Full year results Analyst & Investor Analyst & Investor presentation presentation
Tuesday 15 November 2011 Tuesday 15 November 2011
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Full year results Analyst & Investor Analyst & Investor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Full year results Analyst & Investor Analyst & Investor presentation presentation Tuesday 15 November 2011 Tuesday 15 November 2011 1 1 Introduction Carolyn McCall Chi f E Chief Executive ti 2 Agenda 1. Review of F11
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On Time Perfor On Time Performance mance LGW and Networ LGW and Network
70% 80% 90%
30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
management I d t db
LGW Network
levels
Flightstats. Flightstats.com com 12 months to September 12 months to September
and engagement
4 Note: No independent data for OTP available for Ryanair since May-11
Overall satisfaction
Likelihood to recommend Satisfaction with punctuality
5 Source: GfK customer satisfaction tracking. Base sizes : Qtr. 3 2010: 20,624 Qtr. 3 2011: 28,511
Robust
Customer satisfaction Returns to share holders Our Our people – people – driving performance driving performance d d d d li i h an and deli live vering t ng the e str strategy tegy Cost reduction Marketing & CRM Revenue Revenue growth
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£ per £ per seat seat
management
St H2 ill f
0.41 0.88 0.00 3.97
3.36 0.07 1.80 1.59
2011 PBT per seat Ot Other co costs Di Disruption Cr Crew ew Fuel (inc curre rrency i t) R e R ev enue Currency imp imp act ( f l) 2010 PBT per seat *
delivered operational robustness
impact) (exc fuel)
and lower disruption costs
and maintenance but increases at and maintenance but increases at regulated airports
8 * 2010 profit before tax per seat excludes the impact of £27m cost of volcanic disruption and a £7m loss on the disposal of 4 A321 aircraft
£m £m F ’11 F ’11 F ’10 ’10 Change hange
T
3,452 2,973 16.1% Fuel (917) (733) (25.0)% Operating costs excluding fuel * (2,067) (1,851) (11.7)% EBITDAR 468 389 20.4% Ownership costs * (220) (201) (6.1)% Profit before tax (underlying) * 248 188 31.5% Underlying cost adjustments * (34) Underlying cost adjustments
248 154 60.8% T ax charge (23) (33) 29.4% Profit after tax 225 121 86.0% PBT margin 7.2% 6.3% 0.9 ppt Earnings per share 52.5p 28.4p 84.9% Dividend per share 45.4p
12 7% 8 8% 3 9 ppt
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Return on capital employed 12.7% 8.8% 3.9 ppt
* Underlying cost adjustments: F’10 operating costs exclude £27m cost of volcanic disruption F’10 ownership costs exclude £7m loss on the disposal of 4 A321 aircraft
£m £m F ’11 F ’11 F ’10 ’10 Change hange Total revenue 2,186 1,802 21.3% Fuel (534) (428) (24.8)% Operating costs* (1,139) (1,008) (12.9)% EBITDAR* 513 366 40 2% EBITDAR* 513 366 40.2% Finance and ownership* (112) (99) (13.2)% Pre-tax profit* 401 267 50.2% Seats - m 34.4 30.8 11.8% Fuel cost per seat - £ 15.53 13.91 (1.62) Pre-tax profit per seat* - £ 11.66 8.68 2.98
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* * Und Underl rlying number number -
rating costs ex costs ex fuel fuel exclud exclude the e the £27m £27m of
additional cost ditional cost incurr incurred d due e to to volcanic d volcanic disru sruption tion. . Financ Finance e and and
p excludes a a £7m £7m loss-on loss-on-disposal of l of 4 4 aircra aircraft ft in in 2010. 2010.
