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Introduction ! ! - - PDF document

Regional Workshop on Beef markets and trade in China and Southeast Asia Timor Leste country profile Scott Waldron (The University of Queensland), Vicente de Paulo Correia and Adelino do Rego (Universidade Nacional Timor Lorosa 'e ), Calisto da


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SLIDE 1

Regional Workshop on Beef markets and trade in China and Southeast Asia Timor Leste country profile

Scott Waldron (The University of Queensland), Vicente de Paulo Correia and Adelino do Rego (Universidade Nacional Timor Lorosa'e ), Calisto da Costa Varela (Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries)

Introduction

! !Raising!&!trading!live!ca0le!is!one!of!the!major!livestock!

ac7vi7es!in!Timor!Leste.!! ! Ca0le!play!an!important!livelihood!role!in!many!areas!in!TL!–! Farming!ac7vi7es,!ceremonial,!source!of!saving,!&!cash!income! ! !Around!23%!of!household!in!TL!rise!ca0le!!with!total!number!of! ca0le!about!174,000! ! Rising!ca0le!–!low!input!&!output!grazing!systems! ! !Beef!consump7on!levels!are!low!–!but!consump7on!expected! to!increase!with!popula7on!growth!&!urbaniza7on! ! !Recent!study!shows!that!TL!export!earnings!from!ca0le!!could! increase!to!US$25!million!–!demand!for!meat!in!Indonesia!!is! growing! ! !Long!term!ca0le!industry!could!be!vibrant!if!ca0le!number!!are! increased!with!be0er!use!of!forage!&!grazing!resources!

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SLIDE 2

Macro drivers & Priorities

Economic'growth' " TL!sustained!growth!rates!between!8%!&!!14%!!since!2007! " NonVoil!per!capita!GDP!was!$610!in!2010! " Supply!side!–!limited!opportunity!for!farmers!in!other!rural!ac7vi7es,! but!increased!exposure!to!urban!lifestyle!is!slowly!changing!tradi7onal!

  • utlook!

" !Demand!side!–!high!popula7on!growth!&!some!income!growth!has! increased!beef!demand!in!Dili! Government'Priori1es' " ! Short! industry! history! –! an! a0empt! to! build! support! system,! &! modemise!tradi7onal!system! " !Effort!to!increase!upstream!services!(e.g.,!animal!health,!extension!&! produc7on)! " !More!tangible!measures!downstrean!(to!centralize!slaughter!&!retail)!! V!This!represent!an!effort!!to!skip!industry!development!stages!

Macro&drivers&&&priori.es&…………&

Agribusiness'ac1vi1es'

" !Vibrant!smallVscale!agribusiness!ac7vi7es!

" !Some!larger!private!sector!investment!in!slaughter!and!retail! ! Socio'Economic'importance' " !HH!all!over!TL!want!to!raise!ca0le!using!whatever!resources! available! " !Buffalo!&!ca0le!have!tradi7onally!play!an!important!role!in! tradi7onal!ceremonies! " !But!ca0le!are!kept!predominantly!to!“save”!for!cash!expenses! " !Employment!in!smallVscale!slaughter!&!retail!is!significant!

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SLIDE 3

Production indicators!

0! 200! 400! 600! 800! 1,000! 1,200! 1,400! 1,600! 1,800! 0! 20,000! 40,000! 60,000! 80,000! 100,000! 120,000! 140,000! 160,000! 180,000! Tonnes'beef' Head'ca=le' Ca0le!in!stock!(head,!lee!axis)! Ca0le!slaughter!(head,!lee!axis)! Ca0le!meat!(tonnes,!right!axis)!

Ca0le!and!beef!produc7on!indicators.!Source:!FAOSTAT!! District'ca=le'and'household'indicators'in'the'ca=le'sector,'2010.''

