Investor Presentation
March 2014
All figures as at end of 4Q-2013, unless otherwise stated
Investor Presentation March 2014 All figures as at end of 4Q-2013, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation March 2014 All figures as at end of 4Q-2013, unless otherwise stated Outline 1. SODIC Achievements 1. Egypt Real Estate Market Update A. Fundamentals Intact B. Mitigating Inflationary Pressures 2. SODIC Updates A. 2013
All figures as at end of 4Q-2013, unless otherwise stated
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1 Number of employees including subsidiaries
Net Contracted Sales
Units Sold
units Deliveries
1528 mln of revenues
units across 7 different projects Number of Employees
workers Backlog
some EGP 4.0 bln
EGP 5 bln
100s of lives
affecting over 5,000 families Amenities
schools, a medical center, state-of-the-art office park and several retail complexes Development
development
EGP 5.5 bln
4
years
individuals
annum
annually
Private Vs. Public Contribution3 Unit Supply Shortage2 Strong Demographics1
24% Above 40 Years 44% Below 20 Years 32% Between 20 & 40 Years
100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Supply Demand Gap
Estimated Yearly Demand**
Gap of some 200,000 units annually
units
200,000 units per annum
residential supply from private sector
and poor quality
residential supply & demand gap
1 Source: Central Agency for Public Mobilization & Statistics (CAPMAS) and Ministry of Housing (MOH) – September 2012 Egypt Statistical Report . 2 Supply figures source: Central Agency for Public Mobilization & Statistics (CAPMAS) – September 2012 Egypt Statistical Report; Demand figures: no official figures exist, figure based
3 Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, CAPMAS, American Chamber
5 25% Public Sector Supply 75% Private Sector Supply
Despite inflationary pressures, SODIC’s profitability margins are augmenting
Raising selling prices/Higher down payments How real estate developers mitigate the current & expected inflationary pressures? Forge strategic alliances with industry leaders in volatile raw materials Design efficiencies Pressuring contractors’ margins
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Shortening development cycle
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SODIC’s solid KPIs signal steady growth & improved financial & operational efficiency
KPI (in EGP mln unless otherwise stated) 2013
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2012 Variance
Gross Contracted Sales Net Contracted Sales Cash Collected Development CAPEX (excluding land) Number of Units Delivered (units) Value of Units Delivered Normalised Gross Profit Actual Gross Profit Normalised Net Profit Actual Net Profit Debt Raised/Secured
2,730 2,478 1,800 1,600 52% 55%
Number of Units Sold (units)
1,409 924 52% 1,292 750 72% 802 752 7% 680 441 54% 1,530 1,402 9% 535 517 3% 355 517
229 257
257
900 170 429%
One-off cancellations1 and impairment2 overshadow solid operational performance resulting in lower profitability (Gross Profit & Net Profit). Otherwise, 2013 shows bettered results. Cash at banks & on hand
453 320 42%
1 Reversal of previously booked revenues related to two large exceptional sale transactions, amounting to EGP 242 million. 2 A one-off, non-cash, impairment charge on SODIC’s Syrian investment has taken place with an amount of EGP 478 million.
Project Status Master plan
to be paid and relevant settlement terms are still being finalised.
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1 Retail & commercial plots are currently in master-planning phase. We will update market once finalised.
Project Status Master plan
their legal disputes. As a result, 250,000 sqm of land within Westown is now free of encumbrance of any nature.
medical centers located in SODIC West)
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1 As at 5th of March, 2014 (i.e: taking into account phase X launch on some 70k sqm of gross land area)
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execution
SODIC Strategy
bank
middle income market
capacity Maintain balance sheet potency
develop market relevant products
Maintain and accelerate construction on contracted units to ensure collecting c.EGP 4 billion of outstanding receivables and cement SODIC’s reputation as a delivery oriented developer.
Continue to explore various deal structures with land owners/developers, allowing for minimal initial capital requirements.
Building on the success of Westown Residences & Eastown Residences, continue to develop such successful products
After having achieved a balanced mid-income formula, one of SODIC’s priority’s is to find suitable land to start such project
SODIC’s current organistaional structure is geared to reach: annual sales
Maintain SODIC’s strong balance sheet with clear guidelines on unit delivery, construction, cash collection, new sales and debt management.
SODIC will continue to diversify its development portfolio across multiple segments (residential, commercial & retail) and classes (high, upper-mid & mid-income) to optimise value in addition to creating recurring revenue stream from leasable assets
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1 As at 5/3/2014. 2 Expected spending on launched projects and excludes any land liabilities.
