PRESENTER Karim Michel SABBAGH 16 November 2017
New Frontiers of Opportunities Evolution of Space Ecosystem - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
New Frontiers of Opportunities Evolution of Space Ecosystem - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
New Frontiers of Opportunities Evolution of Space Ecosystem PRESENTER Karim Michel SABBAGH 16 November 2017 Kardashev Scale Classifying Civilisations Civilisation capability of harnessing energy Type I Type II Type III 0.7 Mankind today
2 New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
Kardashev Scale
Classifying Civilisations
Type I Type II Type III
Civilisation capability of harnessing energy
0.7
Mankind today (Carl Sagan)
Space still today the territory of the privileged Only telecommunications sector developed into a flourishing private sector Global space industry growth from USD 323 billion in 2015 to USD 329 billion in 2016
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Space Sector
Global Space Economy in 2016
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
Governmental Space Budgets
~USD 75 B
Satellite Communications Industry Revenues
~USD 239 B
Other Space Industry Revenues
~USD 15 B
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Space Sector
Tomorrow
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
Forecasted global space economy growth by 2040
1.1 trillion+
Internet, Aerospace and Defence, Telecom Services, Media Ground Communications and Systems will drive the growth ~300 satellites/year with mass
- ver 50 kg to be launched by
2026
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Internet Traffic
At the Dawn of a Data Boom
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
~20% CAGR
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Enablers of Exponential Growth
Overview
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
Energy Technology Access to Space Presence Economics
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First Enabler: Energy (1/2)
Most Powerful Resource Available
Solar energy reaching Earth every minute Energy used by Mankind every minute
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
2000 TWh
equivalent to 200 billion liters of gasoline
0.2 TWh
1/10000th of that energy
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First Enabler: Energy (2/2)
SES Electric Propulsion Satellites
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
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vs Second Enabler: Technology (1/2)
Analog Satellites vs DSPs
Traditional payloads architecture Fully Digitised Satellite Payload
Software defined payloads Real time resource management Dynamic bandwidth and coverage allocation Optimisation of scarce spectrum resources Cost reduction, mass reduction and production acceleration Several hundred low noise amplifiers and converters Hundreds of input and output filters and RF switches Difficult and costly production process ~1.5 tons of cabling and switches
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
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Second Enabler: Technology (2/2) GEONext and O3b mPOWER
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
ULTIMATE FLEXIBILITY GLOBAL COVERAGE
100% PRODUCTIVE
MULTI-TERABIT CAPACITY
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Third Enabler: Access to Space (1/2)
Improving the Fundamental Economics
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
DEMAND FOR DATA COST OF ACCESS Global Population Autonomous Cars Internet of Things Artificial Intelligence Video and Virtual Reality Improvements in Technology Increased Processing Power Lower Launch Cost Lower Manufacturing Cost Lower Time to Market Cost of a bottle of water to the ISS: USD 10,000
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Third Enabler: Access to Space (2/2)
Promoting Reusability
SES-8 first commercial customer to launch on Falcon 9 in 2013 SES-10 first commercial customer
- n a flight proven Falcon 9 in 2017
Rapid and complete reusability of rockets is key
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
Presence in space dominated mostly by satellites 1,000+ satellites currently in orbit (60+ SES) $1.12 billion out of $7.37 billion for orbital launches used for servicing the ISS
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Fourth Enabler: Presence (1/2)
A Growing Population in Orbit
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
First commercial refueling of a SES satellite in 2020+ Robotic servicing tools used to perform
- perations
Life extension maintaining revenue streams
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Fourth Enabler: Presence (2/2)
Working in Space
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
Morgan Stanley: $1.1 trillion Space industry by 2040 Bank of America: $2.7 trillion Space industry by 2040 Venture capitalists invested USD 1.8 billion in space startups in 2015, double the amount of previous 15 years combined
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Fifth Enabler: Economics (1/2)
Creating a Sustainable Business Case Economics
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem
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Fifth Enabler: Economics (2/2)
Most Powerful Satellite System Ever
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Multi-
Scalable to 10s
- f Tbps globally
terabit 100%
productive
Beams go to customers, not empty territory
4,000+
beams per satellite Shape, moderate, route, shift & switch
~400M
Square kilometres covered
PRODUCTIVITY COVERAGE CAPACITY FLEXIBILITY
“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run”
- Roy Amara -
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Looking Forward
Roy Amara's Law
New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem