Lamperti transform for multi-type CBI Nicoletta Gabrielli (based on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

lamperti transform for multi type cbi
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Lamperti transform for multi-type CBI Nicoletta Gabrielli (based on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Lamperti transform for multi-type CBI Nicoletta Gabrielli (based on a joint work with J. Teichmann) University of Z urich Department of Banking and Finance nicoletta.gabrielli@bf.uzh.ch October 23, 2014 N. Gabrielli (UZH) October 23, 2014


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Lamperti transform for multi-type CBI

Nicoletta Gabrielli (based on a joint work with J. Teichmann)

University of Z¨ urich Department of Banking and Finance nicoletta.gabrielli@bf.uzh.ch

October 23, 2014

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 1 / 38

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Structure of the talk

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 2 / 38

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Outline

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Branching processes

Let (Ω, (Xt)t≥0, (F♮

t )t≥0, (Px)x∈R≥0)

be a time homogeneous Markov process. The process X is said to be an branching process if it satisfies the following property:

Branching property

For any t ≥ 0 and x1, x2 ∈ R≥0, the law of Xt under Px1+x2 is the same as the law of X (1)

t

+ X (2)

t

, where each X (i) has the same distribution as X under Pxi, for i = 1, 2.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 4 / 38

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Fourier–Laplace transform characterization

There exists a function Ψ : R≥0 × C≤0 → C such that Ex euXt

  • = exΨ(t,u),

for all x ∈ R≥0 and (t, u) ∈ R≥0 × C≤0. On the set Q = R≥0 × C≤0 , the function Ψ satisfies the equation ∂tΨ(t, u) = R(Ψ(t, u)), Ψ(0, u) = u .

The branching mechanism

The function R has the following L´ evy-Khintchine form R(u) = βu + 1 2u2α + ∞

  • euξ − 1 − uξ✶{|ξ|≤1}
  • M(dξ) ,

where β ∈ R, α ≥ 0 and M is a L´ evy measure with support in R≥0.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 5 / 38

slide-6
SLIDE 6

L´ evy processes

A time homogeneous Markov process Z is a L´ evy process if the following three conditions are satisfied: L1) Z0 = 0 P-a.s. L2) Z has independent and stationary increments, i.e. for all n ∈ N and 0 ≤ t0 < t1 < . . . < tn+1 < ∞ (independence) the random variables {Ztj+1 − Ztj}j=0,...,n are independent, (stationarity) the distribution of Ztj+1 − Ztj coincides with the distribution of Z(tj+1−tj), L3) (stochastic continuity) for each a > 0 and s ≥ 0, limt→s P(|Zt − Zs| > a) = 0 .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 6 / 38

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Relation with infinitely divisible distributions

If Z is a L´ evy process, then, for any t ≥ 0, the random variable Zt is infinitely divisible. The Fourier transform of a L´ evy process takes the form: E0 eu,Zt = etη(u), u ∈ iR η(u) = βu + 1 2u2α + euξ − 1 − uξ✶{|ξ|≤1}

  • M(dξ),

where β ∈ R, α ≥ 0 and M is a L´ evy measure in R. The Fourier transform can be extended in the complex domain and the resulting Fourier–Laplace transform is well defined in U := {u ∈ C | η(Re(u)) < ∞} .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 7 / 38

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Lamperti transform

Theorem [Lamperti, 1967]

Let Z be a L´ evy process with no negative jumps with L´ evy exponent R, i.e. E0 euZt

  • = etR(u),

u ∈ U . Define, for t ≥ 0 Xt = x + Zθt∧τ− θt := inf

  • s > 0 |

s dr Zr > t

  • .