Proven launched Products
& community centric
construction
taste
a larger client-segment
Leveraging Existing Platform
cycle
across Cairo & Greater Cairo
In-House Capabilities
product solutions filling market gaps
complete communities
enhance returns
management – lowers construction cost
new contracted sales of some EGP 545 million”
New Contracted Sales
Westown Retail Hub
Project Execution & Delivery
inventory of some EGP 1 billion
Inventory Status
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New Investment Opportunities Land Acquisition Options New Government Auctions Secondary Sale
frame
upside/risk
November 2013 for some land plots in premium locations
installments: payment on 4 years Vs. historical 10 years, making it less attractive for developers
SODIC is seeking both options in parallel to increase shareholder value
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2013
Some EGP 8.7 billion of net sales since 2008 of which 57% yet to be recognized
Annual Net Sales (EGP Million)
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1 Monthly Sales from January 2008 to December 2013. Unrecognized revenues accounting for EGP 5 billion as at 31st of Dec 2013.
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Residences “ETR” phases 1 to 4 account to 50% of total sales
2,478
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
launch
units contracted
2.7 Billion Regular Operating Environment Global Financial Recession
EGP 250 million of sales
EGP 4.6 Billion Regular Operating Environment
Polygon
“WTR” Phase 1
735 million in cancellations
4.6 Billion Jan 25th Revolution
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billion
EGP 6.2 Billion Regular Operating Environment
1,884 849 1,839 1,619 6
June 30th Revolution
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 Monthly Cumulative Sales (EGP Millions)
GPM of 38% on some EGP 8 billion of unit sales
Expected Lease Revenues
Sellable Inventory Profitability 1 Percentage Sold (Value)
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1 All figures in EGP unless otherwise stated. 2 Expected total gross profit for sold project portfolio, excluding NPV adjustment. 3 Represents the gross profit achieved, not recognised and based on actual net contracted sales.. 4 Unsold 9% of total Allegria inventory amounts to EGP 375 mln (24 units), showing average price per unit of EGP 15 mln.
Total Inventory Projects’ GPM 2 Sold Inventory Gross Profit 3 Project (EGP millions) Allegria4 Polygon Forty West KP WTR (I-IX) Total 4,374 40% 4,003 1,592 587 34% 337 115 567 27% 342 92 600 31% 600 185 1,696 41% 1,573 648
9,042 38% 3,086
Sold Unsold 91% 9% 57% 60% 40% 100% 93%
7%
88% 12% Sales / Lease Ratio 100% 62% 83% 100% 100%
ETR (I-IV) 1,218 38% 1,207 454 99%
1 %
100%
8,062
1,174
600 900 1,200
100 150 200 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Cumulative Lease Revenues EGP Million Annual Lease Revenues EGP Million Polygon Forty West The Strip Westown Hub Cumulative Lease Revenues 32 78 104 117 123 129 136 144 152 158
1,773 2,224 1,600 1,700 1,800 1,900 2,000 2,100 2,200 2,300 2,400 H1 2013 H2 2013
GP per gross land area (EGP/sqm)
Westown Launches
(All figures in EGP millions, unless
Total Revenues Total Development Cost 1 Gross Profit per Gross Land H1 2012 741 425 1,105 H2 2012 440 254 1,545 H1 2013 129 70 1,815 H2 2013 385 189 2,430
Eastown Launches
(All figures in EGP millions, unless otherwise stated)
Total Revenues Total Development Cost 1 Gross Profit per Gross Land 921 597 1,773 294 163 2,224 H1 2013 H2 2013 Gross Land (sqm) 255,462 110,386 31,570 77,620 Gross Land (sqm) 182,384 58,897 Gross Profit Margin 38% 39% 44% 49% Gross Profit Margin 35% 45%
Upward profitability trends in WTR & ETR enhancing land utilization
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1 Development cost includes CAPEX & land cost and excludes capitalized technical department wages.
1,105 2,430 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013
GP per gross land area (EGP/sqm)
SODIC delivered some 680 units across 7 different projects, namely: Allegria, Kattameya Plaza, Forty West, The Polygon, The Strip, Casa & WT Residences
Project
Number of Units Delivered Units % Delivered Investment Cost2 % Completion3 Delivery Start Date Delivery End Date
1 Figures represent Polygon phase I. 2 Investment cost represents the expected construction and infrastructure budget, excluding land cost. Figures are in EGP millions. 3 Percentage of completion represents the actual earned value. Calculated on a weighted average basis per project phase. 4 Westown Residneces Phase I shows an 86% development completion on a standalone basis. 5 CASA is a jointly owned project (80% Palm Hills & 20% SODIC). SODIC owns 63 apartments only.
