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Mexicos New Electric Market From Birth to Infancy and Beyond Bob Anderson Tenaska Energia de Mexico September 20, 2017 1 Demographic Comparison: Mexico : Population 127 Million GDP is $2.3 Trillion Electricity Use 240


  1. Mexico’s New Electric Market From Birth to Infancy and Beyond Bob Anderson Tenaska Energia de Mexico September 20, 2017 1

  2. Demographic Comparison: Mexico : • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas : • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6 Trillion • Electricity Use 370 TWHs United States : • Population 323 Million • GDP is $18.6 Trillion • Electricity Use 3,900 TWHs Mexico City at Night 2

  3. Courageous Politics, Law, & Policy ▶ Constitutional Amendment 2013 ▶ Electric Industry Law (LIE) August 2014 ▶ CENACE Creation Decree August 2014 ▶ Electric Power Market Bases September 2015 ▶ CENACE Day Ahead Market January 2016 ▶ CRE/NERC/CENACE Steering Group May 2017 3

  4. National Interconnected System (SIN) Consumption Distribution (September 6, 2017) 10.4% 10.3% 10.4% 21.4% 4.5% 19.4% 14.9% 4

  5. Electric Interties Between the United States & Mexico 5

  6. Ancillary Services Regions in Mexico 6

  7. CFE Tic Tac Toe GENERATION CFE Energia CFE International CFE Corporate Basic Service Retailer Legacy Plants Distribution Transmission 7

  8. CFE Generation is Now 6 Independent Gencos 8

  9. CENACE Centralized Spot Market 9

  10. Monterrey August Hourly Day-Ahead LMP Prices 10

  11. Monterrey August Hourly Day-Ahead LMP Price Distribution 11

  12. Mexican Wholesale Market Participants Generators CFE Basic Service Supply 20(14) CENACE & Forward Electric Market Non‐Supplier Qualified Suppliers Marketers 20(5) 5(1) Qualified Market CFE Gencos Participant Users 6(6) 1(0) 12

  13. Mexican Wholesale Electric Transactional Mechanics (Current Status) 13

  14. Centralized Long Term & Mid Term Auction Clearinghouse 14

  15. Final Thoughts: • It is a Spanish speaking market. So what? • The foreign exchange rate between Mexico and the US withstood the election of President Trump. • CENACE has the potential to outgrow the Cal ISO. • Mexico’s transformation is making a true North American Electric Market possible. • The electric interchange between the Unites States and Mexico is currently anemic but what if it wasn’t? • From Dallas, Texas it takes exactly as long to fly to Mexico City as it does to Minneapolis, Minnesota. 15

  16. Thank You Bob Anderson Tenaska Energia Office (817) 462-8072 banderson@tnsk.com 16

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