SLIDE 1 Predictive
What might happen..
Prescriptive
What should happen..!
Descriptive
What happened..
Value Capture in Behavior Change & Managed Services Adaptive Workflows & Decision-making in Age of Cognitive Computing
Human + Software Agent Leads to Best Decisions
SLIDE 2
Demographic Transition Opportunities
Boomers Aging-in-Place Solutions (Institutional; families) Aging Lifestyle brands – learning, arts, exercise, social – family tools Workforce Training Solutions Millennials as parents as local business supporters As design-capable prosumers Suburban (Decline) Cities (Rising); Small Towns (Craft Mfg) Global – Demographic dividends – India, Pakistan, Nigeria (Sell solutions to private industry; governments)
SLIDE 3
Enterprise Opportunities
Value creation – capture: 1) moving up data value chain [Descriptive to Predictive and Prescriptive] 2) integration of learning machines Graph Databases:
Need to understand Connected Data for Analytics & Recommendations. Who? Insurance, Health, Learning, Enterprise HR-L&D, Legal-Law (Patentula), Machinery - Equipment, Supply Chains, Retail including indoor navigation, Agriculture - Farming, Food (FoodGenius), Transportation- Transit, Waste management, et al
Intelligent Assistants:
Creating Knowledge Graphs – specific to industries – experiences Where: Retail; Finance-Trading; Logistics [Health]
Talent
ExperienceAPI (xAPI) and Learning Record Stores (LRS) linked to workplace performance – collaboration – knowledge management Where? Compliance-sensitive environments; Companies w/ broad partnerships and complex supply chains (to know workforce readiness)
SLIDE 4
Energy Opportunities
Utilities – Demand Management solutions (Industrial) Distributed Power – SOFCs Fuel cell parks -- beating solar to punch with stronger value proposition to utilities Cost Curves & Subsidies ClearEdge Power vs Bloom Energy Micro-Power - PEMs – SOFCs Truck Fleets – auxiliary power installation & managed service Portable power units via Airport rentals; Rent in LGA drop off in Dallas (Fuels already by-pass security) Micro power Vision – ‘manufacturing’ (not building) power plants; Putting 1 billion micro power plants into world economy within 10 years (Leap frog analog of cell phones to distributed power; Personal fuels market vs Solar) Utilities – HR – Talent Training
SLIDE 5 What A graph database stores data (properties) using :
- Nodes (aka Vertices; Things; Dots) – main data entity
- Edges – relationships that connect nodes
When to use it
- Complex Data – Shaped by Connections - Relationships
[RDBMS are optimized for Aggregation & Quick look up vs Graphs for Connections – and Seeing relationships]
- When you want a database to represent the actual world.
Why to use it?
- Queries! Asking Natural Questions
Which of my Austin friends like Sushi (Social and Spatial Data)
(How do I know you? Know this? Get this disease?)
Detecting anomalies; Risk levels
Popular Graph business foundations
- Google (Link Graph & Knowledge Graph);
Facebook; LinkedIn (Social Graph); Twitter; Match.com (Interest Graph); IMBD Movie Database
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SLIDE 10 Graph Databases:
- Graphs provide an intuitive way to model, understand, predict, and influence
the behavior of complex, interrelated social, economic, and physical networks.
- Tracking relationships and making matches across a network of people,
- rganizations, events (time), MDM, locations and data
- Graphs: social, intent, consumption, interest, mobile,
Applications: CRM; Social Network Analysis; Market Structure Analysis; Logistics; Bio Data; Spatial Analysis; Recommendations (Prescriptive Analytics); Product catalogs; Locative-apps Insurance Government Services → Elections Transportation-Transit (Hubway Hack) State DOTs – Reinvent commuting Logistics – Delivery (eBay Shutl) Enterprise HR-L&D Legal-Law (Patentula) Machinery - Equipment Civic-Culture Orgs (Parks; Museums) Health Education - Learning Supply Chains Retail including indoor navigation Agriculture - Farming Food (FoodGenius) Weather – Marketing
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SLIDE 14 What Intelligent Assistants – use natural language interactions to learn about users and external worlds (via knowledge graphs) to provide recommendations and answers When to use it
- Context sensitive experiences
- Data-intensive industries
Why to use it?
- Accuracy on Context
- Accessibility – low barrier to entry of Natural Language
- Understanding logic and range of answers
Popular business applications
- IBM Watson, Mindmeld API, Warren,
MS Coranta; Siri; Google Now
I keep related tags: https://www.diigo.com/user/garrygolden/Watson https://www.diigo.com/user/garrygolden/personal%2Bassistant
SLIDE 15 What: Learning Analytics ExperienceAPI and Learning Record Stores (LRS) track life and learning ‘activity’ statements that can be used to improve learning- performance, dynamically adjust content-training, aggregate data, et al [Post-SCORM: ExperienceAPI is official LMS standard] When to use it
- Informal and Formal Learning –Training
- Learning & Compliant-intensive industries
Why to use it?
- Empowers individuals, colleagues, content providers
- Leverage of Learning Graph
- Learner & Work Readiness Assessment
I keep related tags: https://www.diigo.com/user/garrygolden/xapi
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Compliance; Work-force Readiness
Organizational Culture: Transparency & Accountability
Workflow – Training Activity Statements Learning Records Store (LRS)
Assumption to Explore: The most transparent and accountable talent pools will be the most productive and desirable partners.
