Targeting in industrial net zero in in the Humber region
30 July 2020
Dr Geraint Evans Catch Consultants
net zero in in the Humber region 30 July 2020 Dr Geraint Evans - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Targeting in industrial net zero in in the Humber region 30 July 2020 Dr Geraint Evans Catch Consultants Agenda ISCF project UK energy transition Available technologies & Humber Deployment Projects Cluster plan (roadmapping)
30 July 2020
Dr Geraint Evans Catch Consultants
ISCF project UK energy transition Cluster plan (roadmapping) Available technologies & Humber Deployment Projects
ISCF project
■ Artificial intelligence and data – use AI to transform medical research ■ Meeting the needs of an aging society ■ Clean growth – Halving energy use in buildings – Establish the world’s first net-zero carbon industrial cluster by 2040 and at least 1 low-carbon cluster by 2030 ■ Future of mobility – zero emissions vehicles
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/industrial-strategy-the-grand-challenges/missions
■ Net zero means that the UK’s total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions would be equal to or less than the emissions the UK removed from the environment. This can be achieved by a combination of emission reduction and emission removal. – 100% vs 1990 ■ Applied to a region (Humber) and a sector (industry): – How to consider embedded carbon in construction and indirect effects of construction – How to consider imports of fuels (e.g. low carbon H2, high carbon H2) – risk of
– Who claims negative emissions if imported H2 made from BECCS is made out
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/environmentalaccounts/articles/netzeroandthedifferentofficialmeasuresoftheuksgreen housegasemissions/2019-07-24
■ £170M fund, matched with up to £261M from industry = £431M ■ Deploy new low carbon technologies and accelerate cost effective and deep industrial decarbonisation – Support delivery of achieving one low-C cluster by 2030 – First net zero cluster by 2040 – Covering energy intensive industries
■ Iron/steel, refining, chemicals etc
■ Boost competitiveness of industrial regions – Drive inward investment – Create and protect jobs
IDRIC (Heriot Watt led) - Sustainable industrial clusters knowledge creation and sharing function, including the creation of a joint industry/government/academic-led research programme Deployment projects - Detailed designs and demonstration of industry-scale technologies and shared infrastructure for the cost- effective deep decarbonisation of at least one industrial clusters Cluster Plans (roadmaps) and feasibility studies for net zero industrial cluster
https://www.ukri.org/innovation/industrial-strategy-challenge-fund/industrial-decarbonisation/
■ Phase 1 is now complete – developing the methodology for an accelerated start to a Phase 2 – Baseline emissions data – Modelling scope and capabilities
■ Prescriptive analytics
– Data sourcing/identification ■ Completion of Phase 1 permits entry to the Phase 2 competition for funding to deliver our Cluster Plan (Roadmap) – Starts January 2021 – Completion 31 March 2023 – Identify optimal secure, low cost route to achieving a zero carbon Humber energy intensive industrial sector by 2040.
Data a sourci cing ng Techn hnica ical modelli elling Strategic egic insights ghts for Humber er region
industr stria ial decar arbonisatio
Energy y / Energy gy systems ems strategy egy thinki king ng
UK energy transition
200 GW 377 GW Enough for 65 million kettles
(net)
Power now, heat next, transport gradual – cost optimal
Power almost zero carbon Heat (buildings) reducing as gas boilers swap to electric, H2, District Heating CCS commercialised, renewables & nuclear deployed Negative emissions through bioenergy + CCS Bio credits, including “negative emissions”
Intl Aviation & Shipping Transport Sector Buildings Sector Power Sector Other conversion Industry Sector Other CO2 Biogenic credits
Chart data from base case v4.3
4
Heat almost zero carbon; transport remains
www.eti.co.uk
■ To meet 80% decarbonisation, fossil fuels still made up 50% of final energy demand (30% petroleum, 20% gas). Electricity made up 30%, heat networks 5%, hydrogen at 10% and biomass 5%. ■ More profound changes are needed to meet net zero. – Wherever possible, delivery of final energy by fossil fuels is substituted out.
■ Share of fossil fuels drops to 25%.
