INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q1 2019 31 May 2019 DISCLAIMER This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q1 2019 31 May 2019 DISCLAIMER This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q1 2019 31 May 2019 DISCLAIMER This presentation (hereinafter the Presentation) of the Alliance Oil Company (hereinafter the AOC) was prepared exclusively for the information purposes in order to improve
This presentation (hereinafter – the “Presentation”) of the Alliance Oil Company (hereinafter – the “AOC”) was prepared exclusively for the information purposes in order to improve the transparency of disclosure of relevant information and materials
- f AOC and establish a continuous dialogue with investors.
The data contained in this Presentation constitutes the confidential information of the AOC group of companies and shall not be disclosed or transmitted to any third parties without the prior written consent of the disclosing party. The information contained in this Presentation was prepared and provided by the AOC structural departments. These data can be changed with the course of time and are subject to regular update and amendment. This presentation is not an offer or solicitation of an offer and does not cause creation of any rights or obligations from the AOC and/or potential partners to carry out transactions or to enter into negotiations on cooperation. The information provided in this Presentation is not an offer or proposition to conclude an agreement. AOC makes no warranty in respect of the accuracy or reliability of the information contained in the Presentation and accepts no liability for any losses suffered by third parties arising from inaccuracy or unreliability of such information as well as for other negative effects. 2
DISCLAIMER
On 1 June 2017 the Office of Foreign Assets Control of U.S. Department of the Treasury (“OFAC”) included AO Nezavisimaya Neftegazovaya Kompaniya and AO NNK-Primornefteproduct, subsidiaries of the Group, to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons list (“SDN List”). Sanctions were imposed pursuant to the US President Executive Order No. 13722 of 15 March 2016, concerning blocking the property of the Government of North Korea and the Workers’ party of Korea, and prohibiting certain transactions with North Korea. The Group cooperates with OFAC on all arising matters. The Group has received a confirmation from The Bank of New York Mellon of the current absence of obstacles for the provision of services and payments settlement under the Group’s existing Eurobonds. As of now there are no further developments that the Group is able to report. Information will be updated accordingly. 3
Operating Environment
Q1 2019 Market Environment
4 Q1 2019 results were negatively affected by weak ruble Q-on-Q, stabilization of crude oil price had a positive impact on downstream economics
Indicator Q1 2019 average Q1 2018 average % Brent, USD/bbl 63.20 66.55
- 5%
Exchange rate, USD/RUB 66.13 56.88 +16% Indicator Q1 2019 average Q1 2018 average % Naphtha, USD/bbl 56.07 63.25
- 11%
Diesel fuel, USD/bbl 76.38 78.36
- 3%
Fuel oil, USD/bbl 60.52 55.49 +9%
USD/bbl RUB/USD
Crude oil prices and exchange rates Oil products prices
USD/bbl 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 20,00 30,00 40,00 50,00 60,00 70,00 80,00 90,00 100,00 110,00 120,00 Brent Exchange rate 20 40 60 80 100 120 Naphtha Diesel fuel (Gasoil 500 ppm) Fuel oil (HSFO 180)
5
HIGHLIGHTS FOR Q1 2019
Indicator Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Comments
Financial Results
Revenue, MUSD
936 866
Increase primarily due to higher crude oil and oil products prices and volumes
EBITDA, MUSD
119 70
Increased profitability of downstream segment due to income on reverse excise tax, increase in sales prices and volumes and stabilization of crude oil price purchased for refining
Net Result, MUSD
82 (18)
Net profit primarily resulted from increased profitability of downstream segment and FX gains
Adjusted Result1, MUSD
17 (19)
Increased profitability of downstream segment
Operational Results
Production, mboe
4.0 4.0
Stable volumes
Refining volumes, mbbl
9.0 9.1
Stable volumes
Throughput, mbbl
8.8 8.9
Stable volumes
1 Adjusted Result is defined as the Group’s Net Result adjusted for non-cash items such as foreign currency exchange gain/(loss),
modification loss on loans, allowance for deferred tax assets and other significant one-off items in profit or loss.
Q1 2019 production:
1.2 mboe (31%)1 Timano-Pechora
Q1 2019 production:
0.8 mboe (21%) Tomsk
UPSTREAM OPERATIONS Crude Oil and Gas Reserves and Production
6
Notes: (1) Percentage in consolidated Alliance Oil Company production. (2) As per DeGolyer & MacNaughton as of 31 December 2018.
