[PPT] - National Graduate Education Data Jeff Allum Council of Graduate PowerPoint Presentation

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Making Use (and Sense) of National Graduate Education Data

Jeff Allum Council of Graduate Schools Chris Connor University at Buffalo, The State University of New York Chris Ferguson Drexel University Roberta Bell Vanderbilt University

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9:00-9:30 Welcome and Introductions 9:30-10:30 PART 1: Trends in Graduate Education 10:30-11:30 PART 2: National Datasets 11:30-12:30 Lunch 12:30-1:30 PART 3: Discussion

Schedule

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National perspective Institutional perspective Questions

Process

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PART 1: Trends in Graduate Education

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Graduate Enrollment Trends: The National Perspective

Enrollment is growing, but … International students are big players Some notable demographic trends

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4.0% 3.5% 2006-07 2013-14

First-time Graduate Enrollment

Enrollment recovery continues …

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

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1000K 1100K 1200K 1300K 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Total Graduate Enrollment

But so does the hangover …

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

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So, what’s changing?

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Education is down & Business is slowing

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

0K 25K 50K 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Arts & Humanities Biological & Ag Sci Business Education Engineering Health Sciences Math & Comp Sci Physical & Earth Sci Public Admin & Svcs Social & Behav Sci Other Fields

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This is where the action is

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

0K 25K 50K

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Arts & Humanities Biological & Ag Sci Business Education Engineering Health Sciences Math & Comp Sci Physical & Earth Sci Public Admin & Svcs Social & Behav Sci Other Fields

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Woe are the arts, humanities, and others

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

0K 25K 50K

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Arts & Humanities Biological & Ag Sci Business Education Engineering Health Sciences Math & Comp Sci Physical & Earth Sci Public Admin & Svcs Social & Behav Sci Other Fields

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260,000 29,000 21,000 10,000 31,000 11,000 1,600

SOURCE: IIE Open Doors

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% Headcount Temporary residents = 67% of growth! 11.2% 9,982 U.S. citizens/permanent residents 1.3% 4,079 Overall* 3.5% 14,762 Changes in first-time graduate enrollment, 2013-2014

* The sum of parts does not equal the total. Some institutions did not provide data by citizenship. SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

International students driving growth

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For example …

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

0K 10K 20K 30K

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Engineering (Temp. Res.) Engineering (U.S. Citizens/Perm. Res.) Math & Comp Sci . (Temp. Res.) Math & Comp Sci (U.S. citizen/Perm. Res.)

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43% 39% 58% 57% 61% 42% Total U.S. Citizens/Perm. Res. Temporary Residents Men Women

More women than men

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

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0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Public Admin. & Svcs. Health Sciences Education Social & Behavioral Sci. Other Fields Total Arts and Humanities Biological & Agric. Sci. Business Physical & Earth Sci. Math & Computer Sci. Engineering Men Women

Differences by field …

SOURCE: CGS/GRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees

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% change, 2013 to 2014

Avg. annual %

change, 2009 to 2014

Avg. annual %

change, 2004 to 2014

U.S. Citizens/Permanent Res. 1.3%

0.4%

1.9% White 0.2%

1.2%

1.0% Asian/Pacific Islander 3.4% 1.3% 3.5% American Indian/Alaska Native

3.0%
5.5%
0.6%

Black/African American 2.0% 0.4% 5.2% Hispanic/Latino 6.8% 4.0% 6.0%

Domestic growth from non-White students

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2.6% 4.8% 10.5% 5.2% 26.4% 0.1% 2.6% 2.7% 8.0% 8.5% 11.4% 0.3% Total Biological and Agricultural Sciences Engineering Health Sciences Mathematics and Computer Sciences Physical and Earth Sciences Average annual % change, 2004 to 2014 % change, 2013 to 2014

More Women are Enrolling in S&E fields

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DREXEL AT A GLANCE

ENROLLMENT

26,359 total students
16,896 undergraduate students
9,463 graduate students
5,284 online students
1,524 professional students

ACADEMIC OFFERINGS

Approximately 200 degree programs
15 colleges and schools

DREXEL CO-OP

One of the nation’s oldest, largest, and best-know cooperative education

programs

Most undergraduates alternate classroom study with up to three periods
f full-time, paid employment in their field

RESEARCH

More than $110 million in sponsor support each year
Wallace H. Coulter Foundation Translational Research Partner, recognizing

leadership in bringing new technologies to market

TECHNOLOGY LEADERSHIP

First university to require all entering students to have microcomputers

(1983)

First major university to operate a fully wireless campus, indoors and out

(2000)

First mobile Web portal service for students (2002)
First university portal app (Drexel OneMobile) offered across all five major

mobile platforms (2011)

DREXEL ONLINE

Provides Drexel degree programs through innovative, internet-base

distance education

Builds on the University’s pioneering efforts in online education, which

began in 1996

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19,744 25,595 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15

10-Year Enrollment Trend

Fall Enrollment Linear (Fall Enrollment)

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12,825 16,464 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15

Undergraduate

Fall Enrollment Linear (Fall Enrollment) 6,919 9,125 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15

Graduate

Fall Enrollment Linear (Fall Enrollment)

10-Year Enrollment Trends

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Drexel and the Market

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50 100 150 200 250 300 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15

Drexel

Fall Enrollment Linear (Fall Enrollment) 1907 2995 7119 11843 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14

emsi Analysis

Region Nation

Media Arts & Design

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50 100 150 200 250 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15

Drexel

Fall Enrollment Linear (Fall Enrollment) 36725 52191 191352 289652 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14

emsi Analysis

Region Nation

Arts & Science

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650 700 750 800 850 900 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15

Drexel

Fall Enrollment Linear (Fall Enrollment) 77644 87852 420860 521032 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14

4575 4254 37336 34416 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14

emsi Analysis

Region Nation

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About

Founded in 1846
Flagship institution in NYS, largest and most comprehensive campus
Premier research- intensive public university
29,944 students (2014-2015)
19,829 undergraduate
10,115 graduate and professional
Engineering - 1,800 graduate students
Over 5000 international students
Alumni in 146 countries
Research: $386.6 million annually
Endowment $624.8 million (2013-14)

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Our Current Challenges

Institutional enrollment growth…

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Our Current Challenges

3,350 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000

UG First Time

Source: SUNY_IR Official Enrollments. Note: Regular Enrollment Only 1,700 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

UG Transfer

18,321 18,200 18,250 18,300 18,350 18,400 18,450 18,500 18,550 18,600

UG Total

18,403 13,150 13,200 13,250 13,300 13,350 13,400 13,450 13,500 13,550

UG Contin/Ret

13,27 13,353 3,446 3,505 3,400 3,420 3,440 3,460 3,480 3,500 3,520

Grad New

6,198 6,425 6,050 6,100 6,150 6,200 6,250 6,300 6,350 6,400 6,450

Grad Contin

9,644 9,930 9,500 9,600 9,700 9,800 9,900 10,000

Total Grad

27,965 28,333

27,700 27,800 27,900 28,000 28,100 28,200 28,300 28,400 28,500 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

Total Enrollment

Reliance on Graduate Enrollment

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Our Current Challenges

Institutional growth plan based on Engineering

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Our Current Challenges

Measurable growth…

nly in India

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Our Current Challenges

Reliance on volatile International market

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Our Current Challenges

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 FL05 FL06 FL07 FL08 FL09 FL10 FL11 FL12 FL13 FL14 FL15 FL16

School of Engineering & Applied Sciences Demand (Applications) from Primary International Markets

Bangladesh China India Iran South Korea Taiwan

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Our Current Challenges

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 FL05 FL06 FL07 FL08 FL09 FL10 FL11 FL12 FL13 FL14 FL15 FL16

School of Engineering & Applied Sciences Demand (MS/ME Applications) from Primary International Markets

Bangladesh China India Iran South Korea Taiwan

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Our Current Challenges

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 FL05 FL06 FL07 FL08 FL09 FL10 FL11 FL12 FL13 FL14 FL15 FL16

School of Engineering & Applied Sciences Demand (PhD Applications) from Primary International Markets

Bangladesh China India Iran South Korea Taiwan

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Our Current Challenges

Underrepresented Minority Asian International (Non-Resident Alien) White 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Fall 2005 Fall 2006 Fall 2007 Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015

School of Engineering and Applied Sciences Enrollment by Ethnicity 2005-2015

Underrepresented Minority Asian International (Non-Resident Alien) White

Flat Enrollment

f URM

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Our Current Challenges

When % of URM High School Graduates are Increasing

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Our Current Challenges

Prospective Student

Increased competition, decreasing/stagnant resources

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Our Current Challenges

Value of a graduate degree

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Our Current Challenges

Structures of support out of synch

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Vanderbilt University

The Vanderbilt Campus

Located in Midtown Nashville, Vanderbilt’s majestic, park-like 134 hectare campus is a National Arboretum and a National Historic

Landmark. It is a

pedestrian-oriented campus setting.

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VIRG Support for the Grad & Professional Areas

Admissions Tracking & Modeling
Internal & External Reporting

– CGS, NSF-GSS, Peterson’s, etc. – Internal operational, compliance, tactical, strategic

Student Surveys & Analysis

– PhD Engagement, Exit, Early Career (10-yr out) surveys

Productivity Analysis

– CV analysis of PhD awardees

Peer Benchmarking
Ad Hoc Analysis

– E.g., US News Law, JD Employment Study

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VU Graduate & Professional Degree Programs

Graduate School Business School Law School Education School Divinity School Engineering School Nursing School Medical School MA MBA LLM MED MDIV ME MSN MPH MS MACC JD MPP MTS DNP MSCI MAT MSF EDD MS MFA MMHC MSMP MLAS MLI PHD MDE MHPE AUD MPD MD

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Admissions Tracking

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Admissions Tracking

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Admissions Tracking

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VU Graduate & Professional Enrollment

31%

1%

7% 124% 38% 67% 92% 36%

20%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Graduate School Business School Law School Education School Divinity School Engineering School Nursing School Medical School Fall 2000 Fall 2015 % Change

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VU PhD Enrollment by Broad Field

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Fall enrollment count Biomedical Sciences Engineering Humanities Natural Science Social Science & Education

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PhD Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity Categories

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Fall Enrollment Count International Other URM

40% change 23% change 136% change

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International Enrollment in PhD Programs

25% 86%

37%
2%

17%

60%
40%
20%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Biomedical Sciences Engineering Humanities Natural Science Social Science/Education % Change PhD Enrollment 2000F 2015F % Change

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URM Enrollment in PhD Programs

196% 144% 42% 85% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Biomedical Sciences Engineering Humanities Natural Science Social Science/Education % Change PhD Enrollment 2000F 2015F % Change

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PART 2: National Datasets

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CGS/CRE Survey of Graduate Enrollment & Degrees Conducted annually since 1986 CGS member institutions Generates 80+% response rate Applications, enrollment, degrees Currently collecting 2015 data

Council of Graduate Schools

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Council of Graduate Schools

International Graduate Admissions Survey Conducted annually since 2004 CGS member institutions Preliminary applications (spring) Final applications, offers, enrollment (fall)

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Survey Type Data

Survey of Graduate Students and Postdoctorates in Science & Engineering (GSS) Annual Institutional survey Graduate enrollment in science and engineering, postdocs, non- faculty researchers Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED) Annual Individual survey All research doctorates awarded at U.S. institutions Scientists and Engineers Statistical Data System (SESTAT)

Survey of Doctorate Recipients (SDR)
National Survey of Recent College Graduates

(NSRCG)

National Survey of College Graduates (NSCG)

Biennial Three surveys Science & engineering labor force

Other Graduate Student Survey’s

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Survey Federal agency Data

Integrated Postsecondary Educational System Degree Completions and Enrollments (IPEDS – Completions, Fall Enrollment) U.S. Department of Education Set of surveys of U.S. postsecondary institutions that collect data on enrollment, degrees, faculty, staff and finances O*NET U.S. Department of Labor Quantitative and qualitative information on job requirements, skills, aptitudes American Community Survey U.S. Census Bureau National household survey of the U.S. population Occupational Employment Statistics Survey (OES) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics National survey of US employers

n the number of people

employed in certain occupations, and their wages

Other Federal Survey’s and Datasets

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Other Potential Sources of Data

Education Associations Professional Societies

AAUDE American Chemical Society APLU American Institute of Physics Council of Graduate Schools IEEE etc. etc.

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http://www.sedsurvey.org

Did you know you could get SED data for your own alumni?

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American Community Survey http://www.census.gov/acs/www/ Federal S&E Report http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/nsf05304/ Integrated Postsecondary Educational System (IPEDS) http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/ Degrees Reports (IPEDS & SED) http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/degrees/ http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/degreerecipients/ O*NET http://www.onetonline.org/ Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) http://www.bls.gov/oes/home.htm

Links to some major national datasets

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Drexel and the Market

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Data Sources and Calculations

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Integrated Tableau App. Accreditation IPEDS Data College Scorecard Geographic Location Scopus US News & World Report

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Accreditation

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Accreditation IPEDS: Institutional Profile Feeder Schools… No Graduate Program Peer Assessment

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Peer Assessment Recruitment Student Services Programs Curriculum Financial Support

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Who do we collaborate with?

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Non-White Share of Public High School Graduates, 2019-20 (Projected)

Re-alignment of recruitment and retention practices

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Scholarship leveraging Student Success Diversity

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Global flow of International Students Explains the Germany, Russian and Saudian Arabian Recruitment Mystery!

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International student trends by hosting countries

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Trends in International Student Market Shares

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Where are my applicants going?

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Where did they go?

Accepted/Declined Rejected

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Qualitative Peer Assessment

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Admissions practices in line with realities? Quantitative

vs. Qualitative

Holistic Admissions

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Long term enrollment planning Prioritizing scope

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Recruitment Assessing new program development

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Global Labor Trends Alignment programs/ recruitment practices

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National Data used at Vanderbilt for Analysis

National Student Clearinghouse
NSF Fellowships
NSF-GSS
NSF HERD
IPEDS
SED

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IPEDS: Distribution of Degrees Awarded

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IPEDS: Race/Ethnicity of Doctoral Graduates

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IPEDS: Physics Doctoral Graduates

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IPEDS: VU Physics PhDs granted overtime

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SED: Self-reported median years registered in graduate school – provided to every program

All VU PhDs:

7.0 7.3 6.9 6.7 7.3 7.5 7.8 7.7 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 1995-1999 (SED '97) 2000-2004 (SED '02) 2005-2009 (SED '07) 2010 -2012 (SED '10) VU National

History example from report:

Time to Degree

Self-Reported Median Time to Degree for PhDs Obtained, Vanderbilt & National

Year Degree Completed

Vanderbilt National

Years registered in graduate school Years registered in graduate school Year of comparison

1990-1994 8.1 (12) N/A N/A 1995-1999 7.0 (28) 9.1 1997 2000-2004 7.0 (14) 9.0 2002 2005-2009 8.5 (16) 9.5 2007 2010-2013 7.3 (16) 9.4 2010

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SED: PhD Post-Graduation Plans, VU 2009-2012 graduates combined compared to National

Post-Graduation Status

VU National (‘10) Definite post-graduation study (see below) 35% 29% Definite employment (see below) 28% 38% Seeking employment or study 30% 29% Other 7% 4% N 1,017 42,622

Definite post-graduation study

Postdoc fellowship 62% 52% Postdoc research associateship 33% 44% Other/unknown 5% 4%

Definite employment

Academe 61% 54% Government 7% 9% Industry/business 23% 23% Not for profit organization 7% 5% Other/unknown 2% 9% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Status

VU National

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SED: PhD Post-Graduation Plans, VU 2009-2012 graduates combined compared to National

Post-Graduation Status

VU National (‘10) Definite post-graduation study (see below) 35% 29% Definite employment (see below) 28% 38% Seeking employment or study 30% 29% Other 7% 4% N 1,017 42,622

Definite post-graduation study

Postdoc fellowship 62% 52% Postdoc research associateship 33% 44% Other/unknown 5% 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Study

VU National

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SED: PhD Post-Graduation Plans, VU 2009-2012 graduates combined compared to National

Post-Graduation Status

VU National (‘10) Definite post-graduation study (see below) 35% 29% Definite employment (see below) 28% 38% Seeking employment or study 30% 29% Other 7% 4% N 1,017 42,622

Definite employment

Academe 61% 54% Government 7% 9% Industry/business 23% 23% Not for profit organization 7% 5% Other/unknown 2% 9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Employment

VU National

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National Student Clearinghouse

We provide a list of where those that declined our offer of

admission actually enrolled for every program

BME example:

Enrollment Patterns of Applicants Declining Offer of Admission, Fall 2014

Institution Enrolled

Sought PhD @ VU GEORGIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 3 EMORY UNIVERSITY 2 UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN 2 UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA 2 DARTMOUTH COLLEGE 1 DUKE UNIVERSITY GRADUATES 1 RICE UNIVERSITY 1 UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA-DAVIS 1

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IPEDS: Tuition & Fees comparison

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NSF – Graduate Research Fellowships

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NSF GSS via webcaspar

https://ncsesdata.nsf.gov/webcaspar

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NSF HERD

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