– ~ three quarters of energy mix provided by electricity (43%), hydrogen (20%) & district heat (10%). – Negative emissions needed to counter residual emissions, especially from aviation. – Most of remaining fossil fuel used in industry and aviation – Greater intermittent power use so greater requirement for system balancing (power storage etc)
https://es.catapult.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/ESC_Innovating_to_Net_Zero_report_FINAL.pdf
Humber region industry transition
■ Chemical feedstocks themselves emit CO2, e.g. limestone – ~45% of industrial emissions ■ Highly integrated processes – some make their own “internal” fuels from their chemical feedstocks e.g. steel, refining – Replacing refinery fuel gas with hydrogen requires an abated use for fuel gas ■ Requirement for high temperature heat (~35% of industrial emissions) – could potentially use electric furnaces or hydrogen – Steel ~1200°C, limestone calcination ~1400°C ■ Industrial facilities have long lifetimes. Design changes would require costly redesigns, retrofits and/or rebuilds. ■ The need to maintain business competitiveness.
Over 70% of industrial emissions from 2 sectors 50% emissions from internal fuels. CCUS crucial
Deep decarbonisation needed. All technologies crucial but especially CCS, hydrogen, BECCS
Available technologies & Humber Deployment Projects
Demand side measures
Reduce demand for primary resources & emissions through
using, recycling
Energy efficiency
Adapt production equipment to lower energy use per unit volume
CCS (CCU)
Capture CO2 emitted and store (CCS) or use (CCU)
Direct air capture and BECCS
Capture CO2 from the air or via biomass to provide a negative emission credit
Hydrogen as a fuel or feedstock
Replace feedstock or fuel with low or negative carbon hydrogen.
Biomass as a fuel
Replace feedstock or fuel with sustainably produced biomass e.g. to produce an ultra- clean syngas for acetic acid manufacture.
Electrification
Replace fossil fuel for heating, mobile plant and motor drives with renewable electricity
Other innovations
e.g. innovative processes e.g. electrochemical production process, non fossil fuel feedstock change, such as a change in cement feedstock
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Southern North Sea Central North Sea Northern North Sea East Irish Sea Basin Central English Channel Saline aquifers Gas Fields Oil Fields Millions of tonnes of potential storage in the UK Continental Shelf by region (cost and risk not appraised)
Blue hydrogen
Natural gas + steam reforming Coal + gasification CO2 to geological storage
Green hydrogen
Renewable electricity + electrolysis Biomass + gasifcation (with and without CCS) Transport and storage Zero emissions transport Industry Power generation Export
Humber zero
mmingh gham) am) – Post combustion CCS – Blue & green hydrogen for fuel switching at refineries & power plants – 100MW electrolyser – 7 MT CO2 abated H2H Saltend end – Blue hydrogen (with CCS) – 600MW ATR – Triton at 30% H2 – 900,000 Tonnes CO2 Zero
bon Hum umber ber – BECCS (negative emissions) at Drax – Exploring large scale hydrogen production opportunities Britis ish h Steel eel Scun unth thorpe – Investigating CCS options appropriate to sector – Hydrogen (for fuel switching & within process) – Re-use and recycling (e.g. using slag for road surfacing)
Green een hydr ydrogen
umbe ber – Development of GW scale roll out
Keadb adby y Clean an Power er Hub – 2x CCGT with post combustion CCS
■ Identify optimal (secure, low cost) route to a zero carbon Humber energy intensive industrial cluster by 2040 – Understand uncertainties – identify resilient technologies and choices – Identify potential futures for industry in the Humber
■ Deployment projects and others
– Establish value to Humber beyond 2040
■ Jobs, inward investment, GVA
– Identify skills and training needs – Identify legacy potential and implement
■ Hard to decarbonise sectors just got harder – Covid impact yet to play out – Must maintain momentum ■ Industrial emissions challenge – CCS and fuel switching (especially hydrogen) will be crucial
■ Continuous improvement needed
– Humber region is strongly placed ■ Catch and Humber LEP are working to deliver a Cluster Plan to achieve net zero in industry by 2040 ■ Large scale emitters working on parallel projects to demonstrate action at scale
Geraint.evans@beacontechconsulting.co.uk https tps://w ://www ww.c .catc atchuk huk.org .org/t /tec echn hnical ical-ser servic vices/ es/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/geraintde geraintdevans ans/