Martine Durand Chef Statisticien and Directrice des Statistiques, OCDE Luxembourg, 18 Janvier 2012
Mesurer le Bien tre et le Progrs des Socits Prsentation au Conseil - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Mesurer le Bien tre et le Progrs des Socits Prsentation au Conseil - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Mesurer le Bien tre et le Progrs des Socits Prsentation au Conseil conomique et Social et au Conseil Suprieur pour un Dveloppement Durable Martine Durand Chef Statisticien and Directrice des Statistiques, OCDE Luxembourg, 18
Presentation outline
- Need for better measures of well‐being
and progress
- OECD response and other initiatives
- OECD Better Life Initiative
- What’s next?
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Need for better measures…
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… for monitoring macro‐economic activity
- Needed for macro‐economic policies
- Output and productivity, capacity utilisation
- Competitiveness
- Demand for jobs
GDP is a key economic measure….
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GDP is not a good measure of well‐being because:
- It includes economic activities that either reduce well‐being
- r that remedy the costs of economic growth
- It does not reflect households’
economic resources well
- It excludes many of the dimensions that matter for well‐
being (e.g. people’s attributes, non‐market activities)
- It does not inform on whether well‐being can last over time
…. but not a metric of well‐being
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GDP is an imperfect proxy of household income
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50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 2009 or latest available year 1995 or first available year
% of GDP
Source : OECD, National Accounts database
Higher tides do not necessarily lift all boats
7 Point changes in Gini coefficient, from mid-1980s to late-2000s Source : OECD Income distribution and poverty database
Average life evaluation and GDP per capita across countries
Money is not all that counts
TUR EST HUN ITA ISR PRT GRC IND SVN ESP RUS CZE SVK CHL ZAF OECD Average DEU FIN BRA CHE CAN KOR USA NZL POL LUX BEL FRA AUS IRL MEX AUT GBR CHN SWE NOR NLD IDN JPN ISL DNK
4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000
‐
GDP per capita
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OECD response and other initiatives
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- OECD has been leading the international reflection
- n Measuring Progress for nearly 10 years
- We organised three World Fora on “Statistics,
Knowledge and Policies” (Palermo, 2004; Istanbul , 2007; Busan, 2009) to advance discussions
- We rallied support through the Istanbul
Declaration and launched the Global Project in partnership with other organisations in 2007
The OECD response …
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- President Sarkozy set up the Stiglitz‐Sen‐Fitoussi
Commission (SSFC) in 2009
- EU Communication on “GDP and beyond”
and EU 2020 Agenda (2009 and 2010)
- G20 Leaders statements in 2009, 2010 and 2011
- Conclusions of OECD Ministerial Council (2010)
- Many national initiatives in developed and developing
countries
Today: strong political support
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Regional and National Initiatives
- National initiatives on well‐being, e.g.:
– Japan growth strategy; Korea programme on measuring well‐ being – Public consultations in Australia, Italy, Spain, UK, Luxembourg – Parliamentary Commissions in Denmark, Germany, Norway – Development of new indicators in France – China five‐year plan and “livelihood index”
- International and Regional initiatives on well‐being
– EU Statistical System: proposing 50 recommendations and actions following‐up on the SSFC and the “GDP and beyond” communication – Bhutan‐UN resolution on greater importance to well‐being when implementing measures on social and economic development
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The OECD Better Life Initiative
Building on almost 10 years
- f OECD work under the
Global Project Now moving to measuring what matters most in PEOPLE’s life
OECD@50: Better policies for better lives
Focus
- Households
and people, not just GDP
- Outcomes, not inputs or outputs
- Assessing inequalities alongside averages
- Including both objective
and subjective aspects
- f well‐being
Scope
- Well‐being here and now
–Quality of Life –Material Living Conditions
- Well‐being in the future
–Sustainability
The OECD well‐being framework
Measurement approach
- Relevance of indicators
– face‐validity – easily understood, unambiguous interpretation – amenable to policy changes – possibility of disaggregation by population groups
- Quality of supporting data
–
- fficial and well‐established sources; non‐official data used as place‐
holders in a few cases – comparable/standardised definitions – maximum country‐coverage – recurrent data collection
- Significant documentation and testing
- No Composite Index
No country performs best in all dimensions
Average country performance by dimension
Number of green lights out of 22 headline indicators Number of red lights out of 22 headline indicators
60%
Source : OECD calculations
Strengths and weaknesses differ among countries
Source : OECD calculations
Inequalities in well‐being : income
Large income inequalities in many OECD countries…
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60
Gini coefficient, 2008 or latest year available Source : OECD Income distribution and poverty database
Inequalities in well‐being: health
Low‐income people report lower health status
Source : OECD Health Data; EU‐SILC 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Highest income quintile Lowest income quintile
Inequalities in well‐being: social connections
.…weaker social ties ….lower trust in others
Percentage of people reporting that they have someone to count on in times of need, 2010 Percentage of people reporting trusting others, 2010
Lower‐educated and lower‐income people also have….