Curr Currency split ency split – t – total c costs Curr Currency split ency split – total r
nue
35% 35% Euro US Dollar 47% Sterling Euro 44% 35% 1% 35% 7% Swiss Franc 2% Other 5% Sterling 1% 24% Other Swiss Franc Swiss Franc Sterling
F F ‘11 ‘11 curr currency impact favour ency impact favourable / / (adv (adver erse) se)
CHF CHF EUR UR USD USD Revenue 24
Costs excluding fuel (21)
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£m £m F ’11 F ’11 F ’10 ’10 Change hange
Passengers (m) 54.5 48.8 11.8% Load factor (%) 87.3% 87.0% 0.3ppt Seats (m) 62.5 56.0 11.5% Average sector length (km) 1,110 1,123 (1.2)% g g ( ) , , ( ) T
3,452 2,973 16.1% T
55.27 53.07 4.1% @ constant currency (£) 54 87 53 07 3 4% @ constant currency (£) 54.87 53.07 3.4%
Revenue per seat at constant currency Capacity growth 9 4% 11.5% 17.1% 14.6% 7 7% 86.3% 91.2% 87.3% 84.1% 86.7% y g Load factor 3.4% 9.4% 4.6%
0.3% 7.3% 7.7% 12 12
Q3’11 Q4’11 F’11 Q2’11 Q1’11
£m £m F ’11 F ’11 F ’10 ’10 Change hange
Passenger revenue (net of passenger taxes) (£m) 2,732 2,402 13.8% Gross passenger revenue per seat (£) 50.01 48.09 4.0% Net passenger revenue per seat (£) 43.75 42.87 2.1% Ancillary revenue incl. checked bag (£m) 719 571 25.9% y g ( ) Ancillary revenue per seat (£) 11.52 10.20 12.9%
£ change in ancill £ change in ancillar ary y revenue per nue per seat seat vs.
F ‘10 ‘10
Bag charging 0.18 Fees and charges 1.27 Partner and in–flight revenues (0.13) T
1.32
Str Strong performance in
the UK UK and and impr improving performance in
pe
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£ per £ per seat seat F ’11 F ’11 F ’10 ’10 Change hange
Gross seat revenue 60.51 57.14 5.9% Passenger taxes (6.26) (5.22) (19.8)% Net seat revenue 54.25 51.92 4.5% Non-seat revenue 1.02 1.15 (11.3)% ( ) T
55.27 53.07 4.1%
Seat r Seat revenue nue Ticket price Non-seat r Non-seat revenue nue Partner deals, e.g. Europcar Booking fees Checked bags In-flight Sales Insurance Speedy boarding
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F’11 F’10 Change B/(W) F l $ i Fuel $ per metric tonne Market rate 959 688 (271) Effective price 818 732 (86) US dollar rate Market rate 1 61 1 55 6 cents Market rate 1.61 1.55 6 cents Effective price 1.61 1.64 (3 cents) Actual cost of fuel £ per metric tonne 508 445 (63)
£63 £63 t i t i l t £100 £100 t £1 £1 59 59 t £63 £63 per per me metric c tonne
ncrease equa ase equal to
£100m cos m cost or
£1.59 59 per per sea seat, , volume impact is volume impact is additional £84m additional £84m
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Fuel r el requir quiremen ement US S dollar dollar requir quiremen ement Eu Euro ro s surplus
Half year ending 31 March 2012 80% at $950/tonne 80% at $1.60/£ 76% at €1.13/£ Full year ending 30 September 2012 73% at $956/tonne 69% at $1.59/£ 71% at €1.13/£ Full year ending 30 September 2013 48% at $979/tonne 46% at $1.61/£ 50% at €1.14/£
Sensitivities:
$ b
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Free permits calculation based on 2010 Revenue Tonne Kilometres (RTKs) and the EU benchmark
RTK (‘000s) * Benchmark (CO2 / RTK) = Free CO2 (metric tonnes)
RTK ( 000s) Benchmark (CO2 / RTK) Free CO2 (metric tonnes) 5.8 * 0.6797 = 4.0
ET ETS exposur S exposure Carbo Carbon (Metric (Metric tonnes)
Va Value* (E (Eur uro m)
Free permits 4.0 43 Requirement 5.4 59 Exposure 1.4 16
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*Ass
Assuming €10. €10.90 per per tonne of tonne of carbo carbon; and £/€ and £/€ 1.15 .15 excha exchange rate rate
cost cost in increase se shown shown as as “+”; cos “+”; cost decr decrease as ase as a a “-” “-”
Mov Movemen ement F‘10 F‘10 Cost per Cost per seat seat (£) £) Report eported* ed** Constan Constant curr curren ency cy Driv Drivers ers ve versus F‘10 F‘10 seat seat (£) (£) curr curren ency cy
Ground Operations 14.79 +3.0% +1.5% Significant regulated price increases at LGW and AENA airports in Spain Offset by ground handling and savings in non-regulated airports Crew 6.51 +8.6% +6.9% Planned increase in standby levels Pay increase averaging 2.75% Navigation 4 56 0 2% 0 7% Regulated price increases offset by Navigation 4.56
Regulated price increases offset by changes in route mix Maintenance 2.86
Cost reduction initiatives more than
Overhead * 4.31
46% reduction in disrupted sectors (excluding volcanic eruption in 2010) Brand licence 0.06 nm nm Ownership * 3.53
Further exits of expensive leased Ownership 3.53 1.4% 4.9% Further exits of expensive leased Boeing/GB aircraft Continuing benefit from variable rate leases priced off USD LIBOR
