Key Risks to the System Todays Discussion Together Investment - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Key Risks to the System Todays Discussion Together Investment - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Addressing Key Risks to the System Todays Discussion Together Investment Employer Climate risk risk/liquidity affordability 2 Investment Risk and Liquidity Where We Stand $395 2 $24.2 71% billion million billion Funded status


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SLIDE 1

Addressing Key Risks to the System

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SLIDE 2

Today’s Discussion Together

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Employer affordability Investment risk/liquidity Climate risk

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SLIDE 3

Investment Risk and Liquidity

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SLIDE 4

Where We Stand

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$395 billion

Market value

$24.2 billion

Paid in benefits

71%

Funded status (estimate)

2 million

Members

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SLIDE 5
  • Challenges over the next 10 years
  • Declining interest rates, increasing profit margins less likely to repeat
  • Current valuations are high
  • Slower global economic growth
  • Fewer opportunities to generate excess returns
  • Underfunded status limits options
  • Uncontrollable factors
  • Unpredictability of current economic environment

Challenges

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7.5% 7%

Lower Discount Rate

Lowered the discount rate from 7.5% to 7% over three years (assumed rate of return)

30 yrs. 20 yrs. =

significant long-term savings

Shorter Amortization

Shortened the amortization period for employers to pay their unfunded liability

New Asset Allocation

Adopted new strategic asset allocation effective July 1, 2018

Capital Injection

Additional contribution to State and School pension obligations

$9 billion from the State $904 million to Schools

Strong Foundational Challenges

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SLIDE 7

Investment Focus: CalPERS Advantages

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Size Branding Liquidity

+

Long-Term Horizon Increased chance

  • f success

=

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SLIDE 8

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External Manager Analysis New Direction In-house Strategies

Philosophy of the Investment Strategy Review

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SLIDE 9

Innovative Private Equity Models

Private Equity

Co-Investments

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Employers’ Ability to Pay

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How CalPERS’ Retirement Benefits are Funded

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Public Agency Employer Contributions

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Our Board Monitors Employer Contribution Rate Impact

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Partnerships Funding Programs Pension Outlook Tool

We’re Working Toward the Same Goal

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Climate Risk

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How We Are Addressing Climate Risk

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Working With You

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Laser-focused on our top priorities

Benefits are only as secure as

  • ur employers’ ability to pay them
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Thank you Questions?

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Appendix

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Fund Sustainability Health Care Affordability Reduce Complexity Risk Management Talent Management

Strategic Goals Focuses on Reducing Risk

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Strategic Goals

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SLIDE 22

Current Value $395 billion

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9.1% 5.8%

10-yr Annualized Return 20-yr Annualized Return

6.7%

2018/19 Portfolio Return

8.1%

30-yr Annualized Return

5.8%

5-yr Annualized Return

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71% 50-60% 70-80% 90-100%

Funded status goal:

100%

Estimate for 2019

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SLIDE 24

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10-Year Projection

  • f Funded Status
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SLIDE 25

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How We Got Here – 20-Year Look