Then X is a CB process with branching mechanism R.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 8 / 38

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Lamperti transform

Theorem 2 in [Caballero et al., 2013]

Let Z be a L´ evy process with no negative jumps with L´ evy exponent R, i.e. E0 euZt

  • = etR(u),

u ∈ U . The time–change equation Xt = x + Z t

0 Xrdr

admits a unique solution, which is a CB process with branching mechanism R.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 9 / 38

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Outline

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Add immigration

A CBI-process with branching mechanism R and immigration mechanism F is a Markov process Z taking values in R≥0 satisfying there exist functions φ : R≥0 × U → C and Ψ : R≥0 × U → C such that Ex euXt

  • = eφ(t,u)+xΨ(t,u),

for all x ∈ R≥0 and (t, u) ∈ R≥0 × U. On the set Q = R≥0 × U, the functions φ and Ψ satisfy the following system : ∂tφ(t, u) = F(Ψ(t, u)), φ(0, u) = 0, ∂tΨ(t, u) = R(Ψ(t, u)), Ψ(0, u) = u .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 11 / 38

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Add immigration

The immigration mechanism

The function F has the following L´ evy-Khintchine form F(u) = bu + ∞

  • euξ − 1
  • m(dξ) ,

with b ≥ 0 and m is a L´ evy measure on R≥0 such that

  • (1 ∧ ξ)m(dξ) < ∞.
  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 12 / 38

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Lamperti transform for CBI

Theorem 2 in [Caballero et al., 2013]

Let Z (1) be a L´ evy process with no negative jumps and Z (0) an independent subordinator such that E0 euZ (1)

t

  • = etR(u) and E0

euZ (0)

t

  • = etF(u) ,

u ∈ U . The time–change equation Xt = x + Z (0)

t

+ Z (1)

t

0 Xrdr

admits a unique solution, which is a CBI process with branching mechanism R and immigration mechanism F.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 13 / 38

slide-14
SLIDE 14

Outline

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Definition

Let (Ω, (Xt)t≥0, (F♮

t )t≥0, (Px)x∈Rm

≥0)

be a time homogeneous Markov process. The process X is said to be a multi–type CBI if it satisfies the following property:

See [Duffie et al., 2003, Barczy et al., 2014]

There exist functions φ : R≥0 × U → C and Ψ : R≥0 × U → Cm such that Ex eu,Xt = eφ(t,u)+x,Ψ(t,u), for all x ∈ Rm

≥0 and (t, u) ∈ R≥0 × U, with U = Cm ≤0.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 15 / 38

slide-16
SLIDE 16

Generalized Riccati equations

On the set Q = R≥0 × U, the functions φ and Ψ satisfy the following system of generalized Riccati equations: ∂tφ(t, u) = F(Ψ(t, u)), φ(0, u) = 0, ∂tΨ(t, u) = R(Ψ(t, u)), Ψ(0, u) = u .

L´ evy–Khintchine form for the vector fields

The functions F and Rk, for each k = 1, . . . , m, have the following L´ evy-Khintchine form

F(u) = b, u +

  • Rm

≥0\{0}

  • eu,ξ − 1
  • m(dξ),

Rk(u) = βk, u + 1 2u2

kαk +

  • Rm

≥0\{0}

  • eu,ξ − 1 − ukξk✶{|ξ|≤1}
  • Mk(dξ).
  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 16 / 38

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Admissible parameters

The set of parameters satisfies the following restrictions b, βi ∈ Rm, i = 1, . . . , m, αi ≥ 0, m, Mi, i = 1, . . . , m, L´ evy measures.

drift b ∈ Rm

≥0,

(βi)k ≥ 0, for all i = 1, . . . , m and k = i , jumps supp m ⊆ Rm

≥0,

and

  • (|ξ| ∧ 1) m(dξ) < ∞ ,

supp Mi ⊆ Rm

≥0,

for all i = 1, . . . , m and (|(ξ)−i| + |ξi|2) ∧ 1

  • Mi(dξ) < ∞ .
  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 17 / 38

slide-18
SLIDE 18

Outline

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

slide-19
SLIDE 19

Remarks

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 19 / 38

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Remarks

It is possible to define m + 1 independent L´ evy processes Z (0), Z (1), . . . , Z (m) taking values in Rm with L´ evy exponents F, R1, . . . , Rm.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 19 / 38

