july 2017 investor presentation
play

July 2017 Investor Presentation July 28, 2017 A decade of progress - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

July 2017 Investor Presentation July 28, 2017 A decade of progress and perseverance in the Marcellus Shale. Forward-Looking Statements and Other Disclaimers This presentation includes forward looking statements within the meaning of Section


  1. July 2017 Investor Presentation July 28, 2017 A decade of progress and perseverance in the Marcellus Shale.

  2. Forward-Looking Statements and Other Disclaimers This presentation includes forward ‐ looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. The statements regarding future financial and operating performance and results, strategic pursuits and goals, market prices, future hedging and risk management activities, and other statements that are not historical facts contained in this report are forward- looking statements. The words “expect”, “project”, “estimate”, “believe”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “budget”, “plan”, “forecast”, “target”, “predict”, “may”, “should”, “could”, “will” and similar expressions are also intended to identi fy forward-looking statements. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, market factors, market prices (including geographic basis differentials) of natural gas and crude oil, results of future drilling and marketing activity, future production and costs, legislative and regulatory initiatives, electronic, cyber or physical security breaches and other factors detailed herein and in our other Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings. See “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of the Form 10-K and subsequent public filings for additional information about these risks and uncertainties. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual outcomes may vary materially from those indicated. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and Cabot Oil & Gas (the “Company” or “Cabot”) does not undertake any obligation to correct or update any forward -looking statement, whether as the result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. This presentation may contain certain terms, such as resource potential, risked or unrisked resources, potential locations, risked or unrisked locations, EUR (estimated ultimate recovery) and other similar terms that describe estimates of potentially recoverable hydrocarbons that the SEC rules prohibit from being included in filings with the SEC. These estimates are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves and may not constitute “reserves” within the meaning of SEC rules and accordingly, are subject to substantially greater risk of being actually realized. These estimates are based on the Company’s existing models and internal estimates. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be ultimately recovered from the Company’s interests could differ substantially. Factors affecting ultimate recovery include the scope of the Company’s ongoing drilling program, which will be directly affected by the availability of capital, drilling and production costs, availably of drilling services and equipment, drilling results, lease expirations, transportation constraints, regulatory approvals, actual drilling results, including geological and mechanical factors affecting recovery rates, and other factors. These estimates may change significantly as development of the Company’s assets provide additional data. Investors are urged to consider carefully the d isclosures and risk factors about Cabot’s reserves in the Form 10 ‐ K and other reports on file with the SEC. This presentation also refers to Discretionary Cash Flow, EBITDAX, Net Income (Loss) Excluding Selected Items and Net Debt calculations and ratios. These non-GAAP financial measures are not alternatives to GAAP measures, and should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative for analysis of the Company’s results as reported under GAAP. For additional disclosure regarding such non -GAAP measures, including definitions of these terms and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, please refer to Cabot ’s most recent earnings release at www.cabotog.com and the Company’s related 8 -K on file with the SEC. 2

  3. Cabot Oil & Gas Overview 2016 Production: 627 Bcfe (4% growth) 2016 Year-End Proved Reserves: 8.6 Tcfe (5% growth) 2017E Net D&C Activity: 95 wells drilled / 90 wells completed 2017E Production Growth: 8% - 12% 2017E Total Program Spending: $845 mm (includes $70 mm of pipeline investments and up to $125 mm of exploratory leasing / testing capital) MARCELLUS SHALE >3,000 Remaining Undrilled Locations Year-End 2016 Net Producing Horizontal Wells: 517 2017E Net D&C activity: 60 wells drilled / 51 wells completed Inventory Life Based on 2017E Activity: ~50 years EAGLE FORD SHALE >1,100 Remaining Undrilled Locations Year-End 2016 Net Producing Horizontal Wells: 207 2017E Net D&C activity: 30 wells drilled / 39 wells completed Inventory Life Based on 2017E Activity: ~36 years 3

