Investor & Analyst Presentation
German Equity Forum, Frankfurt, Nov. 23rd – 25th, 2015
- Dr. Cornelius Patt, CEO
Investor & Analyst Presentation German Equity Forum, Frankfurt, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor & Analyst Presentation German Equity Forum, Frankfurt, Nov. 23rd 25th, 2015 Dr. Cornelius Patt, CEO Andreas Grandinger, CFO Safe Harbor Statement This document includes supplemental financial measures that are or may be
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 2
This document includes supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-GAAP financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation as alternatives to measures of zooplus’ financial condition, results of operations
similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently. This document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving zooplus that may constitute forward-looking statements. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to stockholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of zooplus’ management, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond zooplus’ control, affect zooplus’ operations, performance, business strategy and results and could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of zooplus to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements or anticipated on the basis of historical trends. Further information about risks and uncertainties affecting zooplus is included throughout our most recent annual and interim reports, which are available on the zooplus website, www.zooplus.de. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of zooplus may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as being expected, anticipated, intended, planned, believed, sought, estimated or projected. zooplus neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated. Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 3
194 257 336 427 571 ~ 740 > 900 > 1,100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016e 2017e
Total sales 2010 – 2017e
+ 63 + 79 + 91
in € m, based on organic growth in European countries
33% 31% 27% 34%
Total sales growth
+ 144 22% + 169 > 160 > 200 22%
New customer sales (1st year) Repeat customer sales Total sales Retention rate
93% 93% 94% 91% 85% 79% 81% 9M 32%
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 4
Market share zooplus and competitors 2014
market share zooplus online
CAGR: 2011-14: 30%
Net sales:
€ 0.54 bn
Total pet supplies market Europe (incl. VAT):
CAGR: 2011-14: 2 - 3%
Source: Euromonitor, company information, zooplus estimation; 1 online share of total net sales Growth 2014: 7%
Total net sales:
~ € 1.4 bn
Online 2014: ~ € 0.04 bn (+ 3% vs. PY) Growth 2014: 10%
Total net sales:
€ 0.9 bn
Online: € ~ 0.01 bn (< 2%)1
Net sales:
~ € 0.25 bn Other onliners:
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 5
» Net sales ~ € 710 m » Double-digit sales growth
rates in all countries
» zooplus market share of
total market 3.4% Net sales 2015e
HU
Source: zooplus net sales, unaudited data, rounded to 5 m EUR steps, growth rates compared to 2014, rounded to 5%p-steps; market shares based on extrapolation of Euromonitor 2013 market data, zooplus estimation 2% growth p.a.
70 m
Total market 2015
Net sales zooplus DK, SE, FI, NO D,A,CH PL, CZ, SK, HU, RO, SI, HR, BG, TR, GR ES, PT
NL, BE, LU
+30% +45% +30% +40% +30% +50% +20% +25%
40 m 80 m
235 m
70 m
120 m
40 m 55 m
~710 m
zooplus market share
5.2% 1.6% 2.7%
2.6% 2.1% 4.1% 5.3% 2.9%
3.4%
21 bn
Size of total market
(net sales)
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 6
94%
Retention rates – Cohort analysis (Net sales incl. VAT in € m)
90 86 85 86 ~ 510 55 46 45 44 ~ 200 100 62 56 55 125 87 79 135 105 174 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 100% 84% 98% 63% 90% 70%
Ø 79% Ø 85%
<=2009 <=2009 <=2009 2010 a+1 2010 a+2 2010 a+3 2011 a 2011 a+1 2011 a+2 2012 a 2012 a+1
Ø 91%
2013 a 2014 a <= 2009 to 2014 a+1
91%
+ 3 %p
2015 a 2013 a+1 2012 a+2 2011 a+3 2010 a+4 <=2009
78% 99% 99% 101% 94%
Ø 94%
Reading example: 2011 a+1= sales of 2011’s new customers in 2012
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 7
151 235 235 242 256 273 354
a a+1 a+2 a+3 a+4 a+5 … a+10
Sales per active account 2014 (in €)
Cumulated sales per account created over ten years: € 1,290 100% (1) 77% 61% 54% 50% 46% 33%
Remaining accounts a: year of acquisition
(1): customers with at least one consecutive purchase after first transaction.
