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Junction Tree Algorithm Examples October 13, 2016 Junction Tree - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Junction Tree Algorithm Examples October 13, 2016 Junction Tree Algorithm Moralize (if starting from a directed graphical model) Triangulate (make it chordal) Construct a junction tree (maximum cardinality search) Define


  1. Junction Tree Algorithm Examples October 13, 2016

  2. Junction Tree Algorithm • Moralize (if starting from a directed graphical model) • Triangulate (make it chordal) • Construct a junction tree (maximum cardinality search) • Define potentials on maximal cliques • Introduce evidence (if any) • Propagate probabilities

  3. CHILD Example from Spiegelhalter et al (1993) Statistical Science

  4. Conditional Probability Tables

  5. Visualization of Updated Beliefs on Every Node

  6. Visualization of Updated Beliefs on Every Node

  7. Moralize

  8. Triangulation and Maximum Cardinality Search

  9. Construct Junction Tree and Define Potentials on Maximal Cliques

  10. Introduce Evidence and Propagate Probabilities

  11. Comments: 1. Read Spiegelhalter, David J.; Dawid, A. Philip; Lauritzen, Steffen L.; Cowell, Robert G. Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems. Statist. Sci. 8 (1993), no. 3, 219--247. doi: 10.1214/ss/1177010888. http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ss/1177010888. 2. Convince yourself the numbers in Figure 13 are correct. 3. We will proceed to approximate inference. 4. Enjoy your Fall break! 5. Fill out the midterm survey: https://goo.gl/forms/AMfJ1t1d0gQbgQXI3

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