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Remarks

It is possible to define m + 1 independent L´ evy processes Z (0), Z (1), . . . , Z (m) taking values in Rm with L´ evy exponents F, R1, . . . , Rm. In [Kallsen, 2006] it has been proved that the time change equation Xt = x + Z (0)

t

+

m

  • k=1

Z (k)

t

0 X (k) s

ds,

t ≥ 0 , (*) admits a weak solution, i.e. there exists a probability space containing two processes (X, Z) such that (*) holds in distribution.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 19 / 38

slide-22
SLIDE 22

Remarks

It is possible to define m + 1 independent L´ evy processes Z (0), Z (1), . . . , Z (m) taking values in Rm with L´ evy exponents F, R1, . . . , Rm. In [Kallsen, 2006] it has been proved that the time change equation Xt = x + Z (0)

t

+

m

  • k=1

Z (k)

t

0 X (k) s

ds,

t ≥ 0 , (*) admits a weak solution, i.e. there exists a probability space containing two processes (X, Z) such that (*) holds in distribution. Moreover X has the distribution of a multi–type CBI with immigration mechanism F and branching mechanism (R1, . . . , Rm).

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 19 / 38

slide-23
SLIDE 23

Remarks

It is possible to define m + 1 independent L´ evy processes Z (0), Z (1), . . . , Z (m) taking values in Rm with L´ evy exponents F, R1, . . . , Rm. In [Kallsen, 2006] it has been proved that the time change equation Xt = x + Z (0)

t

+

m

  • k=1

Z (k)

t

0 X (k) s

ds,

t ≥ 0 , (*) admits a weak solution, i.e. there exists a probability space containing two processes (X, Z) such that (*) holds in distribution. Moreover X has the distribution of a multi–type CBI with immigration mechanism F and branching mechanism (R1, . . . , Rm). Does there exist a pathwise solution of (*)?

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 19 / 38

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Outline

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

slide-25
SLIDE 25

Results for multi–type CB

Theorem [G. and Teichmann, 2014]

Let Z (1), . . . , Z (m) be independent Rm-valued L´ evy processes with E0 e

  • u,Z (k)

t

  • = etRk(u),

u ∈ U , where each Rk is of LK form with triplets given by a set of admissible

  • parameters. Then the time–change equation

Xt = x +

m

  • k=1

Z (k)

t

0 X (k) s

ds

t ≥ 0 , admits a unique solution, which is a multi–type CB process with respect to the time–changed filtration.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 21 / 38

slide-26
SLIDE 26

Multiparameter time–change filtration

Define Z = (Z (1)

1 , . . . , Z (1) m , . . . , Z (m) 1

, . . . , Z (m)

m ) =: (Z (1), . . . , Z (m2)).

For all s = (s1, . . . , sm2) ∈ Rm2

≥0

G♮

s := σ

  • {Z (h)

th , th ≤ sh, for h = 1, . . . , m2}

  • .

Complete it by Gs =

n∈N G♮ s(n)+ 1

n ∨ σ(N).

Definition

A random variable τ = (τ1, . . . , τm2) ∈ Rm2

≥0 is a (Gs)-stopping time if

{τ ≤ s} := {τ1 ≤ s1, . . . , τm2 ≤ sm2} ∈ Gs, for all s ∈ Rm2

≥0 .

If τ is a stopping time, Gτ := {B ∈ G | B ∩ {τ ≤ s} ∈ Gs for all s ∈ Rm2

≥0} .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 22 / 38

slide-27
SLIDE 27

Outline

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

slide-28
SLIDE 28

Extension to multi–type CBI

Let F be an immigration mechanism and R = (R1, . . . , Rm) a branching mechanism. Let Z (0) L´ evy process with exponent F and Z (i) L´ evy process with exponent Ri. Define, for k = 0, . . . , m, Z

(k) :=

  • Z

(k) 0 , Z (k) 1 , . . . , Z (k) m

  • m coordinates
  • :=
  • 0,

Z (k)

  • m coordinates
  • .