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 8
Gross Margin & Cost structure
4.8% 4.5% 3.7% 3.4% 3.3% 7.0% 4.8% 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 22.9% 21.7% 20.2% 19.2% 18.7% 5.8% 2.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2%
2011 2013 2014 9M 2015 Q3 2015
» Margin reduction
mainly due to higher food share and exchange rate effects
» Extremely efficient
marketing and new customer acquisition
» Further cost reduction
in logistics
» Scaling effects in
personnel 40.5% 29.6%
IT/Admin/Payment (incl. depreciation & interest) Advertising/ Marketing Logistics Personnel in % of total sales
28.1% 27.1%
31.2% 29.8% 34.5%
Gross Margin
30.1%
… 33.5% 9M 2015
38.9%
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 9
20.2% 18.1% 13.8% 14.1% 15.0% 23.9% 20.6%
zooplus logistics all-in zooplus logistics
variable PL CZ DE ES ES
Logistics costs1 2014
1 Inbound & outbound logistics, line haul, distribution, packaging as a percentage of total sales best-in-class Q3 2015
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 10
in € m
6.1 9.1
9M 2014 9M 2015
Earnings before tax (EBT)
+ 3.0
In % total sales
1.5 % 1.7 % 1.6 % 1.2 %
» Total sales growth + 32% » Accessories sales growth
impacted by FX development
» FX impact on purchasing costs
compensated by higher other income and cost savings
» Start-up costs of new French
fulfillment center compensated by additional efficiency gains.
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 11
Net sales & EBT distribution 2014 (€ m) - unaudited
Net sales % of total z+ EBT EBT- margin
Net sales % of total z+ EBT EBT- margin
New customers
(sales in the year of acquisition)
Repeat customers
(consecutive year’s sales)
Total zooplus EBT zooplus 2014: € 8.8 m
» Further efficiency gains especially from continued built-up of pan-European logistics » Scaling effects in IT/Admin and personnel » Strategic advantages from size (purchasing power / private label)
Outlook:
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 12
Net sales % of total z+ EBT EBT- margin
Net sales % of total z+ EBT EBT- margin
New customers
(sales in the year of acquisition)
Repeat customers
(consecutive year’s sales) Direct / optimized supply chain 1 Indirect / intermediate stage supply chain 2
Total EBT zooplus 2014: € 8.8 m
1 DE, AT, CH, NL, BE, PL, CZ 2 Other countries Source: zooplus data (unaudited)
Net sales & EBT distribution 2014 (€ m) - unaudited
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 13
2013 Q1/2015 Fulfillment center (FC) Potential FC under investigation 2009
» FC in Chalon-sur-Saône started
in Q1/2015
» Capacity increase in other existing
fulfillment centers
» Overall capacity increase by 40%
since beginning of 2015
» All FCs operated by partners;
no capex for zooplus
» Orderrouting and packing algorithms
intellectual property of zooplus
2000/2011
Q1/2015
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 14
Example Cat‘s Best Ökoplus (cat litter): article flow between fulfillment centers and country of destination for last 91 days
Country of destination Fulfillment center
WRO TIL HOE SBX CHA
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 15
(example)
Source: zooplus Source: DiePresse.com; dpa
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 16
November 2015
