Jacqueline Keith, J.D. New York Pharma Forum October 16, 2013
J Keith Consulting Corp.
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Jacqueline Keith, J.D. New York Pharma Forum October 16, 2013 J Keith Consulting Corp. Global Environment Vaccine Milestones Public-Private Partnerships Innovative Financing Economic Context Evolving Landscape 2 J Keith
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J Keith Consulting Corp.
Under-5 mortality has declined by ½ over the past 50 years But in least developed countries (LDC’s), 1,500 people die
LDC’s bear 90% of the burden of global infectious disease –
New approaches are needed to foster R&D and timely delivery
The solution lies in inn
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* Source: Bio Venures for Global Health 2012
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Source: GAVI Alliance
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Rajeev Venkayya, MD Head, Vaccines Business Division Takeda Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. New York Pharma Forum
Quotes from Gro Brundland, Jeffrey Sachs, Kofi Annan, Julio Frenk, Bill Gates and others
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Sources: CDC, MMWR April 2, 1999. 48:242-264 and August 24, 2007/56(33);851-863
Disease Annual Morbidity in the US (20th Century) 2006 Percent Decrease Smallpox 48,164 100% Diphtheria 175,885 100% Polio (paralytic) 16,316 100% Rubella 47,745 11 >99% Measles 503,282 55 >99% Hib 20,000 208 99% Mumps 152,209 6,584 96% Pertussis 147,271 15,632 89% Hep A 117,333 3,579 87% Varicella 4,085,120 48,445 85% Hep B 66,232 4,713 80%
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Source: UNICEF and Johns Hopkins University.
The global mortality for children has declined by half over the past 50 years
Novel vaccines and advances in delivery mortality can be cut in half again by 2025 More than 100 million infants are immunized each year with over 2 billion doses of vaccines
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Rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease Hypertensive heart disease Peptic ulcer disease Ischemic heart disease
≥97%
Infectious Diseases
Source: EFPIA 1999 – 2002 Source: Zhou F et al. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med 2005; 159:1136-44.
24,930 5,874 4,890 3,545 2,689 1,456 1,121 993 380 Costs ($M)
(polio, measles, Hib, HBV, Hib etc)
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public health
and has higher R&D success rates than pharmaceuticals
patent expiry
competition
established in the industry
commitment to overcome these barriers
Source: EvaluatePharma, Extracted April 2012; Sanofi Aventis 2008 FY Consolidated Income Statement for Vaccines OpInc 29.8% on Net Sales of EURO 2,861 million; quote from Q12010 Conference Call - CFO Julian Hislop ; industry PTS survey 20
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○Live vaccine ●Inactivated vaccine
August, 2011 Major Japanese government subsidy for pandemic Flu vaccine development May 2013 Acquired Inviragen (Dengue, EV71 candidates) May 2009 Hib vaccine licensed from Novartis December 2010 Vero-cell based influenza vaccine technology licensed from Baxter January, 2012 Launched Global Vaccine Business Division October 2012 Acquired LigoCyte Pharmaceuticals (Norovirus vaccine; VLP technology) 1781 Takeda founded by Chobei Takeda I 1946 Opened manufacturing facility in Hikari for vaccine manufacturing
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Leading causes of outbreak and foodborne
gastroenteritis
220K deaths world wide, mostly infants and
elderly, affects rich and poor
Causes an outbreak every day in the US (on
average), but believed to be underreported
No vaccine is available
The most advanced clinical-stage vaccine
against norovirus in the world
Ph 2 candidate for adults & children, with
potential to be included in childhood immunization programs as 2-3 dose course
Once launched, could become the most widely
used product in Takeda’s history.
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Estimated annual global burden of Dengue
Annual infections In 2010
Source of graphic: Bhatt, S et al. Nature Vol. 496, 504-507 (2013)
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Singapore
Bozeman, MT Legacy LigoCyte capabilities, including CMC (recombinant technology) and Research. Zurich Clinical development and commercial capabilities Fort Collins, CO Clinical testing, early clinical development, corporate operations Madison, WI Preclinical research and vaccine testing capabilities Deerfield, IL VBD Headquarters Hikari Vaccine manufacturing and process development Osaka Clinical development Rio de Janeiro Clinical development, LATAM
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Preclinical Phase II Phase III Phase I DTaP + sIPV (Pediatric Combination) Dengue Tetravalent Live Attenuated Virus Norovirus Bivalent VLP Submitted Marketed DTaP Japanese encephalitis Pandemic Flu Cell Culture based inactivated virus Hib (Conjugated Polysaccaride) EV71 Inactivated Virus Chikungunya Live Attenuated Virus RSV (VLP) Rotavirus (VLP) Seasonal Flu Cell Culture based inactivated virus Mumps Measles Rubella Varicella
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*Excluding the DTaP+sIPV combination, which preceded the launch of VBD
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Bill Gates Annual Letter (2010)
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CAGR: 2% Lipitor Humira CAGR: 14%
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investment
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Source: Clinical Trials.gov
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Sanofi 90 mcg single dose (placebo group post-boost ) Sanofi 90 mcg two doses (NEJM study) Ad4-H5-Vtn 1E10 Protein Boost Ad4-H5-Vtn 1E11 Protein Boost
166 subjects; placebo controlled; groups received 3 oral doses of Ad4-H5 (or placebo) plus a single injection of licensed Sanofi H5N1 vaccine.