Source:'NSD'and'UNFPA'(2011).'' ! Households' with'ca=le' 2010'' Annual'average' increase'since' 2004' (compounded'' %'of'households' with'ca=le'2010' Ca=le'numbers' 2010'(head)' annual'average' increase'since' 2004' (compounded)' Av'herd'size' 2010'(head'/' household)'

TIMORVLESTE! 43,028!! 1%! 23%! 161,654!! 3%! 3.8! AINARO! 1,688!! 1%! 17%! 6,435!! 7%! 3.8! AILEU! 2,139!! 1%! 31%! 4,697!! 5%! 2.2! BAUCAU! 1,511!! V2%! 7%! 6,165!! V1%! 4.1! BOBONARO! 7,313!! 1%! 43%! 29,235!! 3%! 4! COVALIMA! 5,472!! 4%! 49%! 22,378!! 8%! 4.1! DILI! 779!! 1%! 2%! 3,597!! 8%! 4.6! ERMERA! 4,755!! 2%! 25%! !!!!!11,255!! 4%! 2.4! LIQUIÇA! 3,276!! 4%! 32%! 8,018!! 5%! 2.4! LAUTEM! 2,853!! 2%! 25%! 16,874!! 7%! 5.9! MANUFAHI! 2,039!! 2%! 26%! 7,559!! 5%! 3.7! MANATUTO! 1,590!! 1%! 23%! 6,204!! 6%! 3.9! OECUSSI! 6,178!! 44%! 16,562!! 2.7! VIQUEQUE! 3,435!! V1%! 25%! 22,675!! 3%! 6.6!

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SLIDE 4

Regional trends!

OSSU ALAS SUAI SAME VIQUEQUE LOSPALOS LAUTEM LACLO LACLUTA VEMASE BARIQUE BAUCAU NITIBE BALIBO ILIOMAR LACLUBAR LAGA TUTUALA HATOLIA LALEIA BAGUIA ZUMALAI ATABAE FATUBERLIU AINARO AILEU VILA WATULARI MALIANA MAUBARA MANATUTO HATU-UDO REMEXIO LURO CAILACO QUELICAI TILOMAR ATSABE PANTE MACASAR TURISCAI MAUBISSE BOBONARO LOLOTOE ATAURO LIQUIDOE BAZARTETE VENILALE SOIBADA FOROHEM OESILO FATUMEAN LIQUICA LETEFOHO RAILACO ERMERA MAUKATAR UATUCARBAU HATU-BUILICO METINARO PASSABE LAULARA CRISTO REI FATULULIC DOM ALEIXO TUTUALA ILIOMAR

Ca0le!and!buffalo!distribu7on!in!Timor!Leste.!I!dot!represents!100!head,!distributed!randomly! within!suco!boundarie;"Source:"2010"na/onal"census" !

Sub-sector and Chains!

Business Opportunities and Support Services (ILO and donors) - cattle marketing links, centralised slaughter, butcher shops Certification for movement,

  • NDVP (Comerce), quarantine,

police, suco chiefs Production

  • NDVP (Livestock), livestock officers to sub-

district level (SPVD)

  • Livestock extension officer @ sub-district
  • Animal production centres
  • General ag extension agent @ suco level
  • UNTL

Integrated cow-calf / fattening households

  • Extensive systems
  • More intensive
  • 43,000 households

~22,000 head turnoff Meat hygiene

  • NDVP (Commerce)

Animal Health

  • NDVP (Vet Services)
  • MAF Directorate of Quarantine

and Biosecurity

  • Laboratory
  • Vet clinics & vets

Cermonies

  • localised & urban

~ 5,000 hd/yr Animal heath

  • vaccinati
  • n
  • Vet

clinics

  • Village

Livestock Workers

Inputs & services Cattle production Cattle marketing Slaughter Retail & consumption

Fattening households or companies

  • small numbers

Credit

  • informal

(friends, relatives) traders

  • formal

credit missing Breeding

  • hh bulls,

natural mating

  • no AI /

breeding services Spotters & collectors Traders

  • up to a dozen / district
  • large variation in scale &
  • perations

CCT

  • holding /

marketing ~360 hd/year Butchers

  • Districts, dozens in total,

~5,000 hd/yr

  • Dili, 16 butchers

~5,000 hd/yr Dili abattoir (service slaughter for butcher shops) ~660 hd/yr 3 butcher shops in Dili Stalls in wet markets