Over 4,000 units under development (36% delivered) with an investment cost of some EGP 5.4 billion
Delivery Execution
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Allegria Kattameya Plaza Forty West
WT Residences (I-IX)
The Polygon1 The Strip WT Hub
Total
1,254 1,040 83% 2010 2,275 96% 466 284 61% 2013 339 97% 133 22 17% 2012 489 72% 1,075 34 3% 2013 930 54%4 250 61 24% 2013 612 76% 73 18 25% 2012 135 81% 45
71 90%
4,138 1,483 36% From 2010 to 2016 5,445 NA
2015 2015 2015 2016 2015 2014 2014 ET Residences (I-IV) 808
594 5% 2016 CASA5 63 24 38% 2013 NA NA 2013
Delivering on approximately 1,500 units since 2010
259 Units 110 Units 444 Units 683 Units Total deliveries per year Number of units
20 110 369 813 1,496
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2010 A 2011 A 2012 A 2013 A CASA WTR PH 1 Kattameya Plaza Polygon The Strip Forty West Allegria Total Cumulative Deliveries
SODIC is burning land at an average rate of 500-600k sqm per annum, showing visibility of 4-5 years at the same rate of sales (EGP 2-2.5 mln annually)
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1 As at 3/3/2014. 2 Excludes land payments or any land to be bought.
Development
market-relevant products
Growth-Centered Platform
Continue to: deliver existing projects, create vibrant communities & launch in-demand products
Sales
platform of EGP 3.5 billion annually
Execution
million in 2013
annual execution capacity
Delivery
delivered during 2013
to be delivered
years (2014-16)
Liquidity
some EGP 400 million
securing EGP 900 million syndicated loan
Management Focus
Deliver on current obligations: protecting outstanding receivables of some EGP 4 billion Replenish land bank: ensuring long-term visibility and sustainability
Maximize Shareholders’ Value
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About SODIC Group
Diversified company base with a wide range of core competencies
Some EGP 8.7 billion of net contracted sales since 2008 9 launched projects with
units valued over EGP 10 billion Egypt’s raw land bank of some 2.5 million sqm Edara ISO Certification 9001: 2000 for quality of property & facility management 24
Fully Integrated Developer
Strength Description
achieving optimal business cases
development and sales team
evolve & optimize products
Process Driven Development
conditions including:
Full Cycle Experience
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Post-revolution strategy shift of launching market-tailored projects
New market needs
potential customers
2009 recession
Assessments
4 key elements to target “Upper Middle Income Class”
Outcomes
New products with ticket price of EGP 0.8 – 2.8 million
Actions
Unparalleled success of WTR I - IX
Results
1 Sales as at March 2014.
Board of Directors & Ownership Structure
Management with full economic cycle experience, successfully navigated global recession & revolutions A development
capable of monetizing land positions at
Diverse team assembled since 2006 with untapped capacity Transitioned from entrepreneurial to corporate
Executive Management
Chief Technical Officer
Konings
Chief Financial Officer
Hamawy
Chief Projects Officer
Halwagy
Chief Commercial Officer
Labib
Chief Projects Development Officer
Ramzy Managing Director (Executive)
Managing Director (Executive)
Chairman (Non-Executive)
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Thabet
Baghdady
Abanumay
Barakat
Hamawy
Konings
Ramzy
Yassa
Sabry
Member
(Independent)
Member
(Independent)
Member
(Independent)
Member
(Olayan Group)
Member
(SODIC Inv, EXEC)
Member
(EDARA, EXEC)
Member
(SOREAL, EXEC)
Member
(October Prop. Ltd)
Member
(October Prop. Ltd)
Shareholders Structure A fragmented shareholding structure with the largest shareholder owning 19%
19% 13% 12% 7% 4% 45% EFG Hermes Abanumay Olayan Group Al Rashed & Sons ESOP Free Float
Regional Institutions 6% Local Institutions 59% Retail 35%
Shareholder Structure By Type Dec 2004 Shareholder Structure1 By Type Dec 2013
Share Evolution Since Dec 2004
and regional appetite
2007
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1 International institutions include one company with 14.7% share stake (out of the 24%) – the Company is 94% owned by EFG-Hermes Holding Company.
