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JaguarAnalytics Trading Service Fully vetted trade ideas with - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Professional Equity and Options JaguarAnalytics Trading Service Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room. Fahad Khalid


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Fahad Khalid Founder and Chief Investment Officer JaguarAnalytics.com

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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  • Master in Business Administration

Michigan State University 2003

  • Associate Financial Audit

Deloitte & Touche 2003-2005

  • Vice President Management Consulting

Alvarez & Marsal 2005-2008

  • Director of Research, Open Order Newsletter
  • ptionMONSTER 2008-2016
  • Founder, Chief Investment Officer

JaguarAnalytics 2016-Present

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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How are Jaguar Trade Ideas Different? Vetting Process: Fundamentals Technicals Unusual Option Activity

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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Example: Alibaba (BABA) – July 7 JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Fundamental Analysis:

  • Take Rate going higher, Cloud growth +175% Y/Y

Technical Analysis:

  • Pushing against long term weekly trend resistance

Unusual Option Activity:

  • Massive call accumulation leading up to earnings
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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Mobile GMV Take Rate going higher and Cloud Computing growth accelerating

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

After 1-year decline stock was pushing against long term weekly trend resistance

  • n rising stock

and call volume

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Massive call accumulation leading up to earnings

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Example: Alibaba (BABA)

Fundamentals Technicals Unusual Option Activity Trade Issued on July 7: Buy October 85 Call for $2.40 Update on Aug 9: Close for +73% Gain, Buy October 90 Final Update on Aug 11: Close for +144% Gain

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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Example: Twitter (TWTR) – Sept 16 JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Fundamental Analysis:

  • NFL Live Streaming along with 13 other agreements to boost

Monthly Active Users (MAU) growth Technical Analysis:

  • MACD/RSI bull cross with chart pulling back to trend support

Unusual Option Activity:

  • $16 million call premium bought in August, 3x monthly average
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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

  • CBS + NFL draws 17.5M audience on Thursday night football
  • 13 agreements signed collectively represents 160M audience
  • Yahoo drew 15.2M viewers in broadcast of Jaguars vs. Bills
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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Over $16 million worth of call options bought in Twitter in August, 3 times monthly average volume

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Example: Twitter (TWTR)

Fundamentals Technicals Unusual Option Activity Trade Idea Issued on September 16:

  • Sell December 18 Puts for $1.50 Credit
  • Buy December 20 Calls for $1.80 Debit

Net Cost: $0.30 Update on September 27:

  • Trade closed for $4.00

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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6 Years of Performance Record Over 900 trade ideas Average profit in % per trade: 31.49% Average # of days held per trade: 53 days Winning trades: 68% Losing trades: 32%

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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JaguarOptions Pro Features JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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Jaguar YouTube Channel https://goo.gl/jgd2bA Most trade ideas are issued with 10-20 minute video explaining in detail the reasons and logic behind the trade

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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JaguarLive Chatroom http://goo.gl/u9tL5k Top rated live trading room with me from 8:30 am to 4:30 pm every weekday covering real time action in equity and option markets (link above is example from May 31)

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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Jaguar Morning First Read http://goo.gl/bh7p4P Goes out weekdays at 8:00 am discussing top stories

  • f the day, market breadth

and internals and selected focus stocks (link above is example from August 19)

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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Jaguar Weekend Chartbook https://goo.gl/046ltO Goes out weekends at 6:00 pm discussing top stocks and sectors to watch for upcoming week, sector rotation, and momentum indicators (link above is example from May 28)

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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Jaguar Activity Tracker A highly useful resource, Activity Tracker keeps record of all unusual

  • ption activities along with

updated research notes and charts, all in one place easily searchable

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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BONUS Exclusive LIVE Trade Idea For You!

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

ServiceNow (NOW)

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Exclusive LIVE Trade Idea for You!

ServiceNow (NOW): https://goo.gl/mRYYyc

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Fundamentals:

  • Enhancing Partnership with Microsoft Azure public cloud

Technical Analysis:

  • Breaking out through $78 resistance on rising volume, target is $87.50

Unusual Option Activity: On July 5, trader bought following bullish risk reversal and remains in open interest:

  • 2,000 November 60 Puts sold to open for $5.00 credit
  • 2,000 November 80 calls bought to open for $2.70 debit
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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

ServiceNow (NOW): Fundamentals https://goo.gl/mRYYyc

  • Margins expanding to 10% vs. 7% estimate, guidance 12%
  • Total addressable market size increasing to $10B from $6B
  • Posted +41% Billing growth last quarter, +38% revenue growth
  • Strength in non-ITSM and ITOM products to bring upside to billings
  • Highlights from prior quarter:
  • Q2 EPS $0.15 vs. $0.09 estimate, beat
  • Q2 Revenue $341M vs. $333M estimate, beat
  • Q2 Revenue +38% YoY
  • Q3 Revenue Guidance $352M vs. $348M estimate, beat
  • FY2016 Revenue Guidance $1.38B vs. $1.37B estimate, beat
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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

After multiple attempts at $78 resistance short term chart is finally starting to breakout on rising volume, suggesting stock is under accumulation

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Long term weekly chart sets up for breakout, target is $87.50 which is 11% upside from current level

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

ServiceNow (NOW) - Trade Idea

Buy the following Diagonal Call Spread for $2.50 or less:

  • Buy to open November 80 Calls for $4.50 debit
  • Sell to open October 82.5 Calls for $2.00 credit

With earnings after October expiration but before November expiration, it make sense to do diagonal call spread to lower the cost for buying November calls

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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BONUS Exclusive LIVE Trade Idea For You!

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH)

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Exclusive LIVE Trade Idea for You! Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH)

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Fundamentals:

  • Cruise industry valuation at 5-year low, booking rates increasing,

capacity utilization improving, heavy recent insider buying Technical Analysis:

  • Expecting breakout through downtrend resistance

Unusual Option Activity:

  • Last week large buyer of 11,000 October 37.5 calls paid up to $1.40
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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH): Fundamentals

  • Summer negatively affected by Paris, Belgium attacks and Brexit
  • Q4 Booking Rates for Caribbean routes +9% vs +6.5% estimate
  • Q4 itineraries shift back to Caribbean more than competitors:
  • Norwegian Cruise (NCLH) at 51% vs 23% in Q3
  • Royal Caribbean (RCL) at 47% vs 27% in Q3
  • Carnival Cruise (CCL) at 29% vs. 23% in Q3
  • Fuel cost down -1% in Q3, Free Cash Flow yield improves
  • Forward valuation at 5-year low
  • Over $3.4 million insider buying by the CEO and various executives

in September, first time all year

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH): Fundamentals

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Attempting to breakout from downtrend resistance first time since April with improving fundamentals and insider buying, first target $41.80, second target $46.20

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

On September 23, buyers of 11,000 October 37.5 calls paid up to $1.40, approx. $1.5 million bullish bet

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH): Trade Idea

Buy the following Call Spread for $2.50 or less:

  • Buy to open March 37.5 Calls for $3.30 debit
  • Sell to open March 45 Calls for $0.80 credit

Taking a long term view using options that expire in March, which is 168 days to expiration. Expecting gradual further improvement in fundamentals.

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

Two types of subscription services available JaguarOptions for semi active traders JaguarOptions Pro for active traders with action packed ideas and research

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Special Limited Offer Sign up for JaguarOptions Pro 2 week trial for just $9.99 Follow this link: http://goo.gl/krgc70

JaguarAnalytics

Professional Equity and Options Trading Service

Fully vetted trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technical and Unusual Options Activity. Top Rated Live Trading Room.

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