T
36 62 0 0%
Cost reduction
18 18 * Underlyi * Underlying cost adjus cost adjustme ments: s: F’10 overhead costs F’10 overhead costs exclude exclude £27 £27m cost cost of volca
ic disru disruptio tion F’10 owners F’10 ownership p costs costs exclude £7m exclude £7m loss loss on the dispo
l of
4 A321 A321 aircraft aircraft
T
36.62 0.0% 1.3% Cost reduction
Sep ‘11 Sep ‘11 Sep ‘10 ep ‘10 Change hange
A319 (operating lease) 56 46 10 A319 (operating lease) 56 46 10 A319 (finance lease) 6 6
105 107 (2) A320 (operating lease) 6 6
5 2 3 A320 (owned) 24 15 9 Main fleet 202 182 20 Sub-fleet (Boeing 737 and GB Airways) 2 14 (12) T
204 196 8 O d fi l 69% 68% 1% Owned or finance lease 69% 68% 1% Operating lease 31% 32% (1)%
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flexibility in its fleet planning
270
flexibility in its fleet planning
d l
241 251 259 240 250 260
Max fleet
model
and fuel burn
214 217 221 227 220 230 240 Fleet Count
214
and fuel burn
generation of aircraft
Will d i i
206 200 200 197 197 190 200 210
Min fleet 204
results
180
FY11 H2 FY12 H1 FY12 H2 FY13 H1 FY13 H2 FY14 H1 FY14 H2 FY15 H1 FY15 H2
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New capacity deliveries Replacement deliveries PDP Payments Maintenance/ESV Capex¹ Disposal of ex-GB aircraft
193 193 64 64 150 150 $742m $773m $586m 248 248 193 193 72 72 150 150 200 200 Total Total $586m 303 303 421 421 248 248 171 171 101 101 Aircraft Capex: 796m Total Aircraft Capex: 623m Total Aircraft Capex: 182 182 303 303 114 114 (118) (118) 386m
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
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Source: Source: easy easyJet manage Jet management p plan an
x is shown p pre-financ nancing g – curre rent nt plan is is to to maintain maintain 70%/30% owned 70%/30% owned/leas leased mix mix
$118 sales procee sales proceeds ds for for dispos disposals of
A321’s
£m
2011 proforma Proposed special dividend Proposed
dividend 2011* Capex Financing Other Working capital Dep’n and amort’n Operating profit 2010*
22 22 * * Inc Includes es money market depos money market deposits ts but but excludes excludes restricted cash restricted cash
£m Sep ‘11 Sep ‘10
Property, plant and equipment 2,149 1,928 Goodwill and other intangible assets 451 452 Other assets 465 451 Liabilities (excluding debt) (1,463) (1,290) Net Assets 1,602 1,541 Debt 1 300 1 212 Debt 1,300 1,212 Cash and money market deposits (1,400) (1,172) Net debt / (cash) (100) 40 Shareholders’ equity 1,702 1,501 Capital employed 1,602 1,541 Gearing* 28% 33%**
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*Ge *Gearing defi defined as (de as (debt + + 7 7 x x annua annual le lease pay payments ts – cash) ash) divi divided by (sh by (shareholders’ equi equity + + debt debt +7 +7 x x annu annual lease p ase paymen ents – – cash) **Se **Sep ‘10 ‘10 gea gearing rest restated for for current yea current year meth methodology (i.e (i.e. . exclu excluding restr restricte cted cash) cash)
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increase in unit fuel cost 12% ROCE increase in unit fuel cost
12% ROCE through the 5 year planning cycle L t L t i
Lev evers ers to
mprove margins margins
Capital discip Capital discipline line
25 25
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rolling out rolling out
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Be flexibl Be flexible Acces Access the the best best fares fares On time On time
make it make it eas easy
From From any any channel nnel At the At the right right time time
y keep it keep it simpl simple
Sp Speed ed through through the he Fly to Fly to the the h l h l through through the the airpo airport rig right p t place ace 28 28
B i i
travelling on business travelling on business
KPI KPI FY11 Y11 FY15 Y15 Business passenger between penetration as % of easyJet seats sold 18% between 20% & 24% RPS uplift from Business passengers 20% between 25% & 30% Business passengers 25% & 30% Incremental margin £0m £100m
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30 30
easyJet.com
p g g
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Much more likely A little more likely
10 35 Old 23 36 20 40 60 80 100 New
Impact of advertising on likelihood to book with easyJet
Custom
cribing themselv elves as ‘muc much mor more likel likely Cust Customer ers describing cribing themselv themselves es as as muc much mor more lik likely to buy fr to buy from easyJet’ has
increase sed by by near nearly 250%. 250%.
