Innovation Comparison in Asia Ashish Rana (NIES, Japan) P.R. Shukla - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Innovation Comparison in Asia Ashish Rana (NIES, Japan) P.R. Shukla - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Innovation Comparison in Asia Ashish Rana (NIES, Japan) P.R. Shukla (IIM, Ahmedabad, India) Kejun Jiang (ERI, China) R.M. Shrestha (AIT, Bangkok, Thailand) The 8 th AIM International Workshop 13-15 March 2003 Innovation Indicators


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Innovation Comparison in Asia

Ashish Rana (NIES, Japan) P.R. Shukla (IIM, Ahmedabad, India) Kejun Jiang (ERI, China) R.M. Shrestha (AIT, Bangkok, Thailand) The 8th AIM International Workshop 13-15 March 2003

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Innovation Indicators Environmental Efficiency Indicators Environmental Efficiency Indicators Environmental Production Indicators Environmental Production Indicators Environmental Consumption Indicators Environmental Consumption Indicators Environmental Governance Indicators Environmental Governance Indicators Sector-wise Indicators

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Innovation Indicators Electricity sector Electricity sector

CO2 Emission Factor of Electricity Distribution Loss of Electricity Share of Electricity Generation Thermal Efficiency of fuel power plant

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 Emission Factor (kgCO2/ kWh) China I ndia I ndonesia Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Vietnam 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Distribution Loss China I ndia I ndonesia Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Vietnam 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Share of Electricity Generation China I ndia I ndonesia Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Vietnam Others Hydro Nuclear Coal,Oil,Gas 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Thermal Efficiency of fuel power plant China I ndia I ndonesia Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Vietnam

Source: IEA Energy Balance

(1999) (1999) (1999) (1999)

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Innovation Indicators Industrial sector Industrial sector

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Energy intensity in Steel sector (toe/ ton) China Japan Korea 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 Energy intensity in Cement sector (toe/ton) Japan Korea Philippines Thailand 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 Energy intensity of Pulp & Paper sector (toe/ton) China Japan Philippines Thailand

Energy consumption per Value added of manufacturing etc.

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Energy consumption per Value added of manufacuturing etc. (goe/US$) Brunei Cambodia China India Indonesia Japan Korea Lao Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam

Energy intensity in steel sector (1994) Energy intensity in cement sector (1995) Energy intensity in pulp and paper sector (1993)

Source: IEA、 World Bank Source: APERC

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Innovation Indicators Residential sector Residential sector

Energy consumption per capita – Household final consumption per capita

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 Household final consumption expenditure (constant 1995 US$) per capita ('80-'90-'98) Energy consumption per capita (goe, '80-'90-'98) China India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand

Source: IEA, World Bank

Energy consumption per capita in residential sector

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Energy consumption per capita in Residential Sector (goe, 2000) China I ndia I ndonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam Commercial Biomass Electricity Coal, Oil, Gas etc

Source: IEA, World Bank

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Innovation Indicators Transportation sector Transportation sector

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Energy consumption in Transportation sector (kTOE, 2000) Brunei China India I ndonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam Others Rail Internal Navigation Road

Energy Consumption in Transportation Sector Vehicle per 1000 persons Vehicle per 1000 persons – Household final consumption per capita Energy consumption per vehicle

100 200 300 400 500 600 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Household final consumption expenditure (constant 1995 US$) per capita (1990-1996) Vehicles per 1,000 persons (1990-1996) China India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 Energy consumption per vehicle (TOE, 1998) Brunei China India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 Vehicles per 1,000 persons (1998) Brunei China India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand

Source: IEA Source: IRF Source: IRF, World Bank Source: IEA, IRF

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Innovation Indicators Industrial sector Industrial sector

Water pollutant per capita – GDP per capita

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 GDP per capita (constant 1995 US$, '80-'90-'97) BOD Emission per capita(kg/day, '80-'90-'97) China India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore

Source: World Bank

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Innovation Indicators Agriculture sector Agriculture sector

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Fertilizer consumption per agricultural area (t/km2) Brunei Cambodia China India Indonesia Japan Korea Lao Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Thailand Viet Nam

Agricultural production per agricultural area (1999)

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 Agricultural production per agricultural area (10^ 3kcal/km2) Brunei Cambodia China India Indonesia Japan Korea Lao Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Thailand Viet Nam

Fertilizer consumption per agricultural area (1999)

Source: FAO Source: FAO

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Innovation Indicators Environmental Market Environmental Market

0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% Environmental Market per GDP (1997) China Mainland India I ndonesia Korea, Rep Malaysia Philipinnes Singapore Thailand Veitnam Japan 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 Environmental Market (million US$, 1997) China Mainland India I ndonesia Korea, Rep Malaysia Philipinnes Singapore Thailand Veitnam Others Waste Air Water

* Water:Water Equipment & Chemicals, Water Treatment Works, Water Utilities Air : Pollution Control Waste : Waste Management Equipment, Solid Waste Management, Haz Waste Management, Resource Recovery Others : Instruments & Monitoring Systems, Processes & Prevention Technology, Consulting & Engineering, Remendation, Analystical Service Source : EBI "Asia Country Briefings"

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1990, World CO2 Emissions 5827 MtC

India 153 MtC 3% China 617 MtC 11%

2000, World CO2 Emissions 6393 MtC

China 817 MtC 13% India 255 MtC 4% Source: EIA Source: IEA

India and China: Share in World Emissions – CO2

Rank# 5 Rank# 5 Rank# 2 Rank# 2

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India and China: Share in World Emissions – Non-CO2

1990, World CH4 Emissions 1554 MMTCE

China 210 14% India 104 7%

1995, World N2O Emissions 904 MMTCE

China 46 5% India 90 10%

Source: EMF21

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India, 1995 CO2 63% CH4 31% N2O 6% China, 1990 CO2 75% CH4 23% N2O 2%

Share of GHGs in China and India

Source: Garg and Shukla, 2002

Total GHG Emissions = 1235 MT CO2 Equiv. Total GHG Emissions = 2362 MT CO2-Equiv.

Source: ALGAS

China, 1990 CO2 68% CH4 26% N2O 6%

Range - Total GHG Emissions = 2624 MT CO2-Equiv.

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CO2 Emissions

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 MtC India China

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CO2 Intensity

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 India China

Index 1990 = 1

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Energy Intensity

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 India China

Index 1990 = 1

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Reasons for such intensity trends

  • Technology progress

– Steel industry in India and China – Power generation and Building material industry in China

  • Change in fuel mix

– More use of cleaner fuels

  • Structural change of economy
  • Effect of local environmental policies (in case
  • f China)
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Paper and Pulp 0.86 0.88 0.9 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1 1.02 2000 2010 2020 2030 India China

Projection of Energy Intensity

Steel 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 2000 2010 2020 2030 India China Cement 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 1.05 2000 2010 2020 2030 India China

Index 2000 = 1

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CO2 Emissions Projection

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2000 2005 2010 2020 2025 2030 MtC India Baseline China Baseline India Mitigation China Mitigation

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CO2 Intensity Projection

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 2000 2005 2010 2020 2025 2030 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 2000 2005 2010 2020 2025 2030 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 2000 2005 2010 2020 2025 2030

India China Steel Cement Paper & Pulp Index 2000 = 1

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Technology substitution

  • China

– New Coking Oven + Coke Wetting – Japanese Sintering Furnace – Wet TRT – Directing Hot Strip Mill Machine – DCF, Japanese ACF & DCF

  • India

– Improved coke oven – Improved sintering machine – Improved OF with gas recovery – Improved gas based sponge iron making – Improved Hot Rolling

Technologies gaining share over other types of technologies in Steel industry