Local Institutions, 26% Regional Institutions, 39% Retail, 8% International Institutions, 24% ESOP, 4%
Share Information1
90.68 million Market Capitalization EGP 2,200 million Market Capitalization USD 314 million Index Inclusions EGX 30 EGX 100 MSCI IMI Symbol EGX: OCDI.CA Reuters: OCDI CA Bloomberg: OCDI EY Trailing 12m PE4: 9.13x
24 Months Share Performance : SODIC Vs. EGX (Rebased) 2
1 As at 4th of Mar, 2014. 3 From 2 Jan 2012 to 31 Dec 2013, rebased.
Research Analysts’ Consensus
28 Trailing 12m P/Bv:0.97 52 weeks High/Low (EGP): 25.8/13.8 2013 Share Performance 7% 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 2-Jan-12 2-Feb-12 2-Mar-12 2-Apr-12 2-May-12 2-Jun-12 2-Jul-12 2-Aug-12 2-Sep-12 2-Oct-12 2-Nov-12 2-Dec-12 2-Jan-13 2-Feb-13 2-Mar-13 2-Apr-13 2-May-13 2-Jun-13 2-Jul-13 2-Aug-13 2-Sep-13 2-Oct-13 2-Nov-13 2-Dec-13 EGX OCDI
improving, need to bolster land bank portfolio, …”
successful launch of Eastown’s upcoming phase during Sep/Oct2013. …”
following the resolution of its dispute with Lebanese developer Solidere, …”
Location
Sheikh Zayed/Sixth of October
Utilized Raw Description
5.05 mln sqm 1.84 mln sqm (1)
0.36 mln sqm (2) 0.50 mln sqm Eastown land directly adjacent to AUC Syria
Proportionate to SODIC’s 50% ownership
Total 5.41 mln sqm 3.9 mln sqm
Land Bank Advantages Null Liabilities Regional Diversification Prime Locations
Located in premium city spots at East/West Cairo & Syria Diversified across Syria and Egypt, with 40% of total raw land bank in Syria All plots are fully paid except for EGP 85 million payable over 3 years
42% utilized of total land bank
1 Consists of 578,130 sqm in Sheikh Zayed & 1,260,000 sqm in KM 42 Cairo-Alex Road (El Yousr land). As at 5th of March 2014 2 Kattameya Plaza Project (126,000 sqm) and ET Residences Phases I-IV (230,019 sqm). As at 5th of March 2014
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Since 2006 SODIC successfully launched 8 projects; highly diversified project portfolio
Project Description
Allegria Westown Residences Kattameya Plaza The Polygon The Strip Forty West WT Hub
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Eastown Residences
Cityscape Euromoney Business Today Ministry of Trade & Authority CNBC Property Euromoney American Society
Architects
Award Description
Trade Development Authority, an affiliate of Ministry of Trade and Industry
for its master plan, developed by world-renowned master planners EDAW
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This Presentation is intended for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer for sale or subscription or an invitation
basis of any contract or commitment from any party whatsoever. Information, including but not limited to financial information, in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation in relation to holding, purchasing or selling shares, securities or any other instruments in or, in entities related to, SODIC or any other company. This Presentation contains important and privileged information on SODIC which is solely owned by SODIC and may not be relied on or used by any person whosoever for any purpose, and therefore shall be kept secret and confidential by any receiving party. This document includes forward-looking statements. The words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "intend", "aim", "plan", "predict", "continue", "assume", "positioned", "may", "will", "should", "shall", "risk" and other similar expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events and future trends identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. In particular, the statements regarding strategy and other future events or prospects are forward-looking statements. Recipients of this document should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are in many cases beyond the control of the Company. By their nature, forward-looking statements & projections involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the Company's actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. The cautionary statements set forth above should be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that the Company, or persons acting on its behalf, may issue. Various factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements in this document including worldwide economic trends, the economic and political climate of Egypt, the Middle East and changes in business strategy and various other factors. All information contained in this presentation, including but not limited to information relating to the Egyptian real estate and financial markets, are compiled from sources known to be reliable and/or publicly available data reasonably assumed to be accurate (the “Source Data”). The Source Data may contain errors and/or inaccuracies; SODIC provides no warranties or guarantees of any kind, expressed or implied, and accepts no responsibility whatsoever, with regard to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the Source Data used in the Presentation. This disclaimer is to be considered an integral part of the Presentation and SODIC’s liability in respect of this Presentation and is to be governed by Egyptian law under the jurisdiction of Egyptian courts.
For SODIC investor relations enquiries contact: Tamer Darwish tdarwish@sodic.com Tel: +202 3854 0121 SODIC IR website: ir.sodic.com SODIC corporate website: www.sodic.com
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