32 32 Sourc Source: : GfK Brand Trackin GfK Brand Tracking
Ancillary revenue per seat
Price increases
30.1%
d f
17.0%
card fee
Boarding
2.7%
Boarding
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 F’11 vs. F’10 % change
33 33
+0.8ppt
p
‐3.9ppt 5% to 6%
Continued focus on driving down maintenance costs
5% to 6% 2% to 3%
Underlying inflation increase Investing in business traveller + allocation easyJet lean initiatives F12 cost per seat seating
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Objectiv Objectives es Meas Measur ures es Achiev Achievemen ement F11 t F11
Return targets
g capital through the cycle
where returns are attractive p p
the cycle p
Capital structure and liquidity
shareholders
to manage through the cycle and
debt per aircraft
aircraft
£3.3m per aircraft
£6.9m to manage through the cycle and industry shocks aircraft £6.9m Dividend policy
argeting consistent and continuous dividend payout
gearing and liquidity targets
10.5 pence per share continuous dividend payout gearing and liquidity targets
addition to 5x dividend cover to reduce excess liquidity 10.5 pence per share
34.9 pence per share
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business
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Average daily frequency on A/B routes H1
2012 2011
1 2 3
6
2011
traveller
i l b
9 2 11 11 2
4 5
ency per day
new regional bases
Clinical approach to reviewing
27 27 20 20 27 27 19 19
2 3
verage freque
route performance
29 29 26 26
5 10 10 15 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 1
Av
A/B routes = high frequency, time-sensitive, low-seasonality routes typical of the business market
routes
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U it d Ki d Germany Netherlands
6.9%
Overall flat capacity for winter (before disruption)
United Kingdom
1.5%
F Germany
0.1%
France
2.6%
Italy
1.3%
Switzerland
2.7%
Spain
0.6%
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Our business passengersare contributing to our revenues
40 40
bases and departments
customer satisfaction, cost per seat and Profit before Tax
Our business passengers are contributing to our revenues
ROCE
p g direction
41 41
42
89% 88%
F'12 F'11 % seats sold *
80% 79% 54% 53% 29% 28% 17% 12% 29% 17% 12%
October November December January February March
+0 6% +13 8% 3 4% +2 7% +2 1% % monthly capacity h +7 1%
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+0.6% +13.8%
+2.7% +2.1% p y change +7.1%
* Win * Winter er = H1 (Oct = H1 (Oct ‘11 ‘11 to Mar to Mar ‘11) ‘11) ** A ** As at at 13.11.11 11.11
Capacity (seats flown)
Revenue per seat (constant currency) H1 id i l di it
Cost per seat ex fuel (constant currency)
p ( g p )
Fuel bill anticipated to increased by around £220 million compared to prior year at current fuel and exchange rates prior year at current fuel and exchange rates
“Despite the headwind
Despite the headwinds of s of higher higher fuel costs and fuel costs and a a weak weak and uncertain and uncertain economic outlook our economic outlook our focus focus t b t ti l f th t th th f th J t’ t’ t k bi bi d ith th
robus ust oper
tiona
performance,
the s e stre rength th o
the easy e easyJet’ t’s n s netwo work com combi bine ned w with ith cost con cost control and capital disciplin l and capital discipline means e means that that easyJet is well placed easyJet is well placed to succeed. to succeed.”