Alliance Oil Company, consolidated
Q1 2019 production:
1.9 mboe (48%) Volga-Urals and Kazakhstan
2P oil reserves: 526.9 mboe2 2P gas reserves: 41.7 mboe Q1 2019 production: 4.0 mboe (average daily: 44,480 boepd)
7
UPSTREAM OPERATIONS Crude Oil and Gas Production
Hydrocarbon Production, mboe Hydrocarbon Production, boepd
Implemented 34 well interventions, launched 12 new wells for Q1 2019 Due to successful interventions oil production has stabilized. Previous decrease in production explained by minimal capital expenditures in 2016-2017 due to negative macro parameters The Group has USD 138 mln of capital commitments for Upstream segment capital construction The Group expects to further stabilize its production trend
44 388 42 912 42 971 44 741 44 480 40 000 42 000 44 000 46 000 48 000 50 000
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 4,0 3,9 4,0 4,1 4,0
0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019
UPSTREAM OPERATIONS Crude Oil Sales
Crude Oil Sales, mbbl
8
Increase primarily due to trading in crude oil purchased from third parties, the Group's market position allows to secure favorable trading margin
1,8 1,7 1,8 1,9 1,0 2,2
2 4 6
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Export Domestic Produced Domestic Re-sold
4,6 5,8
UPSTREAM OPERATIONS Crude Oil Netbacks
Crude Oil Netback Prices, USD/bbl
9
Notes: The netback prices are calculated by deducting VAT, railway and pipeline transportation costs (for Russian domestic sales) or transportation, export duty, brokers’ commission and certain other costs (for export sales).
Domestic netbacks affected by tax maneuver since Q1 2019
47,3 58,7 53,0 46,7 46,3 44,8 52,2 52,6 43,6 46,5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Export Domestic
Notes: The net prices are calculated by deducting VAT.
10
UPSTREAM OPERATIONS Gas Sales and Price
Gas and Gas Liquids Sales, kboe Gas and Gas Liquids Prices, USD/boe
Gas liquids prices affected by crude oil quotes
324 222 54 33
50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Sold volume of gas, kboe Sold volume of gas liqids, kboe
8,7 7,6 7,5 7,5 7,5 41,9 46,6 56,5 54,2 44,4
10 20 30 40 50 60
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019
Gas net price, USD/boe Gas Liquids net price, USD/boe
UPSTREAM OPERATIONS Crude Oil and Gas Sales
Revenue from Sales of Crude Oil, Gas and Gas Liquids, MUSD
11
Revenue increased primarily due to trading in crude oil purchased from third parties and more favorable domestic netbacks as a result of tax maneuver
93 87 84 91 47 107
50 100 150 200 250 300
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Export Domestic Produced Domestic Re-sold
224 285
Retail gas stations: 15
The Republic of Buryatia Refining volumes: Q1 2019: 100,427 bopd (Q1 2018: 100,956 bopd) Throughput: Q1 2019: 8.8 mbbl (Q1 2018: 8.9 mbbl) Khabarovsk Oil Refinery
DOWNSTREAM OPERATIONS Assets and Refining volumes
12
Retail gas stations: 18 Marine terminals: 1 Jet fuel depot: 1
Kamchatka region
Operating retail gas stations: 288 Oil depots: 20 (including 8 oil depots conserved) Marine terminals: 3 Jet fuel depot: 1 Railway tankers: 1,451
TOTAL
Retail gas stations: 255 Oil depots: 20 (including 8 oil depots conserved) Marine terminals: 2 Railway tankers: 1,451
Far East: Amur, Primor and Khabarovsk regions
DOWNSTREAM OPERATIONS Khabarovsk Oil Refinery
Oil Products Breakdown in Q1 2019, % Refining volumes, bopd Refining throughput, mbbl Light oil products yield,%
13
100 956 100 427 Q1 2018 Q1 2019 8,9 8,8 9,0 9,0 Q1 2018 Q1 2019 63,5% 59,6% Q1 2018 Q1 2019
38% 19% 20% 19% 4%
Fuel oil Marine fuel Gasoline Diesel fuel Others
DOWNSTREAM OPERATIONS Oil Products Sales
Oil Products Sales, mbbl
14
Increase in retail volumes due to strong demand The Group resumed bunkering sales in Q3 2018 (terminated in Q3 2017)
1,5 1,8 3,4 5,3 2,0 1,9 2,2
2 4 6 8 10
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Export Bunkering Wholesale Retail
8,7 9,5
15
DOWNSTREAM OPERATIONS Oil Products Prices
Oil Products Net Prices, USD/bbl
Retail USD prices decreased Q-on-Q due to RUB depreciation Export and bunkering prices fluctuated roughly in line with crude oil prices The Group resumed bunkering sales in Q3 2018 (terminated in Q3 2017)
65 70 74 64 59 39 54 44 63 67 82 73 88 104 97 94 93 95 20 40 60 80 100 120
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019
Export Bunkering Wholesale Retail
DOWNSTREAM OPERATIONS Oil Products Sales
Revenue from sales of oil products, MUSD
16
Q-on-Q revenue increased due to increase in both average price and sales volumes
98 107 149 335 178 194 206
200 400 600 800
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Export Bunkering Wholesale Retail
641 627
FINANCIALS
17
Profit or loss, MUSD
Financial position, MUSD
Cash flows, MUSD
Macro
Q1 2019 Q1 2018
RUB/USD exchange rate, average 66.13 56.88 Brent, average 63.20 66.55 Revenue 936 866 FХ gain/(loss) from non-financing activities 60 (2) Operating income 131 21 EBITDA 119 70 EBITDA Margin 13% 8% FХ gain from financing activities 11 2 Profit/(Loss) for the period 82 (18) Adjusted Result 17 (19) Total assets 3,783 3,948 Cash and cash equivalents 276 238 Total debt 1,854 2,082 Total cash generated from operating activities 235 109 Total cash used in investing activities (49) (39) Total cash used in financing activities (46) (19)
Revenue Breakdown, MUSD
18
FINANCIALS Segment Performance
Notes: Segment revenue is based on total sold volumes including external and intra-group. Segment revenue excludes other income.
