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June 2, 2016 5. 5. 6. 6. 1 Disclaimer The information - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. Inside ENGIE 4. 4. Tractebel Energia June 2, 2016 5. 5. 6. 6. 1 Disclaimer The information contained herein has been The Company and their respective affiliates, agents, prepared by ENGIE Tractebel Energia
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The information contained herein has been prepared by ENGIE Tractebel Energia S.A. (“ENGIE Tractebel Energia”, “Tractebel” or “the Company”) solely for meetings to be held with investors and/or potential investors. This material does not constitute
further information before making an investment decision in respect
shares of the Company. This material has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities and should not be treated as giving investment
any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness
reliability
the information contained herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own
are subject to change without notice and ENGIE Tractebel Energia is not under obligation to update
The Company and their respective affiliates, agents, directors, partners and employees accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. You should consult your own legal, regulatory, tax, business, investment, financial and accounting advisers to the extent that you deem necessary, and you must make your own investment, hedging
and advice from such advisers as you deem necessary and not upon any view expressed in this material. This material includes forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties, which are based
current expectations and projections about future events and trends that may affect the Company’s business. These statements include projections
economic growth and energy demand and supply, as well as information about competitive position, the regulatory environment, potential opportunities for growth and other matters. Several factors may adversely affect the estimates and assumptions on which these statements are based, many of which are beyond our control.
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4.5% 3.9% 4.8% 2.6% 0.8% 7.9% 3.3% 4.1% 3.7% 3.8%
3.1% 4.0% 6.0% 5.0%
7.6% 3.9% 1.8% 2.7% 0.1%
1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Change (%) Demanda de Energia Elétrica (YoY) Produto Interno Bruto (YoY)
Source: Banco Central do Brasil/ONS
Energy demand (YoY) Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
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Source: Banco Central do Brasil/EPE CHANGE (%)
GDP Residential Industrial Commercial Other
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Source: EPE 2016 is referred to the 1st quarter
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Source: Banco Central do Brasil
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Source: ONS/ENGIE Tractebel Energia * ONS revised the calculation methodology of the actual demand from 2014 and 2015
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Source: PSR - Energy Report
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
jan/14 fev/14 mar/14 abr/14 mai/14 jun/14 jul/14 ago/14 set/14
nov/14 dez/14 jan/15 fev/15 mar/15 abr/15 mai/15 jun/15 jul/15 ago/15 set/15
nov/15 dez/15 jan/16 fev/16 mar/16 abr/16 mai/16 jun/16 jul/16 ago/16 set/16
nov/16 dez/16
Commercial Capacity - MWa
Previsto PMO* Realizado Previsto PMO abril
* PMO of January from de current year
Jan/14 Feb/14 Mar/14 Apr/14 May/14 Jun/14 Jul/14 Aug/14 Sep/14 Oct/14 Nov/14 Dec/14 Jan/15 Feb/15 Mar/15 Apr/15 May/15 Jun/15 Jul/15 Aug/15 Sep/15 Oct/15 Nov/15 Dec/15 Jan/16 Feb/16 Mar/16 Apr/16 May/16 Jun/16 Jul/16 Aug/16 Sep/16 Oct/16 Nov/16 Dec/16
Actual April estimated PMO* Estimated PMO*
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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Source: PSR - Energy Report
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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
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Source: CCEE
jan/09 jun/09 nov/09 abr/10 set/10 fev/11 jul/11 dez/11 mai/12
mar/13 ago/13 jan/14 jun/14 nov/14 abr/15 set/15 fev/16
Jan/09 Jun/09 Nov/09 Apr/10 Sep/1 Feb/11 Jul/11 Dec/11 May/12 Oct/12
Mar/13 Aug/13 Jan/14
Jun/14 Nov/1 4 Apr/15 Sep/15 Feb/16
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Economy recovery Distributed energy growth Energy pricing models calibration
Hydrology (wet or dry year) Delays in the schedules of
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Volatility:
Source: Bovespa/CCEE
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% 450% 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 01/01/2008 01/01/2009 01/01/2010 01/01/2011 01/01/2012 01/01/2013 01/01/2014 01/01/2015
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Internal Studies
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Does not include Botox plants Reference: Apr/16
50 100 150 200 250 300 SOLAR TERMELÉTRICA BIOMASSA PCH EÓLICA HIDROELÉTRICA MÉDIA R$/MWh 36,183 MWa 12,075 MWa 6,490 MWa 698 MWa 2,302 MWa 679 MWa 13,938 MWa
AVERAGE HYDRO WIND BIOMASS THERMAL SHP SOLAR
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+11%
+131%
+28%
Sample:
+16% +11 % +14% +17% +46%
+127 %
+15%
Source: Aneel
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100 150 200 250 300 350 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Internal Studies Data-base: Apr/16
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Source: CCEE/Aneel
20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MWa Leilão de Energia Existente Leilão de Ajuste Leilão de Fontes Alternativas Leilão de Energia Nova Proinfa Cotas Estruturantes Bilateral Itaipu V.Demanda 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,00 20,000 10,000 Existing Energy Auction Alternative Sources Auction Adjustment Auction New Energy Auction Proinfa Bilateral Quotas Structuring Itaipu Demand
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623 655 750 1,203 1,449 2,471
1,826 2,104 3,221
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
R$/MWh
Tarifa DISCOs PLD
DISCOs Tariff
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Proprietary Capacity (MW) Market Capitalization Total Shareholder Return – TBLE3 x Ibov x IEE Net Income and Distributed Earnings
1,500 835
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 R$ Milhares 3,719 7,044
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
R$ Milhões 21,860
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 IBOV IEE TBLE 639 IBOV 12% /year 1,606 IEE 18% /year 5,983 TBLE 27% /year 100
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1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
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2016 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998
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2016 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999
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2016 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000
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2016 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001
Energy being produced... Energy being sold...
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2016 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
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2016 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
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2016 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
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2016 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
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2016 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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2016 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
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2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
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2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
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2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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2016 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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2016 2011 2014 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012
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2016 2011 2015 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013
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2016 2011 2016 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014
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2016 2011 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015