Capital Research 12.68% Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb 10.01% Management 5.34% Others 50.85% Maxburg Beteili- gungen GmbH &
Deutsche Asset & Wealth 4.23%
Source: information from notification of voting rights and company information; data as of November 19th, 2015
Market cap: ~ € 910 m Jan 2nd, 2015: € 66.70 Nov 19th, 2015: € 130.00 Delta: + 95% Financial calendar 2016:
Jan 28th: Preliminary sales 2015 March 23rd: Annual results 2015 April 21st: Preliminary sales Q1 2016 May 19th: Q1 report 2016 Pelham Capital 3.22%
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 17
Ø per day € 417 k 2014 2015
Daily trading volume in € Source: Deutsche Börse (xetra), data until October 30th, 2015
Ø per day € 1,500 k
Burda < 50% share in zooplus zooplus capital increase
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 18
2015e ~ 740 + 30 % Total sales (€ m) 2014 571 + 34 % EBT (€ m) ~ 12 8.8
Guidance
Net sales (€ m) ~ 710 + 31 % 543 + 33 %
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 19
Attractive market with further growth potential (market volume ~ € 25 bn) Market leader in e-commerce, closing up on the biggest offliners Integrated logistics-structure for pan-European sourcing and fulfilment Growth driven by a large and growing loyal customer base Cost leadership – online and across all channels Experienced management team with a share in the company and with a clear and focused strategy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Well prepared for future value creation
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 20
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 21
P&L in € m Q3 2015 Q3 2014 ∆ ∆ ∆ ∆ abs ∆ ∆ ∆ ∆%p Total sales 187.2 146.4 ∆ abs. 40.8 ∆ in % 27.8% COGS 130.9 69.9% 100.8 68.9% 30.1 1.1%p Logistics 35.1 18.8% 29.2 19.9% 5.9
Payment 1.7 0.9% 1.6 1.1% 0.1
Customer acquisition 2.2 1.2% 2.6 1.8%
Personnel 6.1 3.3% 5.1 3.5% 1.0
G&A 5.3 2.8% 3.9 2.7% 1.4 0.1%p EBITDA 5.8 3.1% 3.1 2.1% 2.7 1.0%p I&DA 0.3 0.1% 0.3 0.2% 0.0
EBT 5.5 2.9% 2.8 1.9% 2.7 1.0%p
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 22
in € m 9M 2015 9M 2014 abs % abs % Sales 511.0 96.2% 384.8 95.4% Other income 20.2 3.8% 18.5 4.6% Total sales 531.2 100.0% 403.4 100.0% Cost of materials
Personnel costs
Depreciation
Other expenses
thereof logistics / fulfillment (-102.2)
(-81.9)
thereof marketing (-7.5)
(-7.0)
thereof payment (-5.5)
(-4.9)
thereof other costs (-15.3)
(-11.0)
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 9.3 1.7% 6.4 1.6% Financial income 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0% Financial expenses
0.0%
Earnings before taxes (EBT) 9.1 1.7% 6.1 1.5% Taxes on income
Consolidated net result 5.7 1.1% 3.8 0.9% Differences from currency translation
0.1 0.1% Hedge reserve
1.3 0.3% Items that may be relclassified subsequently to profit or loss
1.4 0.4% Comprehensive income 4.2 0.8% 5.2 1.3% Earnings per share in € basic 0.82
0.80
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 23
Assets Equity and Liabilities
in € m
∆ ∆ ∆ ∆ abs A. Non-current assets I. PP&E 1.2 0.8 0.5 II. Intangible assets 9.4 8.6 0.8 III. Other financial assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 IV. Deferred tax assets 2.7 4.2
Total non-current assets 13.4 13.6
B. Current assets I. Inventories 60.6 65.0
II. Advance payments 2.4 0.5 1.9 III. Accounts receivable 15.2 12.1 3.1 IV. Other current assets 7.4 13.1
