THE MCI – A TOOL FOR DATA DRIVEN DECISION- MAKING A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
What is it? The Data Driven Framework for Maximizing Community Impact A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
Beginning at a Neighborhood Level Positive impact of intervention is greatest in the “tipping point” neighborhoods Tipping Point High Area Neighborhood Stability of Low Time A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
How does it work? Two-tier process Neighborhood Dynamics Index: Identify areas that best meet objectives for intervention Neighborhood Threat Index: Identify “tipping point” areas within geographies highlighted by Dynamics Index A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
How does it work? Indices are calculated sequentially: Neighborhood Neighborhood Threat Dynamics Score Score Areas for Highest Potential Impact Highest Threat Prioritized Higher Potential Impact Elevated Threat Interventions Lower Potential Impact Moderate Threat Lowest Potential Impact Lowest Threat A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
The MCI In Action Two goals that frame the analysis: Improve quality of life for the greatest number of people Improve the investment climate to the greatest degree possible A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
Analytical Choices Residential Commercial OR Decline Growth OR A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
Checking for Collinearity Density of Structures % of Empty Lots Needing Boarding Maintained Density of Occupied Structures Average Structure Condition Rating Neighborhood Density of Suggest Dynamics Demolition Properties Index Density of Mortgages Labor Force Per Square Mile Participation Rate Density of Population Density of Mortgages Under 18 By Total Structures A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
Checking for Collinearity Change in Average Percentage of Land Housing Condition Area Publicly-Owned Total Violent Crime Neighborhood Density of Threat Index Foreclosure % of Structures Recently Vacant % Change in the percent of Total Property Renter-Occupied Households Crime A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
The MCI in Action Data for the indices were assembled at the Census Block Group level Neighborhood Neighborhood Threat Dynamics Index Index Occupied Structures Foreclosures per • • per Square Mile Square Mile, 2008- 2013 (sum of Sheriff’s Average Structure Sales and Tax • Condition Rating Foreclosures) Population Under 18 • Change in residential • per Square Mile average condition rating since 2009 Mortgage Transactions • per Square Mile A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
Calculating the Indices (3 + 1.5 – 1 – 0.5)/4 = NEIGHBORHOOD DYNAMICS SCORE = 0.75 % of Population Average Structure Density of Density of Under 18 Condition Rating Mortgage Activity Occupied Structures -2 -1 2 -3 0 1 3 A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate Affiliated with the Michigan Nonprofit Association
A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate Affiliated with the Michigan Nonprofit Association
Summary of High-Threat, High-Impact Neighborhoods Total Population (2010): 193,384 Population <18 (2010): 58,435 Occupied Structures: 61,449 % of Population Under 18: 30.22% % of Occupied Structures: 30.18% % of Detroit’s Land Area: 15.72% A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
What Comes After? Drilling down into the identified High- and Elevated-Threat areas: Assess on a parcel and block level which locations are optimal for staging interventions Interventions could incorporate a wide range of policy options, including building removal, rehabilitation, and foreclosure prevention A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
A Foundation for Ongoing Analysis The MCI can be periodically re-tooled to account for changing conditions, as long as the data are updated Intervention areas will continually evolve as conditions change A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
Questions? A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate
www.datadrivendetroit.org TechTown 440 Burroughs Suite 330 Detroit MI 48202 AskD3@datadrivendetroit.org A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate A Michigan Nonprofit Association Affiliate Affiliated with the Michigan Nonprofit Association
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