Source : Gallup World Poll
65 70 75 80 85 90 95
Primary Secondary Tertiary
1 2 3 4 5 Education Income quintile
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Primary Secondary Tertiary
1 2 3 4 5
Axis Title
Education Income quintile
Well-being is both objective and subjective
For every person assaulted there are ten who feel unsafe
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
self-reported victimisation feelings of insecurity
Percentage of the population, 2010
Source : UNODC and Gallup World Poll
Other people matter for one’s subjective well‐being
Life satisfaction goes up with social ties
Source: Gallup World Poll
2
3
4
5 6
7
8
With friends to count on Without friends to count on
Environmental sustainability
Production‐based and demand‐based CO2 emissions, Rate of change per year, 1995‐2005
Demand‐based CO2 emissions grew faster than production‐based emissions in the OECD area
Source : OECD, Towards Green Growth: Monitoring Progress – OECD Indicators
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
OECD Other major economies Production Demand
An evolutionary process
- Now:
– Evidence based on existing data; all indicators reviewed by National Statistical Offices – But not all indicators satisfy all quality criteria equally well How’s Life? identifies the statistical agenda ahead
- In future:
– New and improved indicators as results from OECD work, research and other initiatives become available – More than just environmental sustainability (economic, human and social)
OECD research on well‐being
- OECD committed to deliver on measurement
agenda
– Developing guidelines on subjective well‐being – Integrating inequalities in National Accounts – Developing standards for measuring household wealth and joint distribution of income, consumption and wealth – Measures of household non‐market production – Green Growth Indicators; Human and social capital
- In collaboration with National Statistical Offices
and other international organisations
Involving the public
- Engaging with civil society has been
- ne of the goals of the OECD‐hosted
Global Project
- How’s Life?
is accompanied by interactive web tool (Your Better Life Index) aimed at involving the public
Your Better Life Index
What matters most to people ?
Source : OECD calculations
Age makes a difference
Health, Governance and Environment become more important with age While income, jobs and work‐life balance become less important
Source : OECD calculations
7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 10.5%
1
15‐24 25‐34 35‐44 45‐54 55‐64 >=65
Housing Income Jobs Community Education Environment Governance Health Life satisfaction Safety Work and Life balance
7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 10.5%
15‐24 25‐34 35‐44 45‐54 55‐64 >=65
Housing Income Jobs Community Education Environment Governance Health Life satisfaction Safety Work and Life balance
What’s next?
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What’s next?
- Extending the well‐being agenda to
developing countries as part of the new OECD Development Strategy
- Promoting effective use of new measures
for policy‐making
- Continued engagement with civil society
Preparatory Regional Conferences for Latin America, Asia‐Pacific, Africa and Europe in 2011 and 2012 4th OECD World Forum on Measuring and Fostering the Progress of Societies, New Delhi, October 2012 Consultation with a wide range of stakeholders
What’s next?
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Thank you
http:/ / www.oecdbetterlifeinitiative.org/ http:/ / www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org/
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