SLIDE 18
Learning Records Store (LRS) Personal Data Locker (PDL) Individual repository + profile for learning activity streams from: Social Learning E-learning Content Simulations / Gaming Audio + Video Real-world Experiences
(Offline; Non-browser-based)
Movement & Wearables Place-based Experiences
Data-driven Transitions to Managing Talent
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Data-driven Transitions to Managing Talent
Workflow – Training Activity Statements Bring Visibility to Accountability to Org & Supply Chain Partners Capturing <I DID THIS> John watched a Youtube video on x-tooling machine John was certified on servicing x-tooling machine John repaired x-equipment John updated training manual John delivered repair workshop John was promoted to line engineer
SLIDE 21
Code embedded by
Content Author Activity Provider
Recorded as xAPI Activity Stored in:
Learning Record Store Personal Data Locker
Used to Adapt Workflow:
Work Learning Work Activity
LRS xAPI Activity Requested by Org
SLIDE 22 What: Connected Devices Networked hardware; Sensing and automation capabilities When to use it
- Product Plus Service biz models
- Managed Services biz models
Why to use it?
- Real-world data on product usage
- Business model innovation
- Ecosystem growth
I keep related tags: https://www.diigo.com/user/garrygolden/xapi
SLIDE 23
Data-driven Automation and Adaptive Work Experiences
Connected Device Data
Products that can Track & Change Behavior
Assumption to Explore:
Businesses with the most connected devices & best user behavior change strategy win.
SLIDE 24
Data-driven Automation and Adaptive Work Experiences
CloverNet
Operations Customer Experience Staff Productivity Products Designed to Improve User Behavior How do we rethink our solutions set in the coming age of product- based instruction & on-demand learning in manufacturing & retail work settings? Shift: POS to Point of Learning Devices
SLIDE 25
How are the biggest players trying to re-frame the future?
GE’s Industrial Internet What if industrial customers sold access to real-time market data?
What new business models might emerge? (e.g. Managed Services)
SLIDE 26
Internet of Things Sifting Out All the Noise
SLIDE 27 6) Energy - Distributed Power
Fuel Cells In News
- Japan – Germany (Panasonic) leading policy
- Transportation – Toyota, Honda, Daimler, Hyundai; GE
- FuelCell Parks – Apple; Fuel Cell Energy & Dominion – CT)
- Auxillary - Sprint; Microsoft databases
SLIDE 28 The device has a detachable cartridge that has 25 amp-hours (25,000mAh)
- f charge -- more than 10 times the 1,800mAh to 2,300mAh common in
today's smartphones. In practice, a single cartridge is good enough for five
- charges. The company plans to sell the reusable cartridges through
subscriptions costing $5 to $10 per month. The device competes with more conventional battery-powered recharging devices and with portable solar chargers. The Upp charger weighs 235g, or about a half pound, and the cartridge weighs 385g, or about 0.85 pounds.
Personal Power
Missing pieces Cost curve 2016 Portable fuels (liquid; solid; standards?)
SLIDE 29 TRANSPORTATION – LOGISTICS
Robotic Operating System - ROSJAVA
Gain advantage through ROSJava enabled automation and robotics fleet?
SLIDE 30
S.T.E.E.P. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
Society (Demographics – Culture)
Demographic Transitions ‘Pear-shaped’ Societies with Potential Demographic Dividends Aging Populations Workforce; Family; Consumer spending; Healthcare costs Gender and Family Structure Dynamics Women: Educational Attainment; % in Workforce Urbanization vs Rural Retreat (De-urbanization) Bifurcation splits rural-metros across China – Africa – India
SLIDE 31
S.T.E.E.P. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
Environment – Natural Resources
Sourcing – Materials and Natural Resources
Rare-Earth Supplies; Substitution constraints; Resource Nationalization
Energy Transitions Dynamics of Unconventional Oil-Natgas; Distributed Power Materials Design Light-weighting Industrial Products; Nano-; Computational Design Bio Industrialism Waste Capture – Utilization Climate-Ocean Change Agriculture; Ocean; Population displacements
SLIDE 32
S.T.E.E.P. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
Politics
Globalization: Strong State Hybrid Markets & South-to-South Emerging Economies Re-write Assumptions on Strong State path Regulatory Frameworks Extensions; Automation; Harmonization-Fragmentation Civic Culture Shaped by Narrow-casting vs Middle-Way Monetary – Fiscal Policies China Debt-to-GDP Ratios & Industrial Overcapacity Non-State Actors NGOs; Empowered Individuals (High Net Worth; Insurgents) War – Conflict Challenged Nation-State; Balkanization; Clash of Worldviews
SLIDE 33
SUPPLY CHAIN – MANUFACTURING TRENDS
Logistics & Fulfillment – Value Chain Threats of Verticalization; Extending Last-mile and Same-day delivery; Uncertain Retailer relationships Empowered Cities – Metro Economies Controlled distribution chains; Regulatory frameworks; Re-zoning for Industry Growth; Localization incentives Additive Manufacturing Low-volume production; Repair- Replacement; Consumerization of Design-Production Energy Transitions Shift to Unconventional Hydrocarbon Supplies; Distributed Power; Portable Power extends Cold Chain Business Model Constraints & Innovations Struggle to capture value within digital network dynamics
Domain Specific