  4. Proven Track Record of Production and Reserve Growth Annual Production (Bcfe) 627.1 602.5 531.8 2017 Guidance: 413.6 8% - 12% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E Year-End Proved Reserves (Tcfe) 8.6 8.2 Proved 7.4 Undeveloped 5.5 Proved Developed 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 4

  5. Industry-Leading Cost Structure Continues to Improve… Total Company All-Sources Finding & Development Costs ($/Mcfe) $1.21 $0.87 $0.71 $0.57 $0.55 $0.37 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Marcellus All-Sources Finding & Development Costs ($/Mcf) $0.65 $0.49 $0.43 $0.40 $0.31 $0.26 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 5

  6. …Allowing Cabot to Successfully Navigate through All Commodity Prices Cash Operating Expenses ($/Mcfe) Operating Transportation¹ Taxes O/T Income Cash G&A² Financing Exploration³ $1.88 $1.74 $1.31 $1.30 $1.30 $1.16 $1.15 $1.12 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 6 1 Includes all demand charges and gathering fees 2 Excludes stock-based compensation 3 Excludes dry hole cost

  7. Cabot’s Drilling Efficiencies Continue to Drive Costs Lower Across Both Operating Areas Marcellus Drilling Costs / Foot Eagle Ford Drilling Costs / Foot 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017 7

  8. Current Leverage Metrics Have Improved to Pre- Downcycle Levels Net Debt to LTM EBITDAX 2.5x 1.8x Average net debt / EBITDAX ratio 1.4x prior to the recent 1.4x 1.3x downcycle: 1.2x 1.2x 1.1x 0.9x 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 8

  9. Top-Tier Cash Flow Growth and Free Cash Flow Generation Consensus 2016 – 2018E Cash Flow Per Share CAGR 65% 60% 58% 57% 55% 51% 44% 40% 36% 34% 30% 30% 27% 26% 17% 14% 13% 9% Consensus 2017E Free Cash Flow Yield 2% 1% (0%) (1%) (1%) (1%) (2%) (3%) (3%) (3%) (4%) (4%) (4%) (4%) (4%) (7%) (11%) (18%) 9 Source: FactSet median consensus as of July 25, 2017. Peers include Antero Resources, Cimarex Energy, Concho Resources, Continental Resources, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, Encana Corporation, EQT Corporation, Gulfport Energy, Marathon Oil, Newfield Exploration, Noble Energy, Parsley Energy, Pioneer Natural Resources, Range Resources, Rice Energy and RSP Permian. Free cash flow yield defined as estimated operating cash flow less estimated capital expenditures divided by shares outstanding divided by current share price.

  10. Cabot’s Generation 4 Marcellus Wells Continue to Outperform COG Generation 4 Wells Generation 4 Type Curve (4.4 Bcf / 1,000') 350 Cumulative Production (Mmcf per 1,000 Lateral Feet) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Days of Production 10

  11. Cabot’s Marcellus Position is the Most Prolific U.S. Onshore Natural Gas Resource Play Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) – Bcfe/1,000 Lateral Feet 4.4 Appalachian Gas Play Non-Appalachian Gas Play 11 Source: Current investor presentations as of May 24, 2017. Peers include Antero Resources, Chesapeake Energy, CONSOL Energy, Eclipse Resources, EQT Corporation, Gulfport Energy, Range Resources, Rice Energy, and Southwestern Energy. For companies with multiple type curves, a weighted average was used based on location count or acreage.

  12. Cabot’s Marcellus Drilling Efficiencies Drilling Days vs. Depth - Spud to Rig Release Drilling Cost Per Foot Drilled Days $324 0 5 10 15 20 0 $259 2012 Total Measured Depth (Ft.) $233 2013 4,000 $200 2014 2015 $153 2016 <$140 8,000 12,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 16,000 Upgraded rigs, lower contracted day rates and continued efficiency gains should lead to further reductions in drilling costs in 2017 12

Download Presentation
Download Policy: The content available on the website is offered to you 'AS IS' for your personal information and use only. It cannot be commercialized, licensed, or distributed on other websites without prior consent from the author. To download a presentation, simply click this link. If you encounter any difficulties during the download process, it's possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

Recommend


More recommend