Upstream segment revenue increased primarily due to trading in crude oil purchased from third parties and more favorable netbacks as a result of tax maneuver Downstream segment revenue increased due to increase in both average price and sales volumes
224 285 627 641 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1 000
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Upstream Downstream
FINANCIALS Segment Performance
EBITDA Distribution, MUSD
Notes: EBITDA for Upstream and Downstream segments is based on IFRS financial information. Segment EBITDA is based on total sold volumes including external and intra-group.
19
EBITDA, USD/bbl
Upstream segment EBITDA:
- increased mineral extraction tax, share of trading transactions with lower margin in the structure
- f crude oil sales and RUB depreciation resulted in decreased EBITDA Q-on-Q
Downstream segment EBITDA:
- increased due to income on reverse excise tax, higher average price and sales volumes,
stabilization of crude oil price purchased for refining
73 68 14 66
20 40 60 80
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Upstream Downstream 14,6 11,1 1,7 7,0
0,0 2,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 10,0 12,0 14,0 16,0 18,0 20,0
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Upstream Downstream
FINANCIALS Upstream Economics
20
Notes: (1) Based on total upstream sold volume including external and intra-group; (2) Selling, administrative and other income/expenses, include transportation tariffs and
- ther selling expenses, administrative expenses and other operating income/expense.
Crude oil economics negatively affected by increased mineral extraction tax and RUB depreciation
Crude Oil Economics, USD/bbl1 Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Revenue
48.05 47.42
Production Costs
(5.39) (6.54)
Production and Other Taxes
(22.48) (18.56)
SG&A and Other2
(2.00) (3.24)
EBITDA
18.18 19.08
Gas and Gas Liquids Economics, USD/boe Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Revenue
12.29 13.42
Production Costs
(3.42) (2.73)
Production and Other Taxes
(3.56) (3.72)
SG&A and Other
(0.09) (0.08)
EBITDA
5.22 6.89
Crude Oil (resale) Economics, USD/bbl Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Revenue
47.44 48.59
Cost of purchased oil
(47.13) (47.43)
EBITDA
0.31 1.16
FINANCIALS Downstream Economics
Notes: (1) Based on total downstream sold volume including external and intra-group; (2) Selling, administrative and other income/expenses, include transportation tariffs and other selling expenses, administrative expenses and other operating income/expense.
21
Downstream economics positively affected by income on reverse excise tax and stabilization of crude oil price purchased for refining
Downstream Economics, USD/bbl1 Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Revenue
67.85 72.24
Refining
(3.16) (3.31)
Crude Oil Transportation
(3.57) (4.39)
Cost of Crude Oil
(39.31) (46.33)
Excise and Other Taxes
(2.49) (8.09)
Oil Products Purchased for Resale
(6.54) (1.97)
SG&A and Other2
(5.82) (6.48)
EBITDA
6.96 1.67
FINANCIALS Debt Portfolio
Cash on balance MUSD 276 Leverage dynamics
22
Total debt of MUSD 1,8543 Net debt of MUSD 1,578 Net debt to EBITDA of 3.82:
- restriction on additional loans and
borrowing Loans and borrowings Maturity Profile1, MUSD Loans and borrowings by currency as of 31 March 2019, MUSD2
Notes: (1) Future cash flows for the repayment of loan principal. (2) Including interest accrued and net of unamortized issue costs. (3) Including financing component of long-term advances received. 406 644 238 303 358 661 302 300 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Within one year Within second year Within years three and four Five years and more As at 31 December 2018 As at 31 March 2019
1 132 69% 512 31%
RUB bonds and bank loans USD Eurobonds
43; 3% 1 601; 97%
Secured debt Unsecured debt 2 082 2 028 1 943 1 699 1 854 1 844 1 889 1 780 1 566 1 578 4,62 4,19 4,25 4,35 3,82 0,00 1,00 2,00 3,00 4,00 5,00 6,00 7,00 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000 2 200
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019
Total debt, MUSD Net debt, MUSD Net debt/EBITDA
23
FINANCIALS Capital Expenditures
Historical CAPEX1, MUSD
Notes: (1) CAPEX excluding financial costs capitalized and paid
High level of CAPEX in the previous years related to the reconstruction of the Khabarovsk Refinery, which is
- completed. Any future CAPEX will be attributable to sustaining of production in both segments
262 112 73 78 63 147 444 245 60 30 33 24
- 100
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Upstream Downstream 21 42 38 46 46 5 7 5 7 4
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Upstream Downstream