Given y = (1, x) with x ∈ Rm

≥0, the previous result gives pathwise

existence of Yt = y +

m

  • k=0

Z

(k) t

0 Y (i) s ds .

It holds Y = (1, X) where X is a CBI(F, R).

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 24 / 38

slide-29
SLIDE 29

Outline

1

Introduction Real valued CB and Lamperti transform Extension to real valued CBI

2

What is a multi–type CBI Definitions Some additional results

3

Lamperti transform for multi–type CBI Multi–type CB and their time–change representation Extension to multi–type CBI Sketch of the proof

slide-30
SLIDE 30

The one dimensional case

Question: Given a L´ evy process Z taking values in R, is there a solution of Xt = x + Z t

0 Xsds

? For the one dimensional case see also [Caballero et al., 2013].

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 26 / 38

slide-31
SLIDE 31

An ODE point of view in R≥0

Introduce τ(t) := t Xsds . Does there exist a solution τ ∈ R≥0 of

  • ˙

τ(t) = x + Z(τ(t)) τ(0) = 0 ?

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 27 / 38

slide-32
SLIDE 32

An ODE point of view in Rm

≥0

Introduce Z : Rm

≥0

→ Rm s →

m

  • i=1

Z (i)(si) . Does there exist a solution τ ∈ Rm

≥0 of

  • ˙

τ(t) = x + Z(τ(t)) , τ(0) = 0 . ?

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 28 / 38

slide-33
SLIDE 33

Construction of the time–change process

Theorem [G. and Teichmann, 2014]

There exists a solution of

  • ˙

τ((t0, τ0, x); t) = (x + Z)(τ((t0, τ0, x); t)), τ((t0, τ0, x); t0) = τ0 , for t ≥ t0 and τ0 ∈ Rm

≥0 .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 29 / 38

slide-34
SLIDE 34

Construction of the time–change process

Theorem [G. and Teichmann, 2014]

There exists a solution of

  • ˙

τ((t0, τ0, x); t) = (x + Z)(τ((t0, τ0, x); t)), τ((t0, τ0, x); t0) = τ0 , for t ≥ t0 and τ0 ∈ Rm

≥0 .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 29 / 38

slide-35
SLIDE 35

Construction of the time–change process

Theorem [G. and Teichmann, 2014]

There exists a solution of

  • ˙

τ((t0, τ 0, x); t) = (x + Z)(τ((t0, τ 0, x); t)), τ((t0, τ 0, x); t0) = τ 0 , for t ≥ t0 and τ0 ∈ Rm

≥0 .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 29 / 38

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Decomposition of Z

The L´ evy–Itˆ

  • decomposition together with the canonical form of the

admissible parameters give Z (i)

t

=βit + σiB(i)

t

+ t

  • ξ1{|ξ|>1}J (i)(dξ, ds)

+ t

  • ξ1{|ξ|≤1}(J (i)(dξ, ds) − Mi(dξ)ds)

where σi = √αi, B(i) is a process in Rm which evolves only along the the i-th coordinate as Brownian motion and J (i) is the jump measure of the process Z (i).

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 30 / 38

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Decompose Z (i) =:

Z (i) +

Z (i) where

Z (i) and

Z (i) are two stochastic processes on Rm defined by

Z (i)

i (t) := (βi)it+σiB(i)(t) +

t

  • ξi1{|ξ|>1}J (i)(dξ, ds)

+ t

  • ξi1{|ξ|≤1}

J (i)(dξ, ds)

Z (i)

k (t) := 0,

for k = i ,

Z (i)(t) :=

βit + t

  • (ξ − ξiei)1{|ξ|>1}J (i)(dξ, ds)

+ t

  • (ξ − ξiei)1{|ξ|≤1}

J (i)(dξ, ds) . where

βi = βi − ei(βi)i and J (i) is the compensated jump measure.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 31 / 38

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Approximation of the jump part

Introduce, for all s ∈ Rm

≥0, ∼

Z(s) :=

m

  • i=1

Z (i)(si),

Z(s) :=

m

  • i=1

Z (i)(si) . Fix M ∈ N and consider the partition TM := k 2M , k ≥ 0

  • .

