New Frontiers of Opportunities Evolution of Space Ecosystem PRESENTER Karim Michel SABBAGH 16 November 2017
Kardashev Scale Classifying Civilisations Civilisation capability of harnessing energy Type I Type II Type III 0.7 Mankind today (Carl Sagan) New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 2
Space Sector Global Space Economy in 2016 � Space still today the territory of the privileged � Only telecommunications sector developed into a Satellite Communications flourishing private sector Industry Revenues ~USD 239 B � Global space industry growth from USD 323 billion in 2015 to USD 329 billion in 2016 Governmental Space Budgets ~USD 75 B Other Space Industry Revenues ~USD 15 B New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 3
Space Sector Tomorrow 1.1 trillion+ Forecasted global space economy growth by 2040 ~300 satellites/year with mass Internet, Aerospace and Defence, Telecom over 50 kg to be launched by Services, Media Ground Communications 2026 and Systems will drive the growth New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 4
Internet Traffic At the Dawn of a Data Boom ~20% CAGR New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 5
Enablers of Exponential Growth Overview Energy Technology Access to Space Presence Economics New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 6
First Enabler: Energy (1/2) Most Powerful Resource Available Solar energy reaching 2000 TWh Earth every minute equivalent to 200 billion liters of gasoline 0.2 TWh Energy used by Mankind every minute 1/10000 th of that energy New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 7
First Enabler: Energy (2/2) SES Electric Propulsion Satellites New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 8
Second Enabler: Technology (1/2) Analog Satellites vs DSPs Traditional payloads architecture � Several hundred low noise amplifiers and converters � Hundreds of input and output filters and RF switches � Difficult and costly production process � ~1.5 tons of cabling and switches vs Fully Digitised Satellite Payload � Software defined payloads � Real time resource management � Dynamic bandwidth and coverage allocation � Optimisation of scarce spectrum resources � Cost reduction, mass reduction and production acceleration New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 9
Second Enabler: Technology (2/2) GEONext and O3b mPOWER MULTI-TERABIT ULTIMATE CAPACITY FLEXIBILITY GLOBAL 100% COVERAGE PRODUCTIVE New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 10
Third Enabler: Access to Space (1/2) Improving the Fundamental Economics Cost of a bottle of water to the ISS: USD 10,000 DEMAND FOR DATA COST OF ACCESS Global Population Improvements in Technology Autonomous Cars Increased Processing Power Internet of Things Lower Launch Cost Artificial Intelligence Lower Manufacturing Cost Video and Virtual Reality Lower Time to Market New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 11
Third Enabler: Access to Space (2/2) Promoting Reusability � SES-8 first commercial customer to launch on Falcon 9 in 2013 � SES-10 first commercial customer on a flight proven Falcon 9 in 2017 � Rapid and complete reusability of rockets is key New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 12
Fourth Enabler: Presence (1/2) A Growing Population in Orbit � Presence in space dominated mostly by satellites � 1,000+ satellites currently in orbit (60+ SES) � $1.12 billion out of $7.37 billion for orbital launches used for servicing the ISS New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 13
Fourth Enabler: Presence (2/2) Working in Space � First commercial refueling of a SES satellite in 2020+ � Robotic servicing tools used to perform operations � Life extension maintaining revenue streams New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 14
Fifth Enabler: Economics (1/2) Creating a Sustainable Business Case � Morgan Stanley: $1.1 trillion Space industry by 2040 � Bank of America: $2.7 trillion Space industry by 2040 � Venture capitalists invested USD 1.8 billion in space startups in 2015, double the amount of previous 15 Economics years combined New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 15
Fifth Enabler: Economics (2/2) Most Powerful Satellite System Ever CAPACITY FLEXIBILITY COVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY Multi- Shape, terabit moderate, ~400M Beams 100% route, shift go to Scalable to 10s & switch Square 4,000+ customers, of Tbps globally kilometres productive not empty covered territory beams per satellite New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 16 16
Looking Forward Roy Amara's Law “We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run” - Roy Amara - New Frontiers of Opportunities - Evolution of Space Ecosystem 17
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