V. Derivative financial instruments 0.5 2.3
VI. Cash and cash equivalents 43.4 32.0 11.4 Total current assets 129.5 125.0 4.5 142.9 138.6 4.3 in € m
∆ ∆ ∆ ∆ abs A. Equity I. Capital subscribed 7.0 7.0 0.0 II. Capital reserves 92.6 92.0 0.6 III. Other reserves 0.2 1.7
IV. Profit and Loss carried forward
5.8 Total equity 91.0 86.2 4.8 B. Non-current liabilities 1.6 1.2 0.3 C. Current liabilities I. Accounts payable 19.3 23.4
II. Other current liabilities 23.4 20.1 3.3 III. Tax liabilites 0.8 2.0
IV. Provisions 4.9 4.1 0.8 V. Deferred income 1.9 1.5 0.4 Total current liabilities 50.3 51.1
142.9 138.6 4.3
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 24
EBT 9.1 6.1 Cash flow from operating activities 13.6
Cash flow from investing activities
Cash flow from financing activities 0.0 10.4 Net change of cash and cash equivalents 11.5 6.1 Cash on hand, bank deposits, cheques 43.4 11.8 in € m 9M 2015 9M 2014
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 25
in € m 2014 2013 abs % abs % Sales 543.1 95.1% 407.0 95.3% Other income 27.8 4.9% 19.9 4.7% Total sales 570.9 100.0% 426.9 100.0% Cost of materials
Personnel costs
Depreciation
Other expenses
thereof logistics / fulfillment (-115.1)
(-92.7)
thereof marketing (-9.9)
(-10.7)
thereof payment (-6.9)
(-6.2)
thereof other costs (-14.9)
(-13.4)
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 9.2 1.6% 4.2 1.0% Financial income 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0% Financial expenses
Earnings before taxes (EBT) 8.8 1.5% 3.8 0.9% Taxes on income
Consolidated net result 5.2 0.9% 1.8 0.4% Differences from currency translation 0.0 0.0% 0.1 0.0% Hedge reserve 1.6 0.3% 0.1 0.0% Items that may be relclassified subsequently to profit or loss 1.6 0.3% 0.2 0.0% Comprehensive income 6.8 1.2% 1.9 0.5% Earnings per share in € basic 0.83
0.80
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 26
Assets Equity and Liabilities
in € m
∆ ∆ ∆ ∆ abs A. Non-current assets I. PP&E 0.8 0.5 0.3 II. Intangible assets 8.6 4.9 3.7 III. Financial assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 IV. Deferred tax assets 4.2 6.9
Total non-current assets 13.6 12.5 1.1 B. Current assets I. Inventories 65.0 43.7 21.3 II. Advance payments 0.5 0.3 0.2 III. Trade receivables 12.1 10.8 1.3 IV. Other current assets 13.1 10.9 2.2 V. Derivative financial instruments 2.3 0.0 2.3 VI. Cash and cash equivalents 32.0 5.6 26.4 Total current assets 125.0 71.3 53.7 138.6 83.7 54.9 in € m
∆ ∆ ∆ ∆ abs A. Equity I. Capital subscribed 7.0 6.1 0.9 II. Capital reserves 92.0 50.3 41.7 III. Other reserves 1.7 0.0 1.7 IV. Profit and Loss carried forward
5.2 Total equity 86.2 36.7 49.5 B. Non-current liabilities 1.2 0.5 0.7 C. Current liabilities I. Trade payables 23.4 16.2 7.2 II. Financial liabilities 0.0 13.0
III. Derivative financial instruments 0.0 0.1
IV. Other current liabilities 20.1 12.7 7.4 V. Tax liabilites 2.0 0.8 1.2 VI. Provisions 4.1 2.7 1.4 VII. Deferred income 1.5 1.0 0.5 Total current liabilities 51.1 46.5 4.6 138.6 83.7 54.9
Investor & Analyst Presentation EKF 201511 | page 27
EBT 8.8 3.8 Cash flow from operating activities 2.8
Cash flow from investing activities
Cash flow from financing activities 28.1 10.6 Net change of cash and cash equivalents 26.3 2.7 Cash on hand, bank deposits, cheques 32.0 5.6 in € m 2014 2013