Define the following approximations on the partition TM:

↑ ≁

Z (i, M)

t

:=

  • k=0

Z (i)

k/2M1[ k

2M , k+1 2M )(t) ,

↑ ≁

Z(M)(s) :=

m

  • i=1

↑ ≁

Z (i, M)(si),

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 32 / 38

slide-39
SLIDE 39

The proof

Set (t0, τ0, x) := (0, 0, x), ← − σ := (0, . . . , 0), − → σ := (σ(1,M)

1

, . . . , σ(i,M)

1

, . . . , σ(m,M)

1

) Solve

  • ˙

τ((0, 0, x); t) = (x +

Z)(τ((0, 0, x); t)), τ((0, 0, x); t0) = τ0 , for t ∈ [0, t1] where t1 := sup{t > 0 | τ((t0, τ0, x); t) ≤ − → σ } . Remark There might be one or more indices i∗, where equality

  • holds. Collect them in a set I ∗ ⊆ {1, . . . , m}.
  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 33 / 38

slide-40
SLIDE 40

Update the values πI ∗← − σ := πI ∗− → σ , πI ∗− → σ := πI ∗− → σ ++, where − → σ ++ contains the next jumps of ↑ ≁ Z (i, M) for all i ∈ I ∗ after − → σ i. Define τ1 := τ((t0, τ0, x); t1) x1 := x + ∆↑ ≁ Z(M)(← − σ ). Solve

  • ˙

τ((t1, τ1, x1); t) = (x1 +

Z)(τ((t1, τ1, x1); t)), τ((t1, τ1, x1); t1) = τ1 , for t ∈ [t1, t2] where t2 := sup{t > t1 | τ((t1, τ1, x1); t) ≤ − → σ } .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 34 / 38

slide-41
SLIDE 41

Define iteratively, for all n ≥ 1 tn+1 := sup{t > 0 | τ((tn, τn, xn); t) ≤ − → σ }, τn+1 := τ((tn, τn, xn); tn+1), xn+1 := xn + ∆↑ ≁ Z(M)(← − σ ), where, at each step ← − σ and − → σ are updated.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 35 / 38

slide-42
SLIDE 42

Solution of the approximated problem

Theorem

There exists a solution of

  • ˙

τ(M)((t0, τ0, x); t) = (x +

Z + ↑ ≁ Z(M))(τ(M)((t0, τ0, x); t)), τ(M)((t0, τ0, x); t0) = 0 . Moreover it holds lim

M→∞ τ(M)((t0, τ0, x); t) = τ((t0, τ0, x); t)

where τ solves

  • ˙

τ((t0, τ0, x); t) = (x + Z)(τ((t0, τ0, x); t)), τ((t0, τ0, x); t0) = τ0 .

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 36 / 38

slide-43
SLIDE 43

Thank you for your attention

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 37 / 38

slide-44
SLIDE 44

Bibliography I

Barczy, M., Li, Z., and Pap, G. (2014). Stochastic differential equation with jumps for multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration. Caballero, M. E., P´ erez Garmendia, J. L., and Uribe Bravo, G. (2013). A Lamperti-type representation of continuous-state branching processes with immigration. Duffie, D., Filipovi´ c, D., and Schachermayer, W. (2003). Affine processes and applications in finance. G., N. and Teichmann, J. (2014). Pathwise construction of affine processes. Kallsen, J. (2006). A didactic note on affine stochastic volatility models.

  • N. Gabrielli (UZH)

October 23, 2014 38 / 38