Jonathon Peros, NEFMC Staff Joint Scallop PDT & AP Meeting - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Jonathon Peros, NEFMC Staff

Joint Scallop PDT & AP Meeting October 23, 2018 Scallop Committee Meeting October 24, 2018

1

Upcoming Meetings (2018)

 October 23/24 – PDT/AP & CTE (Boston, MA)  PDT – To be determined  November 27/28 – AP & CTE (TBD)  Framework 30 Final Action – December Council  April 1 –Target Implementation

2

UPDATE: 2019 & 2020 OFL and ABC

3

Year ABC OFL 2019 57,003 mt 73,421 mt 2020 46,028 mt 59,447 mt

 OFL and ABC estimates for FY 2019 are similar to

the FY 2018 values approved by the SSC.

 Estimates for FY 2020 represent a decline from the

record high levels observed in recent years.

 This decline is attributed to the extraordinarily large

2012 and 2013 year classes recruiting to the fishery and the absence of strong recruitment in subsequent years.

4

FY 2019 ACL (F=0.51) ~123 million lbs

“Spatial Management” FY 2019 Proj. Landings ~60 million lbs (~50% of 2019 ACL)

Specification Discussion

Presentations:

 2018 Fishery Information  SAMS model runs and outputs – Dr. Dvora Hart  Economic scenarios  FW30 specification considerations

Several anticipated outcomes from this meeting:

 See memo from Committee Chair

Vincent Balzano

 Also Doc. 3a  Focus on recommending alternatives for FW30

5

Specifications for 2019

NOTE: All projections use the same spatial management configuration for open bottom.

 Mix and match open area F rates with access area

• scenarios. Consider:

 DAS (landings) associated with each open area F  Total pounds coming from rotational areas

 Outcome: Interpret a wider range of options than

just the projection runs that were completed.

 See example on next slide.

6

Specifications for 2019

EXAMPLE: Can mix and match open area F rates with access area scenarios. (See Doc.0)

7

F=0.295 ~30 DAS (25.5 mil) F=0.3 ~31 DAS (26 mil) F=0.4 ~39 DAS (32.5 mil) 5 trips 18k lbs ~30 mil lbs 6 trips 18k lbs ~36 mil lbs 7 trips 15k lbs ~35 mil lbs

Rotational Harvest

NLS-West and MAAA → Multiple trips

8

One 18,000 lbs FT trip is around 6 mil lbs. 4 trips 5 trips 6 trips 7 trips 24 mil. 30 mil. 36 mil. 42 mil. One 15,000 lbs FT trip is around 5 mil lbs. 4 trips 5 trips 6 trips 7 trips 20 mil. 25 mil. 30 mil. 35 mil.

Nantucket Lightship Regions - Biomass

9

NLS-West

http://bit.ly/scallopsurvey

38% of total 2018 biomass is estimated to be in these two areas. NLS-S-deep

10

Nantucket Lightship

2018 VMS data & VIMS survey data

PDT Thoughts on Access Areas (2 years)

11

Access Area 2019 2020 Closed Area 2 S Closed Combined Access Area Closed Area 2 Ext Open-Bottom Closed Area I North Combined Access Area (1 trip, 15k lbs) Closed Closed Area I Access Closed NLS-North Closed Combined Access Area NLS-South-shallow Closed NLS-West Multiple trips Multiple trips MAAA Multiple trips Multiple trips NLS-South-deep Not growing normally - 2019 Priority

2018 Fishery Performance

As of October 17, 2018 – 55% of FY complete

 FW29 Final Rule: April 19, 2018  LA & IFQ Projected landings: ~56 million lbs.

 Does not include set-asides

12

Component Landings to-date (lbs) Limited Access 40,782,454 LAGC IFQ 2,116,511 LA w/ LAGC IFQ 94,854 TOTAL 42,993,819

Specifications Discussion: Develop Alternatives for FW30 See Doc.0 and Doc.3a

13

14

• 2. "Committee 1"
• 3. "Committee 2"
• 4. "Committee 3"
• 5. "Council"
• 6. "PDT"

Spatial management 6 at 18,000 lbs; 1 CAI; 3 NLS-W; 2 MAAA 6 at 18,000 lbs; 1 CAI; 3 NLS-S&W; 2 MAAA 5 at 18,000 lbs; 1 CAI; 2 NLS-W; 2 MAAA 7 at 15,000 lbs; 1 CAI; 1 CAII; 3 NLS-W; 2 MAAA 7 at 15,000 lbs; 1 CAI; 3 NLS-W; 3 MAAA a Projected Landings (mil lbs) 61.6 65.5 62.8 61.0 57.6 b APL after set-asides (mil lbs) 59.1 62.9 60.3 58.5 55.0 c Open Area F 0.295 0.35 0.4 0.3 0.25 d FT LA DAS 30 35 39 31 26 e Open Area landings (mil lbs) 25.5 29.4 32.5 26 22.5 f Rotational landings (mil lbs) 36.1 36.1 30.3 35.0 35.1 g LAGC IFQ Quota (5%) (mil lbs) 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 h Overall F 0.131 0.15 0.131 0.122 0.122 i LPUE (AA + Open) - lbs day 2,931 2,879 2,801 2,912 2,999 j LPUE-OPEN BOTTOM - lbs day 2,355 2,323 2,294 2,352 2,381 k Total days at sea 21,031 22,752 22,429 20,955 19,194 l Area swept - sq nm 2,635 3,100 3,467 2,846 2,336

Projected Allocations (SAMS Runs) See Doc.0 and Doc.3a

Specifications Matrix: Doc.0, Doc.3

15

i ii iii

5 trips at 18,000 lbs - "Committee 3" 6 trips at 18,000 lbs - "Committee 1 & Committee 2" 7 trips at 15,000 lbs - "Council and PDT" Rotational landings (mil) 30 mil lbs 36 mil lbs 35 mil lbs Open Area F FT LA DAS Open Area landings (mil) a 0.25 26 22.5 52.5 58.5 57.5 b 0.295 30 25.5 55.5 61.5 60.5 c 0.3 31 26 56 62 61.0 d 0.35 35 29.4 59.4 65.4 64.4 e 0.4 39 32.5 62.5 68.5 67.5

Potential GB/SNE Dredge Exemption

16

17

Default Measures for 2020

 Standard Default Measures:

 Default specifications: Set DAS and LAGC IFQ quotas at 75%

• r previous years allocations.

 Allocate 5.5% of access area allocations to the LAGC IFQ

component for access area fishing.  Council can deviate from this formula.  AP and Committee: You may wish to identify Access

Areas to be included as part of 2020 default measures.

 The PDT recommends considering access to the NLS-West,

the MAAA, or both.

18

NGOM Measures

Document 3a & 3b for more details. No change to how the NGOM area is managed →

FW29.

Overall TAC, capping total removals. Same formula for splitting the TAC. (first 70k to

GC, then 50/50 split)

LA share available for RSA fishing.

19

NGOM TAC Setting:

Anticipated Outcome (need motion)

Identify FTARGET rates for TAC setting, and the range

• f areas that are used to calculate the TAC.

 PDT Recommends:

• 1. Consider setting NGOM TAC using F=0.2 or F=0.25.
• 2. Develop TAC using estimates of areas that are likely to

be fished.

• 3. Consider setting default measures at conservative level

(or zero)

20

Action Plan: FW30



Specifications and Standard Default Measures



GOAL: New specs in place by April 1, 2019



Include standard default measures



Scallop benchmark → New reference points Current Draft Plan:



FW30 would be in streamlined action



Other measures would be addressed in a separate Framework or Amendment



Council can work on multiple actions at the same time.



FWs and Amendments can be focused and streamlined.

21

22

Anticipated Outcomes. The AP and Committee may wish to identify potential 2019 work priorities. This will not be the last

• pportunity to discuss work for next year.

The Council will take final action on 2019 priorities in December.

23

Regulatory Requirements & Ongoing work Council Ranking

• Specifications for 2019/2020
• Benchmark (SAW/SARC 65)
• Support Scallop RSA Program
• In-season catch accounting
• Specify Allocation Review

Triggers

• 1. Modify Access Areas to be

consistent with OHA2

• 2. Standard default measures
• 3. Monitoring and catch accounting
• 4. Consider LAGC IFQ trip limits
• 5. NGOM Management measures

2018 Priorities and Vehicles

Specs Package Framework Amendment Other Specifications

• 4. LAGC IFQ Trip Limits

Benchmark (SAW/SARC) Tracking flatfish catch

• 3. Monitoring

and Catch Accounting Provisions Standard Default Measures RSA Support Eastern GB? HABITAT FW

• 5. NGOM

Management Measures Allocation Review Triggers

Each column represents a way to address the priority

• 1. Modify AAs

Ongoing Minimal/No Progress made so far in 2018

DRAFT and subject to change Council Meeting: Dec-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Specifications for 2019/2020 Final Action Submit FW30 New specs in place April 1 2019 Survey cruises on the water Review survey data, preliminary OFL/ABC projections Support Scallop RSA Program Proposals Due, Reviews begin Proposals in evaluation Announce 2019/2020 awards; RSA Share day Council votes on 2020/21 Priorities FFO Published In-season catch accounting Estimates for GF FW, FW30 Evaluate YT transfer to GF Specify Allocation Review Triggers Access on Eastern GB (Habitat Action) GB YT (Groundfish)

TRAC (Scallop management working paper) Address SSC request for additioal data (Aug. 23, 2018 memo)

After Clam Dredge FW is complete, likely coordinate with Habitat on EGB (TBD) Expected progress on priorities relative to upcoming Council meetings Regulatory Requirements and Ongoing Work Other Issues for 2019 Executive Committee Discussion; Proposal to Council. TBD

5 Meeting Outlook: DRAFT

25

• Doc. 8

Other 2019 Issues Regulatory Requirements

Current List of 2019 Priorities

26

Priority/Task Title Status Regulatory Requirement?

A Specifications for FY2020 and FY2021 YES B Modify AA to be consistent with OHA2 2018 Priority – some progress made C NEW: Evaluation of rotational management program Added by Committee D NEW: Evaluate harvesting slow growing scallops in the Nantucket Lightship – south deep Added by Committee E NEW: LAGC IFQ Trip Limits Added by Committee F NGOM management measures 2018 Priority – minimal progress made G DAS and IFQ carryover H Gear Modifications to Protect Small scallops PDT does not recommend this as a 2019 priority I Specify allocation review triggers Ongoing NMFS policy J Adjustments to industry funded observer program (NGOM coverage, etc) NEFSC letter in August 2017 K NEW: East Coast Scallop Harvest Association – problems and challenges in fishery Correspondence received at September Council L In-season catch accounting Ongoing staff work M Support Annual Scallop RSA process Ongoing staff work

PDT Input (continued)

 Measures to address DAS and IFQ carryover  STRIKE: Gear modifications to protect small scallops  Adjustments to the scallop industry funded observer

program (NGOM coverage, etc)

 PDT recommends addressing LAGC NGOM observer

coverage under the NGOM priority. NO IFO mechanism to support coverage in this area.

 NGOM: Consider options for RSA in the NGOM.

27

Staff Input

 Progress made toward addressing majority of 2018

work priorities. Minimal progress on some issues.

 Potential to carryover 2018 issues (NGOM)

 4 new priorities added to list.  Opportunities to reduce the list?

 EX: Consolidate OHA2 and rotational management

28

29