  • districts

(periodic)

  • 2 big markets

Dili 7 supermarkets in Dili (some act as wholesalers) Feed

  • own

feed

  • limited

trade/ value

  • no feed

manufact ure In-home consumption Sales @ slaughter area Out-of-home consumption

  • Hotels &

restaurants Indonesian live cattle trade ~5,000 hd/yr Beef imports

  • 26 tonnes

= ~1,00o head

Integrated Discrete Integrated Discrete Integrated Contract

1kg/ cap/yr

Integrated

Industry planning and policies

  • Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries (MAF), National Directorate of Livestock and Vet Services (DNVP) (SPVD at district levels)
  • Minister of Economy and Development
  • Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Environment (MICA)

Slaughter activity, inspection & permits

  • NDVP (Commerce)

Street vendors

  • Ministry of Health
  • National Directorate for Food Inspection (MICA)

BOSS, Mercy Corps, other ACIAR, World Vision (forages)

Agencies & jurisdiction

Supply&chains&and&agencies&in&the&TL&beef&industry&&

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SLIDE 5

Prices'

Loca1on' Type'of'meat' Price'($/'Kg)'

Dili!wet!market!!(fresh!domes7c)! ! !Comoro! ! !Taibessi!! ! !Manlewana! ! Generic!meat! Generic!meat! Generic!meat! ! ! !6.00! 7.50! 6.50! District!market!!(fresh!local)! Generic!meat! ! 5.00!–!6.00! Butcher!shop!!!!(Ebai!&!Talho!Moris)! ! ! Silverside! Eye!round! Tenderloin! Sirloin! T!Bone! ! 9.00!–!10.00! 9.00!–!9.50! 20.00!–!25.00! 13.00!–!15.00! 15.00! Supermarkets!!(frozen!imported)! Sirloin! Boneless!beef! Boneless!rump! 10.30! 9.25! 9.60!

Trade!

!

Year' Ca=le'(head)' Buffalo'(head)' Hides'(pieces)' 2005! 2913! 99! 2006! 2473! 151! 2007! 2022! 410! 2008! 1201! 260! 400! 2009! 910! 76! 4872!

Source:!MAFF!2010!!

Year' Volume'(t)' 2009!V2012! !!!100!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!(Australia!&!NZ)! 2013! !!!!!26! 2014! !!!153! Formal!ca0le!and!buffalo!exports!2005V10!! Beef!Imports!(frozen)!

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SLIDE 6

Policy!

1013''Y'2017' 2018'Y'2022' 2023'Y'2030'

Goals'

! 20%!increase!in!Bali!ca0le!numbers!

  • ver!5!years!

! 200!tons!of!imported!meat!("beef")! per!year!replaced!by!domes7c! product! ! !5,000'head'of'ca=le'exported' annually' ! 80!ca0le!slaughtered!every!day!in! slaughterhouses!for!domes7c! consump7on!! ! ! 30%!increase!in!Bali!ca0le! produc7on! ! 200!tons!of!meat!exported! per!year! ! 10%!of!milk!consumed!in! school!meals!is!produced! locally! ! Industrializa7on!of!livestock! products!! ! ! 50%!increase!in!Bali!ca0le! produc7on! ! Livestock!products! processing!and! industrialisa7on!developed! and!sustainable! ! Export!of!meat!and! livestock!products! contribute!40%!of!nonVoil! GDP!!

Programs'

" Loca7on!of!poten7al!areas!for! intensifica7on!of!Bali!ca0le!! " Beef!ca0le!census! " Improving!pens!and!vaccina7on!! " Preserva7on!of!na7ve!pastures,! development!of!fodder!crops!and! forage!conserva7on!! " !Breeder!selec7on!and!bull!castra7on! " Animal!Health!Centers!! " Forma7on!of!new!groups!of!Bali! ca0le!farmers! " Disease!treatment!and!vaccines!!

!

