD 323 billion in 2015 to USD 329 billion in 2016

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Space Sector

Global Space Economy in 2016

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

Governmental Space Budgets

~USD 75 B

Satellite Communications Industry Revenues

~USD 239 B

Other Space Industry Revenues

~USD 15 B

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Space Sector

Tomorrow

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

Forecasted global space economy growth by 2040

1.1 trillion+

Internet, Aerospace and Defence, Telecom Services, Media Ground Communications and Systems will drive the growth ~300 satellites/year with mass

  • ver 50 kg to be launched by

2026

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Internet Traffic

At the Dawn of a Data Boom

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

~20% CAGR

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Enablers of Exponential Growth

Overview

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

Energy Technology Access to Space Presence Economics

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First Enabler: Energy (1/2)

Most Powerful Resource Available

Solar energy reaching Earth every minute Energy used by Mankind every minute

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

2000 TWh

equivalent to 200 billion liters of gasoline

0.2 TWh

1/10000th of that energy

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First Enabler: Energy (2/2)

SES Electric Propulsion Satellites

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

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vs Second Enabler: Technology (1/2)

Analog Satellites vs DSPs

Traditional payloads architecture Fully Digitised Satellite Payload

Software defined payloads Real time resource management Dynamic bandwidth and coverage allocation Optimisation of scarce spectrum resources Cost reduction, mass reduction and production acceleration Several hundred low noise amplifiers and converters Hundreds of input and output filters and RF switches Difficult and costly production process ~1.5 tons of cabling and switches

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Second Enabler: Technology (2/2) GEONext and O3b mPOWER

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

ULTIMATE FLEXIBILITY GLOBAL COVERAGE

100% PRODUCTIVE

MULTI-TERABIT CAPACITY

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Third Enabler: Access to Space (1/2)

Improving the Fundamental Economics

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

DEMAND FOR DATA COST OF ACCESS Global Population Autonomous Cars Internet of Things Artificial Intelligence Video and Virtual Reality Improvements in Technology Increased Processing Power Lower Launch Cost Lower Manufacturing Cost Lower Time to Market Cost of a bottle of water to the ISS: USD 10,000

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Third Enabler: Access to Space (2/2)

Promoting Reusability

SES-8 first commercial customer to launch on Falcon 9 in 2013 SES-10 first commercial customer

  • n a flight proven Falcon 9 in 2017

Rapid and complete reusability of rockets is key

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

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Presence in space dominated mostly by satellites 1,000+ satellites currently in orbit (60+ SES) $1.12 billion out of $7.37 billion for orbital launches used for servicing the ISS

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Fourth Enabler: Presence (1/2)

A Growing Population in Orbit

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

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First commercial refueling of a SES satellite in 2020+ Robotic servicing tools used to perform

  • perations

Life extension maintaining revenue streams

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Fourth Enabler: Presence (2/2)

Working in Space

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

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Morgan Stanley: $1.1 trillion Space industry by 2040 Bank of America: $2.7 trillion Space industry by 2040 Venture capitalists invested USD 1.8 billion in space startups in 2015, double the amount of previous 15 years combined

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Fifth Enabler: Economics (1/2)

Creating a Sustainable Business Case Economics

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem

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Fifth Enabler: Economics (2/2)

Most Powerful Satellite System Ever

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Multi-

Scalable to 10s

  • f Tbps globally

terabit 100%

productive

Beams go to customers, not empty territory

4,000+

beams per satellite Shape, moderate, route, shift & switch

~400M

Square kilometres covered

PRODUCTIVITY COVERAGE CAPACITY FLEXIBILITY

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“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run”

  • Roy Amara -

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Looking Forward

Roy Amara's Law

New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem