New York Pharma Forum NIF Ventures
JUNE 23, 2005 Goro Takeda
New York Pharma Forum NIF Ventures JUNE 23, 2005 Goro Takeda New - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
New York Pharma Forum NIF Ventures JUNE 23, 2005 Goro Takeda New York Pharma Forum June 23, 2005 CONFIDENTIAL NIF Ventures At a Glance Global VC Firm with Over 20 Years of Operational History Founded in 1982 $1.4B under management
JUNE 23, 2005 Goro Takeda
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New York Pharma Forum – June 23, 2005
Global VC Firm with Over 20 Years of Operational History
Founded in 1982 $1.4B under management Offices in Tokyo, Palo Alto, Taipei, & Shanghai Active in life sciences, IT, and business services
Financing Life Science Innovations
8 dedicated LS investment professionals 91 investments since 1987, 24 exits via IPO or M&A
Venture Investor with Strong Track Record
Largest local Biotech IPO market share: recent IPO’s include Transgenic
(02), Medibic (03), LTT Biiopharma &TakaraBio (04), Medicinova & Effector Cell (05)
Maturing US/European portfolio: Cyclacel, AlgoRx & Prestwick have filed
S-1 (TolerRx withdrawn)
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New York Pharma Forum – June 23, 2005
Current active portfolio comprises 47 in Japan, 11 in US and 7 in Europe
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Continued dialog with 20+ Pharma BD groups Sponsoring business development events
Pharma/Biotech attended
Japanese Pharma actively out-licensing to US Biotech Molecules having failed in certain indications, which may be developed in others, i.e., repositioning Individual assets: non-core therapeutic area products, under-promoted products Fully operational units/divisions Special purpose R&D vehicles Make a lot of economic sense, at least in theory… Out-licensing De-prioritized Assets Corporate Spin-outs Sourcing In-licensing Opportunities
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New York Pharma Forum – June 23, 2005
Licensor Licensee Compound Date
Shionogi Peninsula Doripenem 5/28/03 Takeda Peninsula TAK-599 10/1/03 Kyowa Hakko Novacardia KW-3902 10/9/03 Dainippon Sunesis SPC-595 10/16/03 Sankyo Cyclacel SC-682 12/8/03 Mitsubishi Dynogen MCI-225 12/22/03 Otsuka Vela VPI-013 4/2/04 Fujisawa Gloucester FK-228 4/16/04 Nippon Shinyaku Optimer Prulifloxacin 6/29/04 Daiichi-Suntory Replidyne Faropenem Daloxate 8/17/04 Mitsubishi Dynogen Pumosetrag 11/4/04 Mitsubishi Perlegen Sciences MCC-555 4/12/05
Source: NIF Ventures
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New York Pharma Forum – June 23, 2005
Drastic Changes in Corporate Mentality Conglomerates/cross-shareholdings unwinding Emergence of more vocal, foreign institutional shareholders increase market pressure - 7 of top 10 Pharma have >30% foreign shareholders Large Pharma finally consolidating and divesting non-core assets Favorable IPO Environment Large Market & Solid Core Competencies/ Leverageable Business Fastest aging population; $66.4 billion Rx market (2003) Global blockbuster drugs discovered in Japan (Pravacol, Precid, Aricept) Academia has increasing interests in start-ups; TLO’s becoming more professional and actively involved Highly fragmented businesses, creating significant spin-out
490 IPO’s from 1/01 – 12/04 in JASDAQ/Mothers/Hercules compared to 443 in NASDAQ, 463 in AIM Total offerings $13.2 billion in 2004, up 220% from $6 billing in 2003 Steady demand for Biotech IPO’s - no “Window Closing” Lower maturity hurdles for IPO access; IPO market still rewarding early stage companies with favorable valuations
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Source: Lehman Brothers
12 companies out of 15 Biotech IPO’s trading below their IPO prices… …Current Biotech stock performance highlights fundamental issues for Japanese Biotech industry.
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New York Pharma Forum – June 23, 2005
Small Research Coverage Universe Banks would not support dedicated Biotech analysts unless there is a meaningful number of product-based companies Without Biotech analysts institutional investors are reluctant to take significant position in Biotech papers Concentration in Retail Investors Platform Technology Dominate Will platform companies be able to maintain sustainable growth? Will they be able to transform from platform to product-based company when they need? IPO Overpricing & High Volatility 12 companies out of 15 Biotech IPO’s have traded down - possibly
Valuation methodologies unclear Extremely high volatility post IPO; tend to overreact to announcements in newspapers and downward fiscal revisions Most public Biotech companies have >1000 shareholders!! Vs. 20 or so in US Less educated investors unable to appreciate Pharma R&D process Investment time horizon very short - based on earnings Lack of Managerial Talent Still significant stigma attached to “venture” or “Biotech” Lack of late stage companies that could attract experienced Pharma talents Where have the 1000 people gone who left as a result of Yamanouchi/Fujisawa merger?
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New York Pharma Forum – June 23, 2005
Source: Lehman Brothers
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Capital Intensity Corporate Spin-outs Product vs Platform M&A Market As Route To Exit How do you sustain mid- to long-term growth? History has taught that transforming from platform technology to product-based company is extremely difficult, require different skill sets Will capital intensity be a norm; $20-30M pre-IPO in Japan vs $100M pre-IPO in US? Given limited appetite from pension funds investing in technology focused VC funds, how will we match increased capital requirements? A lot of successful examples in US and Europe: Actelion, Basilea, BioXell (Roche), Seattle Genetics (BMS), Biovitrum (Pharmacia), Affymax (GSK) Will Japanese Pharma be open to spinning-out fully operational units/divisions or a portfolio of assets? A robust US M&A market for early stage Biotech provides alternative route for exits to shareholders Japanese Biotech too immature to be considered a credible acquisition candidate for Pharma
To catch up we need to capitalize on US experiences – successes and mistakes.
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5/12/05 4/19/05 3/9/05 2/24/05 2/7/05 1/20/05 9/28/04 9/1/04 9/1/04 2/23/04 TARGET/ ACQUIROR Cephalon/ Salmedix JNJ/ Penninsula JNJ/ Transform Pfizer/ Idun Takeda/ Syrrx Pfizer/ Angiosyn Exelixis/ X-Ceptor MGI/ Zycos MGI/ Aesgen Merck/ Aton BUSINESS DESCRIPTION Oncology/ Specialty Anti-infective/ Specialty Formulation/ Platform Apoptosis/ Platform SBDD/ Platform Angiogenesis/ Platform NHR/ Platform DNA/ Platform DDS/ Platform Oncology/ Platform TRANSACTION VALUE ($ in MM) $200 $258 $230 $285 $270 $527 $23 $50 $90 $75 Upfront $160 $245 $230 $285 $270 $15 $23 $50 $32 small upfront Contingent $40 Cerexa OS $512 $58 # OF COMPOUNDS Marketed Phase III 1 1 Phase II 3 1 1 1 1 1 Phase I 1 1 Preclinical 2 4 1 3 TOTAL VC$ $143 $93 $60 $156 $135 $1.75 $25 $54 $22 $49 LAST POST $105 $105 NA $71 $228 $4 $30 $33 $36 $52
Selected M&A Transactions for Development Stage Private Biotech
Source: Lazard
11
12
13
14
Source: VentureSource
Seed Round First Round Second Round Later Stage
5600 4200 2800 1400 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 (Q1)
$MMs
15
Discovery-Based Companies
“Biotech” “Specialty Pharma”
Clinical Stage Companies Sales & Marketing Companies
2000 IPOs
2004 IPOs
Source: Kaufman & Co.
16
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Number of Bioventure Companies in Japan
108 126 149 169 209 255 316 383 440 464 100 200 300 400 500 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Change in Number of Japanese Bioventures 8 9 6 6 17 12 18 23 20 40 46 61 67 57 24 50 100 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
(Source Japan Bioindustry Association)
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Company Date of IPO
Intec Web and Genome Informatics December 2000 Precision System Science February 2001 Anges MG September 2002 Transgenic December 2002 Medibic September 2003 Medinet October 2003 Oncotherapy Science December 2003 Soiken December 2003 DNA Chip Institute March 2004 Sosei July 2004
Source: Hiroshi Nakamura, Keio University Business School
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The contents of this document are based on materials available at the time of its compilation and no guarantee can be made as to the continued accuracy and reliability of the material. The contents may be changed without advance notification. This document contains forward-looking statements regarding results and projections. However, risks and uncertainties including changes to economic circumstances may cause results and projections to differ materially from those presented in the document. The information in this document is for presentational purposes only and is not an inducement to invest in securities issued by JAFCO
Kenji Harada Life Science Investment Dept. JAFCO CO., Ltd.
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JAFCO Investment (Asia Pacific) Ltd JAFCO America Ventures, Inc.
as of Mar. 2004
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high
seed early middle later IPO
stages value
Total 141 investors
14 investors 93 investors 15 investors 19 investors
As of April ‘05
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Medical Device 17% Diagnosis 6% Agribio 1%
Platform techs 18%
Biopharmaceuticals 58%
58% 58%
Vintage Yr. 1990-94 20 Exits out of 24 Investments IRR: 15% 1995-99 14 Exits out of 25 Investments IRR: 28%
Early 1990s Late 1990s 2000 ~ Platform technology Biopharmaceutical
Sepracor CombiChem Dynavax Technologies Cephalon Aurora Biosciences Targacept ISIS Pharmaceuticals Kinetix Pharmaceuticals Hypnion Ribozyme Genset Medicinova PPL Therapeutics Oxford GlycoSciences Predix Pharmaceuticals
since 1985 72 investments to date, 32 made IPO, 15 M&A as exits.
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as of Mar. 2004
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11 Nov.2003 We had 11 US biotech companies as presenters. 29 Japanese major pharmaceutical companies attended. 16 Nov. 2004 We had 9 from US and 4 from Japan as presenters 24 Japanese major pharmaceutical companies attended
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78 102 142 209 314 435 531 799 1099 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 96 97 98 99 2000 2001 2002 2003 Mar- 05
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30 38.1% 11.0% 30.0% 11.3% 15.7% 8.9% 3.4% 3.2% 18.9%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% Others Education Energy Environment Machines Materials IT(Hardware) IT(Software) Biotech
Some companies are double counted
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Source: JBA 2004 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Number of biotech companies in Japan
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Drug discovery & Healthcare Others Ph 3 / NDA: 3 companies Ph 1 / Ph 2: 4 companies
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(Sep. 2004)
(Nov. 2004) JAFCO lead
(Feb. 2004)
(Jan. 2004) JAFCO lead
(Aug. 2004) JAFCO co-lead
(Jul. 2004) JAFCO co-lead
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Largest financing of private companies in 2004 Raising capitals with IPO
$35MM
$25MM
$20MM
$19MM
03/12 $ 80MM
04/07 $112MM
04/12 $ 80MM
05/02 $120MM
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JAPAN US Q1 2005 Average of amount raised IPO $41M IPO $39M Average of amount raised Secondary $29M Secondary $69M Average of market cap $311M $290M $489M N=16 N=5 N=17 Drug discovery Others Deficit Average of amount raised IPO $61M IPO $28M IPO$ 45M Average of market cap $305M $315M $303M N= 6 N=10 N= 5 16 Biotechnology/medical companies listed on the stock market in Japan
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From questionnaires of METI Biotech companies are looking for human
companies
Biotech All Research & Development 79% 67% Finance 52% 46% Manager 49% 43% Business & Sales 49% 47% Production & Manufacturing 37% 32% Patent 36% 29% Planning 34% 30% Marketing 28% 27% Others 11% 18%