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1. easyJet lean 2 Driving revenue 2. Driving revenue 3. Capital discipline
planning cycle
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Reported ported £m £m Sep ‘11 Sep ‘11 Sep ‘10 ep ‘10
Earnings before interest and tax 269 174 Normalised operating profit after tax (NOPAT) * 199 127 Average shareholders’ equity 1,603 1,402 Average net debt / (cash) (30) 43 Average capital employed 1,573 1,445 Return on capital employed 12.7% 8.8%
Pr Proforma
(operatin ting leases leases capita capitalis lised) ed) £m Sep Sep ‘11 11 Sep Sep ‘10 10 Pr Proforma
(operatin ting leases leases capitalised) capitalised) £m £m Sep Sep 11 11 Sep Sep 10 10
Earnings before interest and tax – reported 269 174 Interest element of operating lease payments ** 36 34 Earnings before interest and tax 305 208 Earnings before interest and tax 305 208 Normalised operating profit after tax (NOPAT) 226 152 Average shareholders’ equity – reported 1,603 1,402 Average net debt / (cash) – reported (30) 43 g ( ) p ( ) Average capitalised leases *** 360 331 Average capital employed 1,933 1,776 Return on capital employed 11.7% 8.6%
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* * NOPAT calcul NOPAT calculated usin using defe deferred UK UK tax tax rate rate of
26% (201 (2010: 0: 27%) 27%) ** Assum ** Assuming ng one-third
ating leas ase e paym yment ents r repres esents the ts the interest interest eleme element *** *** Esti Estimate ted net net pres present t valu value, not not seve seven time times ope
lease pay payment
Sep’11 Sep’11 Sep’1 Sep’12 Sep’13 Sep’13 A319 167 158 151 A320 35 55 66 Boeing 2 Boeing 2 Total 204 213 218 Change in fleet size +9 +5
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F‘11 F‘11 F’10 F’10 Change B/(W) Change B/(W) Total revenue per seat 55.27 53.07 4.1% at constant currency 54.87 53.07 3.4% RASK at constant currency (pence) 4.94 4.72 4.7% Total cost per seat ex fuel* 36.62 36.62 flat at constant currency* 36.15 36.62 1.3% CASK ex fuel at constant currency 3 26 3 31 1 7% CASK ex fuel at constant currency (pence)* 3.26 3.31 1.7%
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* * Under Underlying numb number – – 201 010 cost cost per sea per seat and C and CASK SK exclud exclude the the imp impact of ct of £27m £27m of
additional cost cost incurr incurred due due to to volca volcanic disr disruption ion and d a £ £7m loss ss on th the d dispo sposal of 4 4 A321 aircraf raft .
This communication is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments who fall within the definition of “investment professionals” in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001; or (ii) high net worth bodies corporate, unincorporated associations and partnerships and trustees of high value trusts as described in Article 49(2) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001. Persons within the United Kingdom who receive this communication (other than those falling Promotion) Order 2001. Persons within the United Kingdom who receive this communication (other than those falling within (i) and (ii) above) should not rely on or act upon the contents of this communication. Nothing in this presentation is intended to constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity for the purposes of the prohibition
This presentation has been furnished to you solely for information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or d t th it b bli h d i h l i t f th passed on to any other person, nor may it be published in whole or in part, for any other purpose. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities of easyJet plc (“easyJet”) in any jurisdiction nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of easyJet commitment whatsoever. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of easyJet. Without limitation to the foregoing, these materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold into the United States absent registration under the US Securities Act of 1933 or an exemption there from. easyJet has not verified any of the information set out in this presentation. Without prejudice to the foregoing, y y p p j g g, neither easyJet nor its associates nor any officer, director, employee or representative of any of them accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss however arising, directly or indirectly, from any reliance on this presentation or its contents. This presentation is not being issued, and is not for distribution in, the United States (with certain limited exceptions i d ith th US S iti A t f 1933) i j i di ti h h di t ib ti i l f l d i t f in accordance with the US Securities Act of 1933) or in any jurisdiction where such distribution is unlawful and is not for distribution to publications with a general circulation in the United States. By attending or reading this presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
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