" Establishment!of!an!Animal! Produc7on!Research!Center! " Gene7c!improvement!of! ca0le!breed!(Bali!ca0le).! " !Improvement!of!grazing! animals!and!nutri7on! " Animal!Health!Centers! Establishment!in!all!Districts! and!clinics!in!all!SubVDistricts! " Establishment!of!a!slaughter! house!and!a!meat!packing! center!

!

" Establishment!of!a!system!

  • f!management!and!control!
  • f!animal!diseases!!

" Establishment!of!cer7fied! aba0oirs!and!butchers!! " Promote!partnerships!with! financial!centers!and! a0rac7ng!investment! (private!sector)!in!ca0le! produc7on!area!and! industrial!processing!of! livestock!prod!!

Input!Sector!

# Extension!system!–!To!provide!publically!funded!services!free!of!charge!to! farmers!(442!extension!workers;!one!extension/village)! # !Animal!health!–!Government!&!external!agencies!have!placed!large! a0en7on!on!the!animal!health!sector!(e.g.,!!free!vaccina7on,!disease! surveillance!&!treatment,!development!of!the!na7onal!laboratory,!the! development!of!Animal!Health!Centres,!etc)! # !Feeds!V!!is!sourced!through!grazing,!crop!residues!&!forages!onVfarm!or! nearby!areas.!Several!projects!started!to!promote!forages!amongst! farmers!including!the!Don!Bosco!Fuiloro!school,!Do7k,!World!Vision!!&! ACIAR!projects!! # !Finance!–!3!foreignVowned!banks!(Mandiri,!ANC,!BNU);!1!state!bank! (BNCTL),!2!microfinance!ins7tu7ons!(Tuba!Rai!Me7n!&!Moris!Rasik).! BNCTL!has!not!inves7gated!livestock,!but!will!consider!it!subject!to!steps! and!criteria!! # !Breeding!–!So!far!there!is!no!program!on!breeding!introduced!

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SLIDE 7

Ca0le!produc7on!system!

$ The!vast!majority!of!ca0le!are!grazed!for!all!or!most!of!the!year!on! grasslands,!scrubland!or!scavenging!around!the!aldeia.!! $ Ca0le!can!be!penned!at!night,!seasonally,!or!in!some!cases!not!at!all.! $ Ca0le!are!produced!predominantly!in!“unspecialised!systems”!where!the! vast!majority!of!farmers!own!breeders!that!produce!calves!that!are!fed!to! slaughter!weight.!! $ !ca0le!produc7on!systems!in!TL!can!be!seen!as!inefficient!insofar!as! exis7ng!resources!are!underVu7lised!or!not!used!in!a!strategic!way!to! meet!key!constraints.!! $ !Ca0le!in!TL!are!raised!in!low!input!–!low!output!systems.!With!low!inputs! (feed,!labour,!capital),!outputs!are!also!low!(beef!produc7on)!as!are! intermediate!indicators!(calving!rates,!growth!rates,!turnoff!rates).!!

The!processing!sector!

% The!slaughter!sector!is!dominated!by!rudimentary,!low!cost!structures!but! also!comprised!of!tradi7onal!structures!!(ceremony)!and!more!modern! structure!(refurbished!abbatoir)! ! % !GoTL!!V!seek!to!move!the!rela7ve!importance!of!these!structures!toward! more!modern!!structures!through!regula7on,!inspec7on!and!centralisa7on!

  • f!structures!
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SLIDE 8

Beef!consump7on!

$ !Average!annual!per!capita!bovine!meat!consump7on!in!TL! about!0.95!kg!(DNS!&!World!Bank!2008)! $ !based!on!trade/slaughter!data,!bovine!meat!consump7on! around!is!1.19!kg/capita/yr! $ !The!meat!consump7on!level!are!significantly!lower!than!the! average!for!least!developing!countries!of!4.8!kg! $ !This!clearly!constrained!by!low!income!(per!capita!income! per!month!of!$62!–!NDS!2011)! $ !Beef!consump7on!–!expected!to!increase!with!sustain! income!growth!and!popula7on!growth!(2.41%)!

Thank"you"